scholarly journals REAKSI HARGA SAHAM PERUSAHAAN AGRIBISNIS INDEKS LQ-45 TERHADAP PERUBAHAN VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 129-140
Author(s):  
Alghif Aruni Nur Rukman ◽  
Harianto Harianto ◽  
Suprehatin Suprehatin
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Stock Price Reaction

This study aims to analyze the effect of changes in macroeconomic variables, namely exchange rates, interest rates, and inflation on stock prices of agribusiness companies on the LQ-45 index. This study used monthly time series data from 2008-2018 and analyzed by the VECM method. The results showed that the stock price reaction of eight agribusiness companies in the LQ-45 index varies with changes in macroeconomic variables both in the short and long term. In the short term, changes in exchange rates had a positive and significant effect on one company stock prices, while changes in inflation and interest rates had a negative and significant effect on four companies and one company respectively. In the long term, the results showed that changes in exchange rates had a positive and significant effect on two companies’ stock prices, while it had a negative and significant effect on five companies. The result also showed that changes in inflation had a positive and negative effect on one company and six companies respectively in the long term. Also besides changes in interest rates had a positive and negative effect on two companies’ stock prices respectively.

Economic Turmoil in Islamic Banking Investment

ETIKONOMI ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Budiandru Budiandru ◽  
Sari Yuniarti
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Investment Financing ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Operational Activities

Investment financing is one of the operational activities of Islamic banking to encourage the real sector. This study aims to analyze the effect of economic turmoil on investment financing, analyze the response to investment financing, and analyze each variable's contribution in explaining the diversity of investment financing. This study uses monthly time series data from 2009 to 2020 using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) analysis. The results show that the exchange rate, inflation, and interest rates significantly affect Islamic banking investment financing in the long term. The response to investment financing is the fastest to achieve stability when it responds to shocks to the composite stock price index. Inflation is the most significant contribution in explaining diversity in investment financing. Islamic banking should increase the proportion of funding for investment. Customers can have a larger business scale to encourage economic growth, with investment financing increasing.JEL Classification: E22, G11, G24How to Cite:Budiandru., & Yuniarti, S. (2020). Economic Turmoil in Islamic Banking Investment. Etikonomi: Jurnal Ekonomi, 19(2), xx – xx. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v19i2.17206.

scholarly journals Analysis of Effect of Capital Inflow Volatility and Macroeconomic Variables on Rupiah Exchange Rate

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Adnan Muhammad Feisal ◽  
Lesta Karolina Br. Sebayang
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Capital Inflow ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Macroeconomic Variable ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Foreign Reserve ◽  
Negative Effect

The purpose of this research is to measure the effect of the capital inflow volatility on the rupiah exchange rate, to measure the effect of macroeconomic variables on the rupiah exchange rate, and to measure the response of capital inflow shocks and macroeconomic variables on the rupiah exchange rate. The data used is in the form of quarterly time series data from 2002:4-2014:4, which is derived from the data of Bank Indonesia. The model used in this research is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The results show that: (1) In the short-term capital inflow has the positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate, while in the long-term it does not have the significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate. (2) Macroeconomic variable that has the positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate in the short-term is the capital inflow variable. In the long-term the macroeconomic variable that has the positive and significant effect on the rupiah exchange rate is the foreign exchange reserves variable. (3) Results of IRF, the response of the rupiah exchange rate of the capital inflow shocks indicates that an increase in capital inflow has effect on the strengthening of the rupiah exchange rate. The shocks on the foreign reserve variable have the positive effect on the rupiah exchange rate, and the shocks on the inflation variable have the negative effect on the rupiah exchange rate.

scholarly journals PENGARUH FINANCIAL TECHNOLOGY (FINTECH) TERHADAP STABILITAS SISTEM KEUANGAN DI INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
pp. 921
Author(s):  
Birgitta Dian Saraswati ◽  
Ni Made Tisnawati
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Financial System ◽  
System Stability ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
P2p Lending

