scholarly journals Agroclimatic zoning of the northern grain-producing territory of Kazakhstan

Author(s):  
S. S. Baisholanov ◽  
A. N. Polevoy

Introduction. The existing agroclimatic handbooks in Kazakhstan are outdated in informational and technological relation. Therefore it is necessary to conduct reassessment of agroclimatic resources. Purpose. The agroclimatic zoning  of  the territory of  northern Kazakhstan in terms of heat supply and moisture content. Methods. Data of meteorological stations over 1981-2014 were used. Methods of statistic and climatologic processing of data were applied. Agroclimatic maps were developed using the ArcGIS 10.1 software. Results. Analysis of spatial distribution of values of moisture coefficient K and sums of active air temperatures above 10оC provided an opportunity to single out 6 agroclimatic zones of plain territory of Kazakhstan. Zones from 3 to 6 are subdivided into two types in terms of thermal conditions. There are 3 agroclimatic zones singled out within the territory of North Kazakhstan Region, 4 zones – in Kostanai region, 4 zones – in Akmola region, 2 zones – in Pavlodar region. Distribution of drought characteristics, hot dry winds and climatic terms for beginning of spring field works within Akmola region's agroclimatic zones was given as an example for systematization of spatial distribution of respective values. The first zone with moderately humid and moderately warm climate has severe droughts with recurrence of 2%, hot winds of moderate intensity are observed during 2-3 days, climatic terms for beginning of spring field works fall on 15th-19th of May. The fourth zone with moderately dry and warm climate has severe droughts with recurrence of 30-35%, hot winds of moderate intensity are observed during 20-25 days, climatic terms for beginning of spring field works fall on 5th-7th of May. Conclusions. There are 3 agroclimatic zones singled out within the territory of North Kazakhstan Region, 4 zones – in Kostanai region, 4 zones – in Akmola region, 2 zones – in Pavlodar region.

2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (5) ◽  
pp. 417-422
Author(s):  
P. De los Ríos ◽  
E. Ibáñez Arancibia

Abstract The coastal marine ecosystems in Easter Island have been poorly studied, and the main studies were isolated species records based on scientific expeditions. The aim of the present study is to apply a spatial distribution analysis and niche sharing null model in published data on intertidal marine gastropods and decapods in rocky shore in Easter Island based in field works in 2010, and published information from CIMAR cruiser in 2004. The field data revealed the presence of decapods Planes minutus (Linnaeus, 1758) and Leptograpsus variegatus (Fabricius, 1793), whereas it was observed the gastropods Nodilittorina pyramidalis pascua Rosewater, 1970 and Nerita morio (G. B. Sowerby I., 1833). The available information revealed the presence of more species in data collected in 2004 in comparison to data collected in 2010, with one species markedly dominant in comparison to the other species. The spatial distribution of species reported in field works revealed that P. minutus and N. morio have aggregated pattern and negative binomial distribution, L. variegatus had uniform pattern with binomial distribution, and finally N. pyramidalis pascua, in spite of aggregated distribution pattern, had not negative binomial distribution. Finally, the results of null model revealed that the species reported did not share ecological niche due to competition absence. The results would agree with other similar information about littoral and sub-littoral fauna for Easter Island.


Author(s):  
MARGARYAN V.G. ◽  

The features of the thermal regime of the surface air layer in the Debed river basin are considered. A statistical analysis of the average annual and average seasonal values of air temperature from 1964 to 2018 was carried out, two periods were identified, their time course was shown. The analysis was carried out using data from six meteorological stations representing the lowland, mountain and high-mountain climatic zones of the Debed river basin. A correlation was obtained between the absolute altitude and the monthly average values of air temperature for January and July, which can be used to assess the thermal conditions of unexplored or poorly studied territories and for cartography. The time course of average values of air temperatures for the seasonal period has been studied. Analysis of trend lines of temporal changes in air temperatures shows that in all situations on the territory of the basin as a whole, there is a tendency of temperature growth. Moreover, with a range of interannual fluctuations, a break in the course of temperatures in the early to mid 1990 is clearly visible, after which their significant increase began. It turned out that a significant increase in seasonal temperatures is observed especially over the period 1993-2018, which means that the annual warming after the mid 1990 occurred primarily due to summer and spring seasons. The regular dynamics indicates that in the studied area in terms of temperatures, a tendency of softening winters, a decrease in the water content of rivers, aridization of the climate. The results obtained can be used to assess the regularities of the spatial-temporal distribution of the temperature of the study area, to clarify the thermal balance, for the rational use of heat resources, as well as in the development of strategic programs for longterm analysis.


