scholarly journals Banking Sector Consolidation: Possible Effects for Sectoral Credit Allocation and Economic Growth in Nigeria

Author(s):  
Alwell Nteegah

This study investigated possible effects of banking sector consolidation- credit allocation to selected sectors on the growth of Nigerian economy. utilizing time series data on growth rate of GDP, banking sector credit distribution to the agriculture, manufacturing, oil and gas/mining, commercial (export financing) sectors and bank size (number of Deposit money bank branches) for the period 1981 - 2015 and employing Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), the results indicate that only banking sector credit allocation to the manufacturing sector is positive and significant at 5 percent level. Banking credit to agriculture, oil & gas/mining, commercial and bank size were all insignificant at 5 percent level. This result revealed that funds allocated to the manufacturing sector spurred economic growth in Nigeria during the duration of this investigation. Other finding of study shows that the manufacturing sector has higher propensity for increasing investment, job creation and value addition hence attracts funds from the banks than other sectors. Based on these findings, the paper suggested creation of enabling environment and enactments of policies that will enhance higher credit allocation to manufacturing sector in particular and the real sector in general in order to spur investment, job creation and stimulate economic growth in Nigeria.

2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Najia SAQIB

Economic theory suggests that sound and efficient financial systems channel capitals to its most productive uses are beneficial for economic growth. Sound and efficient financial systems are especially important for sustaining growth in developing countries. This paper examines the impact of banking sector liberalization on long-term economic growth in Pakistan by using a time series data for the period 1971–2011. The results show that there exist a significant positive long run relationship between banking sector development and economic growth in the country. The sensitivity analysis also shows that the relationship remain positive and significant no matter what combination of the omitted variables are used in the basic model. Thus, our findings support the core idea that banking sector development stimulates long term economic growth in a country.


2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samson Ogege ◽  
Tarila Boloupremo

This paper examines the effect of deposit money banks intermediation role on economic growth and development in Nigeria. The main objective of the research was to ascertain the extent to which sectorial credit allocation by deposit money banks have influenced growth in the economy. Time series data covering the period 1973-2011 for deposits money banks credits in Nigeria and per capita gross domestic product were analyzed within the framework of Engle-Granger Representation Theorem; the approach estimated a co-integrating regression using the ordinary least square estimator, and then investigated the presence of a co-integration relation by examining the stationarity of the estimated residual series. The findings indicate that credit allocation to the production sector is significantly promoting economic activity. The implication that can be drawn from this study is that to ensure that the banking system performs its role of credit allocation effectively it must channel funds into productive investment and more productive uses; deposit money banks should act as efficient financial intermediaries devoted to allocating resources to the most productive uses.


2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-36
Author(s):  
Ramesh C. Paudel ◽  
Chakra Pani Acharya

This paper aims to examine the role of financial development and economic growth in Nepal employing Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach of cointegration using time series data for the period from 1965 to 2018. Nepal is a unique country with big markets in the neighbors-India and China but remains as one of the poor landlocked developing countries, even being the earlier entrant in liberalization and reform. Nepal recently went through a substantial political transition and now the stable government is seeking substantial amount of foreign direct investment. In this background, it will be better, for a good policy analysis, to know how the financial activities have played the role in highly intended economic growth. We develop a model with five proxies of financial development (broad money, domestic credit to private sector, total credit from banking sector, capital formation, and foreign direct investment); and econometrically test their contribution in economic growth. Overall, the results suggest that financial development causes to economic growth substantially, except in the case of foreign direct investment. This result warns the policy makers to be more serious making investment friendly economy to attract the expected foreign direct investment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (9) ◽  
pp. 844-853
Author(s):  
Deni Andrean ◽  
Imam Mukhlis

Abstract This study aims to identify the effects of conventional banking credit, Islamic banking financing, PMA and PMDN investment on Indonesia’s economic growth in the before (2015-2019) and after (2019-2020) Covid-19. This study used quantitative method with VAR/VECM analysis. In this study, the time series data were analyzed using eviews 10, while the comparison between before (2019) and after (2020) Covid-19 was carried out using paired samples t-test. The data were collected from various sources, including Financial Services Authority and central Bureau of Statistics. The findings show that the total investment carries significant negative effects on Indonesia’s economic growth, while conventional banking credit carries no effect on Indonesia economic growth. The Islamic banking financing brings positive significant effects in long-term toward Indonesia economic growth. Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh antara kredit perbankan konvensional, pembiayaan perbankan syariah dan investasi PMA dan PMDN terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia pada periode sebelum covid -19 tahun 2015 sampai 2019 dan periode covid-19 tahun 2019-2020. Penelitian ini menerapkan metode penelitian kuantitatif menggunakan analisis VAR/VECM dengan menggunakan data time series dan diolah menggunakan eviews 10, dan perbandingan perbedaan antara seluruh variabel dari tahun sebelum pandemi (2019) dan setelah adanya pandemic (2020) menggunakan pengujian Uji Beda Paired Samples t-test, data ini dikumpulkan dari berbagai sumber utama termasuk Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) dan Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa total investasi berpengaruh negatif signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia, kredit perbankan konvensional tidak berpengaruh terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. Sedangkan pada variabel pembiayaan perbankan syariah menunjukkan bahwa pembiayaan perbankan syariah berpengaruh positif signifikan dalam jangka panjang terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia


