scholarly journals Early Detection of Failed Bank Through Analysis of Financial Ratios and Bank Shareholders Ratios Using Data Mining For Rural Banks

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-15
Author(s):  
Hanna Mutia Agista ◽  
Eka Budiarto ◽  
Bagus Mahawan

This study aims to determine the effect of 8 bank financial ratios such as BOPO (operational efficiency ratio), CAR (Capital Adequacy Ratio), NPL (Non Performing Loan), ROA (Return On Assets), CR (Cash Ratio), KAP (quality of productive assets), PPAP (provision for loan losses) and LDR (Loan Deposit Ratio) and another ratio, namely Bank’s Shareholder ratio towards bank predictions whether a rural bank will be declared as failed bank or not. Eight financial ratios and another ratio that comparing BOD and BOC to Bank's Shareholders can be obtained from quarterly rural bank’s financial reports that have been published on the IFSA website from 2014 until 2018. The data in this research is approximately 1000 rural banks for training dataset. The method to predict rural bank become failed bank is data mining. The training dataset used is an imbalanced dataset. In order to be balanced, the SMOTE method is used. The balance dataset was then analyzed with the data mining process. The data mining methods used are KNN and Naïve Bayes, both are classification method.

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 10-13
Author(s):  
Preeta Sinha ◽  
Protik Basu

To reinforce the stability of the financial system, policy makers and the Basel committee have proposed Basel accord to ensure that financial institutions maintain sufficient capital buffers. Basel III framework emphasizes on sustained increase in bank capital in order to absorb the potential credit, market and operational risks. The capital adequacy requirement under Basel III norms are directly linked to the PCA (Prompt Corrective action) framework which has disrupted the flow of credit in the economy. Market risk, Credit risk, Operational risk and deposits are some of the factors affecting the capital adequacy ratio (CAR) which influences the bank performances. This study aims at analysing the most important factor responsible for the shrinking liquidity due to adherence of stringent capital adequacy ratio imposed by RBI. Currently 11 public sector Banks out of 21 PSUs under PCA has sequentially shrunk their loan book including UCO Bank. The bank’s asset quality has worsened over the years. Using regression analysis, this paper seeks to study the major determinants of Capital Adequacy ratio using data sets for the period from 2009 to 2018 of UCO bank. The data was collected from the financial reports of the UCO bank for the aforesaid period. Among the parameters considered, it was found that deposits affect the CAR the most and market risk has the lowest impact on CAR.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-78
Author(s):  
Hanif Artafani Biasmara ◽  
Pande Made Rahayu Srijayanti

