scholarly journals Assessing the Effect of Land Use Change on Surface Runoff in a Rapidly Urbanized City: A Case Study of the Central Area of Beijing

Land ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanshan Hu ◽  
Yunyun Fan ◽  
Tao Zhang

The change in land use during the process of urbanization affects surface runoff and increases flood risk in big cities. This study investigated the impact of land use change on surface runoff in Beijing’s central area during the period of rapid urbanization from 1984 to 2019. Land use maps of 1984, 1999, 2009, and 2019 were generated by image classification of Landsat images. Surface runoffs were calculated with the Soil Conservation Service curve number (SCS-CN) model. Correlation analysis was used to identify the dominant factor of land use change affecting surface runoff. The result showed that the variation trend of surface runoff was consistent with the trend of impervious land in Beijing’s central area, which increased during 1984~2009 and decreased during 2009~2019. Correlation analysis showed that changes in surface runoff were most strongly correlated with changes in impervious surfaces when compared with the correlation of runoff with other types of land use. The results of this study may provide a reference for city flood control and urban planning in fast growing cities worldwide, especially in developing countries.

Author(s):  
A. C. E. Cruz ◽  
J. M. D. Dizon ◽  
R. B. L. M. Mediavillo ◽  
B. O. Nepomuceno ◽  
A. Cunanan-Yabut ◽  
...  

Abstract. The intensity of urban flooding area due to rapid urbanization in Metro Manila has been worsening over the years caused by the torrential rains brought by the Southwest Monsoon. To further characterize the impact of land use change influenced by urbanization, we compared the flood map generated from two periods (Year 200 & Year 2020) using a two-dimensional hydrodynamic modelling simulated in FLO-2D software. In our simulations, we assigned roughness coefficient values to corresponding land use category derived from an earlier study in the area previously spearhead by JICA in 2001. Each model will incorporate the implemented Year 2000 land use and the projected Year 2010 land use classification respectively, which were used in this earlier study. Meanwhile, both models will use the same sets of parameters for the simulation: IFSAR-derived DEM elevation model and a rainfall event with 10-yr return period. The area of interest of this study is located near Valenzuela-Obando-Meycauayan (VOM) with its boundaries defined from the National Mapping and Resource Information Authority. The flood simulations conducted do not take into consideration in existing flood control measures such as drainage systems and floodwalls to minimize the complexity of the model. The results are evaluated both quantitatively and qualitatively. According to the results, the impact of the land use change on flood formation in most areas are insignificant due to a low degree of land use change. However, there has been substantial impact on flooding in specific areas where there is a major change in the land use. For further studies, we recommend the use of a longer land use change period and the consideration of more varied and precise Manning’s n-values.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pengyan Zhang ◽  
Yanyan Li ◽  
Wenlong Jing ◽  
Dan Yang ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
...  

Urbanization is causing profound changes in ecosystem functions at local and regional scales. The net primary productivity (NPP) is an important indicator of global change, rapid urbanization and climate change will have a significant impact on NPP, and urban expansion and climate change in different regions have different impacts on NPP, especially in densely populated areas. However, to date, efforts to quantify urban expansion and climate change have been limited, and the impact of long-term continuous changes in NPP has not been well understood. Based on land use data, night light data, NPP data, climate data, and a series of social and economic data, we performed a comprehensive analysis of land use change in terms of type and intensity and explored the pattern of urban expansion and its relationship with NPP and climate change for the period of 2000–2015, taking Zhengzhou, China, as an example. The results show that the major form of land use change was cropland to built-up land during the 2000–2015 period, with a total area of 367.51 km2 converted. The NPP exhibited a generally increasing trend in the study area except for built-up land and water area. The average correlation coefficients between temperature and NPP and precipitation and NPP were 0.267 and 0.020, respectively, indicating that an increase in temperature and precipitation can promote NPP despite significant spatial differences. During the examined period, most expansion areas exhibited an increasing NPP trend, indicating that the influence of urban expansion on NPP is mainly characterized by an evident influence of the expansion area. The study can provide a reference for Zhengzhou and even the world's practical research to improve land use efficiency, increase agricultural productivity and natural carbon sinks, and maintain low-carbon development.


