Multi-attribute decision making method based on probabilistic linguistic term sets and its application in the evaluation of emergency logistics capacity

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Yaxu Yang ◽  
Zixue Guo ◽  
Zefang He
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Public Health Emergency ◽  
Economic Losses ◽  
Emergency Relief ◽  
Emergency Logistics ◽  
Linguistic Term ◽  
Probabilistic Linguistic Term Sets ◽  
Multi Attribute Decision Making ◽  
Logistics Capability

The occurrence of public health emergency will cause huge economic losses and casualties, which posed a huge threat to the economic and social development. In response to the emergency, a large amount of emergency relief supplies will be transported to the affected areas. Faced with this public health emergency of international concern, the concept of emergency logistics capacity and the evaluation model based on probabilistic linguistic term sets are proposed. In this paper, the emergency logistics capability evaluation is transformed into user demand evaluation, and the importance of each index of emergency logistics capability is determined by using Quality Function Deployment (QFD) and prospect theory. Under the probabilistic language information environment, a multi-attribute decision making method is established by using TODIM method. Finally, an example is given to verify the feasibility of the proposed method.

scholarly journals An Emergency Decision-Making Method for Probabilistic Linguistic Term Sets Extended by D Number Theory

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongming Mo
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Number Theory ◽  
Linguistic Term ◽  
Probabilistic Linguistic Term Sets ◽  
Emergency Decision Making ◽  
Multi Attribute Decision Making ◽  
Property Losses ◽  
Emergency Decision ◽  
Future Work ◽  
Evaluation Information

Emergency decision-making has become as one of the hot issues in recent years. The aim of emergency decision-making is to reduce the casualties and property losses. All the processes of emergency decision-making are full of incompleteness and hesitation. The problem of emergency decision-making can be regarded as one of the multi-attribute decision-making (MADM) problems. In this manuscript, a new method to solve the problem of emergency decision-making named D-PLTS is proposed, based on D number theory and the probability linguistic term set (PLTS). The evaluation information given by experts is tidied to be the form of PLTS, which can be directly transferred to the form of the D number, no matter whether the information is complete or not. Furthermore, the integration property of D number theory is carried out to fuse the information. Besides, two examples are given to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. Compared with some existing methods, the D-PLTS is more straightforward and has less computational complexity. Allocation weights that are more reasonable is the future work for the D-PLTS method.

scholarly journals 18.H. Workshop: Bringing evidence during public health emergencies: addressing the challenge through HTA

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Emergency Preparedness ◽  
Public Health Emergency ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Evidence Based ◽  
Public Health Emergencies ◽  
Response Planning ◽  
Emergency Preparedness And Response ◽  
Public Health Emergency Preparedness

Abstract Evidence-based decision-making is central to public health. Implementing evidence-informed actions is most challenging during a public health emergency as in an epidemic, when time is limited, scientific uncertainties and political pressures tend to be high, and irrefutable evidence may be lacking. The process of including evidence in public health decision-making and for evidence-informed policy, in preparation, and during public health emergencies, is not systematic and is complicated by many barriers as the absences of shared tools and approaches for evidence-based preparedness and response planning. Many of today's public health crises are also cross-border, and countries need to collaborate in a systematic and standardized way in order to enhance interoperability and to implement coordinated evidence-based response plans. To strengthen the impact of scientific evidence on decision-making for public health emergency preparedness and response, it is necessary to better define mechanisms through which interdisciplinary evidence feeds into decision-making processes during public health emergencies and the context in which these mechanisms operate. As a multidisciplinary, standardized and evidence-based decision-making tool, Health Technology Assessment (HTA) represents and approach that can inform public health emergency preparedness and response planning processes; it can also provide meaningful insights on existing preparedness structures, working as bridge between scientists and decision-makers, easing knowledge transition and translation to ensure that evidence is effectively integrated into decision-making contexts. HTA can address the link between scientific evidence and decision-making in public health emergencies, and overcome the key challenges faced by public health experts when advising decision makers, including strengthening and accelerating knowledge transfer through rapid HTA, improving networking between actors and disciplines. It may allow a 360° perspective, providing a comprehensive view to decision-making in preparation and during public health emergencies. The objective of the workshop is to explore and present how HTA can be used as a shared and systematic evidence-based tool for Public Health Emergency Preparedness and Response, in order to enable stakeholders and decision makers taking actions based on the best available evidence through a process which is systematic and transparent. Key messages There are many barriers and no shared mechanisms to bring evidence in decision-making during public health emergencies. HTA can represent the tool to bring evidence-informed actions in public health emergency preparedness and response.

scholarly journals The challenge of bringing evidence in decision-making for public health emergencies: can preparedness reach out to HTA?

2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
C E Chronaki ◽  
A Miglietta
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Policy Development ◽  
Digital Health ◽  
Resource Planning ◽  
Public Health Emergency ◽  
Evidence Based ◽  
Public Health Emergencies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Evidence Based Decision Making

Abstract Evidence-based decision-making is central to public health. Implementing evidence-informed actions is most challenging during a public health emergency as in an epidemic, when time is limited, scientific uncertainties and political pressures tend to be high, and reliable data is typically lacking. The process of including data for preparedness and training for evidence-based decision making in public health emergencies is not systematic and is complicated by many barriers as the absence of common digital tools and approaches for resource planning and update of response plans. Health Technology Assessment (HTA) is used with the aim to improve the quality and efficiency of public health interventions and to make healthcare systems more sustainable. Many of today's public health crises are also cross-border, and countries need to collaborate in a systematic and standardized way in order to enhance interoperability to share data and to plan coordinated response. Digital health tools have an important role to play in this setting, facilitating use of knowledge about the population that can potentially affected by the crisis within and across regional and national borders. To strengthen the impact of scientific evidence on decision-making for public health emergency preparedness and response, it is necessary to better define and align mechanisms through which interdisciplinary evidence feeds into decision-making processes during public health emergencies and the context in which these mechanisms operate. Activities and policy development in the HTA network could inform this process. The objective of this presentation is to identify barriers for evidence-based decision making during public health emergencies and discuss how standardization in digital health and HTA processes may help overcome these barriers leading to more effective coordinated and evidence-based public health emergency response.

