scholarly journals Assistance by Routine CT Features Combined With 3D Texture Analysis in the Diagnosis of BRCA Gene Mutation Status in Advanced Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meng-ru Li ◽  
Ming-zhu Liu ◽  
Ya-qiong Ge ◽  
Ying Zhou ◽  
Wei Wei
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Gene Mutation ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Peritoneal Metastasis ◽  
Texture Features ◽  
Brca Gene ◽  
Ct Features ◽  
Brca Gene Mutation

PurposeTo evaluate the predictive value of routine CT features combined with 3D texture analysis for prediction of BRCA gene mutation status in advanced epithelial ovarian cancer.MethodRetrospective analysis was performed on patients with masses occupying the pelvic space confirmed by pathology and complete preoperative images in our hospital, including 37 and 58 cases with mutant type and wild type BRCA, respectively (total: 95 cases). The enrolled patients’ routine CT features were analyzed by two radiologists. Then, ROIs were jointly determined through negotiation, and the ITK-SNAP software package was used for 3D outlining of the third-stage images of the primary tumor lesions and obtaining texture features. For routine CT features and texture features, Mann-Whitney U tests, single-factor logistic regression analysis, minimum redundancy, and maximum correlation were used for feature screening, and the performance of individual features was evaluated by ROC curves. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to further screen features, find independent predictors, and establish the prediction model. The established model’s diagnostic efficiency was evaluated by ROC curve analysis, and the histogram was obtained to conduct visual analysis of the prediction model.ResultsAmong the routine CT features, the type of peritoneal metastasis, mesenteric involvement, and supradiaphragmatic lymph node enlargement were correlated with BRCA gene mutation (P < 0.05), whereas the location of the peritoneal metastasis (in the gastrohepatic ligament) was not significantly correlated with BRCA gene mutation (P > 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis retained six features, including one routine CT feature and five texture features. Among them, the type of peritoneal metastasis was used as an independent predictor (P < 0.05), which had the highest diagnostic efficiency. Its AUC, accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity were 0.74, 0.79, 0.90, and 0.62, respectively. The prediction model based on the combination of routine CT features and texture features had an AUC of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.79–0.94) and accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity of 0.80, 0.76, and 0.81, respectively, indicating a better performance than that of any single feature.ConclusionsBoth routine CT features and texture features had value for predicting the mutation state of the BRCA gene, but their predictive efficiency was low. When the two types of features were combined to establish a predictive model, the model’s predictive efficiency was significantly higher than that of independent features.

scholarly journals Predicting Burn Mortality Using a Simple Novel Prediction Model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sneha Sharma ◽  
Raman Tandon
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Receiver Operating Characteristic ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Operating Characteristic ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression ◽  
Apache Ii ◽  
Apache Ii Score ◽  
Binary Logistic Regression Analysis

Abstract Background Prediction of outcome for burn patients allows appropriate allocation of resources and prognostication. There is a paucity of simple to use burn-specific mortality prediction models which consider both endogenous and exogenous factors. Our objective was to create such a model. Methods A prospective observational study was performed on consecutive eligible consenting burns patients. Demographic data, total burn surface area (TBSA), results of complete blood count, kidney function test, and arterial blood gas analysis were collected. The quantitative variables were compared using the unpaired student t-test/nonparametric Mann Whitney U-test. Qualitative variables were compared using the ⊠2-test/Fischer exact test. Binary logistic regression analysis was done and a logit score was derived and simplified. The discrimination of these models was tested using the receiver operating characteristic curve; calibration was checked using the Hosmer—Lemeshow goodness of fit statistic, and the probability of death calculated. Validation was done using the bootstrapping technique in 5,000 samples. A p-value of <0.05 was considered significant. Results On univariate analysis TBSA (p <0.001) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score (p = 0.004) were found to be independent predictors of mortality. TBSA (odds ratio [OR] 1.094, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.037–1.155, p = 0.001) and APACHE II (OR 1.166, 95% CI 1.034–1.313, p = 0.012) retained significance on binary logistic regression analysis. The prediction model devised performed well (area under the receiver operating characteristic 0.778, 95% CI 0.681–0.875). Conclusion The prediction of mortality can be done accurately at the bedside using TBSA and APACHE II score.