2019 ◽  
Vol 118 ◽  
pp. 04022
Author(s):  
Fuqiang Huang ◽  
Zengxiang Qi

Land use change on ecosystem service value(ESV) and its interaction is significant in the rapid urbanization. The GIS(Geographic Information System) incorporating with ESV equivalent factor is used to quantitatively study the change of land use change and its impact on the ecosystem service value in Hengyang central district. Further more, the Markov model is used to predict the change of land use and ESV in 2030 under the scenario of historical trend development. The results can serve as a useful tool that assists urban planners in their evaluation of ecosystem service value under the impact of land use change.


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
pp. 11521-11549 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Q. Dong ◽  
G. X. Zhang ◽  
Y. J. Xu

Abstract. The Nenjiang River Basin (NRB) is an important grain-production region with abundant wetlands in Northeast China. Climate change and anthropogenic activities have dramatically altered the spatial and temporal distribution of regional stream discharge and water resources, which poses a serious threat to wetland ecosystems and sustainable agriculture. In this study, we analyzed 55-yr (1956–2010) rainfall and runoff patterns in the river basin to quantitatively evaluate the impact of human activities on regional hydrology. The long-term hydrologic series were divided into two periods: period I (1956–1974), during which minimum land use change occurred, and period II (1975–2010), during which land use change intensified. Kendall's rank correlation test, non-parametric Pettitt test and precipitation-runoff double cumulative curve (DCC) methods were utilized to identify the trends and thresholds of the annual runoff in the upstream, midstream, and downstream basin areas. Our results showed that the runoff in the NRB has continuously declined in the past 55 yr, and that the effects of climate change and human activities on the runoff reduction varied in the upstream, midstream and downstream area over different time scales. For the entire study period, climate change has been the dominant factor, accounting for 69.6–80.3% of the reduction in the total basin runoff. However, the impact of human activities has been increasing from 19.7% during the 1950s–1970s to 30.4% in the present time. Spatially, the runoff reduction became higher from the upstream to the downstream areas, revealing an increasing threat of water availability to the large wetland ecosystem in the lower river basin. Furthermore, the sustainable development of irrigated agriculture in the NRB will be a threat to the survival of the wetlands.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (23) ◽  
pp. 6675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Siqi Liu ◽  
Qing Yu ◽  
Chen Wei

Rapid urbanization is one of the most important factors causing land-use change, which mainly results from the orientation of government policies, adjustment of industrial structure, and migration of the rural population. Land use and land cover change (LUCC) is the natural foundation of urban development that is significantly influenced by human activities. By analyzing the LUCC and its inner driving force, as well as landscape pattern change, human activity and urban sustainable development can be better understood. This research adopted a geographic information system (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) technology to comprehensively analyze land use of Guangzhou, respectively, in 1995, 2005, and 2015. Fragmentation Statistics (FRAGSTATS) is the most authoritative software to calculate landscape metrics. Landscape pattern change was analyzed by FRAGSTATS. The results showed that urban land significantly increased from 16.33% in 1995 to 36.05% in 2015. Farmland greatly decreased from 45.16% in 1995 to 27.82% in 2005 and then slightly decreased to 25.10% in 2015. In the first decade, the non-agricultural conversion of rural land and the expansion of urban land was the dominant factor that led to the change. In the second decade, urban land had been supplemented through the redevelopment of low-efficiency land. The fragmentation of landscape patterns significantly increased from 1995 to 2005 and slightly decreased from 2005 to 2015. It indicated that the change in land use in the second decade was different from that in the first. This difference mainly resulted from three aspects: (1) urban development area and ecological conservation area were clearly defined in Guangzhou; (2) many small towns had developed into urban centers, and the scattered urban land gathered into these centers; (3) the establishment of greenway improved the connection of fragmented patches. After that, this study discussed land-use change and its causes and proposed the trend of urban development from the perspective of sustainability.


Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1870
Author(s):  
Jingyi Wang ◽  
Caihong Hu ◽  
Bingyan Ma ◽  
Xiaoling Mu

Changes in the hydrological process caused by urbanization lead to frequent flooding in cities. For fast-growing urban areas, the impact of urbanization on the hydrological process needs to be systematically analyzed. This study takes Zhengzhou as an example to analyze the impact of urbanization on the hydrological process based on 1971–2012 hourly rainfall-runoff data, combining Geographic Information Systems with traditional hydrological methods. Our study indicates that the rain island effect in different districts of city became stronger with the increase of its built-up. The uneven land use resulted in the difference of runoff process. The flood peak lag was 25–30% earlier with the change of land use. The change of flood peak increased by 10–30% with the change of built-up. The runoff coefficient increases by 20–35% with the increase of built-up, and its change increased with the change of land use. Affected by the rain island effect, precipitation tends to occur in areas where built-up is dominant, which overall magnifies the impact of urbanization on the hydrological process. This provides new ideas for urban flood control. Refine flood control standards according to regional land use changes to cope with the hydrological process after urbanization.


2021 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 36-55
Author(s):  
Zahrul Atharinafi ◽  
Nurrohman Wijaya

Land-use change in upstream regions is a recognized driver of the increase in surface runoff, resulting in increasing flood intensity and occurrence. The rapid urbanization of outlying districts surrounding large metropolitan areas is a known driver of land-use change. Therefore, we study land-use change patterns within the Cirasea Sub-watershed within the last 20 years and changes in the runoff coefficient within the same time frame. This paper examines how land-use change patterns on the outskirts of the Bandung Metropolitan Area influence runoff. Spatial analysis and surface runoff calculation using the curve number method were applied. The study found significant changes in land use, particularly in the watershed’s southern reaches, whereby forest and shrub land gave way to agriculture in a water recharge zone, resulting in an increased runoff coefficient upstream. Urbanization within the Cirasea Sub-watershed did not encroach into areas identified as recharge zones and had a minimal direct impact on increased runoff. Aggregate runoff coefficient (curve number) in the Cirasea Sub-watershed increased from 70.98 in 1999 to 72.04 in 2018. For a design 24-hour period rainfall of 120 mm, runoff increased from 48.49 mm (1999) to 51.8 mm (2018). We conclude that the changes above in land use have increased runoff in the Cirasea Sub-watershed. Furthermore, land-use policies laid down by the RTRW Bandung Regency for 2016-2036 provide provisions to reforest previously deforested areas, with deforested areas being zoned as protected forest. Therefore, we propose promoting agroforestry as part of land use policy in order to restore runoff to its 1999 level under existing land use planning policy.Abstrak. Perubahan guna lahan pada wilayah hulu diketahui sebagai salah satu penyebab peningkatan limpasan air permukaan, meningkatkan intensitas dan frekeuensi banjir. Urbanisasi pesat pada wilayah pinggiran kawasan metropolitan diketahui sebagai faktor pendorong terjadinya perubahan guna lahan. Berdasarkan kondisi tersebut, kami melakukan studi terhadap pola perubahan guna lahan pada Sub-DAS Cirasea, pada 20 tahun terakhir, serta perubahan limpasan air permukaan pada rentang waktu yang sama. Paper ini meneliti bagaimana perubahan guna lahan pada wilayah pinggiran Metropolitan Bandung Raya mempengaruhi limpasan air permukaan. Analisis spasial dan perhitungan limpasan air permukaan dilakukan, menggunakan metode bilangan kurva. Berdasarkan hasil studi, diketahui telah terjadi perubahan guna lahan yang signifikan pada wilayah hulu DAS. Hutan dan semak belukar berubah menjadi kawasan pertanian, pada wilayah resapan air tanah, sehingga terjadi peningkatan limpasan air permukaan di wilayah hulu. Urbanisasi pada wilayah Sub-DAS Cirasea diketahui tidak menjalar hingga wilayah resapan air tanah dan memiliki dampak minim terhadap kenaikan limpasan air permukaan. Angka koefisien limpasan air permukaan (bilangan kurva) di DAS Cirasea meningkat dari 70.98 (1999), menjadi 72.04 (2018). Pada curah hujan (asumsi) 24 jam sebesar 120mm, limpasan air permukaan meningkat dari 48.49mm (1999), menjadi 51.8mm (2018). Berdasarkan hasil tersebut, kami simpulkan bahwa perubahan guna lahan telah mengakibatkan peningkatan limpasan air permukaan di DAS Cirasea.  Kata kunci.Perubahan tata guna lahan, potensi aliran permukaan, DAS citarum hulu, pencegahan banjir.


