scholarly journals Multiscale Decomposition Prediction of Propagation Loss in Oceanic Tropospheric Ducts

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 1173
Author(s):  
Mingxia Dang ◽  
Jiaji Wu ◽  
Shengcheng Cui ◽  
Xing Guo ◽  
Yunhua Cao ◽  
...  

The oceanic tropospheric duct is a structure with an abnormal atmospheric refractive index. This structure severely affects the remote sensing detection capability of electromagnetic systems designed for an environment with normal atmospheric refraction. The propagation loss of electromagnetic waves in the oceanic duct is an important concept in oceanic duct research. Owing to the long-term stability and short-term irregular changes in marine environmental parameters, the propagation loss in oceanic ducts has nonstationary and multiscale time characteristics. In this paper, we propose a multiscale decomposition prediction method for predicting the propagation loss in oceanic tropospheric ducts. The prediction performance was verified by simulating propagation loss data with noise. Using different evaluation criteria, the experimental results indicated that the proposed method outperforms six other comparison methods. Under noisy conditions, ensemble empirical mode decomposition effectively disassembles the original propagation loss into a limited number of stable sequences with different scale characteristics. Accordingly, predictive modeling was conducted based on multiscale propagation loss characteristic sequences. Finally, we reconstructed the predicted result to obtain the predicted value of the propagation loss in the oceanic duct. Additionally, a genetic algorithm was used to improve the generalization ability of the proposed method while avoiding the nonlinear predictor from falling into a local optimum.

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1452
Author(s):  
Xuchu Jiang ◽  
Peiyao Wei ◽  
Yiwen Luo ◽  
Ying Li

The concentration series of PM2.5 (particulate matter ≤ 2.5 μm) is nonlinear, nonstationary, and noisy, making it difficult to predict accurately. This paper presents a new PM2.5 concentration prediction method based on a hybrid model of complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) and bi-directional long short-term memory (BiLSTM). The new method was applied to predict the same kind of particulate pollutant PM10 and heterogeneous gas pollutant O3, proving that the prediction method has strong generalization ability. First, CEEMDAN was used to decompose PM2.5 concentrations at different frequencies. Then, the fuzzy entropy (FE) value of each decomposed wave was calculated, and the near waves were combined by K-means clustering to generate the input sequence. Finally, the combined sequences were put into the BiLSTM model with multiple hidden layers for training. We predicted the PM2.5 concentrations of Seoul Station 116 by the hour, with values of the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), and the symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) as low as 2.74, 1.90, and 13.59%, respectively, and an R2 value as high as 96.34%. The “CEEMDAN-FE” decomposition-merging technology proposed in this paper can effectively reduce the instability and high volatility of the original data, overcome data noise, and significantly improve the model’s performance in predicting the real-time concentrations of PM2.5.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 155014771983963 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei Wang ◽  
Xue Dan ◽  
Yong Yang

Lithium-ion battery has been widely used in various fields due to its excellent performance. How to accurately predict its current capacity throughout a battery full lifetime has been a key technology for power system management, assurance, and predictive maintenance. In order to overcome low precision problem in long-term prediction for lithium-ion battery capacity, this article proposes a multi-scale fusion prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition and nonlinear autoregressive models neural networks. The proposed method uses ensemble empirical mode decomposition to decompose the battery capacity measurement sequence to generate multiple intrinsic mode function components on different scales. Then, each component is predicted by nonlinear autoregressive neural networks; finally, the prediction results of each component are reconstructed to obtain the final battery capacity prediction sequence. Experimental results show that the proposed method has higher prediction accuracy and signal adaptability than single nonlinear autoregressive neural networks.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 168781402199811
Author(s):  
Beibei Li ◽  
Qiao Zhao ◽  
Huaiyi Li ◽  
Xiumei Liu ◽  
Jichao Ma ◽  
...  

To study the vibration characteristics of the poppet valve induced by cavitation, the signal analysis method based on the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method was studied experimentally. The component induced by cavitation was separated from the vibration signals through the EEMD method. The results show that the IMF2 component has the largest amplitude and energy of all components. The root mean square (RMS) value, peak value of marginal spectrum, and center frequency of marginal spectrum of the IMF2 component were studied in detail. The RMS value and the peak value of the marginal spectrum decrease with a decrease of cavitation intensity. The center frequency of marginal spectrum is between 12 kHz and 20 kHz, and the center frequency first increases and then decreases with a decrease of cavitation intensity. The change rate of the center frequency also decreases with an increase of inlet pressure.


Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 1248
Author(s):  
Rafia Nishat Toma ◽  
Cheol-Hong Kim ◽  
Jong-Myon Kim

Condition monitoring is used to track the unavoidable phases of rolling element bearings in an induction motor (IM) to ensure reliable operation in domestic and industrial machinery. The convolutional neural network (CNN) has been used as an effective tool to recognize and classify multiple rolling bearing faults in recent times. Due to the nonlinear and nonstationary nature of vibration signals, it is quite difficult to achieve high classification accuracy when directly using the original signal as the input of a convolution neural network. To evaluate the fault characteristics, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) is implemented to decompose the signal into multiple intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) in this work. Then, based on the kurtosis value, insignificant IMFs are filtered out and the original signal is reconstructed with the rest of the IMFs so that the reconstructed signal contains the fault characteristics. After that, the 1-D reconstructed vibration signal is converted into a 2-D image using a continuous wavelet transform with information from the damage frequency band. This also transfers the signal into a time-frequency domain and reduces the nonstationary effects of the vibration signal. Finally, the generated images of various fault conditions, which possess a discriminative pattern relative to the types of faults, are used to train an appropriate CNN model. Additionally, with the reconstructed signal, two different methods are used to create an image to compare with our proposed image creation approach. The vibration signal is collected from a self-designed testbed containing multiple bearings of different fault conditions. Two other conventional CNN architectures are compared with our proposed model. Based on the results obtained, it can be concluded that the image generated with fault signatures not only accurately classifies multiple faults with CNN but can also be considered as a reliable and stable method for the diagnosis of fault bearings.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (8) ◽  
pp. 2599
Author(s):  
Zhenbao Li ◽  
Wanlu Jiang ◽  
Sheng Zhang ◽  
Yu Sun ◽  
Shuqing Zhang

To address the problem that the faults in axial piston pumps are complex and difficult to effectively diagnose, an integrated hydraulic pump fault diagnosis method based on the modified ensemble empirical mode decomposition (MEEMD), autoregressive (AR) spectrum energy, and wavelet kernel extreme learning machine (WKELM) methods is presented in this paper. First, the non-linear and non-stationary hydraulic pump vibration signals are decomposed into several intrinsic mode function (IMF) components by the MEEMD method. Next, AR spectrum analysis is performed for each IMF component, in order to extract the AR spectrum energy of each component as fault characteristics. Then, a hydraulic pump fault diagnosis model based on WKELM is built, in order to extract the features and diagnose faults of hydraulic pump vibration signals, for which the recognition accuracy reached 100%. Finally, the fault diagnosis effect of the hydraulic pump fault diagnosis method proposed in this paper is compared with BP neural network, support vector machine (SVM), and extreme learning machine (ELM) methods. The hydraulic pump fault diagnosis method presented in this paper can diagnose faults of single slipper wear, single slipper loosing and center spring wear type with 100% accuracy, and the fault diagnosis time is only 0.002 s. The results demonstrate that the integrated hydraulic pump fault diagnosis method based on MEEMD, AR spectrum, and WKELM methods has higher fault recognition accuracy and faster speed than existing alternatives.


Forecasting ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 460-477
Author(s):  
Sajjad Khan ◽  
Shahzad Aslam ◽  
Iqra Mustafa ◽  
Sheraz Aslam

Day-ahead electricity price forecasting plays a critical role in balancing energy consumption and generation, optimizing the decisions of electricity market participants, formulating energy trading strategies, and dispatching independent system operators. Despite the fact that much research on price forecasting has been published in recent years, it remains a difficult task because of the challenging nature of electricity prices that includes seasonality, sharp fluctuations in price, and high volatility. This study presents a three-stage short-term electricity price forecasting model by employing ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and extreme learning machine (ELM). In the proposed model, the EEMD is employed to decompose the actual price signals to overcome the non-linear and non-stationary components in the electricity price data. Then, a day-ahead forecasting is performed using the ELM model. We conduct several experiments on real-time data obtained from three different states of the electricity market in Australia, i.e., Queensland, New South Wales, and Victoria. We also implement various deep learning approaches as benchmark methods, i.e., recurrent neural network, multi-layer perception, support vector machine, and ELM. In order to affirm the performance of our proposed and benchmark approaches, this study performs several performance evaluation metric, including the Diebold–Mariano (DM) test. The results from the experiments show the productiveness of our developed model (in terms of higher accuracy) over its counterparts.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document