Abstrak  - Pada tahun 2020, telah ditetapkan pelaksanaan merger antara tiga Bank Umum Syariah yang merupakan anak perusahaan dari Bank Badan Usaha Milik Negara (BUMN). Dimana ketiga bank tersebut adalah PT Bank Syariah Mandiri, PT Bank BRIsyariah, Tbk, dan PT Bank BNI Syariah. Penelitian ini dilakukan untuk mengukur kinerja keuangan ketiga bank tersebut sebelum dilakukannya merger dan pengaruhnya terhadap Return on Asset (ROA). Dalam penelitian ini, kinerja keuangan akan diukur dengan variabel Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR), Non Performing Financing (NPF), Biaya Operasional dan Pendapatan Operasional (BOPO), dan persentase pertumbuhan Dana Pihak Ketiga (DPK). Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini merupakan data sekunder yang diperoleh melalui laporan keuangan tahunan dari masing-masing bank dengan periode tahun 2015-2019. Dimana data diolah dan dianalisis dengan menggunakan Regresi Linear Data Panel melalui perangkat lunak Stata 16. Kinerja ketiga Bank Umum Syariah sebelum dimerger menunjukkan hasil yang baik. Selama lima tahun terakhir CAR dan NPF memiliki kinerja yang memuaskan. FDR dan BOPO berada sedikit melenceng dari batas minimum ataupun maksimum. Berikutnya, pertumbuhan DPK rata-rata sebesar 15, 89333%. Seluruh variabel kinerja bank tersebut setelah dilakukan pengolahan data, menunjukkan bahwa variabel CAR, FDR, NPF, BOPO, dan pertumbuhan DPK bersama-sama memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap ROA. Sedangkan secara parsial, CAR, NPF, dan pertumbuhan DPK tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap ROA. Tetapi FDR dan BOPO memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap ROA. Dimana melalui penelitian ini diharapkan dapat menjadi pertimbangan bagi PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk dalam upaya memperoleh kinerja yang baik dan pertumbuhan profitabilitas yang tinggiKata Kunci: CAR, FDR, NPF, BOPO, Pertumbuhan DPK, ROA, Bank Umum Syariah Abstract - In 2020, the implementation of a merger between three Islamic Commercial Banks which are subsidiaries of the State-Owned Enterprise (BUMN) Bank has been determined. Where the three banks are PT Bank Syariah Mandiri, PT Bank BRIsyariah, Tbk, and PT Bank BNI Syariah. This research was conducted to measure the financial performance of the three banks before the merger, and their effect on Return on Assets (ROA). In this study, financial performance will be measured by the variable Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR), Non-Performing Financing (NPF), Operational Costs and Operating Income (OEOI), and the percentage growth in Third Party Funds (TPF).The data used in this study is secondary data obtained through the annual financial reports of each bank for the period 2015-2019. Where the data is processed and analyzed using Linear Data Panel regression through Stata 16. The performance of the three Islamic Commercial Banks before the merger showed good results. Over the last five years, CAR and NPF have performed satisfactorily. FDR and BOPO have slightly deviated from the minimum or maximum limits. Next, the growth in deposits was an average of 15.89333%. All of these bank performance variables, after data processing, show that the variables CAR, FDR, NPF, OEOI, and TPF growth together have a significant effect on ROA. Meanwhile, partially, CAR, NPF, and TPF growth have not a significant effect on ROA. However, FDR and BOPO have a significant effect on ROA. Where through this research it is hoped that in the future it can be a consideration for PT Bank Syariah Indonesia, Tbk to obtain good performance and high profitability growth.Keywords: CAR, FDR, NPF, OEOI, TPF Growth, ROA, Islamic Commercial Banks


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-55
Author(s):  
Ilani Pujiyanti ◽  
Faisal Rakhman

The level of BRISyariah Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) for the period 2015-2019 is already in the very healthy category (above 12%), while the level of Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR) is still in a fairly healthy category (around 85%), the ratio of Operating Costs to Operating Income ( BOPO) is in the unhealthy category (above 95%), as well as the level of Return On Assets (ROA), especially during 2019, is in the unhealthy category (below 0.5%). This study analyzes the influence of CAR, FDR, BOPO on ROA in BRISyariah. This research is a quantitative type with an associative approach. With secondary data in the form of published quarterly financial reports of BRISyariah for the period 2015-2019. Tests conducted to determine the relationship and influence between variables partially and simultaneously, multiple regression, coefficient of determination, t test and F test. The results of this study indicate that (1) there is a negative effect of CAR on ROA where the value of tcount>ttable (2.352>2.120) is on the negative side with R2 of 23.5%, (2) there is no effect of FDR on ROA where the tcount value is<ttable (-0,127<2,120) with R2 of 0.1%, (3) there is a negative effect of BOPO on ROA where the tcount>ttable (11,823>2,120) with the tcount on the negative side, while the R2 value is 88.8 %. (4) simultaneously there is a significant effect of CAR, FDR and BOPO on ROA with the results of Fcount>Ftable (331,743> 3,24) with a R2 value of 98.4%. The concluded that the risk of own capital (CAR) in high number and the more inefficient bank operations (BOPO), make ability the bank's is low to increase profits.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 131-148
Author(s):  
Yoni Elmadwita ◽  
Novi Mubyarto

