scholarly journals Time series analysis of radiant heat using 75 hours VIIRS satellite day and night band nightfire data

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (1) ◽  
pp. 98-117
Author(s):  
Jyoti U. Devkota
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Infrared Imaging ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Spline Interpolation ◽  
Radiant Heat ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Industrial Sites ◽  
Steel Mills ◽  
Gas Flares

Abstract The nightfires illuminated on the earth surface are caught by the satellite. These are emitted by various sources such as gas flares, biomass burning, volcanoes, and industrial sites such as steel mills. Amount of nightfires in an area is a proxy indicator of fuel consumption and CO2 emission. In this paper the behavior of radiant heat (RH) data produced by nightfire is minutely analyzed over a period of 75 hour; the geographical coordinates of energy sources generating these values are not considered. Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite Day/Night Band (VIIRS DNB) satellite earth observation nightfire data were used. These 75 hours and 28252 observations time series RH (unit W) data is from 2 September 2018 to 6 September 2018. The dynamics of change in the overall behavior these data and with respect to time and irrespective of its geographical occurrence is studied and presented here. Different statistical methodologies are also used to identify hidden groups and patterns which are not obvious by remote sensing. Underlying groups and clusters are formed using Cluster Analysis and Discriminant Analysis. The behavior of RH for three consecutive days is studied with the technique Analysis of Variance. Cubic Spline Interpolation and merging has been done to create a time series data occurring at equal minute time interval. The time series data is decomposed to study the effect of various components. The behavior of this data is also analyzed in frequency domain by study of period, amplitude and the spectrum.

scholarly journals WDSchain: A Toolbox for Enhancing the Security Using Blockchain Technology in Water Distribution System

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 1944
Author(s):  
Haitham H. Mahmoud ◽  
Wenyan Wu ◽  
Yonghao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Distribution Systems ◽  
Water Distribution ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Process Time ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Security Level ◽  
Data Validation ◽  
Simulated Time

This work develops a toolbox called WDSchain on MATLAB that can simulate blockchain on water distribution systems (WDS). WDSchain can import data from Excel and EPANET water modelling software. It extends the EPANET to enable simulation blockchain of the hydraulic data at any intended nodes. Using WDSchain will strengthen network automation and the security in WDS. WDSchain can process time-series data with two simulation modes: (1) static blockchain, which takes a snapshot of one-time interval data of all nodes in WDS as input and output into chained blocks at a time, and (2) dynamic blockchain, which takes all simulated time-series data of all the nodes as input and establishes chained blocks at the simulated time. Five consensus mechanisms are developed in WDSchain to provide data at different security levels using PoW, PoT, PoV, PoA, and PoAuth. Five different sizes of WDS are simulated in WDSchain for performance evaluation. The results show that a trade-off is needed between the system complexity and security level for data validation. The WDSchain provides a methodology to further explore the data validation using Blockchain to WDS. The limitations of WDSchain do not consider selection of blockchain nodes and broadcasting delay compared to commercial blockchain platforms.

scholarly journals Treatment of Outlier Using Interpolation Method in Malaysia Tourist Arrivals

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.7) ◽  
pp. 51
Author(s):  
Maria Elena Nor ◽  
Norsoraya Azurin Wahir ◽  
G P. Khuneswari ◽  
Mohd Saifullah Rusiman
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Performance Indicator ◽  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Spline Interpolation ◽  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Linear Interpolation ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Missing Value

The presence of outliers is an example of aberrant data that can have huge negative influence on statistical method under the assumption of normality and it affects the estimation. This paper introduces an alternative method as outlier treatment in time series which is interpolation. It compares two interpolation methods using performance indicator. Assuming outlier as a missing value in the data allows the application of the interpolation method to interpolate the missing value, thus comparing the result using the forecast accuracy. The monthly time series data from January 1998 until December 2015 of Malaysia Tourist Arrivals were used to deal with outliers. The results found that the cubic spline interpolation method gave the best result than the linear interpolation and the improved time series data indicated better performance in forecasting rather than the original time series data of Box-Jenkins model. 

scholarly journals EFFICIENT MONITORING OF TIME SERIES DATA USING DYNAMIC ALERTING

