Diurnal Cycle of the North American Monsoon in a Mesoscale Model Simulation: Evolution of Key Parameters in Relation to Precipitation

In this study the results of two regional fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) simulations forced at their boundaries with low-pass-filtered North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) composite fields from which synoptic-scale variability was removed are presented. The filtered NARR data are also assimilated into the inner domain through the use of field nudging. The purpose of this research is to investigate wet and dry onset modes in the core region of the North American monsoon (NAM). Key features of the NAM that are present in the NARR fields and assimilated into the regional simulations include the position of the midlevel anticyclone, low-level circulation over the Gulf of California, and moisture flux patterns into the core monsoon region, for which the eastern Pacific is the likely primary source of moisture. The model develops a robust diurnal cycle of deep convection over the peaks of the Sierra Madre Occidental (SMO) that results solely from its radiation scheme and internal dynamics, in spite of the field nudging. The wet onset mode is related to a regional land–sea thermal contrast (LSTC) that is ~2°C higher than in the dry mode, and is further characterized by a northward-displaced midlevel anticyclone, a stronger surface pressure gradient along the Gulf of California, larger mean moisture fluxes into the core region from the eastern Pacific, a stronger diurnal cycle of deep convection, and the more northward distribution of precipitation along the axis of the SMO. A proposed regional LSTC mechanism for NAM onset interannual variability is consistent with the differences between both onset modes.

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The Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation over the North American Monsoon Region during the NAME 2004 Field Campaign

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/2007jcli1642.1 ◽

2008 ◽

Vol 21 (4) ◽

pp. 771-787 ◽

Cited By ~ 16

Author(s):

Emily J. Becker ◽

Ernesto Hugo Berbery

Keyword(s):

Diurnal Cycle ◽

North American ◽

Gulf Of California ◽

Warm Season ◽

Moisture Flux ◽

North American Monsoon ◽

The Core ◽

The North ◽

Eta Model ◽

Diurnal Cycle Of Precipitation

Abstract The structure of the diurnal cycle of warm-season precipitation and its associated fields during the North American monsoon are examined for the core monsoon region and for the southwestern United States, using a diverse set of observations, analyses, and forecasts from the North American Monsoon Experiment field campaign of 2004. Included are rain gauge and satellite estimates of precipitation, Eta Model forecasts, and the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR). Daily rain rates are of about the same magnitude in all datasets with the exception of the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) Morphing (CMORPH) technique, which exhibits markedly higher precipitation values. The diurnal cycle of precipitation within the core region occurs earlier in the day at higher topographic elevations, evolving with a westward shift of the maximum. This shift appears in the observations, reanalysis, and, while less pronounced, in the model forecasts. Examination of some of the fields associated with this cycle, including convective available potential energy (CAPE), convective inhibition (CIN), and moisture flux convergence (MFC), reveals that the westward shift appears in all of them, but more prominently in the latter. In general, warm-season precipitation in southern Arizona and parts of New Mexico shows a strong effect due to northward moisture surges from the Gulf of California. A reported positive bias in the NARR northward winds over the Gulf of California limits their use with confidence for studies of the moist surges along the Gulf; thus, the analysis is complemented with operational analysis and the Eta Model short-term simulations. The nonsurge diurnal cycle of precipitation lags the CAPE maximum by 6 h and is simultaneous with a minimum of CIN, while the moisture flux remains divergent throughout the day. During surges, CAPE and CIN have modifications only to the amplitude of their cycles, but the moisture flux becomes strongly convergent about 6 h before the precipitation maximum, suggesting a stronger role in the development of precipitation.

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Simulation of the North American Monsoon by the NCAR CCM3 and Its Sensitivity to Convection Parameterization

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/jcli3732.1 ◽

2006 ◽

Vol 19 (12) ◽

pp. 2851-2866 ◽

Cited By ~ 16

Author(s):

J. Craig Collier ◽

Guang J. Zhang

Keyword(s):

Relative Humidity ◽

Diurnal Cycle ◽

North American ◽

Large Scale ◽

The United States ◽

Experimental Simulation ◽

Specific Humidity ◽

North American Monsoon ◽

Hourly Precipitation ◽

The North

Abstract Two 9-yr runs of the NCAR Community Climate Model version 3 (CCM3) are compared in their simulations of the North American summer monsoon. In a control simulation, the Zhang–McFarlane deep convection scheme is used. For an experimental simulation, the following modifications to the scheme are implemented. The closure is based on the large-scale forcing of virtual temperature, and a relative humidity threshold on convective parcels lifted from the boundary layer is applied. The sensitivity to these modifications for simulating the North American monsoon is investigated. Model validation relies on hourly precipitation rates from surface gauges over the United States, hourly precipitation rates derived from the combination of microwave and radar measurements from NASA’s Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite over Mexico, and CAPE values as calculated from temperature, specific humidity, and pressure fields from the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis. Results show that the experimental run improves the timing of the monsoon onset and peak in the regions of core monsoon influence considered here, though it increases a negative bias in the peak monsoon intensity in one region of northern Mexico. Sensitivity of the diurnal cycle of precipitation to modifications in the convective scheme is highly geographically dependent. Using a combination of gauge-based rainfall rates and reanalysis-based CAPE, it is found that improvements in the simulated diurnal cycle are confined to a convective regime in which the diurnal evolution of precipitation is observed to lag that of CAPE. For another regime, in which CAPE is observed to be approximately in phase with precipitation, model phase biases increase nearly everywhere. Some of the increased phase biases in the latter regime are primarily because of application of the relative humidity threshold.

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The Relationship of Transient Upper-Level Troughs to Variability of the North American Monsoon System

Journal of Climate ◽

10.1175/2009jcli2487.1 ◽

2009 ◽

Vol 22 (15) ◽

pp. 4213-4227 ◽

Cited By ~ 38

Author(s):

Stephen W. Bieda ◽

Christopher L. Castro ◽

Steven L. Mullen ◽

Andrew C. Comrie ◽

Erik Pytlak

Keyword(s):

Diurnal Cycle ◽

North American ◽

Low Frequency ◽

Warm Season ◽

Early Summer ◽

North American Monsoon ◽

The North ◽

Sst Variability ◽

Upper Level ◽

Regional Reanalysis

Abstract Relationships between transient upper-tropospheric troughs and warm season convective activity over the southwest United States and northern Mexico are explored. Analysis of geopotential height and vorticity fields from the North American Regional Reanalysis and cloud-to-ground lightning data indicates that the passage of mobile inverted troughs (IVs) significantly enhances convection when it coincides with the peak diurnal cycle (1800–0900 UTC) over the North American monsoon (NAM) region. The preferred tracks of IVs during early summer are related to the dominant modes of Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variability. When La Niña–like (El Niño–like) conditions prevail in the tropical Pacific and the eastern North Pacific has a horseshoe-shaped negative (positive) SST anomaly, IVs preferentially track farther north (south) and are slightly (typically one IV) more (less) numerous. These results point to the important role that synoptic-scale disturbances play in modulating the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the NAM region and the significant impact that the statistically supported low-frequency Pacific SST anomalies exert on the occurrence and track of these synoptic transients.

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