scholarly journals Machine Learning and Metaheuristic Methods for Renewable Power Forecasting: A Recent Review

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanin Alkabbani ◽  
Ali Ahmadian ◽  
Qinqin Zhu ◽  
Ali Elkamel
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Solar Power ◽  
Electricity Sector ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Renewable Power ◽  
Metaheuristic Methods ◽  
Metaheuristic Techniques ◽  
Power Forecasting

The global trend toward a green sustainable future encouraged the penetration of renewable energies into the electricity sector to satisfy various demands of the market. Successful and steady integrations of renewables into the microgrids necessitate building reliable, accurate wind and solar power forecasters adopting these renewables' stochastic behaviors. In a few reported literature studies, machine learning- (ML-) based forecasters have been widely utilized for wind power and solar power forecasting with promising and accurate results. The objective of this article is to provide a critical systematic review of existing wind power and solar power ML forecasters, namely artificial neural networks (ANNs), recurrent neural networks (RNNs), support vector machines (SVMs), and extreme learning machines (ELMs). In addition, special attention is paid to metaheuristics accompanied by these ML models. Detailed comparisons of the different ML methodologies and the metaheuristic techniques are performed. The significant drawn-out findings from the reviewed papers are also summarized based on the forecasting targets and horizons in tables. Finally, challenges and future directions for research on the ML solar and wind prediction methods are presented. This review can guide scientists and engineers in analyzing and selecting the appropriate prediction approaches based on the different circumstances and applications.

scholarly journals An Evaluation on Diverse Machine Learning Algorithms for Hourly Univariate Wind Power Prediction in the Arctic

2021 ◽  
Vol 2141 (1) ◽  
pp. 012016
Author(s):  
Hao Chen ◽  
Yngve Birkelund
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Power Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Forecasting ◽  
Arctic Regions ◽  
Power Forecasting

Abstract Wind power forecasting is crucial for wind power systems, grid load balance, maintenance, and grid operation optimization. The utilization of wind energy in the Arctic regions helps reduce greenhouse gas emissions in this environmentally vulnerable area. In the present study, eight various models, seven of which are representative machine learning algorithms, are used to make 1, 2, and 3 step hourly wind power predictions for five wind parks inside the Norwegian Arctic regions, and their performance is compared. Consequently, we recommend the persistence model, multilayer perceptron, and support vector regression for univariate time-series wind power forecasting within the time horizon of 3 hours.

Wind Power Forecasting Using Wavelet Transform and General Regression Neural Network for Ontario Electricity Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 16-26
Author(s):  
Sumit Saroha ◽  
Sanjeev K. Aggarwal
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Wavelet Transform ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Electricity Market ◽  
General Regression Neural Network ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Wind Power Forecasting ◽  
General Regression ◽  
Power Forecasting

Objective: The estimation accuracy of wind power is an important subject of concern for reliable grid operations and taking part in open access. So, with an objective to improve the wind power forecasting accuracy. Methods: This article presents Wavelet Transform (WT) based General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) with statistical time series input selection technique. Results: The results of the proposed model are compared with four different models namely naïve benchmark model, feed forward neural networks, recurrent neural networks and GRNN on the basis of Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) performance metric. Conclusion: The historical data used by the presented models has been collected from the Ontario Electricity Market for the year 2011 to 2015 and tested for a long time period of more than two years (28 months) from November 2012 to February 2015 with one month estimation moving window.

scholarly journals Numerical Weather Prediction and Artificial Neural Network Coupling for Wind Energy Forecast

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 338
Author(s):  
Lorenzo Donadio ◽  
Jiannong Fang ◽  
Fernando Porté-Agel
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Numerical Weather Prediction ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Wind Power Forecasting ◽  
Numerical Weather ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Power Forecasting

