scholarly journals Import dependence and manufacturing industry in Turkish economy: Hatemi-J asymetric causality test

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
EDA DINERI ◽  
NALAN ISIK
Keyword(s):  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Turkish Economy

scholarly journals The endogeneity of the natural rate of growth: An application to Turkey

2010 ◽  
Vol 57 (4) ◽  
pp. 447-469
Author(s):  
Senay Acikgoz ◽  
Merter Mert
Keyword(s):  
Capital Stock ◽  
Labour Force ◽  
Physical Capital ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Natural Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Rate Of Growth ◽  
Production Factors ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Turkish Economy

The purpose of this paper is to examine the sensitivity of the Turkish economy?s natural rate of growth to the actual rate of growth, covering the period 1980-2008. To determine the reason why the natural rate of growth is endogenous, the long-run and the causality relationships between real gross domestic product and each of the production factors (labour force and physical capital stock) are investigated with the bounds test. The natural rate of growth for the Turkish economy is found to be at 4.97 percent and it increases approximately 35.6 percent in the boom periods; indicating endogeneity. However, according to the causality test results, the endogeneity of the natural rate of growth may be attributed to the total factor productivity rather than the labour force and physical capital stock. This result is important and the debate on this subject may lead to further studies.

scholarly journals The intersectoral linkage effects in Turkish economy: an application of static Leontief model

2009 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
pp. 301-326
Author(s):  
Yay Gürkan ◽  
Serkan Keçeli
Keyword(s):  
Extraction Method ◽  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Value Added ◽  
The Other ◽  
Input Output ◽  
General Equilibrium Theory ◽  
Traditional Methods ◽  
Turkish Economy ◽  
Leontief Model ◽  
Linkage Effects

In this study, the leading activities of Turkish Economy whose changes in their structure of production, value-added and employment are interrelated with the other activities of the economy, are found by using the input-output model which is presented and called as an 'Application of the General Equilibrium Theory' by Leontief. For this purpose; firstly theoretical foundations of the input-output model are examined. After that, 59 activities of the 2002 Input-Output Table of the Turkish Economy are aggregated at 52 sectors and classified into three categories as Ricardo Sectors, High-Technology Sectors and Heckscher-Ohlin Sectors like Dasgupta and Chakraborty did for the Indian Economy in 2005. Then, the leading, key or strong activities of the economy that are more interrelated with other activities are calculated and found by the Static Leontief Model which is used by the Traditional Methods as the techniques to calculate the linkage effects like Chenery-Watanabe and Rasmussen methods to determine the sectors having the highest priority at investment policies according to the Hirschmanian Unbalanced Growth Model. As a result of the interpretation of Leontief Model, using the traditional methods of Chenery-Watanabe and Rasmussen while calculating the linkage effects rather than the hypothesis extraction methods like Strassert's Original Extraction Method, Cella's Extraction Method, Sonis' Pure Linkage Method and Dietzenbacher and Van der Linden's Method or a SAM (Social Accounting Method) model which does not omit the income generating process (distributing income among primary factors and households as a result of production) of a sector, in Turkey, the Heckscher-Ohlin Sectors mostly seen in the manufacturing industry which Kaldor refers as the engine of growth, are stronger than the other sectors.

Major Macroeconomic Dynamics for Labor Market in Turkey

2020 ◽  
pp. 1758-1771
Author(s):  
Mustafa Karabacak ◽  
Oytun Meçik
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Focal Point ◽  
Alternative Methods ◽  
Policy Recommendations ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Macroeconomic Dynamics ◽  
Trade Off ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Turkish Economy ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship among inflation, unemployment, and economic growth can be treated as a trade-off in general. When the economy is in recession, inflationary pressures are expected to decrease while unemployment is increasing. On the contrary, a decrease is expected while inflationary pressures are rising. Thus the relation between these twin macroeconomic variables and their relation to economic growth are a focal point for developing countries. The aim of this study is analyzing the relationship among unemployment, inflation, and economic growth in Turkey by alternative methods. Thus the causality among these variables is tested with modified Wald statistic developed by Toda-Yamamoto. Findings obtained from causality test will provide policy recommendations for Turkish economy on a macroeconomic level.

scholarly journals Empirical Evidence of a Long-Run Relationship Between Agriculture and Manufacturing Industry Output in Nigeria

