scholarly journals Precursory seismicity associated with frequent, large ice avalanches on Iliamna volcano, Alaska, USA

2007 ◽  
Vol 53 (180) ◽  
pp. 128-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacqueline Caplan-Auerbach ◽  
Christian Huggel

AbstractSince 1994, at least six major (volume >106m3) ice and rock avalanches have occurred on Iliamna volcano, Alaska, USA. Each of the avalanches was preceded by up to 2 hours of seismicity believed to represent the initial stages of failure. Each seismic sequence begins with a series of repeating earthquakes thought to represent slip on an ice–rock interface, or between layers of ice. This stage is followed by a prolonged period of continuous ground-shaking that reflects constant slip accommodated by deformation at the glacier base. Finally the glacier fails in a large avalanche. Some of the events appear to have entrained large amounts of rock, while others comprise mostly snow and ice. Several avalanches initiated from the same source region, suggesting that this part of the volcano is particularly susceptible to failure, possibly due to the presence of nearby fumaroles. Although thermal conditions at the time of failure are not well constrained, it is likely that geothermal energy causes melting at the glacier base, promoting slip and culminating in failure. The frequent nature and predictable failure sequence of Iliamna avalanches makes the volcano an excellent laboratory for the study of ice avalanches. The prolonged nature of the seismic signal suggests that warning may one day be given for similar events occurring in populated regions.

Author(s):  
Iunio Iervolino ◽  
Pasquale Cito ◽  
Chiara Felicetta ◽  
Giovanni Lanzano ◽  
Antonio Vitale

AbstractShakeMap is the tool to evaluate the ground motion effect of earthquakes in vast areas. It is useful to delimit the zones where the shaking is expected to have been most significant, for civil defense rapid response. From the earthquake engineering point of view, it can be used to infer the seismic actions on the built environment to calibrate vulnerability models or to define the reconstruction policies based on observed damage vs shaking. In the case of long-lasting seismic sequences, it can be useful to develop ShakeMap envelopes, that is, maps of the largest ground intensity among those from the ShakeMap of (selected) events of a seismic sequence, to delimit areas where the effects of the whole sequence have been of structural engineering relevance. This study introduces ShakeMap envelopes and discusses them for the central Italy 2016–2017 seismic sequence. The specific goals of the study are: (i) to compare the envelopes and the ShakeMap of the main events of the sequence to make the case for sequence-based maps; (ii) to quantify the exceedance of design seismic actions based on the envelopes; (iii) to make envelopes available for further studies and the reconstruction planning; (iv) to gather insights on the (repeated) exceedance of design seismic actions at some sites. Results, which include considerations of uncertainty in ShakeMap, show that the sequence caused exceedance of design hazard in thousands of square kilometers. The most relevant effects of the sequence are, as expected, due to the mainshock, yet seismic actions larger than those enforced by the code for structural design are found also around the epicenters of the smaller magnitude events. At some locations, the succession of ground-shaking that has excited structures, provides insights on structural damage accumulation that has likely taken place; something that is not accounted for explicitly in modern seismic design. The envelopes developed are available as supplemental material.


2021 ◽  
Vol 331 ◽  
pp. 07006
Author(s):  
Wahyu Kurniawan ◽  
Daryono ◽  
IDK Kerta ◽  
Bayu Pranata ◽  
Tri Winugroho

The tsunami of Sunda Strait occurred on December 22, 2018, at 21:03 West Indonesia Time (zone). An eruption of Mount Anak Krakatau caused an eruption that triggered a landslide on the slopes of Mount Anak Krakatau covering an area of 64 hectares that hit the coastal area of western Banten and southern Lampung and resulted in 437 deaths, 14.059 people were injured, and 33.721 people were displaced. Before the tsunami, signal transmissions (gaps) at the Lava seismograph station installed on the body of Mount Anak Krakatau experienced broken so that Mount Anak Krakatau Observation Post could not record volcanic earthquake signals since December 22, 2018, at 21.03 West Indonesia Time (zone). Given these facts, proper monitoring and analysis were required to monitor and analyze the source of ground vibrations originating from the eruption of Mount Anak Krakatau. Therefore, this study aims to confirm the eruptive activity of Mount Anak Krakatau based on seismic monitoring and analysis sourced from the BMKG's seismic sensor network. The method the author uses is by monitoring the seismic signal recorded by the seismometer and analyzing the seismic signal using the Seiscomp3 software. By the results of monitoring and analysis of seismic data, it was found that the location of the center of the ground shaking was on Mount Anak Krakatau with a magnitude of 3.4, and a depth of 1 km. To anticipate similar tsunami events in the future, it is very necessary to have a tsunami early warning system originating from volcanic activity and volcanic body avalanches.


