scholarly journals Spatiotemporal Variability of Intensity–Duration–Frequency (IDF) Curves in Arid Areas: Wadi AL-Lith, Saudi Arabia as a Case Study

Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
Ibrahim H. Elsebaie ◽  
Mohamed El Alfy ◽  
Atef Qasem Kawara

In arid areas, flashflood water management is a major concern due to arid climate ambiguity. The examining and derivation of intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves in an urban arid area under a variety of terrain patterns and climatic changes is anticipated. Several flood events have been reported in the Al-Lith region of western Saudi Arabia that took away many lives and caused disruption in services and trade. To find and examine the extremities and IDF curves, daily rainfall data from 1966 to 2018 is used. The IDF curves are created for a variety of return periods and climate scenarios in three terrain variabilities. This research examines various distributions to estimate the maximum rainfall for several metrological stations with varying return periods and terrain conditions. Three main zones are identified based on ground elevation variability and IDF distributions from upstream in the eastern mountainous area to downstream in the western coastal area. These IDF curves can be used to identify vulnerable hotspot areas in arid areas such as the Wadi AL-Lith, and flood mitigation steps can be suggested to minimize flood risk.

Author(s):  
J. O. Ehiorobo ◽  
O.C. Izinyon ◽  
R. I. Ilaboya

Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) relationship remains one of the mostly used tools in hydrology and water resources engineering, especially for planning, design and operations of water resource projects. IDF relationship can provide adequate information about the intensity of rainfall at different duration for various return periods. The focus of this research was to develop IDF curves for the prediction of rainfall intensity within the middle Niger River Basin (Lokoja and Ilorin) using annual maximum daily rainfall data. Forty (40) year’s annual maximum rainfall data ranging from 1974 to 2013 was employed for the study. To ascertain the data quality, selected preliminary analysis technique including; descriptive statistics, test of homogeneity and outlier detection test were employed. To compute the three hours rainfall intensity, the ratio of rainfall amount and duration was used while the popular Gumbel probability distribution model was employed to calculate the rainfall frequency factor. To assess the best fit model that can be employed to predict rainfall intensity for various return periods at ungauged locations, four empirical IDF equations, namely; Talbot, Bernard, Kimijima and Sherman equations were employed. The model with the least calculated sum of minimized root mean square error (RMSE) was adopted as the best fit empirical model. Results obtained revealed that the Talbot model was the best fit model for Ilorin and Lokoja with calculated sum of minimized error of 1.32170E-07 and 8.953636E-08. This model was thereafter employed to predict the rainfall intensity for different durations at 2, 5, 10, 25, 50 and 100yrs return periods respectively.


Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 1750 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Noor ◽  
Tarmizi Ismail ◽  
Eun-Sung Chung ◽  
Shamsuddin Shahid ◽  
Jang Sung

This study developed a methodological framework to update the rainfall intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves under climate change scenarios. A model output statistics (MOS) method is used to downscale the daily rainfall of general circulation models (GCMs), and an artificial neural network (ANN) is employed for the disaggregation of projected daily rainfall to hourly maximum rainfall, which is then used for the development of IDF curves. Finally, the 1st quartiles, medians, and 3rd quartiles of projected rainfall intensities are estimated for developing IDF curves with uncertainty level. Eight GCM simulations under two radiative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios, namely, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, are used in the proposed framework for the projection of IDF curves with related uncertainties for peninsular Malaysia. The projection of rainfall revealed an increase in the annual average rainfall throughout the present century. The comparison of the projected IDF curves for the period 2006–2099 with that obtained using GCM hindcasts for the based period (1971–2005) revealed an increase in rainfall intensity for shorter durations and a decrease for longer durations. The uncertainty in rainfall intensity for different return periods for shorter duration is found to be 2 to 6 times more compared to longer duration rainfall, which indicates that a large increase in rainfall intensity for short durations projected by GCMs is highly uncertain for peninsular Malaysia. The IDF curves developed in this study can be used for the planning of climate resilient urban water storm water management infrastructure in Peninsular Malaysia.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 954-969 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hatem A. Ewea ◽  
Amro M. Elfeki ◽  
Jarbou A. Bahrawi ◽  
Nassir S. Al-Amri

Abstract Reducing the negative impacts of flooding in Makkah AL Mukarramah region in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) is of utmost importance. In the last decade, there are huge mega infrastructure projects in KSA in general and in Makkah AL Mukarramah region in particular. These projects require adequate stormwater drainage systems. Since, the availability of rainfall and runoff data are scarce, engineers and hydrologists rely on models developed in temperature regions that are not hydrologically similar from temperate regions. This leads to inaccurate designs of stormwater facilities. Therefore, deveoping in situ Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) curves is a must in this arid region. This paper aims at modeling IDF curves for Makkah Al-Mukarramah region. Maximum annual daily rainfall series of 80 storms (with sub-hourly and hourly data) from four stations are investigated through six different probability distributions. Consequently, rainfall depth-duration-frequency models and curves are derived. Results revealed that the Gumbel Type I is the optimal one. Thus, it is used to deduce the IDF curves and relations for each station and for the region as a whole. The R2 value for fitting power-lawfunction (i = a Db) to the data is very high for the IDF parameters. The R2 for the coefficient parameter, a, is between 0.9999 and 0.9988 while it ranges between 0.8754 and 0.8039 for exponent parameter, b. High correlation coefficient (more than 0.95) has been obtained. The resulting IDF models are strongly recommended for rigorous, effective and safe design of the stormwater systems in Makkah Al-Mukarramah region.