In the past two decades, wind energy has been under fast development worldwide. The dramatic increase of wind power penetration in electricity production has posed a big challenge to grid integration due to the high uncertainty of wind power. Accurate real-time forecasts of wind farm power outputs can help to mitigate the problem. Among the various techniques developed for wind power forecasting, the hybridization of numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning (ML) techniques such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) are attracting many researchers world-wide nowadays, because it has the potential to yield more accurate forecasts. In this paper, two hybrid NWP and ANN models for wind power forecasting over a highly complex terrain are proposed. The developed models have a fine temporal resolution and a sufficiently large prediction horizon (>6 h ahead). Model 1 directly forecasts the energy production of each wind turbine. Model 2 forecasts first the wind speed, then converts it to the power using a fitted power curve. Effects of various modeling options (selection of inputs, network structures, etc.) on the model performance are investigated. Performances of different models are evaluated based on four normalized error measures. Statistical results of model predictions are presented with discussions. Python was utilized for task automation and machine learning. The end result is a fully working library for wind power predictions and a set of tools for running the models in forecast mode. It is shown that the proposed models are able to yield accurate wind farm power forecasts at a site with high terrain and flow complexities. Especially, for Model 2, the normalized Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Squared Error are obtained as 8.76% and 13.03%, respectively, lower than the errors reported by other models in the same category.

414 Deep Neural Networks: A Survey Tool for Obstructive Sleep Apnea Prediction

SLEEP ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. A164-A164
Author(s):  
Pahnwat Taweesedt ◽  
JungYoon Kim ◽  
Jaehyun Park ◽  
Jangwoon Park ◽  
Munish Sharma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Obstructive Sleep Apnea ◽  
Sleep Apnea ◽  
Deep Neural Networks ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Obstructive Sleep ◽  
Screening Questionnaires ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Introduction Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a common sleep-related breathing disorder with an estimation of one billion people. Full-night polysomnography is considered the gold standard for OSA diagnosis. However, it is time-consuming, expensive and is not readily available in many parts of the world. Many screening questionnaires and scores have been proposed for OSA prediction with high sensitivity and low specificity. The present study is intended to develop models with various machine learning techniques to predict the severity of OSA by incorporating features from multiple questionnaires. Methods Subjects who underwent full-night polysomnography in Torr sleep center, Texas and completed 5 OSA screening questionnaires/scores were included. OSA was diagnosed by using Apnea-Hypopnea Index ≥ 5. We trained five different machine learning models including Deep Neural Networks with the scaled principal component analysis (DNN-PCA), Random Forest (RF), Adaptive Boosting classifier (ABC), and K-Nearest Neighbors classifier (KNC) and Support Vector Machine Classifier (SVMC). Training:Testing subject ratio of 65:35 was used. All features including demographic data, body measurement, snoring and sleepiness history were obtained from 5 OSA screening questionnaires/scores (STOP-BANG questionnaires, Berlin questionnaires, NoSAS score, NAMES score and No-Apnea score). Performance parametrics were used to compare between machine learning models. Results Of 180 subjects, 51.5 % of subjects were male with mean (SD) age of 53.6 (15.1). One hundred and nineteen subjects were diagnosed with OSA. Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUROC) of DNN-PCA, RF, ABC, KNC, SVMC, STOP-BANG questionnaire, Berlin questionnaire, NoSAS score, NAMES score, and No-Apnea score were 0.85, 0.68, 0.52, 0.74, 0.75, 0.61, 0.63, 0,61, 0.58 and 0,58 respectively. DNN-PCA showed the highest AUROC with sensitivity of 0.79, specificity of 0.67, positive-predictivity of 0.93, F1 score of 0.86, and accuracy of 0.77. Conclusion Our result showed that DNN-PCA outperforms OSA screening questionnaires, scores and other machine learning models. Support (if any):

scholarly journals A Compound Wind Power Forecasting Strategy Based on Clustering, Two-Stage Decomposition, Parameter Optimization, and Optimal Combination of Multiple Machine Learning Approaches

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (18) ◽  
pp. 3586 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sizhou Sun ◽  
Jingqi Fu ◽  
Ang Li
Keyword(s):  
Wind Power ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Wind Power Forecasting ◽  
Power Forecasting