2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 9293-9326 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.-C. Huang ◽  
T.-Y. Lee ◽  
S.-J. Kao ◽  
S.-C. Hsu ◽  
H.-J. Lin ◽  
...  

Abstract. Agricultural activity is the dominant factor affecting water quality and nitrate export, which causes eutrophication and episodic acidification in downstream water bodies (e.g., reservoirs, lakes, and coastal zones). However, in subtropical mountainous areas such environmental impact due to the land use change was rarely documented. In this study, we investigated 16 sub-catchments during 2007 and 2008 in the Chi-Chia-Wan catchment where is the sole habitat for the endemic species, Formosan landlocked salmon (Oncorhynchus masou formosanus). The results revealed that the NO3-N concentration in pristine catchments varied from 0.144 to 0.151 mg/L without significant seasonal variation. This concentration was comparable with other forestry catchments around the world. However, the annual nitrate export was around 375.3–677.1 kg/km2/yr, much higher than other catchments due to the greater amount of rainfall. This is an important baseline for comparisons with other climate areas. As for the impact of agricultural activities, the catchments with some human disturbance, ~5.2% of the catchment area, might yield 5947.2 kg N/km2/yr – over 10-times higher than that of pristine catchment. Such high export caused by such a low level of disturbance might indicate that subtropical mountainous area is highly sensitive to agricultural activities. As for the land-use effect on nitrate yield, the forestry land might yield 488.5 ± 325.1 kg/km2/yr and the vegetable farm could yield 298 465.4 ± 3347.2 kg/km2/yr – 1000-times greater than the forestry. The estimated nitrate yields for land use classes were a crucial basis and useful for the land manager to assess the possible impacts (e.g., non-point source pollution evaluation and the recovery of land expropriation).


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mezgebu Mewded ◽  
Adane Abebe ◽  
Seifu Tilahun ◽  
Zeleke Agide

AbstractThis study focused to analyze the main human-induced land use and/or cover changes and their impact on the response to surface runoff from the Hayk Lake endorheic basin between 1989 and 2015. The investigation of Landsat images of years 1989, 2000 and 2015 with the aid of ArcGIS 10.1 indicated an increase in cultivation land by 137.74% at the disbursement of a decrease of 1.34% in lake water, 49.48% in shrubland, 55.84% in plantation, and 17.32% in grassland. Overall accuracy (92%–96%) and kappa values (0.90–0.95) proved that the image classifications were accurate. The impact of the changed land use and/or cover on surface runoff was investigated by simulating the surface runoff for the years 1989, 2000 and 2015, and then quantifying the individual rate of contribution of land use and/or cover change on the magnitude of simulated surface runoff using HEC-HMS modeling tool. The analysis found that land use and cover change alone increased surface runoff by 20.18% and that climate change reduced surface runoff by 120.18%. The combined effect reduced surface runoff and caused a continued decline in water level at Hayk Lake. Therefore, this study advocated basin-based lake water management strategies linked to the negative impacts of land use and land cover, and climate change on the water balance of Hayk Lake for its sustainability.


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