scholarly journals Assessment of the Accuracy of Recent Empirical and Assimilated Tidal Models for the Great Barrier Reef, Australia, Using Satellite and Coastal Data

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fardin Seifi ◽  
Xiaoli Deng ◽  
Ole Baltazar Andersen

The latest satellite and in situ data are a fundamental source for tidal model evaluations. In this work, the satellite missions TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2 and Sentinel-3A, together with tide gauge data, were used to investigate the performance of recent regional and global tidal models over the Great Barrier Reef, Australia. Ten models, namely, TPXO8, TPXO9, EOT11a, HAMTIDE, FES2012, FES2014, OSUNA, OSU12, GOT 4.10 and DTU10, were considered. The accuracy of eight major tidal constituents (i.e., K1, O1, P1, Q1, M2, S2, N2 and K2) and one shallow water constituent (M4) were assessed based on the analysis of sea-level observations from coastal tide gauges and altimetry data (TOPEX series). The outcome was compared for four different subregions, namely, the coastline, coastal, shelf and deep ocean zones. Sea-level anomaly data from the Sentinel-3A mission were corrected using the tidal heights predicted by each model. The root mean square values of the sea level anomalies were then compared. According to the results, FES2012 compares more favorably to other models with root mean square (RMS) values of 10.9 cm and 7.7 cm over the coastal and shelf zones, respectively. In the deeper sections, the FES2014 model compares favorably at 7.5 cm. In addition, the impact of sudden fluctuations in bottom topography on model performances suggest that a combination of bathymetric variations and proximity to the coast or islands contributes to tidal height prediction accuracies of the models.

2009 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 556-569 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ananda Pascual ◽  
Christine Boone ◽  
Gilles Larnicol ◽  
Pierre-Yves Le Traon

Abstract The timeliness of satellite altimeter measurements has a significant effect on their value for operational oceanography. In this paper, an Observing System Experiment (OSE) approach is used to assess the quality of real-time altimeter products, a key issue for robust monitoring and forecasting of the ocean state. In addition, the effect of two improved geophysical corrections and the number of missions that are combined in the altimeter products are also analyzed. The improved tidal and atmospheric corrections have a significant effect in coastal areas (0–100 km from the shore), and a comparison with tide gauge observations shows a slightly better agreement with the gridded delayed-time sea level anomalies (SLAs) with two altimeters [Jason-1 and European Remote Sensing Satellite-2 (ERS-2)/Envisat] using the new geophysical corrections (mean square differences in percent of tide gauge variance of 35.3%) than those with four missions [Jason-1, ERS/Envisat, Ocean Topography Experiment (TOPEX)/Poseidoninterlaced, and Geosat Follow-On] but using the old corrections (36.7%). In the deep ocean, however, the correction improvements have little influence. The performance of fast delivery products versus delayed-time data is compared using independent in situ data (tide gauge and drifter data). It clearly highlights the degradation of real-time SLA maps versus the delayed-time SLA maps: four altimeters are needed in real time to get the similar quality performance as two altimeters in delayed time (sea level error misfit around 36%, and zonal and meridional velocity estimation errors of 27% and 33%, respectively). This study proves that the continuous improvement of geophysical corrections is very important, and that it is essential to stay above a minimum threshold of four available altimetric missions to capture the main space and time oceanic scales in fast delivery products.


2021 ◽  
pp. 001316442199240
Author(s):  
Chunhua Cao ◽  
Eun Sook Kim ◽  
Yi-Hsin Chen ◽  
John Ferron

This study examined the impact of omitting covariates interaction effect on parameter estimates in multilevel multiple-indicator multiple-cause models as well as the sensitivity of fit indices to model misspecification when the between-level, within-level, or cross-level interaction effect was left out in the models. The parameter estimates produced in the correct and the misspecified models were compared under varying conditions of cluster number, cluster size, intraclass correlation, and the magnitude of the interaction effect in the population model. Results showed that the two main effects were overestimated by approximately half of the size of the interaction effect, and the between-level factor mean was underestimated. None of comparative fit index, Tucker–Lewis index, root mean square error of approximation, and standardized root mean square residual was sensitive to the omission of the interaction effect. The sensitivity of information criteria varied depending majorly on the magnitude of the omitted interaction, as well as the location of the interaction (i.e., at the between level, within level, or cross level). Implications and recommendations based on the findings were discussed.


1980 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 415 ◽  
Author(s):  
E Wolanski ◽  
M Jones

Weather and currents at eight sites were measured and drogue trajectories obtained in July 1979 at Britomart Reef, a middle reef located at 18�16'S.,146� 38'E. in the central region of the Great Barrier Reef province. The longest current records (3 weeks) were obtained at two sites in passes between the Coral Sea and the Great Barrier Reef Lagoon where westerly currents modulated by tides were observed. Analysis of residuals also showed the importance of wind-driven secondary circulation. Non-tidal sea-level oscillations were very small. Shorter current records (1-10 days) at six sites in the lagoon and on the reef flat showed a predominant northerly flow, also modulated by tides and wind. A residual anticlockwise water circulation existed in the lagoon where flushing was controlled more by winds than by tides. The rise in sea level over the reef flat as a result of waves breaking was negligible. Temperature differences between air and water accounted for the cooling of the water column during the expedition. Constant south-east trade winds were experienced at the reef, while on land the wind was weaker. more variable, and often dominated by land-sea breezes.