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Girish L
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Data Centers ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Specific Time ◽  
Specific Data ◽  
Cloud Data ◽  
Data Collector ◽  
Cloud Data Centers

Network and Cloud Data Centers generate a lot of data every second, this data can be collected as a time series data. A time series is a sequence taken at successive equally spaced points in time, that means at a particular time interval to a specific time, the values of specific data that was taken is known as a data of a time series. This time series data can be collected using system metrics like CPU, Memory, and Disk utilization. The TICK Stack is an acronym for a platform of open source tools built to make collection, storage, graphing, and alerting on time series data incredibly easy. As a data collector, the authors are using both Telegraf and Collectd, for storing and analyzing data and the time series database InfluxDB. For plotting and visualizing, they use Chronograf along with Grafana. Kapacitor is used for alert refinement and once system metrics usage exceeds the specified threshold, the alert is generated and sends it to the system admin.

scholarly journals Matrix Profile-Based Approach to Industrial Sensor Data Analysis Inside RDBMS

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (17) ◽  
pp. 2146
Author(s):  
Mikhail Zymbler ◽  
Elena Ivanova
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Wide Spectrum ◽  
Database Management System ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Data Conversion ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Short Time Interval

Currently, big sensor data arise in a wide spectrum of Industry 4.0, Internet of Things, and Smart City applications. In such subject domains, sensors tend to have a high frequency and produce massive time series in a relatively short time interval. The data collected from the sensors are subject to mining in order to make strategic decisions. In the article, we consider the problem of choosing a Time Series Database Management System (TSDBMS) to provide efficient storing and mining of big sensor data. We overview InfluxDB, OpenTSDB, and TimescaleDB, which are among the most popular state-of-the-art TSDBMSs, and represent different categories of such systems, namely native, add-ons over NoSQL systems, and add-ons over relational DBMSs (RDBMSs), respectively. Our overview shows that, at present, TSDBMSs offer a modest built-in toolset to mine big sensor data. This leads to the use of third-party mining systems and unwanted overhead costs due to exporting data outside a TSDBMS, data conversion, and so on. We propose an approach to managing and mining sensor data inside RDBMSs that exploits the Matrix Profile concept. A Matrix Profile is a data structure that annotates a time series through the index of and the distance to the nearest neighbor of each subsequence of the time series and serves as a basis to discover motifs, anomalies, and other time-series data mining primitives. This approach is implemented as a PostgreSQL extension that allows an application programmer both to compute matrix profiles and mining primitives and to represent them as relational tables. Experimental case studies show that our approach surpasses the above-mentioned out-of-TSDBMS competitors in terms of performance since it assumes that sensor data are mined inside a TSDBMS at no significant overhead costs.

scholarly journals Explainable Deep Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series Predictions

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roy Assaf ◽  
Anika Schumann
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Power Plants ◽  
Deep Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multivariate Time Series ◽  
Average Energy ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Interval

We demonstrate that CNN deep neural networks can not only be used for making predictions based on multivariate time series data, but also for explaining these predictions. This is important for a number of applications where predictions are the basis for decisions and actions. Hence, confidence in the prediction result is crucial. We design a two stage convolutional neural network architecture which uses particular kernel sizes. This allows us to utilise gradient based techniques for generating saliency maps for both the time dimension and the features. These are then used for explaining which features during which time interval are responsible for a given prediction, as well as explaining during which time intervals was the joint contribution of all features most important for that prediction. We demonstrate our approach for predicting the average energy production of photovoltaic power plants and for explaining these predictions.

scholarly journals Forecasting the volatility of Financial Time Series by Tree Ensembles

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 82-89
Author(s):  
O. S. Vidmant
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Computing Power ◽  
Financial Time

