scholarly journals An Immune-Clinical Prognostic Index (ICPI) for Patients With De Novo Follicular Lymphoma Treated With R-CHOP/CHOP Chemotherapy

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaxiao Lu ◽  
Jingwei Yu ◽  
Wenchen Gong ◽  
Liping Su ◽  
Xiuhua Sun ◽  
...  

PurposeAlthough the role of tumor-infiltrating T cells in follicular lymphoma (FL) has been reported previously, the prognostic value of peripheral blood T lymphocyte subsets has not been systematically assessed. Thus, we aim to incorporate T-cell subsets with clinical features to develop a predictive model of clinical outcome.MethodsWe retrospectively screened a total of 1,008 patients, including 252 newly diagnosed de novo FL patients with available peripheral blood T lymphocyte subsets who were randomized to different sets (177 in the training set and 75 in the internal validation set). A nomogram and a novel immune-clinical prognostic index (ICPI) were established according to multivariate Cox regression analysis for progression-free survival (PFS). The concordance index (C-index), Akaike’s information criterion (AIC), and likelihood ratio chi-square were employed to compare the ICPI’s discriminatory capability and homogeneity to that of FLIPI, FLIPI2, and PRIMA-PI. Additional external validation was performed using a dataset (n = 157) from other four centers.ResultsIn the training set, multivariate analysis identified five independent prognostic factors (Stage III/IV disease, elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), Hb <120g/L, CD4+ <30.7% and CD8+ >36.6%) for PFS. A novel ICPI was established according to the number of risk factors and stratify patients into 3 risk groups: high, intermediate, and low-risk with 4-5, 2-3, 0-1 risk factors respectively. The hazard ratios for patients in the high and intermediate-risk groups than those in the low-risk were 27.640 and 2.758. The ICPI could stratify patients into different risk groups both in the training set (P < 0.0001), internal validation set (P = 0.0039) and external validation set (P = 0.04). Moreover, in patients treated with RCHOP-like therapy, the ICPI was also predictive (P < 0.0001). In comparison to FLIPI, FLIPI2, and PRIMA-PI (C-index, 0.613-0.647), the ICPI offered adequate discrimination capability with C-index values of 0.679. Additionally, it exhibits good performance based on the lowest AIC and highest likelihood ratio chi-square score.ConclusionsThe ICPI is a novel predictive model with improved prognostic performance for patients with de novo FL treated with R-CHOP/CHOP chemotherapy. It is capable to be used in routine practice and guides individualized precision therapy.

2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 665-673 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maud Menard ◽  
Alexis Lecoindre ◽  
Jean-Luc Cadoré ◽  
Michèle Chevallier ◽  
Aurélie Pagnon ◽  
...  

Accurate staging of hepatic fibrosis (HF) is important for treatment and prognosis of canine chronic hepatitis. HF scores are used in human medicine to indirectly stage and monitor HF, decreasing the need for liver biopsy. We developed a canine HF score to screen for moderate or greater HF. We included 96 dogs in our study, including 5 healthy dogs. A liver biopsy for histologic examination and a biochemistry profile were performed on all dogs. The dogs were randomly split into a training set of 58 dogs and a validation set of 38 dogs. A HF score that included alanine aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase, total bilirubin, potassium, and gamma-glutamyl transferase was developed in the training set. Model performance was confirmed using the internal validation set, and was similar to the performance in the training set. The overall sensitivity and specificity for the study group were 80% and 70% respectively, with an area under the curve of 0.80 (0.71–0.90). This HF score could be used for indirect diagnosis of canine HF when biochemistry panels are performed on the Konelab 30i (Thermo Scientific), using reagents as in our study. External validation is required to determine if the score is sufficiently robust to utilize biochemical results measured in other laboratories with different instruments and methodologies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aihua Wu ◽  
Zhigang Liang ◽  
Songbo Yuan ◽  
Shanshan Wang ◽  
Weidong Peng ◽  
...  

