scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Mapping in the Vrancea-Buzău Seismic Region, Southeast Romania

Geosciences ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 495
Author(s):  
Hasnaa Harmouzi ◽  
Romy Schlögel ◽  
Marta Jurchescu ◽  
Hans-Balder Havenith
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Landslide Hazard ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Spatial Process ◽  
Target Area ◽  
Seismic Region ◽  
Local Conditions ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Susceptibility Analysis

This study presents the results of a landslide susceptibility analysis applied to the Vrancea-Buzău seismogenic region in the Carpathian Mountains, Romania. The target area is affected by a large diversity of landslide processes. Slopes are made-up of various types of rocks, climatic conditions can be classified as wet, and the area is a seismically active one. All this contributes to the observed high landslide hazard. The paper analyses the spatial component of the landslide hazard affecting the target area, the regional landslide susceptibility. First, an existing landslide inventory was completed to cover a wider area for the landslide susceptibility analysis. Second, two types of methods are applied, a purely statistical technique, based on correlations between landslide occurrence and local conditions, as well as the simplified spatial process-based Newmark Displacement analysis. Landslide susceptibility maps have been produced by applying both methods, the second one also allowing us to simulate different scenarios, based on various soil saturation rates and seismic inputs. Furthermore, landslide susceptibility was computed both for the landslide source and runout zones—the first providing information about areas where landslides are preferentially triggered and the second indicating where landslides preferentially move along the slope and accumulate. The analysis showed that any of the different methods applied produces reliable maps of landslide susceptibility. However, uncertainties were also outlined as validation is insufficient, especially in the northern area, where only a few landslides could be mapped due to the intense vegetation cover.

scholarly journals Modeling of Landslide susceptibility in a part of Abay Basin, northwestern Ethiopia

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 1440-1467
Author(s):  
Azemeraw Wubalem
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Landslide Hazard ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Landslide Occurrence

AbstractThe study area in northwestern Ethiopia is one of the most landslide-prone regions, which is characterized by frequent high landslide occurrences. To predict future landslide occurrence, preparing a landslide susceptibility mapping is imperative to manage the landslide hazard and reduce damages of properties and loss of lives. Geographic information system (GIS)-based frequency ratio (FR), information value (IV), certainty factor (CF), and logistic regression (LR) methods were applied. The landslide inventory map is prepared from historical records and Google Earth imagery interpretation. Thus, 717 landslides were mapped, of which 502 (70%) landslides were used to build landslide susceptibility models, and the remaining 215 (30%) landslides were used to model validation. Eleven factors such as lithology, land use/cover, distance to drainage, distance to lineament, normalized difference vegetation index, drainage density, rainfall, soil type, slope, aspect, and curvature were evaluated and their relationship with landslide occurrence was analyzed using the GIS tool. Then, landslide susceptibility maps of the study area are categorized into very low, low, moderate, high, and very high susceptibility classes. The four models were validated by the area under the curve (AUC) and landslide density. The results for the AUC are 93.9% for the CF model, which is better than 93.2% using IV, 92.7% using the FR model, and 87.9% using the LR model. Moreover, the statistical significance test between the models was performed using LR analysis by SPSS software. The result showed that the LR and CF models have higher statistical significance than the FR and IV methods. Although all statistical models indicated higher prediction accuracy, based on their statistical significance analysis result (Table 5), the LR model is relatively better followed by the CF model for regional land use planning, landslide hazard mitigation, and prevention purposes.

scholarly journals Landslide susceptibility mapping on a global scale using the method of logistic regression

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (8) ◽  
pp. 1411-1424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Lin ◽  
Qigen Lin ◽  
Ying Wang
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Confusion Matrix ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Explanatory Factors ◽  
Five Factors

Abstract. This paper proposes a statistical model for mapping global landslide susceptibility based on logistic regression. After investigating explanatory factors for landslides in the existing literature, five factors were selected for model landslide susceptibility: relative relief, extreme precipitation, lithology, ground motion and soil moisture. When building the model, 70 % of landslide and nonlandslide points were randomly selected for logistic regression, and the others were used for model validation. To evaluate the accuracy of predictive models, this paper adopts several criteria including a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve method. Logistic regression experiments found all five factors to be significant in explaining landslide occurrence on a global scale. During the modeling process, percentage correct in confusion matrix of landslide classification was approximately 80 % and the area under the curve (AUC) was nearly 0.87. During the validation process, the above statistics were about 81 % and 0.88, respectively. Such a result indicates that the model has strong robustness and stable performance. This model found that at a global scale, soil moisture can be dominant in the occurrence of landslides and topographic factor may be secondary.