Financial stability is very important in the economy because financial stability will ensure smooth financial transactions in the economy.This study aims to analyze the effect of P2P lending fintech, payment fintech and macroeconomic variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) on financial stability in Indonesia.This study uses time series data with the period 2018.1-2021.4. Using the Vector Error Correction Model, this research shows that Fintech P2P Lending, Fintech Payments and macroeconomic variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) affect the financial stability in Indonesia only in the long term.Fintech P2P lending in the long term will lead to financial system instability, while Fintech payments in the long term have a positive effect on financial system stability in Indonesia. This has policy implications where through the role of the Financial Services Authority it is necessary to regulate and supervise P2P lending fintech. In addition, considering that payment fintech has a positive impact on financial system stability in Indonesia, through the role of Bank Indonesia, it is necessary to design policies to increase the use of non-cash payment instruments.

scholarly journals Faktor Makro Ekonomi Yang Mempengaruhi Pergerakan Harga Saham Pada Indeks Saham Syariah Indonesia (ISSI) di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI)

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (11) ◽  
pp. 928
Author(s):  
Martien Rachmawati ◽  
Nisful Laila
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Regression Result ◽  
Statistical Tool ◽  
Negative Effect

The capital market presence is such an important concern for many country because it relate to its function as economic booster through investation. This study aims to analyze macro economic factors that can affect the movement of stock price at Indonesia Sharia Stock Index in Indonesia Stock Exchange as the inflation factor, SBI interest rates and exchange rates. The method used in this research is quantitative approaches in which data is obtained from Indonesia Stock Exchange and Bank of Indonesia. The data used is the time series data starting from January 2012 to April 2015. The statistical tool used is multiple linear regression. Result showed that partially inflation is not significant and have a negative relation toward ISSI’s stock price, SBI interest rate is not significant and have a positive relation toward ISSI’s stock price, exchange rate significantly influence the stock price at Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI) and have a negative effect. Simultaneously, both variable inflation rate, SBIinterest rate and the exchange rate significantly influence the stock price’s movement at Indonesia Sharia Stock Index (ISSI).

scholarly journals Exchange Rate, Exchange Rate Volatility and Stock Prices: An Analysis of the Symmetric and Asymmetric Effect Using ARDL and NARDL Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 179-190
Author(s):  
La Ode Saidi ◽  
Abd Azis Muthalib ◽  
Pasrun Adam ◽  
Wali Aya Rumbia ◽  
La Ode Arsad Sani
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Symmetry Effect

This article examined the symmetric and asymmetric effects of the IDR/USD exchange rate and its volatility on stock prices using the monthly time series data of the IDR/USD exchange rate and the Indonesian composite stock price index from January 2006 to July 2019. The data were analyzed using ARDL and NARDL models. The results showed that in the short term, the IDR/USD exchange rate has a symmetry effect on stock prices, while volatility lacks such a symmetric influence. However, these two variables asymmetrically affect stock prices, Furthermore, in the long term both the exchange rate and the volatility lack symmetric and asymmetric influence on stock prices.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Variabel Makroekonomi Terhadap Index Harga Saham Syariah

2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Annisa.M.Zaimsyah, Alvira.A.Ayun, Khofidlotur Rofi’ah, Sri Herianingrum
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Muslim Majority

The purpose of this paper to investigate macroeconomic indicators affects sharia stock prices in Asia Muslim majority countries. This research used inflation, interest rates and exchange rate in Indonesia, Malaysia, Saudi Arabia and Bangladesh. This research use data panels and multiple linear regression analyses using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method as parameter. The results shows inflation and exchange rates have no effect in sharia stock prices, while interest rates have negative effect. Implications for investors who want to invest in stocks to attention macroeconomic variables that affect movement of stock price, information that related macroeconomic conditions, information that predict fluctuation stock price. This study has limitations only focus in four countries in Asia and only use three most dominant macro variables. Future research can improved other macroeconomic variables such world oil prices and gross domestic income. Novelty of this research examines the Sharia stock market in Muslim majority countries in Asia.

scholarly journals PENGARUH INDIKATOR MAKRO DAN HARGA EMAS DUNIA TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM SYARIAH (JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX)