2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (31) ◽  
pp. 373
Author(s):  
Noula Armand Gilbert ◽  
Bkwayep Nguemnang Y. Rodrigue ◽  
Mba Fokwa Arsène

The CEMAC countries have decided to develop the banking sector to ensure economic growth48 for a sustainable development, given that the banking system leads to investments. Our study aims at analyzing the influence of bank credit and banking rate on economic growth in the CEMAC zone from time series data during 1980-2014 (CD -ROM, WBI- 2014). The econometric analysis that we have chosen was inspired by the generalized least squares method. The model we preferred was that of Hague (2000) where the Gross Domestic Product is the dependent variable for assessing the level of economic growth while the bank credit and the banking rate are the main explanatory variables. The results indicate that the variables are significant thus, the banking rate affects economic growth positively. Following these results one could think about new strategies that will help increase the banking rate which is still very low in the Sub-region.


There is a strong link between an institutional framework of insurance sector and sustainable economic growth. Insurance business has a positive impact on economic development and vice versa. As a developed insurance market stimulates economic growth of a country, the level of its economic growth affects insurance business development in return. In India, regulatory changes commenced since midnineties for opening up of insurance markets to private and foreign insurers. After more than one and half decade execution of insurance sector reforms, Indian life insurance business have been witnessed the better growth. In this juncture, the present study focuses on an examination of the role of a macroeconomic environment in the development of life insurance industry in India by using time series data with regression analysis. The study finds that the savings to GDP ratio, banking sector development, expenditure on social security to GDP, gross enrolment ratio and life expectancy are most significant and positive factors in driving the life insurance business during the study period..


2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Falade Olanipekun Emmanuel ◽  
Olagbaju Ifeolu Oladiran

<p class="ber"><span lang="EN-GB">The study investigates the relationship between government expenditure and manufacturing sector output in Nigeria. Government expenditure is disaggregated into capital and recurrent with a view to analyse the relative effect of these categories of government expenditure with emphasis on the capital component. The study employed time series data from 1970 to 2013.  Data on manufacturing sector output, capital and recurrent expenditure, nominal and real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), exchange rate and interest rate were collected from Statistical Bulletin and Annual Report and Statement of Accounts published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). Econometric evidence revealed stationarity of the variables of interest at their first difference while the Johansen cointegration approach also confirms the existence of one cointegrating relationship at 5 percent level of significance. In addition, error correction estimates revealed that while government capital expenditure has positive relationship with manufacturing sector output in Nigeria, recurrent expenditure exerts negative effect on manufacturing sector output. The results showed that one per cent increase in government capital expenditure resulted in an increase of 11.2 per cent in manufacturing sector output while recurrent expenditure decreases it by 26.9 per cent. This reveals that government capital expenditure has positive impact on manufacturing sector output. The study therefore suggests that larger percentage of government expenditure in the annual budget should be on capital component coupled with improved implementation of expenditure policies rather than recurrent expenditure which does not really have a significant impact on the manufacturing sector.</span></p>


2015 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 553-564
Author(s):  
Andy Titus Okwu ◽  
Olusola Babatunde Falaiye ◽  
Rowland Tochukwu Obiakor ◽  
Ajibola Joseph Olusegun

This paper employed time series data on relevant empirical diagnostics to examine banking sector growth-led nexus within the context of Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria. Diagnostics established stationarity of banking sector indicators and control variables at first difference. Findings showed no causal relationships between banking sector reforms and economic growth in the short-run and that, though liberalisation in particular did not Granger-cause growth of the economy during the study period, banking sector reforms caused growth of the real sector of the Nigerian economy. Hence, the caveat was that long-run growth effects of banking sector reforms on real sectors of economies are functions of policy targets of such banking or financial sectors reform strategies. Consequently, articulation of banking and financial sectors reforms within long-run rather than short-run perspectives and complementarity of liberalisation were recommended.


2020 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 104-113
Author(s):  
Keshar Bahadur Kunwar

This study employed bounds test based cointegration technique using annual time series data from the period 1990/91 to 2015/16 for exploring relationship between RGDP and FDI in Nepal. This paper examines the effect of FDI on RGDP is insignificant at five percent level of significance. The coefficient (0.35) of (FDI) shows that one percent increase in FDI leads to over 0.35 percent increase RGDP in the long-run. There is no causality between foreign direct investment and economic growth.


2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 49
Author(s):  
Bernhard O Ishioro

This research investigated the banking sector reforms and economic growth using time series data from 1970 to 2013 for the Nigerian economy. Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) Bounds test was applied for the specific determination of the long and short-run relationships between banking sector reforms and economic growth. The research finds that the interest rate margin is more significant than other variables in the model in explaining the banking sector reforms and economic growth. Banking sector credit to the private sector was negative and statistically insignificant in economic growth in Nigeria. This means that the size of the banking sector does not enhance economic growth. Meanwhile, inflation is negatively and statistically significant in economic growth. The duration of banking sector reforms should be defined and strictly adhered to irrespective changes in the political administration of the country.


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