scholarly journals Prediction of Radiation Frost Using Support Vector Machines Based on Micrometeorological Data

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 283
Author(s):  
Yongzong Lu ◽  
Yongguang Hu ◽  
Pingping Li ◽  
Kyaw Tha Paw U ◽  
Richard L. Snyder

Radiation frost happens frequently in the Yangtze River Delta region, which causes high economic loss in agriculture industry. It occurs because of heat losses from the atmosphere, plant and soil in the form of radiant energy, which is strongly associated with the micrometeorological characteristics. Multidimensional and nonlinear micrometeorological data enhances the difficulty in predicting the radiation frost. Support vector machines (SVMs), a type of algorithms, can be supervised learning which widely be employed for classification or regression problems in research of precision agriculture. This paper is the first attempt of using SVMs to build prediction models for radiation frost. Thirty-two kinds of micrometeorological parameters, such as daily mean temperature at six heights (Tmean0.5, Tmean1.5, Tmean2.0, Tmean3.0, Tmean4.5 and Tmean6.0), daily maximum and minimum temperatures at six heights (Tmax0.5, Tmax1.5, Tmax2.0, Tmax3.0, Tmax4.5 and Tmax6.0, and Tmin0.5, Tmin1.5, Tmin2.0, Tmin3.0, Tmin4.5 and Tmin6.0), daily mean relative humidity at six heights (RH0.5, RH1.5, RH2.0, RH3.0, RH4.5 and RH6.0), net radiation (Rn), downward short-wave radiation (Rsd), downward long-wave radiation (Rld), upward long-wave radiation (Rlu), upward short-wave radiation (Rsu), soil temperature (Tsoil) and soil heat flux (G) and daily average wind speed (u) were collected from November 2016 to July 2018. Six combinations inputs were used as the basis dataset for testing and training. Three types of kernel functions, such as linear kernel, radial basis function kernel and polynomial kernel function were used to develop the SVMs models. Five-fold cross validation was conducted for model fitting on training dataset to alleviate over-fitting and make prediction results more reliable. The results showed that an SVM with the radial basis function kernel (SVM-BRF) model with all the 32 micrometeorological data obtained high prediction accuracy in training and testing sets. When the single type of data (temperature, humidity and radiation data) was used for the SVM without any functions, prediction accuracy was better than that with functions. The SVM-BRF model had the best prediction accuracy when using the multidimensional and nonlinear micrometeorological data. Considering the complexity level of the model and the accuracy of prediction, micrometeorological data at the canopy height with the SVM-BRF model has been recommended for radiation frost prediction in Yangtze River Delta and probably could be applied in elsewhere with the similar terrains and micro-climates.

1966 ◽  
Vol 6 (44) ◽  
pp. 267-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. M. Platt

AbstractMeteorological observations were made on Lewis Glacier, Mount Kenya, during the “long rains” in April 1960. General meteorological observations indicated rather similar conditions to those found in other months. Ablation occurred on each day but amounts were generally small. Rather more accumulation occurred than is expected during the dry season, but again amounts were small. The net accumulation over a to day period was only 0.38 cm. water-equivalent, although about 30 cm. new snow (about 10 cm. water-equivalent) was lying when the expedition arrived. Detailed observations of short-wave radiation, temperature, wind and humidity with estimates of long-wave radiation were used to calculate the heat balance at the surface of the upper ablation region. Agreement between calculated and measured ablation was reasonably good. Over the periods considered, radiation accounted for 89.5 per cent of ablation, turbulent exchange from the air for 8.0 per cent and evaporation for 2.5 per cent. Subsurface melting was taken into account and the formation of ice bands in terms of such melting is discussed.


1980 ◽  
Vol 25 (93) ◽  
pp. 439-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Hastenrath ◽  
J. K. Patnaik

AbstractShort- and long-wave radiation on variously oriented vertical surfaces, direct solar radiation, global radiation, and long–wave radiation on a horizontal surface were measured on Lewis Glacier, Mount Kenya, at 4800 m. For the orientation of vertical surfaces, the following azimuths were selected: 45°, facing the steep slope of the upper glacier; 135°, facing a rock ridge and some glacier surface in the foreground; 225°, facing down–glacier towards the Teleki valley with open sky occupying much of the view; and 315°, directed towards the steep south-east face of the Nelion peak.The horizontal components of diffuse short-wave radiation reach a magnitude comparable to those of direct radiation. As a result of contrastingly different albedos of natural surfaces, the horizontal component of diffuse short–wave radiation is particularly large from the direction of the upper glacier, with values around 330–500 W m−2, and smallest from the direction of the rock face of Nelion peak, where values are around 150–330 W m−2. Long–wave radiation seems enhanced from the direction of the Nelion face, and reduced from the azimuth of the upper glacier, thus apparently reflecting differences in emissivity and temperature.