scholarly journals A Novel Multi-Attribute Decision Making Method Based on The Double Hierarchy Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Generalized Power Aggregation Operator

Information ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liu ◽  
Zhao ◽  
Li ◽  
Wang ◽  
Wang
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Aggregation Operators ◽  
Linguistic Context ◽  
Practical Application ◽  
Linguistic Expression ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Linguistic Term ◽  
Multi Attribute Decision Making ◽  
Complex Decision ◽  
Fuzzy Linguistic

. A double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic term set (DHHFLT) is deemed as an effective and powerful linguistic expression which models complex linguistic decision information more accurately by using two different hierarchy linguistic term sets. The purpose of this paper is to propose a multi-attribute decision making method to tackle complex decision issues in which attribute values are represented as double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic numbers, and there are some extreme or unreasonable data in the attribute values. To do this, firstly, four double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic generalized power aggregation operators are introduced, including the double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic generalized power average (DHHFLGPA) operator, the double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic generalized power geometric (DHHFLGPG) operator, and their weighted forms. Thereafter, several favorable properties, as well as representative cases of the proposed operators, are investigated in detail. Moreover, by virtue of the proposed operators, a novel approach is developed for coping with multi-attribute decision making cases in the double hierarchy hesitant fuzzy linguistic context. Finally, an illustrated example is given to demonstrate the practical application of the presented approach, an availability verification is given to show its validity, and a comparative analysis is also conducted to highlight the advantages of the proposed approach.

Transforming and decision-making based on probabilistic linguistic term sets with comparative linguistic expressions and incomplete assessments

2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 491-506
Author(s):  
Ao Shen ◽  
Shuling Peng ◽  
Gaofei Liu
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Probability Distribution ◽  
Common Sense ◽  
Linguistic Term ◽  
Probabilistic Linguistic Term Sets ◽  
Probability Information ◽  
Incomplete Assessments

The probabilistic linguistic term sets (PLTSs) are widely used in decision-making, due to its convenience of evaluation, and allowances of probability information. However, there are still some cases where it is not convenient to give an evaluation using the PLTS gramma. Sometimes the evaluators can only give a comparative relationship between alternatives, sometimes evaluators may have difficulty understanding all the alternatives and cannot give a complete assessment. Therefore, we propose a method to transform the comparative linguistic expressions (CLEs) into PLTSs, and the comparison objects of CLEs are alternatives evaluated by PLTSs. And the probability distribution has been adjusted to make the transformation more in line with common sense. Then, a method to correct the deviation is proposed, allowing alternatives to be compared in the case of incomplete assessment. Combining the above two methods, we propose a decision-making method when both CLEs and incomplete assessments coexist. With the study in this paper, the limitations of PLTS-based evaluation and decision-making are reduced and the flexibility of using PLTS is improved.

scholarly journals A pandemic recap: lessons we have learned

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Federico Coccolini ◽  
Enrico Cicuttin ◽  
Camilla Cremonini ◽  
Dario Tartaglia ◽  
Bruno Viaggi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
White Paper ◽  
Public Health Emergency ◽  
Director General ◽  
Healthcare Decision ◽  
Healthcare Decision Making ◽  
The World

AbstractOn January 2020, the WHO Director General declared that the outbreak constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. The world has faced a worldwide spread crisis and is still dealing with it. The present paper represents a white paper concerning the tough lessons we have learned from the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, an international and heterogenous multidisciplinary panel of very differentiated people would like to share global experiences and lessons with all interested and especially those responsible for future healthcare decision making. With the present paper, international and heterogenous multidisciplinary panel of very differentiated people would like to share global experiences and lessons with all interested and especially those responsible for future healthcare decision making.

scholarly journals Multiple Criteria Group Decision-Making Method with Dempster–Shafer Theory and Probabilistic Linguistic Term Sets

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Yuanwei Du ◽  
Susu Wang
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Group Decision ◽  
Individual Level ◽  
Preference Theory ◽  
Dempster Shafer Theory ◽  
Linguistic Term ◽  
Probabilistic Linguistic Term Sets ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Shafer Theory ◽  
Interval Valued

The motivation of this study is to propose a novel multiple criteria group decision-making (MCDGM) method based on Dempster–Shafer theory (DST) and probabilistic linguistic term sets (PLTSs) to handle the distinctions between compensatory information at the criterion level and noncompensatory information at the individual level in the process of information fusion. Initially, the information at the individual level is extracted by BPA functions. Then, they are fused with DST considering ignorance and DMs’ reliabilities. Next, the obtained BPA functions are transformed into interval-valued PLTSs with the assistance of intermediate belief and plausibility. Subsequently, the interval-valued PLTSs are converted into standard PLTSs. After normalization, the holistic PLTS is obtained with weighted addition operation and the round function is applied to determine the ultimate evaluation result. Finally, a case simulation study of evaluating the marine ranching ecological security is presented to verify and improve the validity and feasibility of the proposed method and algorithm in practical application. The proposed method and its relevant algorithm are both innovative combination of DST and PLTSs from the perspective of compensatory and noncompensatory features of information, which provides a new angle of view for the development of probabilistic preference theory and is beneficial to apply probabilistic preference theory in practice.

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