2011 ◽  
Vol 35 (6) ◽  
pp. 2127-2134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Álvaro José Back ◽  
Alan Henn ◽  
José Luiz Rocha Oliveira

Knowledge of intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) relationships of rainfall events is extremely important to determine the dimensions of surface drainage structures and soil erosion control. The purpose of this study was to obtain IDF equations of 13 rain gauge stations in the state of Santa Catarina in Brazil: Chapecó, Urussanga, Campos Novos, Florianópolis, Lages, Caçador, Itajaí, Itá, Ponte Serrada, Porto União, Videira, Laguna and São Joaquim. The daily rainfall data charts of each station were digitized and then the annual maximum rainfall series were determined for durations ranging from 5 to 1440 min. Based on these, with the Gumbel-Chow distribution, the maximum rainfall was estimated for durations ranging from 5 min to 24 h, considering return periods of 2, 5, 10, 20, 25, 50, and 100 years,. Data agreement with the Gumbel-Chow model was verified by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, at 5 % significance level. For each rain gauge station, two IDF equations of rainfall events were adjusted, one for durations from 5 to 120 min and the other from 120 to 1440 min. The results show a high variability in maximum intensity of rainfall events among the studied stations. Highest values of coefficients of variation in the annual maximum series of rainfall were observed for durations of over 600 min at the stations of the coastal region of Santa Catarina.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yabin Sun ◽  
Dadiyorto Wendi ◽  
Dong Eon Kim ◽  
Shie-Yui Liong

AbstractThe rainfall intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves play an important role in water resources engineering and management. The applications of IDF curves range from assessing rainfall events, classifying climatic regimes, to deriving design storms and assisting in designing urban drainage systems, etc. The deriving procedure of IDF curves, however, requires long-term historical rainfall observations, whereas lack of fine-timescale rainfall records (e.g. sub-daily) often results in less reliable IDF curves. This paper presents the utilization of remote sensing sub-daily rainfall, i.e. Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP), integrated with the Bartlett-Lewis rectangular pulses (BLRP) model, to disaggregate the daily in situ rainfall, which is then further used to derive more reliable IDF curves. Application of the proposed method in Singapore indicates that the disaggregated hourly rainfall, preserving both the hourly and daily statistic characteristics, produces IDF curves with significantly improved accuracy; on average over 70% of RMSE is reduced as compared to the IDF curves derived from daily rainfall observations.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reza Ghazavi ◽  
Ali Moafi Rabori ◽  
Mohsen Ahadnejad Reveshty

Abstract. Estimate design storm based on rainfall intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves is an important parameter for hydrologic planning of urban areas. The main aim of this study was to estimate rainfall intensities of Zanjan city watershed based on overall relationship of rainfall IDF curves and appropriate model of hourly rainfall estimation (Sherman method, Ghahreman and Abkhezr method). Hydrologic and hydraulic impacts of rainfall IDF curves change in flood properties was evaluated via Stormwater Management Model (SWMM). The accuracy of model simulations was confirmed based on the results of calibration. Design hyetographs in different return periods show that estimated rainfall depth via Sherman method are greater than other method except for 2-year return period. According to Ghahreman and Abkhezr method, decrease of runoff peak was 30, 39, 41 and 42 percent for 5-10-20 and 50-year return periods respectively, while runoff peak for 2-year return period was increased by 20 percent.


Author(s):  
Armando Schmidt-Gomez ◽  
Juan Manuel Olivares-Ramírez ◽  
Fermín Ferriol-Sánchez ◽  
Ángel Marroquín-De Jesús

The collection of water is proposed from the design of contour borders and half moons, green infrastructure measures, to reduce surface runoff and increase the availability of water for vegetation. The contour and crescent ridges have land ridges with a trapezoidal section, which follow the contour lines, to compartmentalize the slope into smaller hydrological units, the ends of which are located on contour lines. With the data of maximum rainfall every 24 hours and parameters of Gumbel's Law modified, the equations of maximum daily rainfall height (hdT), rainfall height for a duration ´´t´´ (htT), and the Intensity Duration Frequency curve (ItT), for a duration of t <2h. Then considering the values of basic infiltration, vegetation cover, soil type and hydrological condition, the curve numbers were determined for different soil moisture conditions, later the separation length (L) between the Half Moons, and the borders was calculated. in contour, which were designed by means of 10 configurations between diameter and height, for the two infrastructures, being in Copacabana Valle, the greatest separation distance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 223-228
Author(s):  
S.O. Oyegoke ◽  
A.S. Adebanjo ◽  
H.J. Ododo