scholarly journals Investigating the Effect of Cross-Modeling in Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (18) ◽  
pp. 6335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kamila Pawluszek-Filipiak ◽  
Natalia Oreńczak ◽  
Marta Pasternak
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Research Question ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
High Susceptibility ◽  
Geological Structures ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Very High

To mitigate the negative effects of landslide occurrence, there is a need for effective landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM). The fundamental source for LSM is landslide inventory. Unfortunately, there are still areas where landslide inventories are not generated due to financial or reachability constraints. Considering this led to the following research question: can we model landslide susceptibility in an area for which landslide inventory is not available but where such is available for surrounding areas? To answer this question, we performed cross-modeling by using various strategies for landslide susceptibility. Namely, landslide susceptibility was cross-modeled by using two adjacent regions (“Łososina” and “Gródek”) separated by the Rożnów Lake and Dunajec River. Thus, 46% and 54% of the total detected landslides were used for the LSM in “Łososina” and “Gródek” model, respectively. Various topographical, geological, hydrological and environmental landslide-conditioning factors (LCFs) were created. These LCFs were generated on the basis of the Digital Elevation Model (DEM), Sentinel-2A data, a digitized geological and soil suitability map, precipitation, the road network and the Różnów lake shapefile. For LSM, we applied the Frequency Ratio (FR) and Landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) methods. Five zones showing various landslide susceptibilities were generated via Natural Jenks. The Seed Cell Area Index (SCAI) and Relative Landslide Density Index were used for model validation. Even when the SCAI indicated extremely high values for “very low” susceptibility classes and very small values for “very high” susceptibility classes in the training and validation areas, the accuracy of the LSM in the validation areas was significantly lower. In the “Łososina” model, 90% and 57% of the landslides fell into the “high” and “very high” susceptibility zones in the training and validation areas, respectively. In the “Gródek” model, 86% and 46% of the landslides fell into the “high” and “very high” susceptibility zones in the training and validation areas, respectively. Moreover, the comparison between these two models was performed. Discrepancies between these two models exist in the areas of critical geological structures (thrust and fault proximity), and the reliability for such susceptibility zones can be low (2–3 susceptibility zone difference). However, such areas cover only 11% of the analyzed area; thus, we can conclude that in remaining regions (89%), LSM generated by the inventory for the surrounding area can be useful. Therefore, the low reliability of such a map in areas of critical geological structures should be borne in mind.

scholarly journals Application of various strategies and methodologies for landslide susceptibility maps on a basin scale: the case study of Val Tartano, Italy

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vasil Yordanov ◽  
Maria Antonia Brovelli
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Initial Step ◽  
Mitigation Strategies ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Statistical Index ◽  
Local Conditions ◽  
Basin Scale

Abstract Landslide susceptibility mapping is a crucial initial step in risk mitigation strategies. Landslide hazards are widely spread all over the world and, as such, mapping the relevant susceptibility levels is in constant research and development. As a result, numerous modelling techniques and approaches have been adopted by scholars, implementing these models at different scales and with different terrains, in search of the best-performing strategy. Nevertheless, a direct comparison is not possible unless the strategies are implemented under the same environmental conditions and scenarios. The aim of this work is to implement three statistical-based models (Statistical Index, Logistic Regression, and Random Forest) at the basin scale, using various scenarios for the input datasets (terrain variables), training samples and ratios, and validation metrics. A reassessment of the original input data was carried out to improve the model performance. In total, 79 maps were obtained using different combinations with some highly satisfactory outcomes and others that are barely acceptable. Random Forest achieved the highest scores in most of the cases, proving to be a reliable modelling approach. While Statistical Index passes the evaluation tests, most of the resulting maps were considered unreliable. This research highlighted the importance of a complete and up-to-date landslide inventory, the knowledge of local conditions, as well as the pre- and post-analysis evaluation of the input and output combinations.

scholarly journals FRMOD, a Python tool for statistical landslide susceptibility assessment

