scholarly journals The Impacts of Bilateral Trade and Foreign Direct Investment on Malaysia’s Economic Growth: The Roles of Singapore

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 419-432
Author(s):  
Chee-Yie Wong ◽  
Hui-Shan Lee ◽  
Shyue-Chuan Chong

Open economy is essential for a country to achieve sustainable economic growth. There existsa bilateral tiebetween Malaysia and Singapore since 1965. Thisrelationship has made Singaporeachievedas a high-income nation that enjoys modern infrastructure and technology, skilled labour, and strong financial structure, but Malaysia is still trying to upgrade itself to become a high-income nation via open economy. Furthermore, Malaysia’s reliance on the external market has inevitablyleft the economy to be more exposed to external shock. This research analysesthe impacts of Malaysia’s bilateral trade and investment with Singapore on Malaysia’s economic growth from2008 to 2016. Vector error correction model (VECM) reveals that Malaysia’s exports to Singapore arepositive and significant on Malaysia’s economic growth and Malaysia’s OFDI in Singapore is significant but negative on Malaysia’s economic growth.However, Malaysia’s imports from Singapore and Malaysia’s inward foreign direct investment (IFDI) by Singapore have insignificant impacts on Malaysia’s economic growth. It concludes that only Malaysia’s exports to Singapore can help to increase Malaysia’s economic growth.Thus,Malaysia’sgovernment couldprovide incentives to encourage Malaysian local firms to boost the exportationsto Singapore.

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 1042-1055 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheereen Fauzel ◽  
Boopen Seetanah ◽  
R.V. Sannassee

The present study attempts to address the important question of whether foreign direct investment (FDI) flowing into the tourism sector has served to enhance economic growth in Mauritius for the period 1984–2014. Using a dynamic vector error correction model, and catering for dynamism, the results show that tourism FDI has indeed contributed to fostering economic growth; albeit the magnitude of the coefficient being relatively smaller than FDI in the non-tourism sector. A plausible explanation for such a finding may reside in the fact that the bulk of FDI flows in the non-tourism sectors while domestic investment predominates in the tourism sector in Mauritius. The findings also demonstrate a positive relationship between tourism development and economic growth, thus supporting the tourism-led growth hypothesis.


Accounting ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 1371-1378 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duy Thuc Nguyen ◽  
Luu Cuong Tran ◽  
Thi Ngoc Han Bui ◽  
Thi Thanh Thuy Ngo ◽  
Thi Le Hang Nguyen

This study aims to examine the causal relationship between foreign direct investment, exports and economic growth in Dong Nai province, Vietnam from 1999 to 2019. The study uses several economic models such as Vector Auto Regression - VAR (p), Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger causality tests to evaluate relationships between research model variables. The results show that foreign direct investment and exports have the positive effects on Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP). Therefore, this study recommends some policy implementation to simulate the foreign direct investment. Particularly, the policy makers in Dong Nai province should be aware of the role of foreign direct investment and export incentive policies, which is an important driving force for the socio-economic development of Dong Nai province, Vietnam.


2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (6) ◽  
pp. 1201-1223 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rudra Pradhan ◽  
Mak B. Arvin ◽  
Sahar Bahmani ◽  
John H. Hall

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to consider the heterogeneous relationship among financial development, foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth, examining the possible directions of causality among them in both the short and long runs. Design/methodology/approach A sample of the G-20 countries over the period 1970–2016 is utilized. A vector error-correction model is used to consider the possible directions of causality among financial development, FDI and economic growth. Findings Results suggest a cointegrating relationship among the three series. Although short-run links among the variables are mostly non-uniform, both financial development and FDI matter in the determination of long-run economic growth. Practical implications Attention must be paid to policies that promote financial development. This, in turn, calls for fostering incentives to guarantee continued support to liberalize the economy and promoting capital openness. Additionally, financial infrastructure should be improved to improve financial innovation. The establishment of a well-developed financial market, including well-functioning banks and other financial institutions, can facilitate further investment and an easier means of raising capital to support the activities of FDI. Economic growth can ultimately be elevated through both financial development and FDI. Originality/value The study considers a sample of the G-20 countries, which have received relatively little attention in the existing literature. In addition, the study concurrently analyses the trivariate causal relationship among financial development, FDI and economic growth, a topic on which there has been a dearth of research.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Saliha Meftah ◽  
Abdelkader Nassour

Foreign direct investment (FDI) is an essential factor in the development of a country. This study aims to examine what factors influence foreign direct investment. By using the vector error correction model, the research shows that there is a long-term causality relationship between exchange rates and inflation with FDI. However, in the short term, there are no variables that affect FDI. Besides, the Granger causality test shows causality in the direction of GDP and FDI, while other variables do not have causality. This research has implications for policymakers to pay attention to macroeconomic variables in increasing the flow of foreign direct investment.