This research aims to analyze the effect of capital adequacy, financing risk, and operational efficiency on the profitability of Bank Muamalat Indonesia. This research uses a quantitative descriptive approach, the object of research is the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR / KPMM) as a proxy for capital adequacy, Non-Performing Financing (NPF) as a proxy for financing risk, Operational Costs Operating Income (BOPO / REO) as a proxy for operational efficiency, and Return on Assets (ROA) as a proxy for profitability. The research subjects are the annual and quarterly financial reports of PT. Bank Muamalat Indonesia for the period 2012 - 2017. Methods of data analysis using multiple linear regression. The results showed that CAR had no significant effect on ROA. Meanwhile, NPF and BOPO have a negative and significant effect on ROA. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh kecukupan modal, pembiayaan bermasalah, dan efisiensi operasional terhadap profitabilitas Bank Muamalat Indonesia. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan deskriptif kuantitatif, Objek penelitian adalah Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR/KPMM) sebagai proksi dari kecukupan modal, Non-Performing Financing (NPF) sebagai proksi dari pembiayaan bermasalah, Biaya Operasional Pendapatan Operasional (BOPO/REO) sebagai proksi dari efisiensi operasional dan Return on Asset (ROA) sebagai proksi dari profitabilitas. Subjek penelitian adalah laporan keuangan tahunan (Annual Report) dan triwulanan PT. Bank Muamalat Indonesia periode 2012 – 2017. Metode analisis data menggunakan regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian diketahui bahwa CAR tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap ROA. Sementara itu, NPF dan BOPO mempunyai pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap ROA.


Akuntabilitas ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-238
Author(s):  
Hasan Ashari ◽  
Trinandari P Nugrahanti

This research based on the many problematic rural banks (BPR) in Indonesia and had declared as failing banks those their business licenses had revoked by the bank supervisory authority. This paper aims to explain the conditions that occurred in the last years of a BPR before experiencing failure and to analyze the causes of this condition based on interviews with practitioners who had taken handle failed bank resolutions and references and financial indicators in the BPR. The bank condition is seen based on the financial reports for the last two years submitted by the BPR to the bank supervisory authority. This research was conducted by conducting interviews, studying literature, and analyzing the main financial ratios of banks by taking a sample of 31 rural banks whose business licenses had been revoked by the bank supervisory authority. The concluding of this study is mismanagement is the main factor that has impacted increasing of Non-Performing Loan (NPL), Operating Expense to Operating Income (OEOI), and Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR), it Also has consistently decreasing Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) and Return on Asset (ROA).


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 124-143
Author(s):  
Abid Djazuli ◽  
Mister Candera

Islamic banking is one of the financial institutions whose activities are financial intermediation between the owners of capital and those who need capital. This study was conducted to know and analyze the impact of inflation as a moderating influence of financial performance on the growth of Islamic banking in Indonesia. The financial performance used consists of return on assets (ROA), non-performing financing (NPF), net operating margin (NOM), capital adequacy ratio (CAR), financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR), and operating expenses for operating income (BOPO). The data used is secondary data, obtained from the results of financial reports published on the official website of the Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) from January 2015 to December 2019. The analysis results show that, in general, inflation cannot moderate the influence of financial performance on rbanking growth—Sharia in Indonesia. Inflation can only be a predictor of the effect of return On Assets and net operating margin on the growth of Islamic banking in Indonesia. Meanwhile, the variables of non-performing financing (NPF), capital adequacy ratio (CAR), financing to deposit ratio (FDR), and operating expenses for operating income (BOPO) are not able to be a moderator or as a predictor


