scholarly journals The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic Information on Sectoral Stock Performance during Lockdown and New-Normal: An Evidence from Indonesia Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 117-128
Author(s):  
Fariz Junior Nusantara
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Fast Food ◽  
Transition Period ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Employee Performance ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
New Normal ◽  
Indonesian Government ◽  
Normal Period ◽  
The Impact

The Indonesian economy has weakened in every sector since pandemic Covid-19. The study investigates how the stock return in the impacted and unimpacted industry reacts to death and cases information about Covid-19. Based on previous studies, behavioral changes also occur in society. Changes in consumption of mass products and also the behavior of fast-food products move in opposite directions. In addition, changes also occur in employee performance due to limitations related to activities. In addition, this study also considers the response from the Indonesian government regarding changes in people's behavior and the increase in cases related to Covid-19. The Indonesian government, in this case, implemented several policies as a response to the incident where the Indonesian government finally imposed restrictions on social activities followed by a transition period to maintain the economic cycle in Indonesia. This study shows that in both the impacted and unimpacted industries and the lockdown period and the new-normal period in the Indonesian version, information related to the Covid-19 case significantly negatively affected stock returns, while information on deaths due to Covid-19 has a negative effect that is not significant. This result suggests the practitioner considers which other information affects investment decision during the Pandemic in the future.

ARE FINANCIAL INVESTORS PRONE TO EXOGENOUS (CRICKET) SENTIMENTS THAT AFFECTS EQUITY INVESTMENT DECISION AND INDUCES VOLATILITY IN STOCK MARKET?

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Kashif ◽  
Asra Shaikh ◽  
Mobeen Ur Rehman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Bad News ◽  
Equity Investment ◽  
Auto Correlation ◽  
Asymmetric Behavior ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the volatility in stock returns due to mood-swings of financial investors affected by the outcome of one-day international (ODI) cricket matches played by Pakistan against cricketing nations. The impact of matches is analyzed on same-day and for next-day volatility in returns by using Generalized Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH 1,1) and Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (GJR 1,1) methodology, supported by Engle (arch), L-Jung Q-stats (auto-correlation) and Jarque-Bera (normality) tests. Empirical time-series results show volatility can be predicted through past volatility and can be generalized. The win or loss position of Pakistan in ODI has a significant influence on next day volatility of stock returns. However, GJR analysis provides strong evidence of asymmetric behavior on next day in Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE)-100 index, states bad-news resulting from ODI matches has a significant negative influence on the next-day volatility of stock returns, due to less trading on the subsequent day of the match.

scholarly journals COVID 19 Outbreak and Stock Market Return: Evidence from Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-58
Author(s):  
Nurcahyono Nurcahyono ◽  
Ayu Noviani Hanum ◽  
Fatmasari Sukesti
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Government Policies ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Daily Growth ◽  
New Normal ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Return is one of the main motivations for investing, the higher the expected return investors will receive, the more they will attract investors. This study analyzes and empirically proves the effect of the COVID 19 outbreak on the Indonesian stock exchange. This study uses daily data from the Covid-19 case, data on the capitalization of the Indonesian stock exchange during the outbreak from March 2 to July 15, 2020, with various Indonesian government policies that began lockdown, regional quarantine and new normal. Panel data regression is used to analyze and empirically prove the impact of Covid 19 on stock returns. The results showed that the daily growth of total confirmed positive cases, the total death cases of Covid 19 had a negative impact on stock returns in the Indonesian stock exchange even though the growth rate of patients who recovered was quite high. In addition, government policies in the form of lockdown of quarantine areas and new normal are not able to strengthen the Jakarta Composite Indeks (JCI), this is because the policy is not able to suppress the number of positive confirmations, but continues to increase. This research contributes to the government making a policy to reduce the number of confirmed cases to be able to strengthen the JCI, and investors can see aspects other than the expected return currently received.

The performance of the Broad Based Black Economic Empowerment compliant listed property firms in South Africa