Multivariable Logistic Regression Equation to Predict Prostate Cancer

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Ma ◽  
Dong Cheng ◽  
Qinghua Li ◽  
Jingbo Zhu ◽  
Yu Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prostate Specific Antigen ◽  
Sensitivity And Specificity ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Specific Antigen ◽  
Clinical Feature

Abstract Objective: To explore the predictive value of white blood cell (WBC), monocyte (M), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), fibrinogen (FIB), free prostate-specific antigen (fPSA) and free prostate-specific antigen/prostate-specific antigen (f/tPSA) in prostate cancer (PCa).Materials and methods: Retrospective analysis of 200 cases of prostate biopsy and collection of patients' systemic inflammation indicators, biochemical indicators, PSA and fPSA. First, the dimensionality of the clinical feature parameters is reduced by the Lass0 algorithm. Then, the logistic regression prediction model was constructed using the reduced parameters. The cut-off value, sensitivity and specificity of PCa are predicted by the ROC curve analysis and calculation model. Finally, based on Logistic regression analysis, a Nomogram for predicting PCa is obtained.Results: The six clinical indicators of WBC, M, NLR, FIB, fPSA, and f/tPSA were obtained after dimensionality reduction by Lass0 algorithm to improve the accuracy of model prediction. According to the regression coefficient value of each influencing factor, a logistic regression prediction model of PCa was established: logit P=-0.018-0.010×WBC+2.759×M-0.095×NLR-0.160×FIB-0.306×fPSA-2.910×f/tPSA. The area under the ROC curve is 0.816. When the logit P intercept value is -0.784, the sensitivity and specificity are 72.5% and 77.8%, respectively.Conclusion: The establishment of a predictive model through Logistic regression analysis can provide more adequate indications for the diagnosis of PCa. When the logit P cut-off value of the model is greater than -0.784, the model will be predicted to be PCa.

scholarly journals The Prediction Model of Risk Factors for COVID-19 Developing into Severe Illness Based on 1046 Patients with COVID-19

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Zhichuang Lian ◽  
Yafang Li ◽  
Wenyi Wang ◽  
Wei Ding ◽  
Zongxin Niu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Roc Curve ◽  
Curve Analysis ◽  
Severe Illness ◽  
Roc Curve Analysis ◽  
Underlying Diseases

This study analyzed the risk factors for patients with COVID-19 developing severe illnesses and explored the value of applying the logistic model combined with ROC curve analysis to predict the risk of severe illnesses at COVID-19 patients’ admissions. The clinical data of 1046 COVID-19 patients admitted to a designated hospital in a certain city from July to September 2020 were retrospectively analyzed, the clinical characteristics of the patients were collected, and a multivariate unconditional logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors for severe illnesses in COVID-19 patients during hospitalization. Based on the analysis results, a prediction model for severe conditions and the ROC curve were constructed, and the predictive value of the model was assessed. Logistic regression analysis showed that age (OR = 3.257, 95% CI 10.466–18.584), complications with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR = 7.337, 95% CI 0.227–87.021), cough (OR = 5517, 95% CI 0.258–65.024), and venous thrombosis (OR = 7322, 95% CI 0.278–95.020) were risk factors for COVID-19 patients developing severe conditions during hospitalization. When complications were not taken into consideration, COVID-19 patients’ ages, number of diseases, and underlying diseases were risk factors influencing the development of severe illnesses. The ROC curve analysis results showed that the AUC that predicted the severity of COVID-19 patients at admission was 0.943, the optimal threshold was −3.24, and the specificity was 0.824, while the sensitivity was 0.827. The changes in the condition of severe COVID-19 patients are related to many factors such as age, clinical symptoms, and underlying diseases. This study has a certain value in predicting COVID-19 patients that develop from mild to severe conditions, and this prediction model is a useful tool in the quick prediction of the changes in patients’ conditions and providing early intervention for those with risk factors.

