scholarly journals Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gordon Dahl ◽  
Runjing Lu ◽  
William Mullins
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Political Power ◽  
Political Leadership ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Household Decisions ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
Percentage Point Difference

Changes in political leadership drive large changes in economic optimism. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic counties: a 1.1 to 2.6 percentage point difference in annual births, depending on the intensity of partisanship. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical whites. Further, following Trump pre-election campaign visits, relative Hispanic fertility declines.

scholarly journals Christianising Edgar Chagwa Lungu: The Christian nation, social media presidential photography and 2016 election campaign

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Chammah J Kaunda
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Political Theory ◽  
Political Ideology ◽  
Political Power ◽  
Moral Authority ◽  
General Election ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Political Campaign ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
Christian Nation

This article investigates how the declaration of Zambia as a Christian nation (hereafter the Declaration), presidential photography and social media intersected during Edgar Lungu’s political campaign in the general election of 2016. It is framed within a missio-political theory to analyse qualitative material collected from January 2016 to February 2018 in Zambia. The missio-ethnography approach as an empirical missiological research which sought to analyse how the Declaration discourse has developed into a political ideology used to legitimized Lungu’s political power and moral authority among some Pentecostal-Charismatic religious sector.

scholarly journals Economics, Politics, and Ethnicity in Balochistan's Transport Industry

1995 ◽  
Vol 34 (4II) ◽  
pp. 619-626 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Titus
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Ethnic Conflict ◽  
Political Power ◽  
Political Leadership ◽  
The State ◽  
Nation State ◽  
Distribution Of Wealth ◽  
Contemporary World ◽  
Transport Industry ◽  
The Creation

Because of its potential to disrupt economic development, it is necessary to understand the dynamics of ethnic conflict in the contemporary world. A prevalent trend in the study of ethnicity is to focus on the creation and/or maintenance of ethnic identities and mobilisation on the basis of those identities as groups compete for resources, opportunities, or political power in the context of the nation-state [Barth (1969); Brass (1985); Comaroff (1987); Mumtaz (1990)]. In this approach, an ethnic group's distinguishing markers-language, custom, dress, etc.-are treated less as manifestations of tradition which define or create the group and more as arenas of negotiation and contestation in which people strive to realise their practical and symbolic interests. This happens as individuals or families, pursuing their livelihoods with the skills and resources available to them, find (or create) opportunities or obstacles which appear to be based on' ethnic criteria. The state can intensify this process as it uses positive or negative discrimination in order to achieve some desired distribution of wealth and opportunity. In turn, political leadership becomes a key in realising the experience of shared ethnic interests. Leadership develops as a kind of dual legitimation process, i.e., as individuals or organisations seek to be accepted as spokesmen both by members of the group itself and by outsiders.

The 2016 Election: Like 1888 but not 1876 or 2000

2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabrice Barthélémy ◽  
Mathieu Martin ◽  
Ashley Piggins
Keyword(s):  
House Of Representatives ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Anomalous Behavior ◽  
Electoral College ◽  
Popular Vote ◽  
The Us ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
Us Presidential Election ◽  
House Size

ABSTRACTDonald J. Trump won the 2016 US presidential election with fewer popular votes than Hillary R. Clinton. This is the fourth time this has happened, the others being 1876, 1888, and 2000. In earlier work, we analyzed these elections (and others) and showed how the electoral winner can often depend on the size of the US House of Representatives. This work was inspired by Neubauer and Zeitlin (2003, 721–5) in their paper, “Outcomes of Presidential Elections and the House Size.” A sufficiently larger House would have given electoral victories to the popular vote winner in both 1876 and 2000. An exception is the election of 1888. We show that Trump’s victory in 2016 is like Harrison’s in 1888 and unlike Hayes’s in 1876 and Bush’s in 2000. This article updates our previous work to include the 2016 election. It also draws attention to some of the anomalous behavior that can arise under the Electoral College.

