scholarly journals Sensitivity-informed Bayesian Inference for Home PLC Network Models with Unknown Parameters

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 2402
Author(s):  
David S. Ching ◽  
Cosmin Safta ◽  
Thomas A. Reichardt

Bayesian inference is used to calibrate a bottom-up home PLC network model with unknown loads and wires at frequencies up to 30 MHz. A network topology with over 50 parameters is calibrated using global sensitivity analysis and transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (TMCMC). The sensitivity-informed Bayesian inference computes Sobol indices for each network parameter and applies TMCMC to calibrate the most sensitive parameters for a given network topology. A greedy random search with TMCMC is used to refine the discrete random variables of the network. This results in a model that can accurately compute the transfer function despite noisy training data and a high dimensional parameter space. The model is able to infer some parameters of the network used to produce the training data, and accurately computes the transfer function under extrapolative scenarios.

1996 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 461-489 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lizhong Wu ◽  
John Moody

We derive a smoothing regularizer for dynamic network models by requiring robustness in prediction performance to perturbations of the training data. The regularizer can be viewed as a generalization of the first-order Tikhonov stabilizer to dynamic models. For two layer networks with recurrent connections described by the training criterion with the regularizer is where Φ = {U, V, W} is the network parameter set, Z(t) are the targets, I(t) = {X(s), s = 1,2, …, t} represents the current and all historical input information, N is the size of the training data set, [Formula: see text] is the regularizer, and λ is a regularization parameter. The closed-form expression for the regularizer for time-lagged recurrent networks is where ‖ ‖ is the Euclidean matrix norm and γ is a factor that depends upon the maximal value of the first derivatives of the internal unit activations f(). Simplifications of the regularizer are obtained for simultaneous recurrent nets (τ ↦ 0), two-layer feedforward nets, and one layer linear nets. We have successfully tested this regularizer in a number of case studies and found that it performs better than standard quadratic weight decay.


2020 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 1031-1036
Author(s):  
Guilherme A. Pimentel ◽  
Rafael de Vasconcelos ◽  
Aurélio Salton ◽  
Alexandre Bazanella

2018 ◽  
Vol 83 (5) ◽  
pp. 897-932 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amir Goldberg ◽  
Sarah K. Stein

Network models of diffusion predominantly think about cultural variation as a product of social contagion. But culture does not spread like a virus. We propose an alternative explanation we call associative diffusion. Drawing on two insights from research in cognition—that meaning inheres in cognitive associations between concepts, and that perceived associations constrain people’s actions—we introduce a model in which, rather than beliefs or behaviors, the things being transmitted between individuals are perceptions about what beliefs or behaviors are compatible with one another. Conventional contagion models require the assumption that networks are segregated to explain cultural variation. We show, in contrast, that the endogenous emergence of cultural differentiation can be entirely attributable to social cognition and does not require a segregated network or a preexisting division into groups. Moreover, we show that prevailing assumptions about the effects of network topology do not hold when diffusion is associative.


2018 ◽  
Vol 215 ◽  
pp. 01011
Author(s):  
Sitti Amalia

This research proposed to design and implementation system of voice pattern recognition in the form of numbers with offline pronunciation. Artificial intelligent with backpropagation algorithm used on the simulation test. The test has been done to 100 voice files which got from 10 person voices for 10 different numbers. The words are consisting of number 0 to 9. The trial has been done with artificial neural network parameters such as tolerance value and the sum of a neuron. The best result is shown at tolerance value varied and a sum of the neuron is fixed. The percentage of this network training with optimal architecture and network parameter for each training data and new data are 82,2% and 53,3%. Therefore if tolerance value is fixed and a sum of neuron varied gave 82,2% for training data and 54,4% for new data


2018 ◽  
Vol 30 (11) ◽  
pp. 3072-3094 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongqiao Wang ◽  
Jinglai Li

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP)–based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data, built on recent work (Kandasamy, Schneider, & Póczos, 2015 ). In particular, we write the joint density approximately as a product of an approximate posterior density and an exponentiated GP surrogate. We then provide an adaptive algorithm to construct such an approximation, where an active learning method is used to choose the design points. With numerical examples, we illustrate that the proposed method has competitive performance against existing approaches for Bayesian computation.