SAGE Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 215824401989904
Author(s):  
Eze Simpson Osuagwu
Keyword(s):  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Agricultural Productivity ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Vector Error Correction Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Industry Output

This study investigates a long-run relationship between agriculture and manufacturing industry output in Nigeria using annual time series data from 1982 to 2017. The study employs Granger causality test, vector error correction model, and co-integration techniques to estimate the interdependence between agricultural productivity and manufacturing industry output. Empirical evidence from Granger causality test reveals a bidirectional relationship between agricultural productivity and manufacturing industry output. Although a positive and significant relationship exists in the short- and long-run estimates, a long-run divergence from the vector error correction model indicates that changes in agricultural productivity are not restored to equilibrium, given that macroeconomic factors distort the linkage. Policy implications suggest that macroeconomic stability is a necessary condition for agriculture and manufacturing industry output to foster economic growth.

scholarly journals The impact of minimum wage on unemployment, prices, and growth: A multivariate analysis for Turkey

2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (221) ◽  
pp. 65-83
Author(s):  
Biçerli Kemal ◽  
Merve Kocaman
Keyword(s):  
Error Correction ◽  
Minimum Wage ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Producer Price ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Turkish Economy ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The aim of this study is to research the impact of minimum wage on unemployment, prices, and growth for the Turkish economy. The data used is monthly and covers the period from January 2005 to March 2017. The producer price index represents prices and the industrial production index represents growth. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model is used to see the effect of the minimum wage on these variables. An error-correction based Granger causality test is then conducted to see short-run and long-run causalities. The bounds test yields evidence of a long-run relationship between variables. The obtained ARDL results also show that while the minimum wage has a statistically significant effect on unemployment and prices, it does not have a statistically significant effect on production. While there is short-run causality from minimum wage to prices only, the obtained significant error correction terms indicate long-run causality for all of the variables. Consequently, the minimum wage plays a significant role in increasing prices and the number of unemployed people in Turkey.

scholarly journals An Examination of the Relationship between Exports and Wages for Turkey

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gürçem Oransay
Keyword(s):  
Income Distribution ◽  
Foreign Trade ◽  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
High Efficiency ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Full Compliance ◽  
Turkish Economy ◽  
Negative Affects ◽  
Cost Competitiveness

In this study the together with increasing foregin trade after trade liberalization, affects of changing income distribution on wages has been discussed. Assuming wages as an issue of income distribution, it continues with foregin trade theories which are related to foreign trade and affect of export on wages in particular. The developments such as effective markets after trade liberalization, high efficiency and removal of barriers in front of international trade increase cost competitiveness and wage levels change. It is still discussed whether foreign trade has positive or negative affects on wages but it can be claimed that differences of opinion vary depending on economical structures and trade volumes of countries. Using a model which has been supplied from both theoretical and practical literature, this research will try to find out affects of export and openness on wages using unit root test, cointegration techniques and error correction mechanism on Turkish economy during the period of 1988:Q1-2010:Q4. Affects of both export and openness on wages has been studied seperately for sub sectors of Turkish Manufacturing Industry. Although there is not a full compliance in all sectors which are studied in all models within periods examined, it has been found out that export and openness create a negative affect on wages.

scholarly journals Revisiting the Relation between Renewable Electricity and Economic Growth: A Renewable–Growth Hypothesis

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 3121
Author(s):  
Minyoung Yang ◽  
Jinsoo Kim
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Renewable Electricity ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Renewable Power ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Climate Crisis ◽  
Growth Hypothesis

Global concern about the climate crisis has incited movements for switching to renewable electricity. Renewable electricity can contribute to economic growth as an input factor (electricity generation) and also as an industry (renewable manufacturing). We introduce a new hypothesis, the renewable–growth hypothesis, to investigate the role of the renewable manufacturing industry in the energy–growth nexus study. To test the hypothesis, we select a target country group using the market share of the renewable manufacturing industry and conduct the Granger causality test for solar photovoltaic and wind power. The autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing approach is applied for the causality test. The results show that renewable electricity Granger causes economic growth in target countries, which supports the renewable–growth hypothesis. However, the hypothesis did not hold in countries that export renewable power facilities more than they install them for domestic demand. We believe that the renewable–growth hypothesis would be secured soon if renewable electricity expands broadly over the world.

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