With the large inter-annual variability of rainfall in Northern Nigeria, a zone subject to frequent dry spells which often result in severe and widespread droughts, the need for intense study of rainfall and accurate forecast of rainfall intensity duration frequency (IDF) curves cannot be over emphasized. The Intensity Duration Frequency relationship is a mathematical relationship between the rainfall intensity and rainfall duration for given return periods. Using a subset of the network of fifteen continuous auto recording rain gauges available in Northern Nigeria, a total of seven different time durations ranging from 12 minutes to 24 hours were developed for return periods of 2, 5, 10, 25, 50 and 100 years. The maximum data series so obtained was fitted to Gumbel’s Extreme Value Type 1 distribution. Linear Regression Analysis was then used to obtain the intensity-duration relationships for the various locations from which Intensity-Duration Frequency (IDF) curves were generated using Microsoft Excel for various return periods. Keywords:  Extreme rainfall, intensity, duration, frequency, Northern Nigeria


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (4-1) ◽  
pp. 394-399
Author(s):  
Noratiqah Mohd Ariff ◽  
Abdul Aziz Jemain ◽  
Mohd Aftar Abu Bakar

Intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves represent the relationship between storm intensity, storm duration and return period. The IDF curves available are mostly done by fitting series of annual maximum rainfall intensity to parametric distributions. However, the length of annual rainfall records, especially for small scaled data, are not always enough. Rainfall records of less than 50 years are usually deemed insufficient to unequivocally identify the probability distribution of the annual rainfall. Thus, this study introduces an alternative approach that replaces the need for parametric fitting by using empirical distribution based on plotting positions to represent annual maximum rainfall series. Subsequently, these plotting positions are used to build IDF curves. The IDF curves found are then compared to the IDF curves yielded from the parametric GEV distribution which is a common basis for IDF curves. This study indicates that IDF curves obtained using plotting positions are similar to IDF curves found using GEV distribution for storm events. Hence, researchers could model and subsequently build IDF curves for annual rainfall records of less than 50 years by using plotting positions and avoid any probability distribution fitting of insufficient data.


2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (14) ◽  
pp. 142-186
Author(s):  
د. فهدة فلاح بن حشر د. فهدة فلاح بن حشر

this study examined the effective rainfall in Tabuk area by applying the Lang rainfall factor, De Martonne Index and the (UNEP) arid index. The study methodology was based on a statistical tests using the Normality test (Shapiro-Wilk), the Homogeneity test (Leven test), the ANOVA (LSD test) of the monthly mean of rainfall, the daily maximum rainfall and the total number of rainfall days. The multiple comparison (Tehmane’s Test) had been applied between the studied stations. The results of the Shapiro-Wilk test shows that the distribution of monthly rainfall averages follows normal distribution in all stations except stations Tabuk and Al Bad’ and that the maximum daily rainfall distribution at Duba, Shuw?q, Al Kurr stations is also normal distribution. The Leven test results showed that the significance level was greater than 0.05 and the Leven Test was greater than 0.05 for the average monthly precipitation, for the daily maximum rainfall and for the number of rain days and it indicates the homogeneity of the rainfall variances in the studied stations.The ANOVA analysis of the averages and maximum daily rainfall, shows that the significance level is greater than 0.05 and the LSD test is greater than 0.05 indicating that the differences are not significant. While the LSD was greater than 0.05 for the number of rain days, indicating that the differences between the number of rain days and their distribution at the studied stations are statistically significant differences, and therefore there is no homogeneity in their differences. The results of the Tamhane’s Test of multiple comparison confirmed that the mean level of monthly mean rainfall and daily maximum rainfall is greater than 0.05 indicates that the differences between the monthly rain averages of and the daily maximum rainfall amounts are not significant for 22.2% of total comparisons.The effective rainfall estimate of Lang’s rainfall index shows that the threshold of effective mean rainfall is between 1.3 and 27.4 mm and that the threshold of maximum daily rainfall is 154.1 mm at the station (Al Bad’). Also, the effective rainfall estimate by the DeMartonne index shows that the threshold of average effective rainfall is between 1.2 and 15.2 mm and that the threshold of maximum daily rainfall is 80.4 mm at the station (Al Bad’). Therefore, the effective rainfall estimate by the UNEP index shows that the threshold of average effective rainfall is between 1.8 and 30.3 mm and that the threshold of maximum daily rainfall is 130.5 mm at the station (Al Bad’). Finally, the effective rainfall estimate by the difference between the rainfall and Pan Class“A” Evaporation shows that the threshold of average effective rainfall is between 1.2 and 25.8 mm and that the threshold of maximum daily rainfall is 137.1 mm at the station (Al Bad’).- Key Words:Effective rainfall average, Effective maximum daily rainfall , Number of rainy days, Statistical tests, Lang rainfall factor, DeMartonne index, UNEP arid index, Tabuk area, Saudi Arabia.


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