Development and validation of risk stratification models for adult spinal deformity surgery

2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 587-599 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ferran Pellisé ◽  
Miquel Serra-Burriel ◽  
Justin S. Smith ◽  
Sleiman Haddad ◽  
Michael P. Kelly ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
The United States ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Prognostic Models ◽  
Time To Event ◽  
European Continent ◽  
Event Risk ◽  
Risk Estimates

OBJECTIVEAdult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery has a high rate of major complications (MCs). Public information about adverse outcomes is currently limited to registry average estimates. The object of this study was to assess the incidence of adverse events after ASD surgery, and to develop and validate a prognostic tool for the time-to-event risk of MC, hospital readmission (RA), and unplanned reoperation (RO).METHODSTwo models per outcome, created with a random survival forest algorithm, were trained in an 80% random split and tested in the remaining 20%. Two independent prospective multicenter ASD databases, originating from the European continent and the United States, were queried, merged, and analyzed. ASD patients surgically treated by 57 surgeons at 23 sites in 5 countries in the period from 2008 to 2016 were included in the analysis.RESULTSThe final sample consisted of 1612 ASD patients: mean (standard deviation) age 56.7 (17.4) years, 76.6% women, 10.4 (4.3) fused vertebral levels, 55.1% of patients with pelvic fixation, 2047.9 observation-years. Kaplan-Meier estimates showed that 12.1% of patients had at least one MC at 10 days after surgery; 21.5%, at 90 days; and 36%, at 2 years. Discrimination, measured as the concordance statistic, was up to 71.7% (95% CI 68%–75%) in the development sample for the postoperative complications model. Surgical invasiveness, age, magnitude of deformity, and frailty were the strongest predictors of MCs. Individual cumulative risk estimates at 2 years ranged from 3.9% to 74.1% for MCs, from 3.17% to 44.2% for RAs, and from 2.67% to 51.9% for ROs.CONCLUSIONSThe creation of accurate prognostic models for the occurrence and timing of MCs, RAs, and ROs following ASD surgery is possible. The presented variability in patient risk profiles alongside the discrimination and calibration of the models highlights the potential benefits of obtaining time-to-event risk estimates for patients and clinicians.

Sacropelvic fixation in adult spinal deformity (ASD); a very high rate of mechanical failure

2014 ◽  
Vol 24 (5) ◽  
pp. 1085-1091 ◽  
Author(s):  
Umit Ozgur Guler ◽  
◽  
Engin Cetin ◽  
Onur Yaman ◽  
Ferran Pellise ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
Mechanical Failure ◽  
High Rate ◽  
Sacropelvic Fixation ◽  
Very High

scholarly journals Epidemiology and Socioeconomic Trends in Adult Spinal Deformity Care

Neurosurgery ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 87 (1) ◽  
pp. 25-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael M Safaee ◽  
Christopher P Ames ◽  
Justin S Smith
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Health Care Systems ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
The United States ◽  
Diagnostic Tools ◽  
Current Prevalence ◽  
Significant Burden ◽  
Care Systems ◽  
The Cost

Abstract Adult spinal deformity (ASD) has gained significant attention over the past decade with improvements in diagnostic tools, classification schemes, and surgical technique. The demographics of the aging population in the United States are undergoing a fundamental shift as medical care advances and life expectancy increases. The “baby boomers” represent the fastest growing demographic in the United States and by 2050, the number of individuals 65 yr and older is projected to reach 89 million, more than double its current size. Based on current prevalence estimates there are approximately 27.5 million elderly individuals with some form of spinal deformity, which will place a significant burden on our health care systems. Rates of surgery for ASD and case complexity are both increasing, with concomitant increase in the cost of deformity care. At the same time, patients are more medically complex with increasing number of comorbidities that result in increased surgical risk and complication profiles. This review aims to highlight recent trends in the epidemiology and socioeconomic patterns in surgery for ASD.