2020 ◽  
Vol 319 (6) ◽  
pp. R703-R711
Author(s):  
Alessandro Valenza ◽  
Harry Charlier ◽  
Antonino Bianco ◽  
Davide Filingeri

Many occupations and sports require high levels of manual dexterity under thermal stress and mental fatigue. Yet, multistressor studies remain scarce. We quantified the interactive effects of thermal stress and mental fatigue on manual dexterity. Seven males (21.1 ± 1.3 yr) underwent six separate 60-min trials characterized by a combination of three air temperatures (hot, 37°C; neutral, 21°C; cold, 7°C) and two mental fatigue states (MF, mental fatigue induced by a 35-min cognitive battery; no-MF, no mental fatigue). Participants performed complex (O’Connor test) and simple (hand-tool test) manual tasks pre- and posttrial to determine stressor-induced performance changes. We monitored participants’ rectal temperature and hand skin temperature (Thand) continuously and assessed the reaction time (hand-click test) and subjective mental fatigue (5-point scale). Thermal stress ( P < 0.0001), but not mental fatigue ( P = 0.290), modulated Thand (heat, +3.3°C [95% CI: +0.2, +6.5]; cold, −7.5°C [−10.7, −4.4]). Mental fatigue ( P = 0.021), but not thermal stress ( P = 0.646), slowed the reaction time (∼10%) and increased subjective fatigue. Thermal stress and mental fatigue had an interactive effect on the complex manual task ( P = 0.040), with cold-no-MF decreasing the performance by −22% [−39, −5], whereas neutral-MF, cold-MF, and heat-MF by −36% [−53, −19], −34% [−52, −17], and −36% [−53, −19], respectively. Only mental fatigue decreased the performance in the simple manual task (−30% [−43, −16] across all thermal conditions; P = 0.002). Cold stress-induced impairments in complex manipulation increase with mental fatigue; yet combined stressors’ effects are no greater than those of mental fatigue alone, which also impairs simple manipulation. Mental fatigue poses a greater challenge to manual dexterity than thermal stress.


2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (12) ◽  
pp. 4434
Author(s):  
Velicko Vranes ◽  
Tijana Vujasinović ◽  
Nemanja Rajković ◽  
Ksenija Kanjer ◽  
Nebojša T. Milošević ◽  
...  

Cancer risk prognosis could improve patient survival through early personalized treatment decisions. This is the first systematic analysis of the spatial and prognostic distribution of different pan cytokeratin immunostaining intensities in breast tumors. The prognostic model included 102 breast carcinoma patients, with distant metastasis occurrence as the endpoint. We segmented the full intensity range (0–255) of pan cytokeratin digitized immunostaining into seven discrete narrow grey level ranges: 0–130, 130–160, 160–180, 180–200, 200–220, 220–240, and 240–255. These images were subsequently examined by 33 major (GLCM), fractal and first-order statistics computational analysis features. Interestingly, while moderate intensities were strongly associated with metastasis outcome, high intensities of pan cytokeratin immunostaining provided no prognostic value even after an exhaustive computational analysis. The intense pan cytokeratin immunostaining was also relatively rare, suggesting the low differentiation state of epithelial cells. The observed variability in immunostaining intensities highlighted the intratumoral heterogeneity of the malignant cells and its association with a poor disease outcome. The prognostic importance of the moderate intensity range established by complex computational morphology analyses was supported by simple measurements of its immunostaining area which was associated with favorable disease outcome. This study reveals intratumoral heterogeneity of the pan cytokeratin immunostaining together with the prognostic evaluation and spatial distribution of its discrete intensities.


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1957-1968 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles J. Abolt ◽  
Michael H. Young ◽  
Adam L. Atchley ◽  
Dylan R. Harp

Abstract. The goal of this research is to constrain the influence of ice wedge polygon microtopography on near-surface ground temperatures. Ice wedge polygon microtopography is prone to rapid deformation in a changing climate, and cracking in the ice wedge depends on thermal conditions at the top of the permafrost; therefore, feedbacks between microtopography and ground temperature can shed light on the potential for future ice wedge cracking in the Arctic. We first report on a year of sub-daily ground temperature observations at 5 depths and 9 locations throughout a cluster of low-centered polygons near Prudhoe Bay, Alaska, and demonstrate that the rims become the coldest zone of the polygon during winter, due to thinner snowpack. We then calibrate a polygon-scale numerical model of coupled thermal and hydrologic processes against this dataset, achieving an RMSE of less than 1.1 ∘C between observed and simulated ground temperature. Finally, we conduct a sensitivity analysis of the model by systematically manipulating the height of the rims and the depth of the troughs and tracking the effects on ice wedge temperature. The results indicate that winter temperatures in the ice wedge are sensitive to both rim height and trough depth, but more sensitive to rim height. Rims act as preferential outlets of subsurface heat; increasing rim size decreases winter temperatures in the ice wedge. Deeper troughs lead to increased snow entrapment, promoting insulation of the ice wedge. The potential for ice wedge cracking is therefore reduced if rims are destroyed or if troughs subside, due to warmer conditions in the ice wedge. These findings can help explain the origins of secondary ice wedges in modern and ancient polygons. The findings also imply that the potential for re-establishing rims in modern thermokarst-affected terrain will be limited by reduced cracking activity in the ice wedges, even if regional air temperatures stabilize.