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-38
Author(s):  
Ari Agestiani ◽  
Himawan Arif Sutanto
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Economic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Analysis Technique ◽  
The World ◽  
Negative Effect

This study aims to determine macroeconomic factors such as interest rates, inflation, exchange rates, gross domestic product, and world gold prices in the Jakarta Islamic Index. This study uses time series data for 2015-2017. The data analysis technique used in this study is Multiple Linear Regression. The results of the study show that interest rates and exchange rates have negative effect on the Jakarta Islamic Index. While the world gold price looks positiveeffect towards the Jakarta Islamic Index. Meanwhile, the GDP does not oppose the Jakarta Islamic Index. R2adj value of 0.781 which shows the variation of the Jakarta Islamic Index can explain the factors of interest rates, exchange rates, world gold prices, the exchange rate and GDP of 78.1%. For investors who want to invest their capital in Indonesia, pay more attention to macro economic factors and approve selected instruments based on sharia, the main sharia capital market can make JII as a reference

Macroeconomic Factors and Pakistani Equity Market”

2004 ◽  
Vol 43 (4II) ◽  
pp. 619-637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nishat ◽  
Rozina Shaheen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Industrial Production ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Reverse Causality ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Equilibrium Relationships

This paper analyzes long-term equilibrium relationships between a group of macroeconomic variables and the Karachi Stock Exchange Index. The macroeconomic variables are represented by the industrial production index, the consumer price index, M1, and the value of an investment earning the money market rate. We employ a vector error correction model to explore such relationships during 1973:1 to 2004:4. We found that these five variables are cointegrated and two long-term equilibrium relationships exist among these variables. Our results indicated a "causal" relationship between the stock market and the economy. Analysis of our results indicates that industrial production is the largest positive determinant of Pakistani stock prices, while inflation is the largest negative determinant of stock prices in Pakistan. We found that while macroeconomic variables Granger-caused stock price movements, the reverse causality was observed in case of industrial production and stock prices. Furthermore, we found that statistically significant lag lengths between fluctuations in the stock market and changes in the real economy are relatively short.

scholarly journals The Effect of Inflation, US Dollar Exchange Rates, Interest Rates, and World Oil Prices on Gold Price Fluctuations in Indonesia 2014 – 2019

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 155-171
Author(s):  
Ummi Kalsum ◽  
Randy Hidayat ◽  
Sheila Oktaviani
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Model ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Price Fluctuations ◽  
Insignificant Effect ◽  
Us Dollar

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation, US dollar exchange rates, interest rates, and world oil prices on fluctuations in gold prices in Indonesia in 2014 - 2019. This research is a type of explanatory research with a quantitative approach. The data used are monthly time series data for 2014 - 2019 with a sample of 72 samples. The multiple linear regression model is used as an analysis technique in this study. The results of this study indicate that simultaneously (F test) inflation, USD exchange rates, interest rates, and world oil prices have a significant effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia. Partially (t-test) shows that the USD exchange rate has a significant positive effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia. Inflation and interest rates have a negative and insignificant effect on fluctuations in gold prices in Indonesia. Meanwhile, world oil prices have a positive and insignificant effect on gold price fluctuations in Indonesia.

scholarly journals The impact of bank-specific and macroeconomic variables on profitability of Islamic rural bank in Indonesia

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Sanusi
Keyword(s):  
Banking Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
The Impact

This paper investigates the impact of bank-specific and macroeconomic variables on the profitability of Islamic rural bank (BPRS) in Indonesia. Using monthly time series data from January 2010 - December 2018. The estimation model used is a vector error correction model to analyze the long-term and short-term relationships between bank-specific and macroeconomic variables on the profitability of Islamic rural bank. The results showed that CAR and LnTA had a significant positive relationship, while NPF, BOPO and IPI had a negative and significant relationship to the profitability of Islamic rural banks. But FDR and Inflation variables are not significantly related to the profitability of Islamic rural bank. The results leave implications for policy makers, investors and banking sector managers. Based on evidence that bank profitability is more influenced by internal banks (as specific as banks), this research can help Islamic rural banks to help them understand which factors are important to be analyzed to obtain higher profitability.

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