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omokolade Akinsomi ◽  
Katlego Kola ◽  
Thembelihle Ndlovu ◽  
Millicent Motloung
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Sharpe Ratio ◽  
Economic Empowerment ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Black Economic ◽  
Black Economic Empowerment ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE) on the risk and returns of listed and delisted property firms on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). The study was investigated to understand the impact of Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) property sector charter and effect of government intervention on property listed markets. Design/methodology/approach – The study examines the performance trends of the listed and delisted property firms on the JSE from January 2006 to January 2012. The data were obtained from McGregor BFA database to compute the risk and return measures of the listed and delisted property firms. The study employs a capital asset pricing model (CAPM) to derive the alpha (outperformance) and beta (risk) to examine the trend amongst the BEE and non-BEE firms, Sharpe ratio was also employed as a measurement of performance. A comparative study is employed to analyse the risks and returns between listed property firms that are BEE compliant and BEE non-compliant. Findings – Results show that there exists differences in returns and risk between BEE-compliant firms and non-BEE-compliant firms. The study shows that BEE-compliant firms have higher returns than non-BEE firms and are less risky than non-BEE firms. By establishing this relationship, this possibly affects the investor’s decision to invest in BEE firms rather than non-BBBEE firms. This study can also assist the government in strategically adjusting the policy. Research limitations/implications – This study employs a CAPM which is a single-factor model. Further study could employ a multi-factor model. Practical implications – The results of this investigation, with the effects of BEE on returns, using annualized returns, the Sharpe ratio and alpha (outperformance), results show that BEE firms perform better than non-BEE firms. These results pose several implications for investors particularly when structuring their portfolios, further study would need to examine the role of BEE on stock returns in line with other factors that affect stock returns. The results in this study have several implications for government agencies, there may be the need to monitor the effect of the BEE policies on firm returns and re-calibrate policies accordingly. Originality/value – This study investigates the performance of listed property firms on the JSE which are BEE compliant. This is the first study to investigate listed property firms which are BEE compliant.

Stock Market Reaction on Green-Bond Issue: Evidence from Indian Green-Bond Issuers

2021 ◽  
pp. 097226292110225
Author(s):  
Rakesh Kumar Verma ◽  
Rohit Bansal
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Bond Issue ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

Purpose: A green bond is a financial instrument issued by governments, financial institutions and corporations to fund green projects, such as those involving renewable energy, green buildings, low carbon transport, etc. This study analyses the effect of green-bond issue announcement on the issuer’s stock price movement. It shows the reaction of the stock price after the issue of green bonds. Methodology: This study is based on secondary data. Green-bond issue dates have been collected from newspaper articles from different online sources, such as Business Standard, The Economic Times, Moneycontrol, etc. The closing prices of stocks have been taken from the NSE (National Stock Exchange of India Limited) website. An event window of 21 days has been fixed for the study, including the 10 days before and after the issue date. Data analysis is carried out through the event study method using the R software. Calculation of abnormal returns is done using three models: mean-adjusted returns model, market-adjusted returns model and risk-adjusted returns model. Findings: The results show that the issue of green bonds has a significant positive effect on the stock price. Returns increase after the green-bond issue announcement. Although the announcement day shows a negative return for all the samples taken for the study, the 10-day cumulative abnormal return (CAR) is positive. Thus, green-bond issues lead to positive sentiments among investors. Research implications: This research article will help the government issue more green bonds so that the proceeds can be utilized for green projects. The government should motivate corporations and financial institutions to issue more green bonds to help the economy grow. In India, very few organizations have issued a green bond. It will be beneficial if these players issue green bonds, as it will increase the firms’ value and boost returns to the investors. Originality/value: The effect of green-bond issue on stock returns has been analysed in some studies in developed countries. This is the first study to examine the impact of green-bond issue on stock returns in the Indian context, to the best of our knowledge.

Research of Building Intelligent Investment Decision Mode for Investment Portfolio — Using Taiwan Electronic Stock as an Example

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (04) ◽  
pp. 621-645 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen-Rong Jerry Ho ◽  
C. H. Liu ◽  
H. W. Chen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Return Rate ◽  
Selection Strategy ◽  
Stock Selection ◽  
Taiwan Stock Exchange ◽  
Book To Market Ratio

This research uses all of the listed electronic stocks in the Taiwan Stock Exchange as a sample to test the performance of the return rate of stock prices. In addition, this research compares it with the electronic stock returns. The empirical result shows that no matter which kind of stock selection strategy we choose, a majority of the return rate is higher than that of the electronics index. Evident in the results, the predicted effect of BPNN is better than that of the general average decentralized investment strategy. Furthermore, the low price-to-earning ratio and the low book-to-market ratio have a significant long-term influence.

Epidemics and Chinese firms' stock returns: is COVID-19 different?

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Quang Thi Thieu Nguyen ◽  
Dao Le Trang Anh ◽  
Christopher Gan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Disease Outbreaks ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Event Study Method ◽  
Economic Shock ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis study investigates the Chinese stocks' returns during different epidemic periods to assess their effects on firms' market performance.Design/methodology/approachThe study employs an event study method on more than 3,000 firms listed on Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges during periods of SARS, H5N1, H7N9 and COVID-19FindingsEpidemics' effect on firms' stock returns is persistent up to 10 days after the event dates. Although the impact varies with types and development of the disease, most firms experience a negative impact of the epidemics. Among the epidemics, COVID-19 has the greatest impact, especially when it grows into a pandemic. The epidemics' impact is uneven across industries. In addition, B-shares and stocks listed on Shanghai Stock Exchange are more negatively influenced by the epidemic than A-shares and those listed on Shenzhen Stock Exchange.Research limitations/implicationsThe results of the study contribute to the limited literature on the effects of disease outbreaks as an economic shock on firm market performance. Given the possibility of other epidemics in the future, the study provides guidance for investors in designing an appropriate investing strategy to cope with the epidemic shocks to the market.Originality/valueThe research is novel in the way it compares and assesses the economic impact of different epidemics on firms and considers their impact at different development stages.