2019 ◽  
Vol 116 ◽  
pp. 00085
Author(s):  
Sylwia Szczęśniak ◽  
Juliusz Walaszczyk

The knowledge about dynamic changing heating and cooling load in existing building is essential for proper energy management. Whenever existing building is analyzed or ventilation system is going optimized, it’s essential to estimate temporary sensible and latent heat based on historical data. The basic conditions for heat calculations are quasi-stable thermal conditions. If supply air temperature significantly varies in short time, what happens very often, the calculations can give untrue results. The procedure described in this article improves usability of measured data affected by rapid supply air temperature changing. Therefore real sensible and latent heat can be calculated, what it is important for future optimization process. Specified, on the basis of varying supply and exhaust air temperatures, thermal loads range from -55.8 kW to 40.7 kW was substitute to more authentic range from -14.1 kW to 51.2 kW received from the conducted simulations. In addition, the data obtained from the simulation showed that latent heat gains were associated with the air temperature in the room, and not with the operation mode of the ventilation unit (day/night) as observed on the basis of historical data.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-19
Author(s):  
V. Sturman ◽  
A. Loginovskaya

A study on the spatial distribution of values of industrial frequency (50 Hz) magnetic induction has showed that the largest values were common for dense historical development of Moscow central part, and the minimum ones –for recreational zones and public squares. Increased values have been identified in the areas of mid-rise development of 1950-1960 and reflect incomplete compliance of wiring in houses of this type with loads due to modern household appliances. Many-storeyed houses, both built in 1950s and the modern ones, are more trouble-free in this regard. No exceedances of the operative hygienic standards for magnetic induction have been noted. However, values exceeding the approximate safety level of 400 nT in Moscow are found mainly in places exposed to underground feed cables. The value of magnetic induction can be considered as an indicator of the total man-made load on the territory (geo-indicator), and a convenient object of measurement and display on maps by means of isolines, that is reflected on schematic maps.


2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 57-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eduardo Leite Krüger ◽  
Leandro Fernandes ◽  
Grace Tibério Cardoso ◽  
Emilio Eiji Kavamura

Abstract Test cells can be used for testing the thermal performance of different passive systems and building components. Predictive methods for estimating indoor air temperatures can further enhance the number of configurations tested without increasing the amount of test cells to be built. Thus, direct comparisons can be drawn for identical background climatic conditions. In its most basic form, formulas are generated by linear regression from relatively short data sets, which provide daily indoor temperature conditions. However, for more detailed analyses, daily indoor temperature predictions may not suffice. In this paper, a method for obtaining hourly indoor air temperature predictions is proposed. It is based on rising and decreasing rates of the indoor temperature fluctuation relative to outdoors, which translates to warming or cooling trends of indoor thermal conditions. The applicability of the method is for test cells. It is a simple method yet capable of predicting the thermal behavior of complex physical processes. The method was tested using measured data from experiments in a test cell, built with conventional building materials in Brazil. Results showed high performance with mean bias of 0.27 °C to measured data and Pearson's r 0.99. When compared to traditional regression-based models, the method proposed showed better results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-18
Author(s):  
Leszek Kuchar ◽  
◽  
Zbigniew Szwejkowski ◽  
Bogumił Rychcik ◽  
Ewa Dragańska ◽  
...  

Aim of the study. Indication of changes in maize yield for grain and silage in connection with the observed climate changes. Material and methods.Data from field experiments of the experimental station of the University of Warmia and Mazury since 1972 as well as meteorological data (air temperatures and precipitation). Calculations using the trend analysis of original variables and determined indexes (GDD, SPI, Sielianinov index), weather-yield linear models and elements of spectral analysis. Results and conclusions. Changes in thermal conditions were demonstrated based on average air temperatures and the GDD index. There were no significant changes in atmospheric precipitation, showing a small periodicity of ten years, and no changes in monthly frequency with a deficit of precipitation (SPI analysis). It was demonstrated that changes in thermal conditions as well as the introduction of new maize varieties over fifty years significantly improved plant maturation, which resulted in a significant increase in grain weight. However, this did not affect the yield of maize for silage, neither in crop rotation nor in the monoculture system.


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