BackgroundThe diagnostic value of clinical and laboratory features to differentiate between malignant pleural effusion (MPE) and benign pleural effusion (BPE) has not yet been established.ObjectivesThe present study aimed to develop and validate the diagnostic accuracy of a scoring system based on a nomogram to distinguish MPE from BPE.MethodsA total of 1,239 eligible patients with PE were recruited in this study and randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set at a ratio of 7:3. Logistic regression analysis was performed in the training set, and a nomogram was developed using selected predictors. The diagnostic accuracy of an innovative scoring system based on the nomogram was established and validated in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets (n = 217). The discriminatory power and the calibration and clinical values of the prediction model were evaluated.ResultsSeven variables [effusion carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), effusion adenosine deaminase (ADA), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), PE/serum CEA ratio (CEA ratio), effusion carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), effusion cytokeratin 19 fragment (CYFRA 21-1), and serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH)/effusion ADA ratio (cancer ratio, CR)] were validated and used to develop a nomogram. The prediction model showed both good discrimination and calibration capabilities for all sets. A scoring system was established based on the nomogram scores to distinguish MPE from BPE. The scoring system showed favorable diagnostic performance in the training set [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.955, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.942–0.968], the internal validation set (AUC = 0.952, 95% CI = 0.932–0.973), and the external validation set (AUC = 0.973, 95% CI = 0.956–0.990). In addition, the scoring system achieved satisfactory discriminative abilities at separating lung cancer-associated MPE from tuberculous pleurisy effusion (TPE) in the combined training and validation sets.ConclusionsThe present study developed and validated a scoring system based on seven parameters. The scoring system exhibited a reliable diagnostic performance in distinguishing MPE from BPE and might guide clinical decision-making.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiken Lin ◽  
Lijuan Li ◽  
Dexin Yu ◽  
Zhuyun Liu ◽  
Shuhong Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and aimsHighly accurate noninvasive methods for predicting gastroesophageal varices needing treatment (VNT) are desired. Radiomics is a newly emerging technology of image analysis. This study aims to develop and validate a novel noninvasive method based on radiomics for predicting VNT in cirrhosis.MethodsIn this retrospective-prospective study, a total of 245 cirrhotic patients were divided as the training set, internal validation set and external validation set. Radiomics features were extracted from portal-phase computed tomography (CT) images of each patient. A radiomics signature (Rad-score) was constructed with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm and 10-folds cross-validation in the training set. Combined with independent risk factors, a radiomics nomogram was built with a multivariate logistic regression model. ResultsThe rad-score, consisting of 14 features from the gastroesophageal region and 5 from the splenic hilum region, was effective for VNT classification. The diagnostic performance was further improved by combining the rad-score with platelet counts, achieving an AUC of 0.987(95% CI, 0.969-1.00), 0.973(95% CI, 0.939-1.00) and 0.947(95% CI, 0.876-1.00) in the training set, internal validation set and external validation set respectively. In efficacy and safety assessment, the radiomics nomogram could spare more than 40% of endoscopic examinations with a low risk of missing VNT (<5%), and no more than 8.3% of unnecessary endoscopic examinations still be performed.ConclusionsIn this study, we developed and validated a novel, diagnostic radiomics-based nomogram which is a reliable and noninvasive method to predict VNT in cirrhotic patients.


Cancers ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 509 ◽  
Author(s):  
Young Eun Chon ◽  
Hana Park ◽  
Hye Kyung Hyun ◽  
Yeonjung Ha ◽  
Mi Na Kim ◽  
...  

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has recently been reported to predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We explored whether NLR predicted the survival of patients with HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), and developed a predictive model. In total, 1697 patients with HCC undergoing TACE as first-line therapy at two university hospitals were enrolled (derivation set n = 921, internal validation set n = 395, external validation set n = 381). The tumor size, tumor number, AFP level, vascular invasion, Child–Pugh score, objective response after TACE, and NLR, selected as predictors of overall survival (OS) via multivariate Cox’s regression model, were incorporated into a 14-point risk prediction model (SNAVCORN score). The time-dependent areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves for OS at 1, 3, and 5 years predicted by the SNAVCORN score were 0.812, 0.734, and 0.700 in the derivation set. Patients were stratified into three risk groups by SNAVCORN score (low, 0–4; intermediate, 5–9; high, 10–14). Compared with the low-risk group, the intermediate-risk (HR 3.10, p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR 7.37, p < 0.001) groups exhibited significantly greater mortality. The prognostic performance of the SNAVCORN score including NLR in patients with HCC treated with TACE was remarkable, much better than those of the conventional scores. The SNAVCORN score will guide future HCC treatment decisions.