Author(s):  
P. R. Farthing ◽  
C. A. Long ◽  
R. H. Rogers

An integral theory is used to model the flow, and predict heat transfer rates, for corotating compressor discs with a superposed radial inflow of air. Measurements of heat transfer are also made, both in an experimental rig and in an engine. The flow structure comprises source and sink regions, Ekman-type layers and an inviscid central core. Entrainment occurs in the source region, the fluid being distributed into the two nonentraining Ekman-type layers. Fluid leaves the cavity via the sink region. The integral model is validated against the experimental data, although there are some uncertainties in modelling the exact thermal conditions of the experiment. The magnitude of the Nusselt numbers is affected by the rotational Reynolds number and dimensionless flowrate; the maximum value of Nu is found to occur near the edge of the source region. The heat transfer measurements using the engine data show acceptable agreement with theory and experiment. This is very encouraging considering the large levels of uncertainty in the engine data.


2016 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-49 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dušan Majcin ◽  
Roman Kutas ◽  
Dušan Bilčík ◽  
Vladimír Bezák ◽  
Ignat Korchagin

Abstract The contribution presents the results acquired both by direct cognitive geothermic methods and by modelling approaches of the lithosphere thermal state in the region of the Transcarpathian depression and surrounding units. The activities were aimed at the determination of the temperature field distribution and heat flow density distribution in the upper parts of the Earth’s crust within the studied area. Primary new terrestrial heat flow density map was constructed from values determined for boreholes, from their interpretations and from newest outcomes of geothermal modelling methods based on steady-state and transient approaches, and also from other recently gained geophysical and geological knowledge. Thereafter we constructed the maps of temperature field distribution for selected depth levels of up to 5000 m below the surface. For the construction we have used measured borehole temperature data, the interpolation and extrapolation methods, and the modelling results of the refraction effects and of the influences of source type anomalies. New maps and other geothermic data served for the determination of depths with rock temperatures suitable for energy utilization namely production of electric energy minimally by the binary cycles. Consequently the thermal conditions were used to identify the most perspective areas for geothermal energy exploitation in the region under study.


1995 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 569-605 ◽  
Author(s):  
John F. Hall ◽  
Thomas H. Heaton ◽  
Marvin W. Halling ◽  
David J. Wald

Occurrence of large earthquakes close to cities in California is inevitable. The resulting ground shaking will subject buildings in the near-source region to large, rapid displacement pulses which are not represented in design codes. The simulated Mw7.0 earthquake on a blind-thrust fault used in this study produces peak ground displacement and velocity of 200 cm and 180 cm/sec, respectively. Over an area of several hundred square kilometers in the near-source region, flexible frame and base-isolated buildings would experience severe nonlinear behavior including the possibility of collapse at some locations. The susceptibility of welded connections to fracture significantly increases the collapse potential of steel-frame buildings under strong ground motions of the type resulting from the Mw7.0 simulation. Because collapse of a building depends on many factors which are poorly understood, the results presented here regarding collapse should be interpreted carefully.