scholarly journals Identification of risk factors for daptomycin-associated creatine phosphokinase elevation and development of a risk prediction model for incidence probability

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masaru Samura ◽  
Naoki Hirose ◽  
Takenori Kurata ◽  
Keisuke Takada ◽  
Fumio Nagumo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Risk Prediction ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Creatine Phosphokinase ◽  
Risk Prediction Model ◽  
Risk Scores

Abstract Background In this study, we investigated the risk factors for daptomycin-associated creatine phosphokinase (CPK) elevation and established a risk score for CPK elevation. Methods Patients who received daptomycin at our hospital were classified into the normal or elevated CPK group based on their peak CPK levels during daptomycin therapy. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed, and a risk score and prediction model for the incidence probability of CPK elevation were calculated based on logistic regression analysis. Results The normal and elevated CPK groups included 181 and 17 patients, respectively. Logistic regression analysis revealed that concomitant statin use (odds ratio [OR] 4.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.40–14.47, risk score 4), concomitant antihistamine use (OR 5.66, 95% CI 1.58–20.75, risk score 4), and trough concentration (Cmin) between 20 and &lt;30 µg/mL (OR 14.48, 95% CI 2.90–87.13, risk score 5) and ≥30.0 µg/mL (OR 24.64, 95% CI 3.21–204.53, risk score 5) were risk factors for daptomycin-associated CPK elevation. The predicted incidence probabilities of CPK elevation were &lt;10% (low risk), 10%–&lt;25% (moderate risk), and ≥25% (high risk) with the total risk scores of ≤4, 5–6, and ≥8, respectively. The risk prediction model exhibited a good fit (area under the receiving-operating characteristic curve 0.85, 95% CI 0.74–0.95). Conclusions These results suggested that concomitant use of statins with antihistamines and Cmin ≥20 µg/mL were risk factors for daptomycin-associated CPK elevation. Our prediction model might aid in reducing the incidence of daptomycin-associated CPK elevation.

scholarly journals Failure prediction of government funded start-up firms

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 296-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Lukason ◽  
Kaspar Käsper
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Bankruptcy Prediction ◽  
Financial Ratios ◽  
Development Patterns ◽  
Start Up

This study aims to create a prediction model that would forecast the bankruptcy of government funded start-up firms (GFSUs). Also, the financial development patterns of GFSUs are outlined. The dataset consists of 417 Estonian GFSUs, of which 75 have bankrupted before becoming five years old and 312 have survived for five years. Six financial ratios have been calculated for one (t+1) and two (t+2) years after firms have become active. Weighted logistic regression analysis is applied to create the bankruptcy prediction models and consecutive factor and cluster analyses are applied to outline the financial patterns. Bankruptcy prediction models obtain average classification accuracies, namely 63.8% for t+1 and 67.8% for t+2. The bankrupt firms are distinguished with a higher accuracy than the survived firms, with liquidity and equity ratios being the useful predictors of bankruptcy. Five financial patterns are detected for GFSUs, but bankrupt GFSUs do not follow any distinct patterns that would be characteristic only to them.

scholarly journals Development and validation of a model to estimate the risk of acute ischemic stroke in geriatric patients with primary hypertension

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xifeng Zheng ◽  
Fang Fang ◽  
Weidong Nong ◽  
Dehui Feng ◽  
Yu Yang
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Acute Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Geriatric Patients ◽  
Primary Hypertension ◽  
Multivariable Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Training Set