Given the large-scale exploitation and utilization of wind power, the problems caused by the high stochastic and random characteristics of wind speed make researchers develop more reliable and precise wind power forecasting (WPF) models. To obtain better predicting accuracy, this study proposes a novel compound WPF strategy by optimal integration of four base forecasting engines. In the forecasting process, density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) is firstly employed to identify meaningful information and discard the abnormal wind power data. To eliminate the adverse influence of the missing data on the forecasting accuracy, Lagrange interpolation method is developed to get the corrected values of the missing points. Then, the two-stage decomposition (TSD) method including ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and wavelet transform (WT) is utilized to preprocess the wind power data. In the decomposition process, the empirical wind power data are disassembled into different intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) and one residual (Res) by EEMD, and the highest frequent time series IMF1 is further broken into different components by WT. After determination of the input matrix by a partial autocorrelation function (PACF) and normalization into [0, 1], these decomposed components are used as the input variables of all the base forecasting engines, including least square support vector machine (LSSVM), wavelet neural networks (WNN), extreme learning machine (ELM) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), to make the multistep WPF. To avoid local optima and improve the forecasting performance, the parameters in LSSVM, ELM, and WNN are tuned by backtracking search algorithm (BSA). On this basis, BSA algorithm is also employed to optimize the weighted coefficients of the individual forecasting results that produced by the four base forecasting engines to generate an ensemble of the forecasts. In the end, case studies for a certain wind farm in China are carried out to assess the proposed forecasting strategy.

scholarly journals Impacts of multicollinearity on CAPT modalities: An heterogeneous machine learning framework for computer-assisted French phoneme pronunciation training

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (10) ◽  
pp. e0257901
Author(s):  
Yanjing Bi ◽  
Chao Li ◽  
Yannick Benezeth ◽  
Fan Yang
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Support Vector Machines ◽  
Partial Least Square ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Computer Assisted ◽  
Long Distance ◽  
Relationship Analysis ◽  
Vector Machines

Phoneme pronunciations are usually considered as basic skills for learning a foreign language. Practicing the pronunciations in a computer-assisted way is helpful in a self-directed or long-distance learning environment. Recent researches indicate that machine learning is a promising method to build high-performance computer-assisted pronunciation training modalities. Many data-driven classifying models, such as support vector machines, back-propagation networks, deep neural networks and convolutional neural networks, are increasingly widely used for it. Yet, the acoustic waveforms of phoneme are essentially modulated from the base vibrations of vocal cords, and this fact somehow makes the predictors collinear, distorting the classifying models. A commonly-used solution to address this issue is to suppressing the collinearity of predictors via partial least square regressing algorithm. It allows to obtain high-quality predictor weighting results via predictor relationship analysis. However, as a linear regressor, the classifiers of this type possess very simple topology structures, constraining the universality of the regressors. For this issue, this paper presents an heterogeneous phoneme recognition framework which can further benefit the phoneme pronunciation diagnostic tasks by combining the partial least square with support vector machines. A French phoneme data set containing 4830 samples is established for the evaluation experiments. The experiments of this paper demonstrates that the new method improves the accuracy performance of the phoneme classifiers by 0.21 − 8.47% comparing to state-of-the-arts with different data training data density.

Introduction and Implementation of Machine Learning Algorithms in R

2019 ◽  
pp. 126-147
Author(s):  
S. R. Mani Sekhar ◽  
G. M. Siddesh
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Computer Science ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Linear Discriminant ◽  
The Given

Machine learning is one of the important areas in the field of computer science. It helps to provide an optimized solution for the real-world problems by using past knowledge or previous experience data. There are different types of machine learning algorithms present in computer science. This chapter provides the overview of some selected machine learning algorithms such as linear regression, linear discriminant analysis, support vector machine, naive Bayes classifier, neural networks, and decision trees. Each of these methods is illustrated in detail with an example and R code, which in turn assists the reader to generate their own solutions for the given problems.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document