scholarly journals Degree-Day Climatology over Central and Southeast Europe for the Period 1961-2018 – Evaluation in High Resolution

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 166-174
Author(s):  
Hristo Chervenkov ◽  
Vladimir Ivanov ◽  
Georgi Gadzhev ◽  
Kostadin Ganev ◽  
Dimitrios Melas

AbstractThe ongoing climate change over Central and Southeast Europe has a great potential to affect significantly the public energy demands and in particular the energy consumption in the residential heating and cooling sector. The linkage of the ambient daily extreme and mean temperatures and the energy needs for condition or heat buildings can be quantified as numerical indicators as the heating and cooling degree-days. In the present study, these indicators are calculated according the UK Met Office methodology from the daily mean and extreme temperatures, which, in turn, are computed from the output of the MESCAN-SURFEX system in the frame the FP7 UERRA project. The study, which is performed in a very high resolution, is dedicated on the analysis of the spatial patterns as well as assessment of the magnitude and statistical significance of the temporal evolution of the heating and cooling degree-days. It reveals general tendencies which are coherent with the regional climate warming, but with high spatial heterogeneities. The study confirms the essential impact of the ongoing climate change on the heating, ventilating and air-conditioning industry over Central and Southeast Europe.

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 715
Author(s):  
Cristina Andrade ◽  
Sandra Mourato ◽  
João Ramos

Climate change is expected to influence cooling and heating energy demand of residential buildings and affect overall thermal comfort. Towards this end, the heating (HDD) and cooling (CDD) degree-days along with HDD + CDD were computed from an ensemble of seven high-resolution bias-corrected simulations attained from EURO-CORDEX under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). These three indicators were analyzed for 1971–2000 (from E-OBS) and 2011–2040, and 2041–2070, under both RCPs. Results predict a decrease in HDDs most significant under RCP8.5. Conversely, it is projected an increase of CDD values for both scenarios. The decrease in HDDs is projected to be higher than the increase in CDDs hinting to an increase in the energy demand to cool internal environments in Portugal. Statistically significant linear CDD trends were only found for 2041–2070 under RCP4.5. Towards 2070, higher(lower) CDD (HDD and HDD + CDD) anomaly amplitudes are depicted, mainly under RCP8.5. Within the five NUTS II


2016 ◽  
Vol 55 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-47 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafat Mahmood ◽  
Sundus Saleemi ◽  
Sajid Amin

The energy sector is sensitive to changing weather patterns and Pakistan is one of those countries where temperature rise induced by climate change is expected to be above the world average. In this backdrop the present study aims at finding the impact of climate change on electricity demand in Pakistan at the regional and national level. Using monthly data on temperatures to find heating and cooling degree days, the relationship between monthly electricity demand and temperature is explored which is then used to find the impact of projected climate change on electricity demand. The results suggest surging peak loads in summer season due to climatic effect which calls for capacity instalments over and above that needed to cater to rise in electricity demand attributable to economic growth. JEL Classification: Q47, Q54 Keywords: Energy, Climate Change, Electricity Demand, Degree Days, Pakistan


2020 ◽  
Vol 216 ◽  
pp. 109935 ◽  
Author(s):  
Delphine Ramon ◽  
Karen Allacker ◽  
Frank De Troyer ◽  
Hendrik Wouters ◽  
Nicole P.M. van Lipzig

Author(s):  
Yuanzheng Li ◽  
Wenjing Wang ◽  
Yating Wang ◽  
Yashu Xin ◽  
Tian He ◽  
...  