Abstract Objectives This study aimed to construct and validate a prediction model of acute ischemic stroke in geriatric patients with primary hypertension. Methods This retrospective file review collected information on 1367 geriatric patients diagnosed with primary hypertension and with and without acute ischemic stroke between October 2018 and May 2020. The study cohort was randomly divided into a training set and a testing set at a ratio of 70 to 30%. A total of 15 clinical indicators were assessed using the chi-square test and then multivariable logistic regression analysis to develop the prediction model. We employed the area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curves to assess the performance of the model and a nomogram for visualization. Internal verification by bootstrap resampling (1000 times) and external verification with the independent testing set determined the accuracy of the model. Finally, this model was compared with four machine learning algorithms to identify the most effective method for predicting the risk of stroke. Results The prediction model identified six variables (smoking, alcohol abuse, blood pressure management, stroke history, diabetes, and carotid artery stenosis). The AUC was 0.736 in the training set and 0.730 and 0.725 after resampling and in the external verification, respectively. The calibration curve illustrated a close overlap between the predicted and actual diagnosis of stroke in both the training set and testing validation. The multivariable logistic regression analysis and support vector machine with radial basis function kernel were the best models with an AUC of 0.710. Conclusion The prediction model using multiple logistic regression analysis has considerable accuracy and can be visualized in a nomogram, which is convenient for its clinical application.

scholarly journals The Value of MRI Findings Combined With Texture Analysis in the Differential Diagnosis of Primary Ovarian Granulosa Cell Tumors and Ovarian Thecoma–Fibrothecoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nai-yu Li ◽  
Bin Shi ◽  
Yu-lan Chen ◽  
Pei-pei Wang ◽  
Chuan-bin Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Differential Diagnosis ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Texture Analysis ◽  
Granulosa Cell ◽  
Logistic Regression Analysis ◽  
Texture Features ◽  
Intratumoral Hemorrhage ◽  
Granulosa Cell Tumors ◽  
Ovarian Granulosa Cell

ObjectiveThis study aims to explore the value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and texture analysis (TA) in the differential diagnosis of ovarian granulosa cell tumors (OGCTs) and thecoma-fibrothecoma (OTCA–FTCA).MethodsThe preoperative MRI data of 32 patients with OTCA–FTCA and 14 patients with OGCTs, confirmed by pathological examination between June 2013 and August 2020, were retrospectively analyzed. The texture data of three-dimensional MRI scans based on T2-weighted imaging and clinical and conventional MRI features were analyzed and compared between tumor types. The Mann–Whitney U-test, χ2 test/Fisher exact test, and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to identify differences between the OTCA–FTCA and OGCTs groups. A regression model was established by using binary logistic regression analysis, and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was carried out to evaluate diagnostic efficiency.ResultsA multivariate analysis of the imaging-based features combined with TA revealed that intratumoral hemorrhage (OR = 0.037), log-sigma-20mm-3D_glszm_SmallAreaEmphasis (OR = 4.40), and log-sigma-2-0mm-3D_glszm_SmallAreaHighGrayLevelEmphasis (OR = 1.034) were independent features for discriminating between OGCTs and OTCA–FTCA (P &lt; 0.05). An imaging-based diagnosis model, TA-based model, and combination model were established. The areas under the curve of the three models in predicting OGCTs and OTCA–FTCA were 0.935, 0.944, and 0.969, respectively; the sensitivities were 93.75, 93.75, and 96.87%, respectively; and the specificities were 85.71, 92.86, and 92.86%, respectively. The DeLong test indicated that the combination model had the highest predictive efficiency (P &lt; 0.05), with no significant difference among the three models in differentiating between OGCTs and OTCA–FTCA (P &gt; 0.05).ConclusionsCompared with OTCA–FTCA, intratumoral hemorrhage may be characteristic MR imaging features with OGCTs. Texture features can reflect the microheterogeneity of OGCTs and OTCA–FTCA. MRI signs and texture features can help differentiate between OGCTs and OTCA–FTCA and provide a more comprehensive and accurate basis for clinical treatment.

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