Inflation-Adjusted Government Budget Deficits and Real Economic Activity: Rejoinder

1989 ◽  
pp. 139
Author(s):  
Eisner ◽  
Pieper
2010 ◽  
Vol 213 ◽  
pp. F13-F18 ◽  

Government fiscal positions in all the advanced economies suffered severe deteriorations during the financial crisis. Figure 1 illustrates the cumulative deterioration of the government budget ratio as a per cent of GDP between 2007 and 2009 in a selection of OECD economies. The sharpest declines materialised in Ireland, Spain and Finland, while public finances in Austria, Germany and Italy have held up better. Budget deficits have worsened in part because of the cyclical downturn, in part because of the policy response to the crisis, including both fiscal stimulus packages and certain fiscal costs related to government support of financial institutions, and in part because of a change in the relationship between revenue and production, which may prove longer-term.


1994 ◽  
Vol 33 (4II) ◽  
pp. 955-967 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tayyeb Shabbir ◽  
Ayaz Ahmed

In academia as well as policy-making institutions, there has been a long standing interest in analysing the phenomenon of inflation. Amongst the possible determinants of inflation, budget deficits may be one whose importance might have grown since the oil price hikes of 1973-74 and in 1979. For many a developing countries these increases in oil price have been responsible for the massive current account deficits as well as rapidly increasing domestic budget deficits of the last decade or so. During the 1980s, the budget deficit for Pakistan also grew rapidly reaching a record high of 8.6 percent of the G D P in 1987-88. Lately in the backdrop of the recent structural adjustment programmes, there has been much interest in determining the optimal size and the macro economic role of the budget deficits. However, despite its growing importance, the effects of budget deficits are not well understood.


2011 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 22
Author(s):  
Frank J. Bonello

No economic topic has attracted more attention during the 1980s than the size of Federal government budget deficits and the corresponding rapid rise in the public debt. Crowding out news regarding Third World debt problems, U.S. foreign trade deficits, and the break up of American Telephone and Telegraph, Federal government budget deficits have been blamed for everything from high interest rates to the deterioration in the moral fiber of the American people. Deficits and debt have also caused political reversal: historically free spending Democrats blaming Reagan deficits for a variety of economic ills while the conservative Republican president treats the deficit with benign neglect.The purpose of this paper is not to answer all of the questions that have been raised regarding the causes and consequences of government deficits and debt. The initial concern is instead with the facts and figures on the absolute and relative size of the Federal governments recent deficits and debt. Next certain measurement issues are addressed for there is a continuing debate regarding appropriate procedures for expressing the governments budgetary outcomes. The third and final section of the paper reviews some of the arguments, theoretical and empirical, on the relation between deficits and debt on the one hand and interest rates on the other. In each section the intent is to survey rather than to present new theoretical arguments or new empirical evidence.


2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (5) ◽  
pp. 1641-1646
Author(s):  
Mahije Mustafi ◽  
Sulbije Memeti Karemani

This paper analyzes the empirical literature that examines the effects of fiscal policy shocks on economic activity. Discussion related to fiscal policy is related to the impacts on economic growth is quite current, because the development of appropriate fiscal instruments can lead to steady and sustainable economic growth in the countries. The role of fiscal policy and the impact on economic activity are among the most controversial issues among academics and policymakers. In the absence of any "active" intervention in government expenses, tax revenues move automatically with the economic cycle. I can also say that government transfers can be considered as help for the unemployed, they grow as the economy slows down and unemployment rises, while labor tax returns, capital and consumption flows are declining. Resistive actions occur when the business cycle improves. In recent years, empirical studies have shown that private consumption and GDP have increased significantly, while government expenses have been severely reduced. Most empirical evidence suggests that fiscal expansion increases production and consumption and worsens the trade balance.The Kenzie and Neoclassical schools have different views on the impact of public spending on economic activity. This study has completed a detailed review of many important, relevant scientific havepapersthat empirically document these impacts. As a conclusion, we can state that although the fiscal policy theory is well developed, until recently has not received much attention from the (applied) economic practice. The first category is aimed at assessing macroeconomic impact from major reductions in the budget deficit, and the second study, in general, analyzes the stabilizing capabilities of fiscal policy variables. According to Blanchard and Perotti, the dynamic effects of the discretionary fiscal policy of macroeconomic variables have recently focused on the omissions of autoregressive vectors (2002). Some empirical studies have found a link between budget deficits, money growth and inflation, both in industrialized economies as well as in growing economies. For industrial economies most of these studies have come to the conclusion that there is little evidence that government debt affects the growth of money and inflation. In developing countries, it is often argued that high inflation is realized when governments face large and ongoing deficits financed by money emission. A change in taxes or public expenses (the so-called “fiscal shocks”) at any time prevents their development.


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