1987 ◽  
Vol 33 (114) ◽  
pp. 162-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
M.C. Serreze ◽  
R.S. Bradley

AbstractHourly measurements of incoming short-wave and long-wave radiation, surface albedo, and net radiation were made on and around a plateau ice cap on north-eastern Ellesmere Island during the summers of 1982 and 1983. These data were stratified by cloud type and amount. All cloud types increased incoming long-wave radiation, especially low dense clouds, fog, and clouds associated with snowfall. Relative transmission of incoming short-wave radiation, expressed as a percentage of clear-sky radiation receipts, was high for all cloud types compared to clouds at lower latitudes. With high surface albedo (≥0.75), net radiation was strongly and positively correlated with net long-wave radiation but showed little relationship to net short-wave radiation. By contrast, with low surface albedo (≤0.20) net radiation was negatively correlated with net long-wave radiation but positively correlated with net short-wave radiation. Under high-albedo conditions, an increase in cloudiness led to higher values of net radiation but under low-albedo conditions net radiation decreased as cloud cover increased. Survival of a snow cover would seem to be favoured if the seasonal decline in albedo is accompanied by a corresponding increase in cloudiness.


1972 ◽  
Vol 50 (8) ◽  
pp. 1731-1740 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. T. A. Proctor ◽  
W. J. Kyle ◽  
J. A. Davies

Measurements of radiation balance components over an apple tree on 7 days during the growing season showed that 17% of the short-wave radiation was reflected, 17% was lost as long-wave radiation and net radiation amounted to 66%. The reflection coefficient exhibited a characteristic diurnal variation, demonstrating its dependence on solar zenith angle, and varied little over the season. Within the orchard, surfaces ranked in order of increasing reflection coefficient as tree, dry orchard grass, and intertree space.Correlation coefficients relating hourly values of net radiation to incoming short-wave radiation and net short-wave radiation, and net long-wave radiation to net short-wave radiation were highly significant. The heating coefficient was positive and decreased slightly at the end of the season. The long-wave exchange coefficient was negative and exhibited no seasonal trend. This coefficient was closely correlated with screen temperature and may provide a basis for interpretation of surface radiative processes.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qun’ou Jiang ◽  
Enjun Ma ◽  
Jinyan Zhan ◽  
Nana Shi

Near surface energy budget changes have been proved to be induced by the land cover conversion through changing the surface physical properties, which can further impact the regional climate change. This study applies the DLS model to simulate the land cover under the business as usual (BAU) scenario and then analyses the seasonal and interannual variation of energy balance in the semiarid grassland area of China based on the simulated land cover with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The results indicate that the grassland will show a growing trend under the BAU scenario. Downward long wave radiation and downward short wave radiation will all have small-scale increase with time going by, while the surface net radiation will decrease from 2030 to 2050. However, there is obvious seasonal variation. Summer has the highest downward long wave radiation and downward short wave radiation, followed by spring and autumn. The lowest are in winter. As for the net surface radiation, there is obvious decrease in southeast of study area due to returning cropland to grassland. Those research conclusions can offer valuable information for the land use planning and relieving the effects of land cover change on climate change at the semiarid grassland area.


1954 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 649 ◽  
Author(s):  
FK Ball

The surface of the sea is losing heat by evaporation and by long-wave radiation exchange with the sky, both of these rates being of the order of 10-2 W cm-2 in clear weather. Heat lost in this way must be provided by conduction upward from the water beneath and downward from the air above. Short-wave radiation need not be considered since it is not absorbed at the surface. It seems possible therefore that on days of light wind the "skin" temperature of the sea might be appreciably less than the temperature of the layers beneath. Now sea surface temperatures are usually measured by means of a dip bucket and it is clear that water entering the bucket is derived in varying amounts from various depths below the surface, so that the temperature of the 'mixture will not generally be equal to the skin temperature of the sea. In view of these considerations an experiment was carried out with the object of determining the skin temperature by measuring the long-wave radiation emitted from the sea and comparing it with the dip bucket temperature.