Author(s):  
Byamakesh Nayak ◽  
Sangeeta Sahu ◽  
Tanmoy Roy Choudhury

<p>This paper explains an adaptive method for estimation of unknown parameters of transfer function model of any system for finding the parameters. The transfer function of the model with unknown model parameters is considered as the adaptive model whose values are adapted with the experimental data. The minimization of error between the experimental data and the output of the adaptive model have been realised by choosing objective function based on different error criterions. Nelder-Mead optimisation Method is used for adaption algorithm. To prove the method robustness and for students learning, the simple system of separately excited dc motor is considered in this paper. The experimental data of speed response and corresponding current response are taken and transfer function parameters of  dc motors are adapted based on Nelder-Mead optimisation to match with the experimental data. The effectiveness of estimated parameters with different objective functions are compared and validated with machine specification parameters.</p>


2000 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arturo Pacheco-Vega ◽  
Mihir Sen ◽  
Rodney L. McClain

Abstract In the current study we consider the problem of accuracy in heat rate estimations from artificial neural network models of heat exchangers used for refrigeration applications. The network configuration is of the feedforward type with a sigmoid activation function and a backpropagation algorithm. Limited experimental measurements from a manufacturer are used to show the capability of the neural network technique in modeling the heat transfer in these systems. Results from this exercise show that a well-trained network correlates the data with errors of the same order as the uncertainty of the measurements. It is also shown that the number and distribution of the training data are linked to the performance of the network when estimating the heat rates under different operating conditions, and that networks trained from few tests may give large errors. A methodology based on the cross-validation technique is presented to find regions where not enough data are available to construct a reliable neural network. The results from three tests show that the proposed methodology gives an upper bound of the estimated error in the heat rates.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (13) ◽  
pp. 2683 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sang-Ki Ko ◽  
Chang Jo Kim ◽  
Hyedong Jung ◽  
Choongsang Cho

We propose a sign language translation system based on human keypoint estimation. It is well-known that many problems in the field of computer vision require a massive dataset to train deep neural network models. The situation is even worse when it comes to the sign language translation problem as it is far more difficult to collect high-quality training data. In this paper, we introduce the KETI (Korea Electronics Technology Institute) sign language dataset, which consists of 14,672 videos of high resolution and quality. Considering the fact that each country has a different and unique sign language, the KETI sign language dataset can be the starting point for further research on the Korean sign language translation. Using the KETI sign language dataset, we develop a neural network model for translating sign videos into natural language sentences by utilizing the human keypoints extracted from the face, hands, and body parts. The obtained human keypoint vector is normalized by the mean and standard deviation of the keypoints and used as input to our translation model based on the sequence-to-sequence architecture. As a result, we show that our approach is robust even when the size of the training data is not sufficient. Our translation model achieved 93.28% (55.28%, respectively) translation accuracy on the validation set (test set, respectively) for 105 sentences that can be used in emergency situations. We compared several types of our neural sign translation models based on different attention mechanisms in terms of classical metrics for measuring the translation performance.


Information ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 212
Author(s):  
Zhiwei Yang ◽  
Weigang Wu

A dynamic network is the abstraction of distributed systems with frequent network topology changes. With such dynamic network models, fundamental distributed computing problems can be formally studied with rigorous correctness. Although quite a number of models have been proposed and studied for dynamic networks, the existing models are usually defined from the point of view of connectivity properties. In this paper, instead, we examine the dynamicity of network topology according to the procedure of changes, i.e., how the topology or links change. Following such an approach, we propose the notion of the “instant path” and define two dynamic network models based on the instant path. Based on these two models, we design distributed algorithms for the problem of information dissemination respectively, one of the fundamental distributing computing problems. The correctness of our algorithms is formally proved and their performance in time cost and communication cost is analyzed. Compared with existing connectivity based dynamic network models and algorithms, our procedure based ones are definitely easier to be instantiated in the practical design and deployment of dynamic networks.


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