Blood ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 124 (21) ◽  
pp. 1668-1668
Author(s):  
Shinkyo Yoon ◽  
Dok Hyun Yoon ◽  
Shin Kim ◽  
Kyoungmin Lee ◽  
Eun Hee Kang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The International Prognostic Index (IPI) has been useful prognostic tool to predict prognosis of aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma in the last 20 years. Since the advent of R-CHOP (rituximab, cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone) chemotherapy for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), its utility has been challenged and other prognostic index including revised IPI and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN)-IPI were proposed, which are not popularly used yet. We aimed to develop new prognostic model for DLBCL in rituximab era. Method Between March 2004 and June 2012, patients with DLBCL treated with R-CHOP were identified in the database of the Asan Medical Center (AMC) Lymphoma Registry. Primary end point was to devise a new prognostic index for DLBCL. Secondary end point was to validate the NCCN-IPI in our cohort. We tested new prognostic index model in the training set of AMC cohort consisted of randomly selected 80% of the sample (503 patients). The remaining 20% (118 patients) was used as an internal validations set. Results The AMC cohort consisted of 621 patients. Median follow-up duration was 43.3 months (6.2-122.5 months). Baseline characteristics of AMC cohort are presented in table 1. Median age was 57 years (range, 16-85 years). Median ϐ-2 microglobulin (ϐ-2 MG) was 2.10 mg/L (range, 1.0-66.0 mg/L). The univariate analysis of baseline characteristics revealed that age (≦60 vs. >60 years), LDH (within normal vs. increased), ECOG performance (0 or 1 vs. ≧2), advanced stage (Ann Arbor stage I/II vs. III/IV), extra-nodal involvement (≦1 vs. >1), B symptoms (no vs. yes), and ϐ-2 MG (≦2.5 vs. >2.5) could predict overall survival (OS), whereas bulky disease and gender did not (p value 0.140, 0.621, respectively). In the multivariate analysis, age, LDH, ECOG performance status, and ϐ-2 MG were significantly associated with OS (p value 0.001, <0.001, 0.004, and 0.019, respectively), while stage, extra-nodal involvement, and B symptom did not (p value 0.057, 0.233, and 0.577, respectively). We developed a new prognostic model with these 4 significant factors in the multivariate analysis. One point is assigned for each of the risk factors without refined categorization. Four risk groups were composed as followings: low (0 point), low-intermediate (1 point), high-intermediate (2-3 points), and high (4 points). The new prognostic model showed better discriminative power compared with classic IPI (Figure 1A). Five-year OS of low- and high-risk subgroup in new scoring model and classic IPI model in AMC cohort were 95% and 32% versus 89% and 45%, respectively. Our model was validated in an internal validation set (Figure 1B). NCCN-IPI also could stratify four risk groups (Figure 1 A and B). Conclusion We propose a new prognostic index model for DLBCL in rituximab era with age, LDH, ECOG performance and ϐ-2 MG, which has good discriminative power and convenient to apply. It warrants further validation using an independent cohort. Table 1. Baseline Characteristics Characteristics Total N=621 % Training set N=503 % Validation set N=118 % Age, years Median, range ≦ 60 years > 60 years 57.0 377 244 16-85 60.7 39.3 57.0 300 203 16-84 59.6 40.4 57.0 77 41 17-85 65.3 34.7 Sex Male Female 343 278 55.2 44.8 273 230 54.3 45.7 70 48 59.3 40.7 ECOG PS 0 or 1 ≧ 2 569 52 91.6 8.4 462 41 91.8 8.2 107 11 90.7 9.3 Serum lactate dehydrogenase levels Normal Elevated 334 287 53.8 46.2 279 224 55.5 44.4 55 63 46.6 53.4 Ann Arbor stage I and II III and IV 293 328 47.2 52.8 236 267 46.9 53.1 57 61 48.3 51.7 Number of extranodal sites <2 ≧ 2 403 218 64.9 35.1 329 174 65.4 34.6 74 44 62.7 37.3 B symptoms No Yes 549 72 88.4 11.6 447 56 88.9 11.1 102 16 86.4 13.6 International prognostic index Low/ low-intermediate High-intermediate/high 404 217 65.1 34.9 327 176 65.0 35.0 77 41 65.3 34.7 ¥Â -2 microglobulin, mg/L Median, range ≦ 2.5 mg/L > 2.5 mg/L 2.1 422 199 1.0-66.0 68.0 32.0 2.1 339 164 1.0-29.6 67.4 32.6 2.1 83 35 1.0-66.0 70.3 28.7 Table 2. Multivariate Analysis for Factors Associated with Overall Survival Factors HR 95% CI P value Score Age, years ≦ 60 years > 60 years 1.000 2.051 1.362-3.090 0.001 1 Serum lactate dehydrogenase levels Normal Elevated 1.000 3.165 1.951-5.135 <0.001 1 ECOG PS 0 or 1 ≧ 2 1.000 2.073 1.261-3.407 0.004 1 ϐ -2 microglobulin, mg/L ≦ 2.5 mg/L > 2.5 mg/L 1.000 1.691 1.0391-2.622 0.019 1 Figure 1. IPI versus NCCN IPI versus new prognostic index model in Asan Medical Center training set (A) and internal validation set (B) Figure 1. IPI versus NCCN IPI versus new prognostic index model in Asan Medical Center training set (A) and internal validation set (B) Disclosures No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 25-27
Author(s):  
Luis Villela Villela ◽  
Ana Ramirez-Ibarguen ◽  
Brady E Beltran ◽  
Camila Peña ◽  
Denisse A. Castro ◽  
...  