1980 ◽  
Vol 25 (93) ◽  
pp. 439-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Hastenrath ◽  
J. K. Patnaik

AbstractShort- and long-wave radiation on variously oriented vertical surfaces, direct solar radiation, global radiation, and long–wave radiation on a horizontal surface were measured on Lewis Glacier, Mount Kenya, at 4800 m. For the orientation of vertical surfaces, the following azimuths were selected: 45°, facing the steep slope of the upper glacier; 135°, facing a rock ridge and some glacier surface in the foreground; 225°, facing down–glacier towards the Teleki valley with open sky occupying much of the view; and 315°, directed towards the steep south-east face of the Nelion peak.The horizontal components of diffuse short-wave radiation reach a magnitude comparable to those of direct radiation. As a result of contrastingly different albedos of natural surfaces, the horizontal component of diffuse short–wave radiation is particularly large from the direction of the upper glacier, with values around 330–500 W m−2, and smallest from the direction of the rock face of Nelion peak, where values are around 150–330 W m−2. Long–wave radiation seems enhanced from the direction of the Nelion face, and reduced from the azimuth of the upper glacier, thus apparently reflecting differences in emissivity and temperature.


1983 ◽  
Vol 29 (102) ◽  
pp. 240-249
Author(s):  
V. G. Aver’yanov

Abstract Mean multi-year values of the components of external mass and energy exchange in the ice sheet, moisture, radiation, and heat balances in the system Antarctic ice sheet/atmosphere have been estimated by various methods. The major features of the above-mentioned balances have been determined as absolute and relative values. For the moisture balance, income of advective moisture is equal to 100%; loss due to accumulation of moisture in the ice sheet is 83%, due to sink into the atmosphere is 15%, and sink from the ice sheet surface is 2%. As for the radiation balance it has been found that income due to radiation at the top of the atmosphere and absorbed by the atmosphere long-wave radiation are 57% and 43%, respectively; loss due to reflected short-wave radiation is 35%, atmospheric long-wave radiation is 78%, and net outgoing radiation from the surface is 9%. Heat budget components have been found as follows: income due to absorbed short-wave radiation is 49%, advection of heat is 40%, and latent heat from phase transition of advective moisture is 11%; loss due to outgoing long-wave radiation is 98%, heat from phase transition of atmospheric moisture is 2%. The Antarctic ice sheet is a vast area of heat sink. Constant negative surface radiation balance and low temperature of the ice sheet suggest that the latter will exist at any small amount of precipitation and, therefore, current glaciation of Antarctica is rather stable.


1966 ◽  
Vol 6 (44) ◽  
pp. 267-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. M. Platt

AbstractMeteorological observations were made on Lewis Glacier, Mount Kenya, during the “long rains” in April 1960. General meteorological observations indicated rather similar conditions to those found in other months. Ablation occurred on each day but amounts were generally small. Rather more accumulation occurred than is expected during the dry season, but again amounts were small. The net accumulation over a to day period was only 0.38 cm. water-equivalent, although about 30 cm. new snow (about 10 cm. water-equivalent) was lying when the expedition arrived. Detailed observations of short-wave radiation, temperature, wind and humidity with estimates of long-wave radiation were used to calculate the heat balance at the surface of the upper ablation region. Agreement between calculated and measured ablation was reasonably good. Over the periods considered, radiation accounted for 89.5 per cent of ablation, turbulent exchange from the air for 8.0 per cent and evaporation for 2.5 per cent. Subsurface melting was taken into account and the formation of ice bands in terms of such melting is discussed.


1983 ◽  
Vol 29 (102) ◽  
pp. 240-249
Author(s):  
V. G. Aver’yanov

AbstractMean multi-year values of the components of external mass and energy exchange in the ice sheet, moisture, radiation, and heat balances in the system Antarctic ice sheet/atmosphere have been estimated by various methods.The major features of the above-mentioned balances have been determined as absolute and relative values. For the moisture balance, income of advective moisture is equal to 100%; loss due to accumulation of moisture in the ice sheet is 83%, due to sink into the atmosphere is 15%, and sink from the ice sheet surface is 2%. As for the radiation balance it has been found that income due to radiation at the top of the atmosphere and absorbed by the atmosphere long-wave radiation are 57% and 43%, respectively; loss due to reflected short-wave radiation is 35%, atmospheric long-wave radiation is 78%, and net outgoing radiation from the surface is 9%. Heat budget components have been found as follows: income due to absorbed short-wave radiation is 49%, advection of heat is 40%, and latent heat from phase transition of advective moisture is 11%; loss due to outgoing long-wave radiation is 98%, heat from phase transition of atmospheric moisture is 2%.The Antarctic ice sheet is a vast area of heat sink. Constant negative surface radiation balance and low temperature of the ice sheet suggest that the latter will exist at any small amount of precipitation and, therefore, current glaciation of Antarctica is rather stable.


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