P59. Chronic preoperative opioid use is associated with higher perioperative resource utilization and adverse outcomes in adult spinal deformity patients

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (9) ◽  
pp. S174
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Sadiq ◽  
Faizal Kassam ◽  
Ariana Frederick ◽  
Fred Nicholls ◽  
Peter D. Lewkonia ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Resource Utilization ◽  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Opioid Use

Lower Satisfaction After Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery in Japan Than in the United States Despite Similar SRS-22 Pain and Function Scores

Spine ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 45 (17) ◽  
pp. E1097-E1104
Author(s):  
Mitsuru Yagi ◽  
Christopher P. Ames ◽  
Naobumi Hosogane ◽  
Justin S. Smith ◽  
Christopher I. Shaffrey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
The United States ◽  
Spinal Deformity Surgery ◽  
And Function

A cost-effectiveness comparisons of adult spinal deformity surgery in the United States and Japan

2017 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 678-684 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mitsuru Yagi ◽  
◽  
Christopher P. Ames ◽  
Malla Keefe ◽  
Naobumi Hosogane ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
The United States ◽  
Spinal Deformity Surgery

P79. Prevalence and surgical outcomes of primary severe sagittal plane deformity (pSPD) in adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery: comparison between Japan and the United States

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (9) ◽  
pp. S184-S185
Author(s):  
Mitsuru Yagi ◽  
Christopher P. Ames ◽  
Naobumi Hosogane ◽  
Justin S. Smith ◽  
Christopher I. Shaffrey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Surgical Outcomes ◽  
Sagittal Plane ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
The United States ◽  
Plane Deformity

Nutritional Insufficiency as a Predictor for Adverse Outcomes in Adult Spinal Deformity Cases

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (10) ◽  
pp. S229
Author(s):  
John Di Capua ◽  
Nathan J. Lee ◽  
Sulaiman Somani ◽  
Jun Kim ◽  
Parth Kothari ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Nutritional Insufficiency

Perioperative outcomes associated with thoracolumbar 3-column osteotomies for adult spinal deformity patients with rheumatoid arthritis

2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 822-832
Author(s):  
Cecilia L. Dalle Ore ◽  
Christopher P. Ames ◽  
Vedat Deviren ◽  
Darryl Lau
Keyword(s):  
Rheumatoid Arthritis ◽  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Perioperative Complications ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
Vena Cava ◽  
Deformity Correction ◽  
Perioperative Outcomes ◽  
Medical Complications ◽  
Filter Placement ◽  
Estimated Blood Loss

OBJECTIVESpinal deformity causing spinal imbalance is directly correlated to pain and disability. Prior studies suggest adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have more complex deformities and are at higher risk for complications. In this study the authors compared outcomes of ASD patients with RA following thoracolumbar 3-column osteotomies to outcomes of a matched control cohort.METHODSAll patients with RA who underwent 3-column osteotomy for thoracolumbar deformity correction performed by the senior author from 2006 to 2016 were identified retrospectively. A cohort of patients without RA who underwent 3-column osteotomies for deformity correction was matched based on multiple clinical factors. Data regarding demographics and surgical approach, along with endpoints including perioperative outcomes, reoperations, and incidence of proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK) were reviewed. Univariate analyses were used to compare patients with RA to matched controls.RESULTSEighteen ASD patients with RA were identified, and a matched cohort of 217 patients was generated. With regard to patients with RA, 11.1% were male and the mean age was 68.1 years. Vertebral column resection (VCR) was performed in 22.2% and pedicle subtraction osteotomy (PSO) in 77.8% of patients. Mean case length was 324.4 minutes and estimated blood loss (EBL) was 2053.6 ml. Complications were observed in 38.9% of patients with RA and 29.0% of patients without RA (p = 0.380), with a trend toward increased medical complications (38.9% vs 21.2%, p = 0.084). Patients with RA had a significantly higher incidence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT)/pulmonary embolism (PE) (11.1% vs 1.8%, p = 0.017) and wound infections (16.7% vs 5.1%, p = 0.046). PJK occurred in 16.7% of patients with RA, and 33.3% of RA patients underwent reoperation. Incidence rates of PJK and reoperation in matched controls were 12.9% and 25.3%, respectively (p = 0.373, p = 0.458). At follow-up, mean sagittal vertical axis (SVA) was 6.1 cm in patients with RA and 4.5 cm in matched controls (p = 0.206).CONCLUSIONSFindings from this study suggest that RA patients experience a higher incidence of medical complications, specifically DVT/PE. Preoperative lower-extremity ultrasounds, inferior vena cava (IVC) filter placement, and/or early initiation of DVT prophylaxis in RA patients may be indicated. Perioperative complications, morbidity, and long-term outcomes are otherwise similar to non-RA patients.