Introduction. There are different scoring systems to differentiate risk groups in patients with DLBCL treated with chemoimmunotherapy. Those systems have used the same 5 variables (age, performance status, LDH, stage, extranodal involvement) for 27 years. However, LATAM data have not been included in the development of previous scoring systems. It is important to mention that novel biological variables, such as albumin, beta-2-microglobulin (B2M) and platelet/lymphocyte ratio (PLR), have been reported and could improve discrimination (Villela et al. Blood 2019; 134Suppl_1: 1613). Therefore, we carried out a large, multinational study to develop and validate a LATAM-IPI score. Methods. This is a retrospective cohort of 1030 patients with a diagnosis of DLBCL treated with standard chemoimmunotherapy with curative intent between 2010 and 2018. Data were obtained from 8 LATAM countries: Argentina, Colombia, Chile, Guatemala, Mexico, Paraguay, Peru, and Venezuela. The five classic IPI variables (age, ECOG, extranodal involvement, LDH, stage) were analyzed and albumin and PLR were added (Villela et al. Blood 2019; 134Suppl_1: 1613). B2M was not included because it was not requested regularly in all countries. Development of LATAM-IPI: The training set consisted of 85% of the sample, randomly selected, and the remaining 15% was reserved for internal validation. Using the training set, the univariate and multivariate association between clinical prognostic factors and OS was analyzed fitting Cox proportional-hazard models. Outcomes. Clinical characteristics of the training (n=878) and internal validation (n=151) cohorts are shown in Table 1. There were no statistical differences in baseline characteristics between the cohorts. The median follow-up for the whole cohort was 36 months (IQR: 11-57). When exploring the classic IPI variables on the training set, all variables were associated with high risk of mortality [age 65-74, Hazard Ratio (HR) 1.24, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.58, p=0.08; age ≥75, HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.28 to 2.28, p=0.0003), ECOG (≥ 2, HR=2, 95% CI 1.61 to 2.53; p&lt;0.0001), EN (≥2, HR=1.53, 95% CI 1.18 to 1.97; p=0.0012), stage (III/IV, HR=2.1, 95% CI 1.64 to 2.69; p&lt;0.0001) and LDH (ratio 1.1-2.9, HR=1.55, 95% CI 1.22 to 1.97; p=0.0003; ratio ≥3, HR= 2.68, 95% CI 1.93 to 3.7, p&lt;0.0001). Similarly, the biological variables Albumin (≤3.5 mg/dL, HR 2.37, 95% CI 1.9 to 2.95, p&lt;0.0001) and PLR (≥273, HR= 1.52, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.87; p=0.0001) were associated with high risk of death. Next, these variables were evaluated by multivariate analysis. The independent variables were albumin (&lt;3.5 mg/dL, HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.45 to 2.3, p&lt;0.0001, 1 point), LDH (ratio 1.1 to 2.9, HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.67, p=0.03, 1 point; ratio ≥3, HR=1.84, 95% CI 1.31 to 2.5, p=0.0004, 2 points), advanced stage (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.27 to 2.13, p=0.0001, 1 point), age (≥75, HR= 1.51, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.98, p=0.003, 1 point), and ECOG (≥2, HR 1.40, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.77, p=0.005). Now, for the development of LATAM-IPI, the groups were distributed as follows: 0 points, low; 1-3 points, intermediate; 4-6 points, high risk. There were no differences in the distribution of the risk groups between training and validation sets (Table 2). In the learning cohort, the 5-year OS rates for low, intermediate and high risk were 81%, 63% and 33%, respectively (p&lt;0.0001). In the validation cohort, the 5-year OS rates for low, intermediate and high risk were 81%, 63% and 44%, respectively (p=0.02) (Figure 1). Conclusions: Using multinational learning and validation cohorts including over 1,000 DLBCL patients treated with standard chemoimmunotherapy in LATAM, we developed a novel LATAM-IPI score using age ≥75 years, ECOG ≥2, advanced stage, LDH ratio (1.1-29 and ≥3) and albumin &lt;3.5 mg/dl. Next steps are to disseminate our results with other involved researchers in LATAM to prospectively assess and reproduce our results. We expect this score will help to further define the prognosis of DLBCL patients in LATAM. Disclosures Villela: amgen: Speakers Bureau; Roche: Other: advisory board, Speakers Bureau. Idrobo:Janssen: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Amgen: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Abbvie: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Tecnofarma: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Takeda: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau. Gomez-Almaguer:Amgen: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Novartis: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; AbbVie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Janssen: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Celgene/BMS: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; AstraZeneca: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Pfizer: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau; Roche: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees, Speakers Bureau. Castillo:Janssen: Consultancy, Research Funding; TG Therapeutics: Research Funding; Kymera: Consultancy; Abbvie: Research Funding; Beigene: Consultancy, Research Funding; Pharmacyclics: Consultancy, Research Funding.


