scholarly journals Weather-Based Neural Network, Stepwise Linear and Sparse Regression Approach for Rabi Sorghum Yield Forecasting of Karnataka, India

Agronomy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 1645
Author(s):  
Shankarappa Sridhara ◽  
Nandini Ramesh ◽  
Pradeep Gopakkali ◽  
Bappa Das ◽  
Soumya Venkatappa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Ridge Regression ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Growth Period ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Yield Forecasting

Sorghum is an important dual-purpose crop of India grown for food and fodder. Prevailing weather conditions during the crop growth period determine the yield of sorghum. Hence, the crop yield forecasting models based on weather parameters will be an appropriate option for policymakers and researchers to develop sustainable cropping strategies. In the present study, six multivariate weather-based models viz., least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), elastic net (ENET), principal component analysis (PCA) in combination with stepwise multiple linear regression (SMLR), artificial neural network (ANN) alone and in combination with PCA and ridge regression model are examined by fixing 90% of the data for calibration and remaining dataset for validation to forecast rabi sorghum yield for different districts of Karnataka. The R2 and root mean square error (RMSE) during calibration ranged between 0.42 to 0.98 and 30.48 to 304.17 kg ha−1, respectively, without actual evapotranspiration (AET) whereas, these evaluation parameters varied from 0.38 to 0.99 and 19.84 to 308.79 kg ha−1, respectively with AET inclusion. During validation, the RMSE and nRMSE (normalized root mean square error) varied between 88.99 to 1265.03 kg ha−1 and 4.49 to 96.84%, respectively without AET and including AET as one of the weather variable RMSE and nRMSE were 63.48 to 1172.01 kg ha−1 and 4.16 to 92.56%, respectively. The performance of six multivariate models revealed that LASSO was the best model followed by ENET compared to PCA_SMLR, ANN, PCA_ANN and ridge regression models because of reduced overfitting through penalisation of regression coefficient. Thus, it can be concluded that LASSO and ENET weather-based models can be effectively utilized for the district level forecast of sorghum yield.

scholarly journals Prediction of Lower Extremity Multi-Joint Angles during Overground Walking by Using a Single IMU with a Low Frequency Based on an LSTM Recurrent Neural Network

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
Joohwan Sung ◽  
Sungmin Han ◽  
Heesu Park ◽  
Hyun-Myung Cho ◽  
Soree Hwang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Joint Angle ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Measurement Unit ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Overground Walking

The joint angle during gait is an important indicator, such as injury risk index, rehabilitation status evaluation, etc. To analyze gait, inertial measurement unit (IMU) sensors have been used in studies and continuously developed; however, they are difficult to utilize in daily life because of the inconvenience of having to attach multiple sensors together and the difficulty of long-term use due to the battery consumption required for high data sampling rates. To overcome these problems, this study propose a multi-joint angle estimation method based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network with a single low-frequency (23 Hz) IMU sensor. IMU sensor data attached to the lateral shank were measured during overground walking at a self-selected speed for 30 healthy young persons. The results show a comparatively good accuracy level, similar to previous studies using high-frequency IMU sensors. Compared to the reference results obtained from the motion capture system, the estimated angle coefficient of determination (R2) is greater than 0.74, and the root mean square error and normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) are less than 7° and 9.87%, respectively. The knee joint showed the best estimation performance in terms of the NRMSE and R2 among the hip, knee, and ankle joints.

Application of Chemometrics for Spectral Resolving and Determination of Three Analgesics in Water Samples

2020 ◽  
Vol 103 (1) ◽  
pp. 257-264 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali M Yehia ◽  
Heba T Elbalkiny ◽  
Safa’a M Riad ◽  
Yasser S Elsaharty
Keyword(s):  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Water Samples ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Multivariate Curve Resolution ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Qualitative And Quantitative

