scholarly journals Improving the Representation of Whitecap Fraction and Sea Salt Aerosol Emissions in the ECMWF IFS-AER

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 4856
Author(s):  
Samuel Rémy ◽  
Magdalena D. Anguelova
Keyword(s):  
Global Analysis ◽  
Surface Concentration ◽  
Sea Salt ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Sea Salt Aerosol ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Aerosol Module ◽  
Monitoring Service ◽  
Aerosol Emissions

The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operates the Integrated Forecasting System aerosol module (IFS-AER) to provide daily global analysis and forecast of aerosols for the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS). New estimates of sea salt aerosol emissions have been implemented in the IFS-AER using a new parameterization of whitecap fraction as a function of wind speed and sea surface temperature. The effect of whitecap fraction simulated by old and new parameterizations has been evaluated by comparing the IFS-AER new sea salt aerosol characteristics to those of aerosol retrievals. The new parameterization brought a significant improvement as compared to the two parameterizations of sea salt aerosol emissions previously implemented in the IFS-AER. Likewise, the simulated sea salt aerosol optical depth and surface concentration are significantly improved, as compared against ground and remote sensing products.

scholarly journals Description and evaluation of the tropospheric aerosol scheme in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS-AER, cycle 45R1)

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 4627-4659 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Rémy ◽  
Zak Kipling ◽  
Johannes Flemming ◽  
Olivier Boucher ◽  
Pierre Nabat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sulfur Cycle ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Chemical Production ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
European Centre ◽  
Tropospheric Aerosol ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Aerosol Module

Abstract. This article describes the IFS-AER aerosol module used operationally in the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) cycle 45R1, operated by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in the framework of the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Services (CAMS). We describe the different parameterizations for aerosol sources, sinks, and its chemical production in IFS-AER, as well as how the aerosols are integrated in the larger atmospheric composition forecasting system. The focus is on the entire 45R1 code base, including some components that are not used operationally, in which case this will be clearly specified. This paper is an update to the Morcrette et al. (2009) article that described aerosol forecasts at the ECMWF using cycle 32R2 of the IFS. Between cycles 32R2 and 45R1, a number of source and sink processes have been reviewed and/or added, notably increasing the complexity of IFS-AER. A greater integration with the tropospheric chemistry scheme of the IFS has been achieved for the sulfur cycle and for nitrate production. Two new species, nitrate and ammonium, have also been included in the forecasting system. Global budgets and aerosol optical depth (AOD) fields are shown, as is an evaluation of the simulated particulate matter (PM) and AOD against observations, showing an increase in skill from cycle 40R2, used in the CAMS interim ReAnalysis (CAMSiRA), to cycle 45R1.

scholarly journals Validation of reactive gases and aerosols in the MACC global analysis and forecast system

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 3523-3543 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Eskes ◽  
V. Huijnen ◽  
A. Arola ◽  
A. Benedictow ◽  
A.-M. Blechschmidt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Analysis ◽  
Measurement Data ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Special Events ◽  
High Pollution ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Reactive Gases ◽  
Monitoring Service

Abstract. The European MACC (Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate) project is preparing the operational Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS), one of the services of the European Copernicus Programme on Earth observation and environmental services. MACC uses data assimilation to combine in situ and remote sensing observations with global and regional models of atmospheric reactive gases, aerosols, and greenhouse gases, and is based on the Integrated Forecasting System of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The global component of the MACC service has a dedicated validation activity to document the quality of the atmospheric composition products. In this paper we discuss the approach to validation that has been developed over the past 3 years. Topics discussed are the validation requirements, the operational aspects, the measurement data sets used, the structure of the validation reports, the models and assimilation systems validated, the procedure to introduce new upgrades, and the scoring methods. One specific target of the MACC system concerns forecasting special events with high-pollution concentrations. Such events receive extra attention in the validation process. Finally, a summary is provided of the results from the validation of the latest set of daily global analysis and forecast products from the MACC system reported in November 2014.

Aerosol Assimilation of lidar data from Satellite (AEOLUS) and Ground-based (EARLINET) instruments in COMPO-IFS.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie Letertre-Danczak ◽  
Angela Benedetti ◽  
Drasko Vasiljevic ◽  
Alain Dabas ◽  
Thomas Flament ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Quality Data ◽  
Lidar Data ◽  
Operational Model ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
The Past ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
First Results ◽  
Monitoring Service ◽  
The Vertical Distribution ◽  
Good Quality Data

<p>Since several years, the number of aerosol data coming from lidar has grown and improved in quality. These new datasets are providing a valuable information on the vertical distribution of aerosols which is missing in the AOD (Aerosol Optical Depth), which has been used so far in aerosols analysis. The launch of AEOLUS in 2018 has increased the interest in the assimilation of the aerosol lidar information. In parallel, the ground-based network EARLINET (European Aerosol Research LIdar NETwork) has grown to cover the Europe with good quality data. Assimilation of these data in the ECMWF/CAMS (European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts / Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service) system is expected to provide improvements in the aerosol analyses and forecasts.<br><br>Three preliminary studies have been done in the past four years using AEOLUS data (A3S-ESA funded) and EARLINET data (ACTRIS-2 and EUNADIC-AV, EU-funded). These studies have allowed the full development of the tangent linear and adjoint code for lidar backscatter in the ECMWF's 4D-VAR system. These developments are now in the operational model version in research mode. The first results are promising and open the path to more intake of aerosol lidar data for assimilation purposes. The future launch of EARTHCARE (Earth-Cloud Aerosol and Radiation Explorer) and later ACCP (Aerosol Cloud, Convention and Precipitation) might even upgrade the use of aerosol lidar data in COMPO-IFS (Composition-Integrated Forecast system).<br><br>The most recent results using AEOLUS data (for October 2019 and April 2020) and using EARLINET data (October 2020) will be shown in this presentation. The output will be compared to the CAMS operational aerosol forecast as well as to independent data from AERONET (AErosol Robotic NETwork).</p>

scholarly journals Two global climatologies of daily fire emission injection heights since 2003