In this paper, the authors present an effort to increase the applicability domain (AD) by means of retraining models using a database of 701 great dissimilar molecules presenting anti-tyrosinase activity and 728 drugs with other uses. Atom-based linear indices and best subset linear discriminant analysis (LDA) were used to develop individual classification models. Eighteen individual classification-based QSAR models for the tyrosinase inhibitory activity were obtained with global accuracy varying from 88.15-91.60% in the training set and values of Matthews correlation coefficients (C) varying from 0.76-0.82. The external validation set shows globally classifications above 85.99% and 0.72 for C. All individual models were validated and fulfilled by OECD principles. A brief analysis of AD for the training set of 478 compounds and the new active compounds included in the re-training was carried out. Various assembled multiclassifier systems contained eighteen models using different selection criterions were obtained, which provide possibility of select the best strategy for particular problem. The various assembled multiclassifier systems also estimated the potency of active identified compounds. Eighteen validated potency models by OECD principles were used.


Molecules ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (10) ◽  
pp. 2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liadys Mora Lagares ◽  
Nikola Minovski ◽  
Marjana Novič

P-glycoprotein (P-gp) is a transmembrane protein that actively transports a wide variety of chemically diverse compounds out of the cell. It is highly associated with the ADMET (absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion and toxicity) properties of drugs/drug candidates and contributes to decreasing toxicity by eliminating compounds from cells, thereby preventing intracellular accumulation. Therefore, in the drug discovery and toxicological assessment process it is advisable to pay attention to whether a compound under development could be transported by P-gp or not. In this study, an in silico multiclass classification model capable of predicting the probability of a compound to interact with P-gp was developed using a counter-propagation artificial neural network (CP ANN) based on a set of 2D molecular descriptors, as well as an extensive dataset of 2512 compounds (1178 P-gp inhibitors, 477 P-gp substrates and 857 P-gp non-active compounds). The model provided a good classification performance, producing non error rate (NER) values of 0.93 for the training set and 0.85 for the test set, while the average precision (AvPr) was 0.93 for the training set and 0.87 for the test set. An external validation set of 385 compounds was used to challenge the model’s performance. On the external validation set the NER and AvPr values were 0.70 for both indices. We believe that this in silico classifier could be effectively used as a reliable virtual screening tool for identifying potential P-gp ligands.


Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 1918-1918
Author(s):  
Heiwa Kanamori ◽  
Takahiro Fukuda ◽  
Shuichi Taniguchi ◽  
Masashi Sawa ◽  
Tadakazu Kondo ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 1918 Background: Reduced-intensity allogeneic stem cell transplantation (RIST) has become more common in elderly patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). To clarify the clinical significance of RIST from an HLA-identical donor in elderly patients and identify prognostic factors, we retrospectively surveyed AML patients receiving RIST who were registered in the JSHCT database. Patients and Methods: This study included de novo AML patients aged ≥50 years who received fludarabine-based RIST as the first transplantation between 2000 and 2009. The conditioning regimen was classified as fludarabine-based reduced intensity conditioning if it included non-myeloablative chemotherapy (total dose of busulfan ≤ 8 mg/kg or melphalan ≤ 140 mg/m2) with or without total body irradiation (TBI) ≤ 6 Gy. Results: There were a total of 396 patients, including 146 in first complete remission (CR1), 111 in ≥CR2, and 139 in non CR. Their median age was 58 years (range: 50–73 years), with 255 males and 141 females. Conditioning regimens contained fludarabine combined with melphalan (FM, n=171) or busulfan (FB, n=225, including oral busulfan [n=115] and intravenous busulfan [n=110]). TBI was used in 178 patients. Bone marrow from related donors was transplanted in 59 patients, as well as peripheral blood stem cell from related donors in 134 and bone marrow from unrelated donors in 203. Primary graft failure occurred in two patients and death before engraftment was observed in 14 patients. Granulocyte engraftment was confirmed after a median of 16 day. The incidence of grade II-IV and grade III-IV acute GVHD was 38% and 12%, respectively. After a median follow-up of 19 months (range: 1–113 months), 5-year overall survival (OS), disease free survival (DFS), cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR), and non-relapse mortality (NRM) was 45%, 41%, 37%, and 22%, respectively. There were no differences in OS according to stem cell source or conditioning regimen. On univariate analysis for all patients, pre-transplant factors associated with worse 5-year OS included age (≥60 years old) at transplantation (vs 50–59 years old: 36% vs 51%, p=0.003), non CR (vs CR: 20% vs 59%, p<0.001), and unfavorable karyotype (SWOG/ECOG) (vs others: 36% vs 49%, p=0.005). Non CR (vs CR: 59% vs 25%, p<0.001), FB (vs FM: 42% vs 32%, p=0.040), and unfavorable karyotype (vs others: 64% vs 51%, 0.006) were significantly correlated with higher 5-year CIR. Adverse factor for NRM was not detected in the pre-transplant variables. Furthermore, according to multivariate analyses for outcomes, recipient age (≥60 years old), disease status at transplantation (non CR), and karyotype (unfavorable) were each assigned a score. The sum total was tested as a prognostic index based on four risk groups: low (score=0), intermediate (score=1), high (score=2), and very high (score=3). The 5-year OS of the low- (n=143), intermediate- (n=153), high- (n=63), and very high- (n=19) risk groups was 66%, 41%, 26%, and 14%, respectively (p<0.001). The 5-year CIR of each groups was 22%, 37%, 52%, and 75% (p<0.001), but there were no differences in NRM. The prognostic index was also useful for subgroups classified with stem cell source or conditioning regimen. Moreover, chronic GVHD was an important post-transplant event for OS and CIR. Patients with chronic GVHD (n=150) showed better outcomes compared with those without chronic GVHD (n=173) in 5-year OS (57% vs 50%, p=0.017) and CIR (25% vs 42%, p<0.001). Conclusions: This retrospective survey suggested that fludarabine-based RIST from HLA-identical donors is a promising strategy for elderly patients with AML and graft-versus-leukemia effects due to chronic GVHD contribute to long-term outcomes. The prognostic index including age and disease risk for RIST may be helpful to stratify patients for clinical research, although studies in other cohorts are necessary for validation. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


Blood ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 120 (21) ◽  
pp. 1564-1564
Author(s):  
Stefan K Barta ◽  
Xiaonan Xue ◽  
Dan Wang ◽  
Jeannette Y Lee ◽  
Lawrence D. Kaplan ◽  
...  