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Dávid Gerzsenyi
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Predictive Performance ◽  
Ratio Method ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Frequency Distributions ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Susceptibility Analysis ◽  
Gis Tools ◽  
Frequency Ratio Method

Abstract. Locating landslide-prone slopes is important, as landslides often threaten life or property where they occur. There is an abundance of statistical methods in the literature for estimating susceptibility to landslides, i.e., the likelihood of landslide occurrence based on the analyzed conditions. Still, there is a lack of readily available GIS tools for landslide susceptibility analysis, making it hard to reproduce or compare the results of different susceptibility assessments. The FRMOD is a Python-based tool for conducting landslide susceptibility analysis with the frequency ratio method. The frequency ratio method yields susceptibility estimates by comparing the frequency distributions of a set of variables from the sample landslide areas to the distributions for the whole study area. The estimates show the level of similarity to the sample landslides. The two main inputs of the tool are the raster grids of the analyzed continuous (e.g., elevation, slope) and thematic (e.g., lithology) variables and the mask grid that marks the landslide and the non-landslide areas. The analysis is performed with cross-validation to measure the predictive performance of the model. Data computed during the analysis is stored along the final susceptibility estimates and the supplementary statistics. The script reads and writes GDAL-compatible rasters, while the statistics can be saved as text files. Basic plotting functionalities for the grids and the statistics are also built-in to quicken the evaluation of the results. FRMOD enables the swift testing of different analysis setups and to apply the same analysis method for different areas with relative ease.

scholarly journals Comparison of Logistic Regression, Information Value, and Comprehensive Evaluating Model for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 3803
Author(s):  
Rui-Xuan Tang ◽  
E-Chuan Yan ◽  
Tao Wen ◽  
Xiao-Meng Yin ◽  
Wei Tang
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Length ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Conditioning Factors ◽  
Slope Structure

This study validated the robust performances of the recently proposed comprehensive landslide susceptibility index model (CLSI) for landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) by comparing it to the logistic regression (LR) and the analytical hierarchy process information value (AHPIV) model. Zhushan County in China, with 373 landslides identified, was used as the study area. Eight conditioning factors (lithology, slope structure, slope angle, altitude, distance to river, stream power index, slope length, distance to road) were acquired from digital elevation models (DEMs), field survey, remote sensing imagery, and government documentary data. Results indicate that the CLSI model has the highest accuracy and the best classification ability, although all three models can produce reasonable landslide susceptibility (LS) maps. The robust performance of the CLSI model is due to its weight determination by a back-propagation neural network (BPNN), which successfully captures the nonlinear relationship between landslide occurrence and the conditioning factors.

scholarly journals Regional-Scale Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Limited LiDAR-Based Landslide Inventories for Sisak-Moslavina County, Croatia

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 4543
Author(s):  
Iris Bostjančić ◽  
Marina Filipović ◽  
Vlatko Gulam ◽  
Davor Pollak
Keyword(s):  
Predictive Factors ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Spatial Relationship ◽  
Cost Benefit ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Cost Benefit Ratio ◽  
The Cost

In this paper, for the first time, a regional-scale 1:100,000 landslide-susceptibility map (LSM) is presented for Sisak-Moslavina County in Croatia. The spatial relationship between landslide occurrence and landslide predictive factors (engineering geological units, relief, roughness, and distance to streams) is assessed using the integration of a statistically based frequency ratio (FR) into the analytical hierarchy process (AHP). Due to the lack of landslide inventory for the county, LiDAR-based inventories are completed for an area of 132 km2. From 1238 landslides, 549 are chosen to calculate the LSM and 689 for its verification. Additionally, landslides digitized from available geological maps and reported via the web portal “Report a landslide” are used for verification. The county is classified into four susceptibility classes, covering 36% with very-high and high and 64% with moderate and low susceptibility zones. The presented approach, using limited LiDAR data and the extrapolation of the correlation results to the entire county, is encouraging for primary regional-level studies, justifying the cost-benefit ratio. Still, the positioning of LiDAR polygons prerequires a basic statistical analysis of predictive factors.

scholarly journals The contribution of EMCA to landslide susceptibility mapping in Central Asia

2015 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Annamaria Saponaro ◽  
Marco Pilz ◽  
Dino Bindi ◽  
Stefano Parolai
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Heavy Precipitation ◽  
Landslide Hazard ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Large Variability ◽  
Ground Shaking ◽  
Potential Factors