Abstract Background: Chemometrics is a discipline that allows the spectral resolution of drugs in a complicated matrix (e.g., environmental water samples) as an alternative to chromatographic methods. Objective: Three analgesics were traced in wastewater samples with simple and cost-effective multivariate approaches using spectrophotometric data. Methods and Results: Four chemometric approaches were applied for the simultaneous determination of diclofenac, paracetamol, and ibuprofen. Partial least squares (PLS), principal component regression (PCR), artificial neural networks (ANN), and multivariate curve resolution (MCR)–alternating least squares (ALS) were selected. The presented methods were compared and validated for their qualitative and quantitative analyses. Moreover, statistical comparison between the results obtained by the proposed methods and the official methods showed no significant differences. Conclusions: The proposed multivariate calibrations were accurate and specific for quantitative analysis of the studied components. MCR-ALS is the only method that has the capacity for both the quantitative and qualitative analysis of the studied drugs. Highlights: Four chemometric approaches were used for analysis of severally overlapped ternary mixture of three analgesics. The analytical performance of PCR, PLS, MCR-ALS, and ANN was compared and validated in terms of root mean square error of calibration (RMSEC), SE of prediction, and recoveries. ANN gave the highest predicted concentrations with the lowest RMSEC and root mean square error of prediction. MCR-ALS has the capacity for both qualitative and quantitative measurement. The methods have been effectively applied for real samples and compared to official methods.

scholarly journals IMPLEMENTASI METODE NEURAL NETWORK BACKPROPAGATION DALAM PREDIKSI INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN (IHSG)

SEMINASTIKA ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-85
Author(s):  
Okky Barus ◽  
Christopher Wijaya
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Mean Square

Pada era saat ini, Investasi saham di pasar modal merupakan aset yang sangat penting bagi beberapa golongan masyarakat dan juga bagi perusahaan. Dengan adanya investasi, secara langsung maupun tidak langsung dapat memberikan dampak bagi perusahaan maupun bagi masyarakat. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (IHSG) dengan indeks saham: Jakarta Composite Index (JKSE). Metode yang digunakan pada penelitian ini adalah Neural Network Backpropagation. Pengumpulan dataset melalui website finance.yahoo.com dengan periode 8 Mei 2018 sampai dengan 7 Mei 2021 sebanyak 757 data. Setelah melakukan proses pengolahan data, data yang tersisa adalah 724 data. Kemudian data akan dibagi menjadi 70% data training dan 30% data testing yang akan digunakan pada proses pengolahan data. Hasil pengujian menggunakan metode Neural Newtwork Backpropagation mendapatkan hasil terbaik menggunakan Kondisi ke-10 dengan nilai Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) senilai 0.010. Kemudian akan didapatkan hasil perbandingan antara harga Close aktual dengan harga Close prediksi dengan akurasi sebesar 63.06% yang dapat membantu dalam pengambilan keputusan para investor.

scholarly journals Prediction of quality attributes and maturity classification of pear fruit using laser imaging and Artificial Neural Network

Food Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (S1) ◽  
pp. 144-151
Author(s):  
S.E. Adebayo ◽  
N. Hashim
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Optical Properties ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Classification Models ◽  
Pear Fruit ◽  
Laser Imaging

In this study, the application of laser imaging technique was utilized to predict the quality attributes (firmness and soluble solids content) of pear fruit and to classify the maturity stages of the fruit harvested at different days after full bloom (dafb). Laser imaging system emitting at visible and near infra-red region (532, 660, 785, 830 and 1060 nm) was deployed to capture the images of the fruit. Optical properties (absorption ma and reduced scattering ms ʹ coefficients) at individual and combined wavelengths of the laser images of the fruit were used in the prediction and classifications of the maturity stages. Artificial neural network (ANN) was employed in the building of both prediction and classification models. Root mean square error of calibration (RMSEC), root mean square error of crossvalidation (RMSECV), correlation coefficient (r) and bias were used to test the performance of the prediction models while sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the classification models. The results showed that there was a very strong correlation between the ma and ms ʹ with pear development. This study had shown that optical properties of pears with ANN as prediction and classification models can be employed to both predict quality parameters of pear and classify pear into different (dafb) non-destructively.

scholarly journals Prediksi Permintaan Kargo pada Cargo Service Center Tangerang City Menggunakan Metode Gated Recurrent Unit

Repositor ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rifky Ahmad Saputra
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Recurrent Neural Network ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Service Center ◽  
Gated Recurrent Unit