Populist Leadership: The Superhero Donald Trump as Savior in Times of Crisis

2020 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 857-874
Author(s):  
Andrea Schneiker
Keyword(s):  
Political Power ◽  
Political Leadership ◽  
Charismatic Leadership ◽  
Current Debate ◽  
Political Leader ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Policy Choices ◽  
Populist Party

The current debate on populism is mainly concerned with populist parties and movements. Less is written about populist leadership. Yet, political scientists need to pay more attention to populist leadership, especially in order to understand how populism functions in the absence of a populist party. In situations in which a political leader adopts a populist way of exercising political power without the backing of what is considered a populist party, populism is often reduced to a particular style of acting and speaking of that particular politician. By formulating a theory-based concept of political leadership based on the literature of celebrity politicians—the superhero—I show that populist leadership is not limited to a particular style, but also allows to explain particular policy choices. The concept of the superhero goes beyond that of charismatic leadership, because it explains how the leader’s exceptionality is performed and how this performance can be analyzed.

Visual War: A Content Analysis of Clinton and Trump Subreddits During the 2016 Campaign

2018 ◽  
Vol 95 (2) ◽  
pp. 449-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brent J. Hale ◽  
Maria Elizabeth Grabe
Keyword(s):  
Content Analysis ◽  
Political Party ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Hillary Clinton ◽  
Major Party ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
Self Presentations ◽  
Insight Into ◽  
Over Time

U.S. political party genderization (Republicans as masculine; Democrats as feminine) is well-documented in research. To determine if Hillary Clinton may have disrupted these patterns as the first female major-party presidential nominee, Reddit posts during the 2016 election campaign were analyzed. Most studies focus on professional news or candidate self-presentations concocted by image handlers. We departed from this tradition, focusing on (a) gender qualities that Redditors assign to candidates on this platform and (b) statistical tracking of these patterns over time. The results provide insight into how the electorate presented the two candidates and Donald Trump’s largely unexpected victory.

Egypt anti-corruption drive will broaden military role

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Elections ◽  
The Body ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Ranking ◽  
Administrative Control ◽  
Control Authority ◽  
Foreign Governments ◽  
Central Pillar

Subject The president's anti-corruption campaign. Significance In the lead-up to presidential elections scheduled for March 26-28, President Abdel Fatah el Sisi’s re-election campaign has focused on his anti-corruption efforts. Campaign posters promise to ‘purify the country of terrorism’ and ‘wage war on corruption’. Since his first presidential bid in 2014, Sisi has championed anti-corruption as a central pillar of his presidency. His multi-year campaign, which includes state-sponsored television advertisements, has targeted several businessmen and high-ranking officials. Impacts The role of the Administrative Control Authority (ACA) will expand as Sisi channels state resources to the body. The ACA is likely to assume an increased presence in conducting business deals. Efforts by foreign governments to support the anti-corruption campaign will strengthen the military’s rising influence.

PERFORMING POWER

2007 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miranda K. Stockett
Keyword(s):  
Political Power ◽  
Political Leadership ◽  
Classic Period ◽  
Archaeological Research ◽  
Terminal Classic ◽  
Late To Terminal Classic ◽  
Terminal Classic Period

AbstractArchaeological research can draw on material remains to understand the ways that individuals may have expressed their identities in pursuit of specific goals. Here ritual performances in ancient Mesoamerica are considered for their role in shaping identities deployed to gain social and political power. The Late to Terminal Classic period (a.d. 650–960) site of Las Canoas, Honduras, is offered as a case study. In particular, the monumental Main Plaza Group at Las Canoas is examined as a spatial setting for the performance of rituals involving the use of incense burners and ceramic anthropomorphic figurines. These performances are argued to have facilitated the efforts of certain members of the community to take advantage of shifting political and economic alliances in the region and make a bid for power. Ultimately, however, their efforts to establish spiritual and political leadership did not endure.

US foreign policy differences to sharpen in 2019

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Public Opinion ◽  
The United States ◽  
Us Foreign Policy ◽  
Election Campaign ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Terrorism Threat ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
The Government

Significance Trump entered office deeply sceptical of the importance of wars in Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan, but his critics say his troop-withdrawal announcements are timed to distract US public opinion from the Mueller probe into his administration and 2016 election campaign. Other critics -- some of them otherwise Trump’s allies, including Republican senators -- fear the troop withdrawals will raise the terrorism threat facing the United States. Impacts A government shutdown tonight would see a further push for continuing resolutions to fund the government, pending further talks. Mattis had been a quasi-envoy to US defence partners in Asia; they will be concerned by his departure. Resurgence of terrorism in Syria or Afghanistan could undermine Trump politically, if the threat facing the United States rises. Republican Senate control should help Mattis’s replacement get confirmed more easily.

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