Do Indian stock market sentiments impact contemporaneous returns?

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-346
Author(s):  
Divya Aggarwal ◽  
Pitabas Mohanty
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investor Sentiments ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of Indian investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns of Bombay Stock Exchange, National Stock Exchange and various sectoral indices in India by developing a sentiment index. Design/methodology/approach The study uses principal component analysis to develop a sentiment index as a proxy for Indian stock market sentiments over a time frame from April 1996 to January 2017. It uses an exploratory approach to identify relevant proxies in building a sentiment index using indirect market measures and macro variables of Indian and US markets. Findings The study finds that there is a significant positive correlation between the sentiment index and stock index returns. Sectors which are more dependent on institutional fund flows show a significant impact of the change in sentiments on their respective sectoral indices. Research limitations/implications The study has used data at a monthly frequency. Analysing higher frequency data can explain short-term temporal dynamics between sentiments and returns better. Further studies can be done to explore whether sentiments can be used to predict stock returns. Practical implications The results imply that one can develop profitable trading strategies by investing in sectors like metals and capital goods, which are more susceptible to generate positive returns when the sentiment index is high. Originality/value The study supplements the existing literature on the impact of investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns in the context of a developing market. It identifies relevant proxies of investor sentiments for the Indian stock market.

scholarly journals Does Financial Performance Matter? Evidence on the Impact of Liquidity and Firm Size on Stock Return in Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 546
Author(s):  
Mochammad Chabachib ◽  
Ike Setyaningrum ◽  
Hersugondo Hersugondo ◽  
Intan Shaferi ◽  
Imang Dapit Pamungkas
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Firm Size ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Mediating Effect ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Stock Investment ◽  
Equity Ratio ◽  
The Impact

In the modern era, stock investment can attract domestic investors or foreign investors. The objective is to invest their funds at the capital market that expect higher stock returns. The study aims to analyze factors that can affect stock returns and know the mediating effect of return on equity. The object of this research is the property and real estate sector that is listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2013 to 2018. This research used debt to equity ratio, current ratio, total asset turnover, firm size as independent variables and stock returns as dependent variables. Path analysis is used as reseach method tools with SMART PLS.The result says that debt to equity ratio and return on equity has a positive significant relationship with stock return, meanwhile firm size has a significant negative significant relationship with stock returns. Furthermore, return on equity can mediate the relationship between debt and equity ratios to stock returns.

scholarly journals Margin requirements and Stock Market Volatility in Bangladesh

2012 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 29
Author(s):  
A. F. M. Mainul Ahsan ◽  
Mohammad Osman Gani ◽  
Md. Bokhtiar Hasan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Margin Requirements ◽  
Margin Requirement ◽  
Daily Stock Returns ◽  
The Impact

Officially margin requirements in bourses in Bangladesh were initiated on April 28, 1999, to limit the amount of credit available for the purpose of buying stocks. The goal of this paper is to measure the impact of changing margin requirement on stock returns' volatility in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). The impact of margin requirement on stock price volatility has been extensively studied with mixed and ambiguous results. Using daily stock returns, we found mixed evidence that SEC's margin requirements have significant impact on market volatility in DSE.

scholarly journals PROFITABILITAS TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 36
Author(s):  
Happy Sista Devy
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Return On Investment ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decision ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Ratio Size ◽  
Return On Sales

The development of the capital market is currently followed by the development of the stock market is increasingly in demand by investors as well, seen from data on Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) which shows that the stocks included in the sharia has increased. An investor will do the analysis to make an investment decision. The analysis is technical and fundamental. One of the fundamental analysis is profitability ratio analysis issued by the company. Good financial performance will be the information used as a positive signal by investors, because companies that have good financial performance will provide more benefits for investors. The purpose of this research is to examine and analyze profitability variables on stock returns in Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) period 2012-2016. Population of this research is a company included in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). This research using sample criteria, we obtained a sample of 21 companies included in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) for the period of 2012-2016 and published annual financial report data on Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) required during the study. The variables used in this research are earning per share (EPS), return on equity (ROE), return on asset (ROA), return on sales (ROS), return on investment (ROI), size as control variable, and stock return as the dependent variable. Result of this research show that investor on Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) see simultaneously the profitability ratio as a signal for investment decision making. Variable size can be used as control variable in that used in this research. Profitability ratios that are taken by investors are return on assets (ROA), earnings per share (EPS), and return on investment (ROI). So that should be a special attention for companies incorporated in the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) to increase investor interest to invest in the company. Keywords : stock return, profitability ratio, size.

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