Pada saat ini persaingan bisnis dalam bidang layanan kargo khususnya di Indonesia semakin ketat. Terdapat beberapa perusahaan layanan kargo di Indonesia, salah satunya yaitu Cargo Service Center Tangerang City. Untuk mengantisipasi persaingan bisnis tersebut, Cargo Service Center Tangerang City harus dapat menentukan strategi manajemen usaha, baik dalam jangka menengah maupun jangka panjang. Salah satunya hal yang dapat dilakukan yaitu prediksi permintaan kargo. Pada Cargo Service Center Tangerang City terdapat data transaksi kargo mulai dari Januari 2016 hingga Septermber 2019, oleh karena itu dilakukanlah penelitian yaitu mengimplementasikan metode Gated Recurrent Unit untuk melakukan prediksi permintaan kargo. metode Gated Recurrent Unit merupakan model pengembangan dari Recurrent Neural Network yang biasa digunakan untuk melakukan prediksi pada data sekuens. Pengujian model prediksi dalam penelitian ini dilakukan dengan mencari nilai Root Mean Square Error terkecil dari beberapa percobaan. Hasil dari penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa model cukup baik dalam melakukan prediksi permintaan kargo, namun terdapat beberapa hasil prediksi metode Gated Recurrent Unit yang masih belum maksimal mendekati nilai aktual misalnya pada nilai aktual yang berada di titik puncak.

Assessment of Pareto Calibration, Stability, and Wavelength Selection

2003 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 309-316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelly J. Anderson ◽  
John H. Kalivas
Keyword(s):  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Principal Component Regression ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Wavelength Selection ◽  
Pareto Model ◽  
Improve Analysis

Recent work has shown that ridge regression (RR) is Pareto to partial least squares (PLS) and principal component regression (PCR) when the variance indicator Euclidian norm of the regression coefficients, ‖p̂‖, is plotted against the bias indicator root mean square error of calibration (RMSEC). Simplex optimization demonstrates that RR is Pareto for several other spectral data sets when ‖p̂‖ is used with RMSEC and the root mean square error of evaluation (RMSEE) as optimization criteria. From this investigation, it was observed that while RR is Pareto optimal, PLS and PCR harmonious models are near equivalent to harmonious RR models. Additionally, it was found that RR is Pareto robust, i.e., models formed at one temperature were then used to predict samples at another temperature. Wavelength selection is commonly performed to improve analysis results such that bias indicators RMSEC, RMSEE, root mean square error of validation, or root mean square error of cross-validation decrease using a subset of wavelengths. Just as critical to an analysis of selected wavelengths is an assessment of variance. Using wavelengths deemed optimal in a previous study, this paper reports on the variance/bias tradeoff. An approach that forms the Pareto model with a Pareto wavelength subset is suggested.

scholarly journals ANALISA KOMPARASI NEURAL NETWORK BACKPROPAGATION DAN MULTIPLE LINEAR REGRESSION UNTUK PERAMALAN TINGKAT INFLASI

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amrin Amrin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Mean Absolute Deviation ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Absolute Deviation

Tingkat inflasi tidak dapat dianggap remeh dalam sistem perekonomian suatu negara dan pelaku bisnis pada umumnya. Jika inflasi dapat diramalkan dengan akurasi yang tinggi, tentunya dapat dijadikan dasar pengambilan kebijakan pemerintah dalam mengantisipasi aktivitas ekonomi di masa depan. Pada penelitian ini akan digunakan metode prediksi neural network backpropagation dan multiple linear regression untuk memprediksi tingkat inflasi bulanan di indonesia, selanjutnya membandingkan manakah yang terbaik dari kedua metode tersebut. Data inflasi yang digunakan bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik dari tahun 2006-2015, dimana 80% sebagai data training dan 20% sebagai data testing. Dari hasil analisis data yang dilakukan disimpulkan bahwa Performa model multiple linear regression lebih baik dibandingkan dengan metode neural network backpropagation dengan nilai mean absolute deviation (MAD) sebesar 0.0380, mean square error (MSE) sebesar 0.0023, dan nilai Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) sebesar 0.0481

scholarly journals Artificial Neural Network Approach for Modelling of Mercury Ions Removal from Water Using Functionalized CNTs with Deep Eutectic Solvent