1979 ◽  
Vol 23 (89) ◽  
pp. 425-428
Author(s):  
T. J. Hughes

Abstract Most numerical models of present ice-sheet dynamics predict basal thermal conditions for an assumed geothermal heat flux and measured ice thickness, surface temperature, and snow precipitation. These models are not ideally suited for reconstructing former ice sheets because what is known for present ice sheets is unknown for former ones, and vice versa. In particular, geothermal heat fluxes are immeasurable at an ice-sheet bed but can be measured after the ice sheet is gone, and the thermal conditions predicted at an ice-sheet bed can be inferred from the glacial-geological–topographic record after the ice sheet is gone. The Maine CLIMAP ice-sheet reconstruction model uses these inferred basal thermal conditions to compute ice thicknesses from basal shear stresses. Basal shear stress is assumed to reflect the degree of ice–bed coupling which, in turn, is assumed to reflect the amount and distribution of basal water under the ice sheet. Under the ice-sheet interior, basal water exists in a thin film of constant thickness covering the low places on the bed. This film expands for a melting bed and contracts for a freezing bed. Along the ice-sheet margin, basal water exists in narrow channels of varying thickness corresponding to troughs on the bed. These water channels become deeper for a melting bed and shallower for a freezing bed. In areas covered by the Laurentide and Scandinavian ice sheets, myriads of interconnected lakes in regions of greatest postglacial rebound are interpreted as evidence suggesting the interior basal water distribution, whereas eskers pointed toward terminal moraines and troughs across continental shelves are interpreted as evidence suggesting the basal water distribution toward the margins. Continental-shelf troughs were assumed to correspond to former ice streams, by analogy with observations in Greenland and Antarctica. Three modes of glacial erosion are considered to be responsible for the lakes, eskers, troughs, and associated topography. Quarrying is by a freeze-thaw mechanism which occurs where the melting-point isotherm intersects bedrock, so it is important only for freezing or melting beds because high places on the bed are frozen, low places are melted, and minor basal temperature fluctuations shift the isotherm separating them. Crushing results when rocks at the ice-bed interface are ground against each other and the bed by glacial sliding, so it occurs where the bed is melted and is most important when the entire bed is melted. Abrasion of bedrock occurs when rock cutting tools imbedded in the ice at the ice–rock interface are moved across the interface by glacial sliding, so it is also most important when the entire bed is melted. If basal melting continued after the entire bed is melted, abrasion-rates drop because the basal water layer thickens and drowns bedrock projections otherwise subjected to abrasion. Basal freezing reduces both crushing and abrasion-rates by coating quarried rocks with a sheath of relatively soft ice and transporting them upward from the ice–rock interface. An initially flat subglacial topography will develop depressions where glacial erosion is greatest and deposition is least, and ridges where the opposite conditions prevail. We interpret the central depressions represented today by Hudson Bay and the Gulf of Bothnia as caused by erosion on a melting bed under the Laurentide and Scandinavian ice sheets, respectively. The arc of lakes, gulfs, and shallow seas surrounding these depressions are interpreted as resulting from a freezing bed under the former ice sheets. The present watershed separating the depressions from the arcs marks the approximate former basal equilibrium line where the bed was melted. The Canadian and Baltic continental shields beyond these arcs are blanketed by material eroded from within the arcs, and represent areas having a frozen bed where evidence for abrasion is missing and a second zone having a melting bed where evidence for abrasion is present. This basic pattern was assumed to be imprinted on the bed during the steady-state period of maximum ice-sheet extent, and maintained in varying degrees during growth and shrinkage of these ice sheets.


1979 ◽  
Vol 23 (89) ◽  
pp. 425-428
Author(s):  
T. J. Hughes

AbstractMost numerical models of present ice-sheet dynamics predict basal thermal conditions for an assumed geothermal heat flux and measured ice thickness, surface temperature, and snow precipitation. These models are not ideally suited for reconstructing former ice sheets because what is known for present ice sheets is unknown for former ones, and vice versa. In particular, geothermal heat fluxes are immeasurable at an ice-sheet bed but can be measured after the ice sheet is gone, and the thermal conditions predicted at an ice-sheet bed can be inferred from the glacial-geological–topographic record after the ice sheet is gone. The Maine CLIMAP ice-sheet reconstruction model uses these inferred basal thermal conditions to compute ice thicknesses from basal shear stresses.Basal shear stress is assumed to reflect the degree of ice–bed coupling which, in turn, is assumed to reflect the amount and distribution of basal water under the ice sheet. Under the ice-sheet interior, basal water exists in a thin film of constant thickness covering the low places on the bed. This film expands for a melting bed and contracts for a freezing bed. Along the ice-sheet margin, basal water exists in narrow channels of varying thickness corresponding to troughs on the bed. These water channels become deeper for a melting bed and shallower for a freezing bed. In areas covered by the Laurentide and Scandinavian ice sheets, myriads of interconnected lakes in regions of greatest postglacial rebound are interpreted as evidence suggesting the interior basal water distribution, whereas eskers pointed toward terminal moraines and troughs across continental shelves are interpreted as evidence suggesting the basal water distribution toward the margins. Continental-shelf troughs were assumed to correspond to former ice streams, by analogy with observations in Greenland and Antarctica.Three modes of glacial erosion are considered to be responsible for the lakes, eskers, troughs, and associated topography. Quarrying is by a freeze-thaw mechanism which occurs where the melting-point isotherm intersects bedrock, so it is important only for freezing or melting beds because high places on the bed are frozen, low places are melted, and minor basal temperature fluctuations shift the isotherm separating them. Crushing results when rocks at the ice-bed interface are ground against each other and the bed by glacial sliding, so it occurs where the bed is melted and is most important when the entire bed is melted. Abrasion of bedrock occurs when rock cutting tools imbedded in the ice at the ice–rock interface are moved across the interface by glacial sliding, so it is also most important when the entire bed is melted. If basal melting continued after the entire bed is melted, abrasion-rates drop because the basal water layer thickens and drowns bedrock projections otherwise subjected to abrasion. Basal freezing reduces both crushing and abrasion-rates by coating quarried rocks with a sheath of relatively soft ice and transporting them upward from the ice–rock interface.An initially flat subglacial topography will develop depressions where glacial erosion is greatest and deposition is least, and ridges where the opposite conditions prevail. We interpret the central depressions represented today by Hudson Bay and the Gulf of Bothnia as caused by erosion on a melting bed under the Laurentide and Scandinavian ice sheets, respectively. The arc of lakes, gulfs, and shallow seas surrounding these depressions are interpreted as resulting from a freezing bed under the former ice sheets. The present watershed separating the depressions from the arcs marks the approximate former basal equilibrium line where the bed was melted. The Canadian and Baltic continental shields beyond these arcs are blanketed by material eroded from within the arcs, and represent areas having a frozen bed where evidence for abrasion is missing and a second zone having a melting bed where evidence for abrasion is present. This basic pattern was assumed to be imprinted on the bed during the steady-state period of maximum ice-sheet extent, and maintained in varying degrees during growth and shrinkage of these ice sheets.