The use of new tools for economic data analysis in the last decade has led to significant improvements in forecasting. This is due to the relevance of the question, and the development of technologies that allow implementation of more complex models without resorting to the use of significant computing power. The constant volatility of the world indices forces all financial market players to improve risk management models and, at the same time, to revise the policy of capital investment. More stringent liquidity and transparency standards in relation to the financial sector also encourage participants to experiment with protective mechanisms and to create predictive algorithms that can not only reduce the losses from the volatility of financial instruments but also benefit from short-term investment manipulations. The article discusses the possibility of improving the efficiency of calculations in predicting the volatility by the models of tree ensembles using various methods of data analysis. As the key points of efficiency growth, the author studied the possibility of aggregation of financial time series data using several methods of calculation and prediction of variance: Standard, EWMA, ARCH, GARCH, and also analyzed the possibility of simplifying the calculations while reducing the correlation between the series. The author demonstrated the application of calculation methods on the basis of an array of historical price data (Open, High, Low, Close) and volume indicators (Volumes) of futures trading on the RTS index with a five-minute time interval and an annual set of historical data. The proposed method allows to reduce the cost of computing power and time for data processing in the analysis of short-term positions in the financial markets and to identify risks with a certain level of confidence probability.

scholarly journals Methods to identify time series abnormalities and predicting issues caused by component failures

2019 ◽  
Vol 290 ◽  
pp. 02002
Author(s):  
Crina Narcisa Deac ◽  
Gicu Calin Deac ◽  
Florina Chiscop ◽  
Cicerone Laurentiu Popa
Keyword(s):  
Data Mining ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Test Data ◽  
Industry 4.0 ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Telemetry Data ◽  
Data Error ◽  
Component Failures

Anomaly detection is a crucial analysis topic in the field of Industry 4.0 data mining as well as knowing what is the probability that a specific machine to go down due to a failure of a component in the next time interval. In this article, we used time series data collected from machines, from both classes - time series data which leads up to the failures of machines as well as data from healthy operational periods of the machine. We used telemetry data, error logs from still operational components, maintenance records comprising historical breakdowns and replacement component to build and compare several different models. The validation of the proposed methods was made by comparing the actual failures in the test data with the predicted component failures over the test data.

Interpolated Mapping System Identification From Time Series Data

1993 ◽  
Author(s):  
Faruk H. Bursal ◽  
Benson H. Tongue
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
System Identification ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Identification Algorithm ◽  
Regular Grid ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Data Set

Abstract In this paper, a system identification algorithm based on Interpolated Mapping (IM) that was introduced in a previous paper is generalized to the case of data stemming from arbitrary time series. The motivation for the new algorithm is the need to identify nonlinear dynamics in continuous time from discrete-time data. This approach has great generality and is applicable to problems arising in many areas of science and engineering. In the original formulation, a map defined on a regular grid in the state space of a dynamical system was assumed to be given. For the formulation to become practically viable, however, the requirement of initial conditions being taken from such a regular grid needs to be dropped. In particular, one would like to use time series data, where the time interval between samples is identified with the mapping time step T. This paper is concerned with the resulting complications. Various options for extending the formulation are examined, and a choice is made in favor of a pre-processing algorithm for estimating the FS map based on local fits to the data set. The suggested algorithm also has smoothing properties that are desirable from the standpoint of noise reduction.

scholarly journals Statistical analysis of night radiance RH using VIIRS day/night band satellite time series data

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 26
Author(s):  
Jyoti U. Devkota
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Infrared Imaging ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Arithmetic Mean ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Order Difference ◽  
First Order ◽  
Night Lights

<p class="SAP-AffiliationLastline">Amount of night lights in an area is a proxy indicator of electricity consumption. This is interlinked to indicators of economic growth such as socio-economic activities, urban population size, physical capital, incidence of poverty. These night lights are generated by renewable and non renewable energy source. In this paper the behavior of night radiance RH data was minutely analyzed over a period of 28 hour; Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite Day/Night Band (VIIRS DNB) satellite earth observation data were used. These 28 hours and 8936 observations time series data is from 2 September 2018 to 4 September 2018. The behavior of night radiance RH data over 122 time intervals was analyzed using box plots. It was seen that the arithmetic mean of RH data is more sensitive than the arithmetic mean of first order difference of RH data. The first order difference of night radiance RH was regressed on night radiance over 110 intervals of time. The box plot of slope and intercept of this linear regression showed the behavior of these regression parameters over 110 intervals of time. It is seen that the data are more scattered with respect to slope than with respect to intercept. </p>

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