2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (17) ◽  
pp. 4206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seef Saadi Fiyadh ◽  
Mohamed Khalid AlOmar ◽  
Wan Zurina Binti Jaafar ◽  
Mohammed Abdulhakim AlSaadi ◽  
Sabah Saadi Fayaed ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Adsorption Capacity ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Deep Eutectic Solvent ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Mercury Ions ◽  
Narx Model

Multi-walled carbon nanotubes (CNTs) functionalized with a deep eutectic solvent (DES) were utilized to remove mercury ions from water. An artificial neural network (ANN) technique was used for modelling the functionalized CNTs adsorption capacity. The amount of adsorbent dosage, contact time, mercury ions concentration and pH were varied, and the effect of parameters on the functionalized CNT adsorption capacity is observed. The (NARX) network, (FFNN) network and layer recurrent (LR) neural network were used. The model performance was compared using different indicators, including the root mean square error (RMSE), relative root mean square error (RRMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean square error (MSE), correlation coefficient (R2) and relative error (RE). Three kinetic models were applied to the experimental and predicted data; the pseudo second-order model was the best at describing the data. The maximum RE, R2 and MSE were 9.79%, 0.9701 and 1.15 × 10−3, respectively, for the NARX model; 15.02%, 0.9304 and 2.2 × 10−3 for the LR model; and 16.4%, 0.9313 and 2.27 × 10−3 for the FFNN model. The NARX model accurately predicted the adsorption capacity with better performance than the FFNN and LR models.

Prediction of Significant Wave Height Using Neural Network in the Java Sea (North of Surabaya)

2017 ◽  
Vol 862 ◽  
pp. 72-77
Author(s):  
Wimala L. Dhanistha ◽  
R.A. Atmoko ◽  
P. Juniarko ◽  
Ridho Akbar
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Wave Height ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
The North ◽  
Java Sea ◽  
The City

Indonesia is an archipelago, Surabaya is the second crowded city in Indonesia. So the shipping lane and the city is comparable. Neural network is models inspired by biological neural networks and used to estimate or approximate functions that can depend on a large number of inputs and are generally unknown. Neural network is used to predict the wave height in Java Sea (The North of Surabaya). The Root Mean Square Error average for the next one hour is 0.03 and the Root Mean Square Error average for the next six hours is 0.09. That’s mean the longest the prediction, the biggest Root Mean Square error.

scholarly journals Application of FTIR-ATR Spectrometry in Conjunction with Multivariate Regression Methods for Viscosity Prediction of Worn-Out Motor Oils

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 3842
Author(s):  
Marie Sejkorová ◽  
Marián Kučera ◽  
Ivana Hurtová ◽  
Ondřej Voltr
Keyword(s):  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Kinematic Viscosity ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Laboratory Method ◽  
Infrared Spectrometry ◽  
Capillary Viscometer ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Motor Oils

Viscosity is considered to be a key factor in the quality of lubrication by oil and engine manufacturers and is therefore one of the most monitored parameters of lubricants. FTIR (Fourier-transform infrared) spectrometry in combination with Partial Least Squares (PLS) and Principal Component Regression (PCR) was therefore proposed and tested as an alternative to the standardized method for determining the kinematic viscosity at 100 °C with an Ubbelohde capillary viscometer (CSN EN ISO 3104) of worn-out motor oil grade SAE 15W-40. The FTIR-PLS model in the spectral region of 1750–650 cm−1 with modification of the spectra by the second derivative proved to be the most suitable. A significant dependence of R = 0.95 was achieved between the viscosity values of 190 samples of worn-out motor oils, which were determined by a standardized laboratory method, and the values predicted by the FTIR-PLS model. The Root Mean Square Error of Calibration (RMSEC) parameter reached 0.148 mm2s−1 and the Root Mean Square Error of Prediction (RMSEP) parameter reached 0.190 mm2s−1. The proposed method for determining the kinematic viscosity at 100 °C by the FTIR-PLS model is faster compared to the determination according to the CSN EN ISO 3104 standard, requires a smaller amount of oil sample for analysis and produces less waste chemicals.

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