<p>Central Asia is one of the most exposed regions in the world to landslide hazard. The large variability of local geological materials, together with the difficulties in forecasting heavy precipitation locally and in quantifying the level of ground shaking, call for harmonized procedures to better quantify the hazard and the negative impact of slope failures across the Central Asian countries. As a first step towards a quantitative landslide hazard and risk assessment, a landslide susceptibility analysis at regional scale has been carried out, by benefitting of novel seismic hazard outcomes reached in the frame of Earthquake Model Central Asia (EMCA) project. By combining information coming from diverse potential factors, it is possible to detect areas where a potential for landslides exists. Initial results allow the identification of areas that are more susceptible to landslides with a level of accuracy greater than 70%. The presented method is, therefore, capable of supporting land planning activities at the regional scale in places where only scarce data are available.</p>

scholarly journals Developing a Landslide Susceptibility Map Using the Analytic Hierarchical Process in Ta Van and Hau Thao Communes, Sapa, Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 529-538
Author(s):  
Thi Thanh Thuy Le ◽  
The Viet Tran ◽  
Viet Hung Hoang ◽  
Van Truong Bui ◽  
Thi Kien Trinh Bui ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
High Susceptibility ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Map ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Mountainous Regions ◽  
Geological Conditions ◽  
Very High

Landslides are considered one of the most serious problems in the mountainous regions of the northern part of Vietnam due to the special topographic and geological conditions associated with the occurrence of tropical storms, steep slopes on hillsides, and human activities. This study initially identified areas susceptible to landslides in Ta Van Commune, Sapa District, Lao Cai Region using Analytical Hierarchy Analysis. Ten triggering and conditioning parameters were analyzed: elevation, slope, aspect, lithology, valley depth, relief amplitude, distance to roads, distance to faults, land use, and precipitation. The consistency index (CI) was 0.0995, indicating that no inconsistency in the decision-making process was detected during computation. The consistency ratio (CR) was computed for all factors and their classes were less than 0.1. The landslide susceptibility index (LSI) was computed and reclassified into five categories: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. Approximately 9.9% of the whole area would be prone to landslide occurrence when the LSI value indicated at very high and high landslide susceptibility. The area under curve (AUC) of 0.75 illustrated that the used model provided good results for landslide susceptibility mapping in the study area. The results revealed that the predicted susceptibility levels were in good agreement with past landslides. The output also illustrated a gradual decrease in the density of landslide from the very high to the very low susceptible regions, which showed a considerable separation in the density values. Among the five classes, the highest landslide density of 0.01274 belonged to the very high susceptibility zone, followed by 0.00272 for the high susceptibility zone. The landslide susceptibility map presented in this paper would help local authorities adequately plan their landslide management process, especially in the very high and high susceptible zones.

scholarly journals GIS and statistical analysis for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Daunia area, Italy

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 1851-1864 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Mancini ◽  
C. Ceppi ◽  
G. Ritrovato
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Geographical Information ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Multivariate Statistical ◽  
Causal Factors ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Local Comparison

Abstract. This study focuses on landslide susceptibility mapping in the Daunia area (Apulian Apennines, Italy) and achieves this by using a multivariate statistical method and data processing in a Geographical Information System (GIS). The Logistic Regression (hereafter LR) method was chosen to produce a susceptibility map over an area of 130 000 ha where small settlements are historically threatened by landslide phenomena. By means of LR analysis, the tendency to landslide occurrences was, therefore, assessed by relating a landslide inventory (dependent variable) to a series of causal factors (independent variables) which were managed in the GIS, while the statistical analyses were performed by means of the SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) software. The LR analysis produced a reliable susceptibility map of the investigated area and the probability level of landslide occurrence was ranked in four classes. The overall performance achieved by the LR analysis was assessed by local comparison between the expected susceptibility and an independent dataset extrapolated from the landslide inventory. Of the samples classified as susceptible to landslide occurrences, 85% correspond to areas where landslide phenomena have actually occurred. In addition, the consideration of the regression coefficients provided by the analysis demonstrated that a major role is played by the "land cover" and "lithology" causal factors in determining the occurrence and distribution of landslide phenomena in the Apulian Apennines.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document