Characteristics of false-positive alerts on transcranial motor evoked potential monitoring during pediatric scoliosis and adult spinal deformity surgery: an “anesthetic fade” phenomenon

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 423-431 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroki Ushirozako ◽  
Go Yoshida ◽  
Tomohiko Hasegawa ◽  
Yu Yamato ◽  
Tatsuya Yasuda ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
False Positive ◽  
Adult Spinal Deformity ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Motor Evoked Potential ◽  
Scoliosis Surgery ◽  
True Negative ◽  
Duration Of Surgery ◽  
Spinal Deformity Surgery

OBJECTIVETranscranial motor evoked potential (TcMEP) monitoring may be valuable for predicting postoperative neurological complications with a high sensitivity and specificity, but one of the most frequent problems is the high false-positive rate. The purpose of this study was to clarify the differences in the risk factors for false-positive TcMEP alerts seen when performing surgery in patients with pediatric scoliosis and adult spinal deformity and to identify a method to reduce the false-positive rate.METHODSThe authors retrospectively analyzed 393 patients (282 adult and 111 pediatric patients) who underwent TcMEP monitoring while under total intravenous anesthesia during spinal deformity surgery. They defined their cutoff (alert) point as a final TcMEP amplitude of ≤ 30% of the baseline amplitude. Patients with false-positive alerts were classified into one of two groups: a group with pediatric scoliosis and a group with adult spinal deformity.RESULTSThere were 14 cases of false-positive alerts (13%) during pediatric scoliosis surgery and 62 cases of false-positive alerts (22%) during adult spinal deformity surgery. Compared to the true-negative cases during adult spinal deformity surgery, the false-positive cases had a significantly longer duration of surgery and greater estimated blood loss (both p < 0.001). Compared to the true-negative cases during pediatric scoliosis surgery, the false-positive cases had received a significantly higher total fentanyl dose and a higher mean propofol dose (0.75 ± 0.32 mg vs 0.51 ± 0.18 mg [p = 0.014] and 5.6 ± 0.8 mg/kg/hr vs 5.0 ± 0.7 mg/kg/hr [p = 0.009], respectively). A multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the duration of surgery (1-hour difference: OR 1.701; 95% CI 1.364–2.120; p < 0.001) was independently associated with false-positive alerts during adult spinal deformity surgery. A multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the mean propofol dose (1-mg/kg/hr difference: OR 3.117; 95% CI 1.196–8.123; p = 0.020), the total fentanyl dose (0.05-mg difference; OR 1.270; 95% CI 1.078–1.497; p = 0.004), and the duration of surgery (1-hour difference: OR 2.685; 95% CI 1.131–6.377; p = 0.025) were independently associated with false-positive alerts during pediatric scoliosis surgery.CONCLUSIONSLonger duration of surgery and greater blood loss are more likely to result in false-positive alerts during adult spinal deformity surgery. In particular, anesthetic doses were associated with false-positive TcMEP alerts during pediatric scoliosis surgery. The authors believe that false-positive alerts during pediatric scoliosis surgery, in particular, are caused by “anesthetic fade.”

scholarly journals Protective Effectiveness of Long-Lasting Permethrin Impregnated Clothing Against Tick Bites in an Endemic Lyme Disease Setting: A Randomized Control Trial Among Outdoor Workers

2020 ◽  
Vol 57 (5) ◽  
pp. 1532-1538
Author(s):  
Cedar Mitchell ◽  
Megan Dyer ◽  
Feng-Chang Lin ◽  
Natalie Bowman ◽  
Thomas Mather ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Rhode Island ◽  
The United States ◽  
Amblyomma Americanum ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Tick Bites ◽  
Outdoor Workers ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Protective Effectiveness

Abstract Tick-borne diseases are a growing threat to public health in the United States, especially among outdoor workers who experience high occupational exposure to ticks. Long-lasting permethrin-impregnated clothing has demonstrated high initial protection against bites from blacklegged ticks, Ixodes scapularis Say (Acari: Ixodidae), in laboratory settings, and sustained protection against bites from the lone star tick, Amblyomma americanum (L.) (Acari: Ixodidae), in field tests. However, long-lasting permethrin impregnation of clothing has not been field tested among outdoor workers who are frequently exposed to blacklegged ticks. We conducted a 2-yr randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blinded trial among 82 outdoor workers in Rhode Island and southern Massachusetts. Participants in the treatment arm wore factory-impregnated permethrin clothing, and the control group wore sham-treated clothing. Outdoor working hours, tick encounters, and bites were recorded weekly to assess protective effectiveness of long-lasting permethrin-impregnated garments. Factory-impregnated clothing significantly reduced tick bites by 65% in the first study year and by 50% in the second year for a 2-yr protective effect of 58%. No significant difference in other tick bite prevention method utilization occurred between treatment and control groups, and no treatment-related adverse outcomes were reported. Factory permethrin impregnation of clothing is safe and effective for the prevention of tick bites among outdoor workers whose primary exposure is to blacklegged ticks in the northeastern United States.

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