The world is faced with significant climate change, rapid urbanization, massive energy consumption, and tremendous pressure to reduce greenhouse gases. Building heating and cooling is one primary source of energy consumption and anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions. First, this review presents previous studies that estimate the specific amount of climate change impact on building heating and cooling energy consumption, using the statistical method, physical model method, comprehensive assessment model method, and the combination method of statistical and physical model methods. Then, because the heating and cooling degree days indices can simply and reliably indicate the effects of climate on building heating and cooling energy consumption, previous studies were reviewed from the aspects of heating and cooling degree days indices, regional spatial-temporal variations in degree days and related indices, influencing factors of the spatial distributions of degree days, and the impacts of urbanization on degree days. Finally, several potential key issues or research directions were presented according to the research gaps or fields that need to be studied further in the future, such as developing methods to simply and accurately estimate the specified amounts of climate change impact on building cooling and heating energy consumption; using more effective methods to analyze the daytime, nighttime, and all-day spatial-temporal changes in different seasons in the past and future under various environment contexts by considering not only the air temperature but also the relative humidity, solar radiation, population, etc., and further exploring the corresponding more kinds of driving forces, including the various remotely sensed indices, albedo, nighttime light intensity, etc.; estimating the daytime, nighttime, and all-day impacts of urbanization on heating degree days (HDDs), cooling degree days (CDDs), and their sum (HDDs + CDDs) for vast cities in different environmental contexts at the station site, city, regional and global scales; producing and sharing of the related datasets; and analyzing the subsequent effects induced by climate change on the energy consumption for building heating and cooling, etc.


Author(s):  
Cristina Andrade ◽  
Sandra Mourato ◽  
João Ramos

Climate change is expected to influence cooling and heating energy demand of residential buildings and affect overall thermal comfort. Towards this end, the heating degree-day (HDD), the cooling degree-day (CDD) and the HDD+CDD were computed from an ensemble of 7 high-resolution bias-corrected simulations attained from EURO-CORDEX under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. These three indicators were analyzed for 1971-2000 (from E-OBS) and 2011-2040 and 2041-2070, under both RCPs. Results show that the overall spatial distribution of HDD trends for the 3 time-periods points out an increase of energy demand to heat internal environments in Portugal's northern-eastern regions, most significant under RCP8.5. It is projected an increase of CDD values for both scenarios; however, statistically significant linear trends were only found for 2041-2070 under RCP4.5. The need for cooling is almost negligible for the remaining periods, though linear trend values are still considerably higher for 2041-2070 under RCP8.5. By the end of 2070, higher amplitudes for all indicators are depicted for southern Algarve and Alentejo regions, mainly under RCP8.5. For 2041-2070 the Centre and Alentejo (North and Centre) regions present major positive differences for HDD(CDD) under RCP4.5(RCP8.5), within the 5 NUTS II regions predicting higher heating(cooling) requirements for some locations.


2021 ◽  
Vol 228 ◽  
pp. 02005
Author(s):  
Lujian Bai ◽  
Bing Song

Climate has a key impact on building energy efficiency. The impact of climate change on heating and cooling degree-days of China during the past 60 years was studied in this paper. The meteorological data of 613 cities published by National Climate Center of China was applied in this research. The study results showed that the impact of climate change on the spatial distribution characteristics of heating and cooling degree-days is obvious. The area with HDD18 °C over 2000 d·°C has dramatic shrunk during recent 30 years compared with the period from 1964 to 1983, while the area with CDD26 °C over 90 d·°C has expanded during recent 30 years. The impact of climate change on the HDD18 °C and CDD26 °C of each city is inhomogeneity. The decrease of HDD18 °C mainly occurred in the north and northwest of China, and the increase of CDD26 mainly occurred in the southeast of China. The outcomes of this paper may provide a theoretical basis for building energy efficiency design in future.


2021 ◽  
Vol 939 (1) ◽  
pp. 012017
Author(s):  
N R Avezova ◽  
E Yu Rakhimov ◽  
N N Dalmuradova ◽  
M B Shermatova

Abstract This paper identifies the indicators of the calculated heating and cooling degree-days for the territory of Uzbekistan. The revealed values of the maximum and average daily outside air temperature were taken into account based on the collection, processing and analysis of the latest archives of climatic data. These data was obtained from open sources of weather stations, suitable for servicing scientific data, in order to enter adjustments to forecasts in the design of heat and cold supply systems in buildings and structures, which, in turn, mitigate the effects of climate change.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document