2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 267-275
Author(s):  
Abraham Babu

The relationship between foreign direct investment and domestic investment is intriguing. An important question arises - does foreign direct investment crowd in or crowd out domestic investment? This paper examines this nexus in the post-1991 period in India, which is also considered as the post-reform period. It is during this era; the above-mentioned topic gains more impetus as the economy opened up for further foreign inflows. The time period taken for the paper was from 1990-91 to 2014-15. The data series were checked for stationarity and the presence of long run relationship between foreign direct investment and domestic investment was analysed using cointegration test. Thereafter, the vector error correction model was estimated. The results clearly show that foreign direct investment crowds out domestic investment in India in the post reform period. The findings have significant policy implications because there is a substituting relationship between foreign direct investment and domestic investment in India.


2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 51-72
Author(s):  
Ari Mulianta Ginting

Penelitian ini menganalisis perkembangan neraca perdagangan Indonesia dan faktor yang mempengaruhinya selama periode Kuartal I tahun 2006 sampai dengan Kuartal II tahun 2013 menggunakan Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Neraca perdagangan Indonesia menunjukkan perkembangan yang positif dalam kurun waktu 2006-2011, dan pertumbuhan negatif selama periode 2012-2013. Penelitian ini juga menemukan bahwa baik dalam jangka panjang maupun jangka pendek, konsumsi domestik dan nilai tukar riil berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap neraca perdagangan Indonesia, sedangkan variabel Investasi Asing Langsung dan PDB Negara lain berpengaruh positif. Nilai error correction model yang negatif dan signifikan menunjukkan adanya koreksi dari pergerakan variabel pada keseimbangan jangka panjang. Hal ini mengindikasikan pentingnya pemerintah untuk mengeluarkan kebijakan yang tepat untuk mengatasi defisit neraca perdagangan Indonesia, antara lain menjaga stabilitas nilai tukar, mengendalikan konsumsi masyarat terhadap barang impor, dan menarik Foreign Direct Investment. This paper examines the development of Indonesia’s trade balance and its determinant factors from the first quarter of 2006 to the second quarter of 2013 using a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The development of trade balance from the year 2006-2011 has shown a positive trend. However between the year 2012 and 2013, the trade balance has been negative.The analysis shows that both in the short run and the long run,the domestic consumption and Real Exchage Rate have negative and significant influence on Indonesia’s trade balance. Whilst Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign GDP have positive effect. The coefficient of Error Correction Model is negative and significant implying that there is correction movement from those variabels in the long run. This study suggests that the Government should make the right policy to overcome the deficit of trade balance by maintaining including exchange rate stability,and household consumption of imported goods as well as by attracting Foreign Direct Investment.


2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 82-104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Champa Bati Dutta ◽  
Mohammed Ziaul Haider ◽  
Debasish Kumar Das

This article investigates the causal relationship among foreign direct investment, domestic investment, trade openness and economic growth in Bangladesh over the period 1976–2014. Unit root tests, cointegration methods and Granger causality tests in Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) framework are used to investigate the relationships. The results of Granger causality test based on a stable VECM support a unidirectional causality running from foreign direct investment to growth, domestic investment to trade openness, growth to trade openness and bidirectional causality between domestic investment and growth and foreign direct investment and domestic investment. The results support the investment complementarities in Bangladesh. JEL Classification: E22, F1, O40


Author(s):  
Ozegbe, Azuka Elvis ◽  
Ogunlana, Olarewaju Fatai ◽  
Nwani, Stanley Emife ◽  
Onochie, Stanley Nwabuisi

The study investigated the effectiveness of export in the attainment of inclusive growth in Nigeria. The study functionally expressed inclusive growth as a function of oil export, non oil export, investment and foreign direct investment. In order to achieve the objectives of the study, a number of literature were reviewed, however, there were empirical regularities in the literature embracing inclusive growth as critical determinant of sustainable growth. Within the context of secondary data which spanned the period 1970-2016, the study utilized econometric technique to analyze inclusive growth model. In the model, real per capita income (proxy inclusive growth) is expressed as a function of oil exports, non oil export, investment and foreign direct investment. In particular, a number of diagnostic tests were carried out on the data before estimation in order to prevent spurious results. These include the unit root test, co-integration test and vector error correction tests. The stationarity test indicated that the data were stationary at first difference, while the co-integration test suggested long run co movement among the variables. In addition, the vector error correction model indicated the relationships among the inclusive growth fundamentals. Findings from the results indicated that in the long run, the coefficients of oil and non oil exports have negative effect on inclusive growth (proxied by real GDP per capita) while investment and foreign direct investment impacted positively on inclusive growth, while in the short run, oil exports and non oil export positively and significantly influenced inclusive growth in Nigeria. This study further suggested that government should intensify policy towards stimulating oil export and promote foreign investment inflows. More so, policy thrust should also embrace diversification of the economic base from monolithic base structure to agriculture.


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