The Effect of Preregistration on Trust in Empirical Research Findings
The crisis of confidence has played a primary role in undermining the trust researchers place in the findings of their peers, and our beliefs about the credibility of research results. Thus, the importance of increasing trust in credible reported research is paramount. Incentives such as preregistration are aimed at establishing a more trustworthy scientific literature, in that they help prevent various questionable research practices. As it stands, however, no empirical evidence exists demonstrating that preregistration does increase trust. Indeed, the objective merits of preregistration greatly lose in value if a researcher's subjective assessment of the value of preregistration does not align. Additionally, the picture may be complicated by a researcher's familiarity with the author of the study, regardless of the preregistration status of the research. The following proposal describes how we aim to test the extent to which preregistration increases the trust of participants in the reported outcomes. We also aim to assess how familiarity with another researcher might influence trust. We expect that preregistration increases researchers' trust in findings, relative to no preregistration, and that registered reporting increases trust more than preregistration alone. We also expect that familiarity enhances trust judgments to some extent, however we do not have specific expectations regarding the nature of this effect. We therefore include familiarity as an exploratory effect in our analyses. The OSF page for this registered report proposal and its pilot can be found here: http://dx.doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/B3K75