Abstract Abstract 1564 INTRODUCTION: The International Prognostic Index (IPI) and the age-adjusted IPI (aaIPI) are commonly used to predict outcomes in immunocompetent patients with aggressive B-cell Non-Hodgkin Lymphomas (NHL). Although the IPI has also been validated for AIDS-related lymphomas (ARL), HIV-infection is an important competing risk that has not been adequately evaluated as a factor contributing to prognosis in the context of contemporary rituximab-containing chemoimmunotherapy. Here, we assessed whether HIV-specific factors in addition to the IPI provided more accurate prediction of clinical outcomes than IPI alone. METHODS: We obtained patient-level data for 487 patients from 8 prospective phase 2 or 3 clinical trials including patients with HIV-associated aggressive B-cell NHL receiving initial therapy with rituximab containing chemoimmunotherapy identified by systematic literature review, and randomly divided the population in a training (N=244) and validation set (N=243). We defined an HIV-score by combining individual HIV risk-factors: (1) baseline CD4 count (cells/ul): <50 =3, 50–199=2, 200–499=1, 500 or more =0; (2) HIV viral load (copies/ml): <400=0; 400-9, 999=1,10,000 or more =2; (3) prior history of AIDS=1, thereby yielding an HIV-score that could range from 0–6. We examined the association of HIV-score in addition to patient-, and lymphoma-specific factors with overall survival (OS) using a Cox-PH-model in the training and validation set independently by comparing 4 different multivariate models by a LR-chi2 test: model 1 (included age, sex, & histology), model 2 (model 1 + aaIPI), model 3 (model 2 + number of involved extranodal disease sites [ENS]) and model 4 (model 3 + HIV-score). Next, we defined a new score (ARL-IPI) by assigning appropriate weights to each significant predictor depending on the strength of association in the multivariate model in the training set: 2 for aaIPI score (0,1,2 or 3); 1 for ENS: no ENS=0, 1 ENS=1, 2 ENS=2, 3 or more ENS=3; and 1 for HIV-score. We examined the difference in OS for 3 risk groups: low (LR), intermediate (IR) and high risk (HR) based on the ARL-IPI in the validation set. We compared the discrimination power of the ARL-IPI with the aaIPI by comparing the difference in OS across the 3 groups defined by each score. RESULTS: 487 patients were included in the analysis with a median follow-up of 2.3 years (0.1–12.1). There were no significant differences in patient characteristics between training and validation set. Considering the entire population, 77% were male, median age was 42 years (20–74), median CD4 count 174 cells/ul (0–2,457), and median HIV viral load 23,802 copies/ml (0–6×106). The histologies included DLBCL (69%), BL or BLL (29%), and other histologies (3%). All patients received rituximab plus either CHOP (49%), EPOCH (19%), CDE (15%), or other multi-agent intensive regimens (16%). In the training set, only aaIPI, ENS and HIV-score were significantly associated with OS, but not age, sex, extranodal sites as defined in the IPI (<2 or 2 or more), or histology. When tested in the validation set, the addition of the HIV-score (model 4; ARL-IPI) showed a significant improvement in predictive power for OS over all other models (p-value=0.009). When we compared the risk groups defined by the aaIPI (LR: <1, IR: 1–2, HR: 3) versus the ARL-IPI (aaIPI + ENS + HIV-score: LR: <7, IR: 7–10, HR: >10) in the validation set, the ARL-IPI was able to more clearly define prognosis based on the 3 risk groups in regards to OS (p=0.013; Table 1), which was confirmed by KM survival analysis (Figure 1). The ARL-IPI also compared favorably to a score defined by aaIPI and ENS (LR: <4, IR: 4–6, HR: >6), demonstrating the significant impact of the HIV-score on prediction power. In our dataset, the ARL-IPI could not significantly improve prediction power for CR rate or PFS compared with the two other scores. CONCLUSION: By combining HIV-associated factors with known prognostic patient- and lymphoma factors into a composite prognostic risk score (ARL-IPI) we were able to more accurately define prognosis for patients with ARL treated with chemoimmunotherapy. Disclosures: No relevant conflicts of interest to declare.


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