scholarly journals Proposing Electric Motorcycle Adoption-Diffusion Model in Indonesia: A System Dynamics Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Dwi Setyo Sulistyono ◽  
Yuniaristanto Yuniaristanto ◽  
Wahyudi Sutopo ◽  
Muhammad Hisjam

In 2019, the number of conventional vehicles in Indonesia reached 133,617,012 units, dominated by motorcycles of 112,771,136 units and passenger cars of 15,592,419 units. The high number of conventional motorcycle users can increase the number of pollutants and combustion emissions in the environment. This condition has encouraged the transition to a sustainable transport system that will be needed for decades to come, especially for the electric motorcycle to resolve the issue. This research aims to predict and estimate the market share of electric motorcycles by considering life cycle cost per kilometer. System dynamics simulations are developed to model the adoption-diffusion of electric motorcycles in Indonesia. This model has four main modules: an electric motorcycle module, a conventional motorcycle module, an economy module, and a consumer market module. This model shows a positive trend of EM market share from 2021-2030, with the market share value of EM is 0,411 in 2030. The development of retail price subsidy and electricity price scenarios is also carried out to determine the right policies to accelerate the adoption-diffusion process. Based on the scenario, the provision of retail price subsidy and a decrease in electricity price can increase the value of the EM Market Share.

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lelly Christin

<p>Lately competition becomes really tough, because of that each University has to choose the right strategy in order to increase their market share. Some of the strategies than can be done are by choosing the right communication media for each promotion that the university wants to do. For the reason, this research wants to know which communication media that really attracts students at Bunda Mulia University, Management Major in year 2010/2011. In this research, the writers used incidental sampling. The writers also use questionnaire for gathering the data or information need. To analyze the data, the writes use SPSS ver. 15.0 for windows. The conclusion of this research about the highest percentage to the lowest percentage of the most attractive communication media are television, internet, direct mail, magazines, radio, newspapers, outdor advertising, and the last one is telemarketing. According to result, the highest percentage of an attractive communication media is television, so writer suggest that the best media to do the promotion is television media.</p><p>Keyword :</p><p>Communication media, markeing communication, integrated marketing communication</p>


Author(s):  
Mona Zebarjadi ◽  
Keivan Esfarjani ◽  
Gang Chen

A two dimensional toy model is developed to study thermal transport in cage like structures such a skutterudites and clathrates. The model consists of host atoms on a rectangular lattice with fillers in the center of each rectangle. The thermal conductivity is calculated by using Green-Kubo equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations. It is generally believed that the smaller and the heavier the filler, the lower is the thermal conductivity. We show that the thermal conductivity decreases with atomic displacement parameter while it has local minima versus filler mass. Our study shows that it is very important to include the correct band dispersion to get the right features of the thermal conductivity. We show that by having a double well potential one can further reduce the thermal conductivity.


2013 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 118-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jutta Erika Helga Köhler ◽  
Nicole Grczelschak-Mick

Four highly ordered hydrogen-bonded models of β-cyclodextrin (β-CD) and its inclusion complex with benzene were investigated by three different theoretical methods: classical quantum mechanics (QM) on AM1 and on the BP/TZVP-DISP3 level of approximation, and thirdly by classical molecular dynamics simulations (MD) at different temperatures (120 K and 273 to 300 K). The hydrogen bonds at the larger O2/O3 rim of empty β-CDs prefer the right-hand orientation, e.g., O3-H…O2-H in the same glucose unit and bifurcated towards …O4 and O3 of the next glucose unit on the right side. On AM1 level the complex energy was −2.75 kcal mol−1 when the benzene molecule was located parallel inside the β-CD cavity and −2.46 kcal mol−1 when it was positioned vertically. The AM1 HOMO/LUMO gap of the empty β-CD with about 12 eV is lowered to about 10 eV in the complex, in agreement with data from the literature. AM1 IR spectra displayed a splitting of the O–H frequencies of cyclodextrin upon complex formation. At the BP/TZVP-DISP3 level the parallel and vertical positions from the starting structures converged to a structure where benzene assumes a more oblique position (−20.16 kcal mol−1 and −20.22 kcal mol−1, resp.) as was reported in the literature. The character of the COSMO-RS σ-surface of β-CD was much more hydrophobic on its O6 rim than on its O2/O3 side when all hydrogen bonds were arranged in a concerted mode. This static QM picture of the β-CD/benzene complex at 0 K was extended by MD simulations. At 120 K benzene was mobile but always stayed inside the cavity of β-CD. The trajectories at 273, 280, 290 and 300 K certainly no longer displayed the highly ordered hydrogen bonds of β-CD and benzene occupied many different positions inside the cavity, before it left the β-CD finally at its O2/O3 side.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jose Daniel Arroyo