Author(s):  
M. Noor Salim ◽  
Lucya Oktavia Mundung

This study aims to analyze the effect of Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and Net Interest Margin (NIM) on Return on Assets (ROA) and the influence of Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR), Net Interest Margin (NIM) and Return on Assets (ROA) to the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) of the five largest private banks in Indonesia in the 2009 - 2018 period. The sample used in this study consisted of 5 conventional private banks listed on the IDX. This study uses panel data obtained from Bank Indonesia reports and annual financial reports that have been audited and published by sample banks on the IDX By using the Fixed Effect Model with the help of Eviews 10, the F test shows that the LDR and NIM variables together have a significant effect on ROA of 77.69% while the remaining 22.31% is influenced by other factors not included in the research model. LDR, NIM and ROA variables together have a significant effect on CAR of 42.85% while the remaining 57.15% are influenced by other factors not included in this study where previously classical assumption tests such as Stationary, Multicollinearity, Test Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation test. Based on the results of the t test it was found that the LDR and NIM partially had no significant effect on ROA. LDR has a significant effect on CAR. Meanwhile, NIM and ROA partially had no significant effect on CAR


KEUNIS ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 78
Author(s):  
Wisnu Adi Wibowo ◽  
Nina Woelan Soebroto ◽  
Embun Duriany Soemarso

<em>This study aims to analyze the influence of Ratio Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and Operational Income Cost Effect (BOPO) partially or simultaneously to Return On Assets (ROA) at Bank Umum Syariah in Indonesia., The period 2015-2017. The data used in this study obtained from the quarterly financial reports through the website. Population and sample in this research is Bank Syariah Mandiri, Bank Mega Syariah and Bank BNI Syariah. The results of hypothesis testing using multiple linear regression analysis using SPSS 16. The result of determination coefficient shows the result of 0,774 or 77,4% of variable Return On Assets (ROA) influenced by Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and Operational Income Cost Effect (BOPO), the remaining 22,6% is influenced by other factors. The results of the F test or simultaneously Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and Operational Income Cost Effect (BOPO) together have a significant effect on Return On Assets (ROA). While t test or partially, Operational Income Cost Effect (BOPO) have significant influence to Return On Assets (ROA) while Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) and Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) has no significant effect to Return On Assets (ROA) on Bank Umum Syariah in Indonesia Period 2015-2017.</em>


Author(s):  
Faiza Husnayeni Nahar ◽  
Calvin Faza ◽  
Muhammad Azizurrohman

Having experienced significant growth, sharia commercial bank in Indonesia has become one of the drivers of economic growth in Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic and financial ratios on the profitability of Islamic commercial banks in Indonesia. This study used qualitative data using secondary data during the period 2011-2018. The methodology used is panel data which combines time series data and cross section data. Variables used include Non Performing Finance (NPF), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR), Operational Efficiency Ratio (OER), Inflation, Domestic Product Growth (GDP), and Exchange Rates. The results of this study indicate that Non-Performing Finance (NPF), Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Financing to Deposit Ratio (FDR), Operational Efficiency Ratio (OER) have a significant influence on Islamic Bank Return On Assets (ROA) in Indonesia. Meanwhile, Growth Domestic Product (GDP), and Exchange Rate appear with no significant effect on the Return on Assets (ROA) of Sharia Commercial Banks in Indonesia.


2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Ataur Rahman ◽  
Md. Asaduzzaman ◽  
Md. Shakhaowat Hossin

This study investigates the influences of a set of financial ratios on non-performing loans and to show to what extent of listed commercial banks in Bangladesh. In this study, we applied an econometric model to find out correlations among financial ratios and a sample of 96 observations has been analyzed from 20 banks out of 30 listed commercial banks during 2010-2015. This paper mostly agrees with the existing literature that, credit-deposit ratio, net interest margin have a positive influence on the non-performing loans and capital adequacy ratio, return on assets have a negative influence on the non-performing loans. This research also reveals that, sensitive sector’s loan, priority sector’s loan have significant positive influence on the non-performing loans and unsecured loans, profit per employee, investment deposit ratio have significant negative impact on gross non-performing loan. The findings of this research would help commercial banks to maintain standard financial ratios in order to improve their loan qualities and it would be beneficial to the central bank to examine its existing policy in banking supervision relating to the ratios of regulatory requirements like capital adequacy ratio the banks shall maintain.


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