Atmosphere ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 95
Author(s):  
Phil J. Watson

This paper provides an Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) of the hourly water level record at Fort Denison dating back to 1915 to understand the statistical likelihood of the combination of high predicted tides and the more dynamic influences that can drive ocean water levels higher at the coast. The analysis is based on the Peaks-Over-Threshold (POT) method using a fitted Generalised Pareto Distribution (GPD) function to estimate extreme hourly heights above mean sea level. The analysis highlights the impact of the 1974 East Coast Low event and rarity of the associated measured water level above mean sea level at Sydney, with an estimated return period exceeding 1000 years. Extreme hourly predictions are integrated with future projections of sea level rise to provide estimates of relevant still water levels at 2050, 2070 and 2100 for a range of return periods (1 to 1000 years) for use in coastal zone management, design, and sea level rise adaptation planning along the NSW coastline. The analytical procedures described provide a step-by-step guide for practitioners on how to develop similar baseline information from any long tide gauge record and the associated limitations and key sensitivities that must be understood and appreciated in applying EVA.


Author(s):  
Oluyori P. Dare ◽  
Eteje S. Okiemute

<p class="abstract"><strong>Background:</strong> Orthometric height, as well as geoid modelling using the geometric method, requires centroid computation. And this can be obtained using various models, as well as methods. These methods of centroid mean computation have impacts on the accuracy of the geoid model since the basis of the development of the theory of each centroid mean type is different. This paper presents the impact of different centroid means on the accuracy of orthometric height modelling by geometric geoid method.</p><p class="abstract"><strong>Methods:</strong> DGPS observation was carried out to obtain the coordinates and ellipsoidal heights of selected points. The centroid means were computed with the coordinates using three different centroid means models (arithmetic mean, root mean square and harmonic mean). The computed centroid means were entered accordingly into a Microsoft Excel program developed using the Multiquadratic surface to obtain the model orthometric heights at various centroid means. The root means square error (RMSE) index was applied to obtain the accuracy of the model using the known and the model orthometric heights obtained at various centroid means.  </p><p class="abstract"><strong>Results:</strong> The computed accuracy shows that the arithmetic mean method is the best among the three centroid means types.</p><p class="abstract"><strong>Conclusions:</strong> It is concluded that the arithmetic mean method should be adopted for centroid computation, as well as orthometric height modelling using the geometric method.</p>


Coral Reefs ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 625-639 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicole D. Leonard ◽  
J-x Zhao ◽  
K. J. Welsh ◽  
Y-x Feng ◽  
S. G. Smithers ◽  
...  

1990 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
IF Somers

The potentially detrimental side-effects of prawn trawling are coming under increasing scrutiny in Australian waters, particularly in such ecologically sensitive areas as Queensland's Great Barrier Reef, and various restrictive measures are being suggested. Before changes are imposed on the prawning industry, the effects of trawling on the target prawn species and the long-term management of these effects need to be fully understood. Using a simulation model of a simplified prawn fishery, this paper describes the basis for the current regulatory mechanisms for Australian's prawn fisheries, in particular the manipulation of both the level and pattern of fishing effort. It is shown that even in moderately fished stocks, the fishery manager has several options, such as seasonal and nursery area closures, that are consistent with the goal of minimizing the impact of prawn trawling, while in no way penalizing the industry economically. With these in mind, possible ways of resolving or reducing the conflict with groups outside the prawning industry are discussed.


1981 ◽  
Vol 32 (5) ◽  
pp. 721 ◽  
Author(s):  
E Wolanski ◽  
B Ruddick

Currents and sea levels were measured at a number of locations in the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) lagoon from about 10 to 13� S., during the period October-December 1979. A strong non-tidal, low-frequency modulation of all sea-level and current data was found. The currents nearshore were driven northward by the wind, and then at least partially blocked by the dense network of reefs to the north of 10� s. The water then flowed southward in deeper water adjacent to the reef, driven by a longshore pressure gradient. The low- frequency sea-level data, though not the current records, showed northward phase propagation at speeds characteristic of a first-mode shelf wave trapped in the lagoon between the shore and the reef. Data are presented revealing the intrusion of low-salinity water, through Bligh Entrance, in the GBR lagoon, as a result of river discharges in the Gulf of Papua. It is suggested that low-frequency longshore currents may periodically flush these river plumes from the GBR lagoon and enhance interaction between reefs. In the Coral Sea in front of reef passages, the large horizontal velocities may result in forces upwelling by selective withdrawal and jet entrainment.


2011 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 267 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Star ◽  
P. Donaghy ◽  
J. Rolfe

The impact of excessive sediment loads entering into the Great Barrier Reef lagoon has led to increased awareness of land condition in grazing lands. Improved ground cover and land condition have been identified as two important factors in reducing sediment loads. This paper reports the economics of land regeneration using case studies for two different land types in the Fitzroy Basin. The results suggest that for sediment reduction to be achieved from land regeneration of more fertile land types (brigalow blackbutt) the most efficient method of allocating funds would be through extension and education. However for less productive country (narrow leaved ironbark woodlands) incentives will be required. The analysis also highlights the need for further scientific data to undertake similar financial assessments of land regeneration for other locations in Queensland.


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