The iconic Ford Motor Company is considered one of the pillars of the automotive industry. Its first vehicle, the Model T, introduced the concept of mass production and automobile affordability to the masses. Today, the market is full of domestic and foreign competitors, yet, Ford has struggled to remain competitive, even though it promotes itself as America’s best-selling brand. Its stock was recently downgraded, and recently, it announced its intentions to only sell sports utility vehicles, trucks, Mustangs and Focus, in other words, it will stop selling most of its passenger cars. Conversely, Toyota continues to lead the market in passenger car sales, while newcomer Tesla struggles to deliver on its backlog of 500,000 electric vehicle orders. Ford has strong brand equity, has automated production facilities and a large franchised dealer network across the globe. Yet, it is rapidly losing passenger car market share, its profits are eroding, and its new vision is confusing. Furthermore, the company is facing a significant threat from well capitalized new competitors entering from the tech industry. The company, on the other hand, has enjoyed significant success in mainland China, where the demand for American automobiles continuous to be strong. Yet, the company needs to assume a cost leadership position and attempt to use this strategy to increase market share. The contention in this paper is that an adequate approach for the company appears to be a combination of market penetration in the domestic front, market expansion in Asia and other parts of the globe, and a product development approach that ushers cost reductions.


Author(s):  
Petter Gottschalk

Emerging business models, value configurations, and information technologies interact over time to create competitive advantage. Modern information technology has to be studied, understood, and applied along the time dimension of months and years, where changes are the rule. Such changes created by interactions between business elements and resources are very well suited for system dynamics modeling. System dynamics models represent a frame-work for understanding both successful and unsuccessful IT management over time. Systems dynamics simulations provide insights into the important interactions between IT investments and firm performance over time.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 4235
Author(s):  
Suhyun Kang ◽  
Sangyong Kim ◽  
Seungho Kim ◽  
Dongeun Lee

As the number of aged infrastructures increases every year, a systematic and effective asset management strategy is required. One of the most common analysis methods for preparing an asset management strategy is life cycle cost analysis (LCCA). Most LCCA-related studies have focused on traffic and energy; however, few studies have focused on school buildings. Therefore, an approach should be developed to increase the investment efficiency for the performance improvement of school buildings. Planning and securing budgets for the performance improvement of school building is a complex task that involves various factors, such as current conditions, deterioration behavior and maintenance effect. Therefore, this study proposes a system dynamics (SD) model for the performance improvement of school buildings by using the SD method. In this study, an SD model is used to support efficient decision-making through policy effect analysis, from a macro-perspective, for the performance improvement of school buildings.


2019 ◽  
Vol 66 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-83
Author(s):  
Marcin Salamaga

The purpose of the article is the multivariate analysis of export competitiveness in EU countries. It is based on the decomposition of changes in the exports of EU countries made using the model of Constant Market Share developed by Leamer and Stern (1970). The calculated effects of competitiveness, commodity composition, world trade and market distribution allow a detailed analysis of the sources of changes in export of compared countries, and in particular help to answer the question to what extent can changes in exports explain the global trade situation and to what extent do they result from proper proportion of market share, appropriate product assortment matching, or expansive exporter policy? In the comparative analysis there is used Ward's method, which allowed to indicate countries with the most similar competitive position in the spatial and commercial system in the field of goods with different shares of production factors. The presented results allow for a multidirectional comparison of the trade competitiveness of EU countries, as well as may be a source of important information on shaping the right proportions of participation and expansion of companies on foreign markets.


Author(s):  
TOMÀS FERNÁNDEZ-DE-SEVILLA

ABSTRACTIn 2010 Spain ranked second among EU-15 countries in the manufacture of passenger cars; however, in 1950 the country’s car production had been purely symbolic. Taking as its starting point the trajectories of the enterprises that have shaped the auto industry in Spain, this study explores the sector’s process of development within the interpretative framework proposed by Alfred D. Chandler in Scale and Scope. Until the mid-1970s, SEAT and FASA-Renault, the sector’s first-movers, maintained their position as industry leaders. The entry of Ford and GM in the 1970s was to restructure the industry as it shifted its focus towards exportation to the European Economic Community. Both market share and net profits are used as indicators of the evolution of each car maker.


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