Chemical and O-, Sr-, Nd-, and Pb-isotope relations for the British Caledonian granitoids exhibit systematic variations that are attributed to derivation from both mantle and crustal sources. The ‘older’ (more than ca . 470 Ma) pre- and syn-tectonic granites were the product of local anatectic melting of Late Proterozoic metasedimentary upper crust (8 18 O æ 8 to 14% 0 , 87 S r/ 86 Sr > 0.710, 206 Pb / 204 Pb « 18.1-19.2) during the peak thermal conditions of the Grampian Orogeny. The ‘younger’ (less than ca . 440 Ma) post-tectonic granitoids have a complex origin which, in individual cases, involved at least four different source regions: (i) the upper mantle or subducted oceanic crust (8 18 O « 5.7 to 7.0%o, 87 Sr/ 86 Sr « 0.7035-0.7040, 206 Pb/ 204 Pb = 17.9 to 18.1) and (ii) Lower Palaeozoic geosynclinal sedimentary upper crust (8 18 O « 11 to 14% 0 , 87 Sr/ 86 Sr « 705-0.711, 206 Pb/ 204 Pb « 18.4) within the paratectonic Caledonides in the Scottish Midland Valley and Southern Uplands and in Northern England or (iii) Middle Proterozoic (?) mafic to intermediate granulitic lower crust (8 18 O « 8 to 10% 0 , 87 Sr/ 86 Sr « 0.705-0.707, 206 Pb / 204 Pb « 16.5-17.0) and (iv) Middle to Late Proterozoic metasedimentary upper crust (8 18 0 « 8 to 14% 0 , 87 Sr/ 86 Sr > 0.710, 206 Pb/ 207 Pb » 18.1-19.2) in the Scottish Highlands. Mantle-derived magmas or their direct derivatives were likely involved in the development of all of the ‘younger’ granitoids, either as end-member components or as the source for a substantial part of the heat required for crustal melting and assimilation. Although the Lower Palaeozoic was a time during which a large amount of igneous material was introduced into the upper crust in Britain, it was not a major crust-forming period because the Caledonian granitoids are dominated by recycled continental crust.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (19) ◽  
pp. 6103
Author(s):  
Jacek Majorowicz

Heat flow patterns variability related to the age of the consolidated, and differences in, sedimentary thickness of the sedimentary succession are important constraints upon the thermal state of the sedimentary fill and its geothermal energy potential. Heat flow in the Permian basin of central Europe varies from a low of 40 mWm−2 in the Precambrian Platform to 80 mWm−2 in the Paleozoic basement platform influencing temperature for geothermal potential drilling depth. Continuity of thermal patterns and compatibility of heat flow Q across the Permian basin across the Polish–German basin was known from heat flow data ever since the first heat flow map of Europe in 1979. Both Polish and German heat flow determinations used lab-measured thermal conductivity on cores. This is not the case for the recent heat flow map of Poland published in 2009 widely referenced in Polish geological literature. Significant differences in heat flow magnitude exist between many historical heat flow maps of Poland over the 1970s–1990s and recent 21st century patterns. We find that the differences in heat flow values of some 20–30 mWm−2 in Western Poland exist between heat flow maps using thermal conductivity models using well log interpreted mineral and porosity content and assigned world averages of rock and fluid thermal conductivity versus those measured on cores. These differences in heat flow are discussed in the context of resulting mantle heat flow and the Lithosphere-Asthenosphere Boundary depth modelled differences and possible overestimates of deep thermal conditions for enhanced geothermal energy prospects in Poland.


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