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Rémy ◽  
A. Veira ◽  
R. Paugam ◽  
M. Sofiev ◽  
J. W. Kaiser ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Studies ◽  
Biomass Burning ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Positive Trend ◽  
Global Database ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Radiative Power ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Monitoring Service ◽  
Semi Empirical

Abstract. The Global Fire Assimilation System (GFAS) assimilates Fire Radiative Power (FRP) observations from satellite-based sensors to produce daily estimates of biomass burning emissions. It has been extended to include information about injection heights provided by two distinct algorithms, which also use meteorological information from the operational weather forecasts of ECMWF. Injection heights are provided by the semi-empirical IS4FIRES parameterization and an analytical one-dimension Plume Rise Model (PRM). The two algorithms provide estimates for injection heights for each satellite pixel. Similarly to how FRP observations are processed in GFAS, these estimates are then gridded, averaged and assimilated, using a simple observation operator, so as to fill the observational gaps. A global database of daily biomass burning emissions and injection heights at 0.1° resolution has been produced for 2003–2015. The database is being extended in near-real-time with the operational GFAS service of the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service (CAMS). The two injection height datasets were compared against a new dataset of satellite-based plume height observations. The IS4FIRES parameterization showed a better overall agreement against observations, while the PRM was better at capturing the variability of injection heights and at estimating the injection heights of large fires. The results from both also show a differentiation depending on the type of vegetation. A positive trend with time in median injection heights from the PRM was noted, less marked from the IS4FIRES parameterization. This is provoked by a negative trend in number of small fires, especially in regions such as South America. The use of biomass burning emission heights from GFAS in atmospheric composition forecasts was assessed in two case studies: the South AMerican Biomass Burning Analysis (SAMBBA) campaign which took place in September 2012 in Brazil, and a series of large fire events in the Western U.S. in August 2013. For these case studies, forecasts of biomass burning aerosol species by the Composition-Integrated Forecasting System (C-IFS) of CAMS were found to better reproduce the observed vertical distribution when using PRM injection heights from GFAS.

scholarly journals An assessment of the accuracy of the RTTOV fast radiative transfer model using IASI data

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 9491-9535 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Matricardi
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Transfer ◽  
Regression Coefficients ◽  
Radiative Transfer Model ◽  
Transfer Model ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Relative Differences ◽  
Temperature Water

Abstract. IASI measurements of spectral radiances made between the 1 April 2008 and the 15 April 2008 are compared with simulations performed using the RTTOV fast radiative transfer model utilizing regression coefficients based on different line-by-line models. The comparisons are performed within the framework of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecasting System using fields of temperature, water vapour and ozone obtained from short-range forecasts. Simulations are performed to assess the accuracy of the RTTOV computations and investigate relative differences between the line-by-line models and the quality of the spectroscopic databases on which the RTTOV coefficients are based.

scholarly journals The effect of sea ice loss on sea salt aerosol concentrations and the radiative balance in the Arctic

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 28859-28908 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Struthers ◽  
A. M. L. Ekman ◽  
P. Glantz ◽  
T. Iversen ◽  
A. Kirkevåg ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Sea Salt ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Polar Cap ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Arctic Clouds ◽  
Radiative Balance ◽  
Sea Salt Aerosol ◽  
Aerosol Emissions ◽  
Natural Aerosol

Abstract. Understanding Arctic climate change requires knowledge of both the external and the local drivers of Arctic climate as well as local feedbacks within the system. An Arctic feedback mechanism relating changes in sea ice extent to an alteration of the emission of sea salt aerosol and the consequent change in radiative balance is examined. A set of idealized climate model simulations were performed to quantify the radiative effects of changes in sea salt aerosol emissions induced by prescribed changes in sea ice extent. The model was forced using sea ice concentrations consistent with present day conditions and projections of sea ice extent for 2100. Sea salt aerosol emissions increase in response to a decrease in sea ice, the model results showing an annual average increase in number emission over the polar cap (70–90° N) of 86×106 m−2 s−1 (mass emission increase of 23 μg m−2 s−1). This in turn leads to an increase in the natural aerosol optical depth of approximately 23%. In response to changes in aerosol optical depth, the natural component of the aerosol direct forcing over the Arctic polar cap is estimated to be between −0.2 and −0.4 W m−2 for the summer months, which results in a negative feedback on the system. The model predicts that the change in first indirect aerosol effect (cloud albedo effect) is approximately a factor of ten greater than the change in direct aerosol forcing although this result is highly uncertain due to the crude representation of Arctic clouds and aerosol-cloud interactions in the model. This study shows that both the natural aerosol direct and first indirect effects are strongly dependent on the surface albedo, highlighting the strong coupling between sea ice, aerosols, Arctic clouds and their radiative effects.

scholarly journals Effects of Sea Salt Aerosol Emissions for Marine Cloud Brightening on Atmospheric Chemistry: Implications for Radiative Forcing

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannah M. Horowitz ◽  
Christopher Holmes ◽  
Alicia Wright ◽  
Tomás Sherwen ◽  
Xuan Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Sea Salt ◽  
Sea Salt Aerosol ◽  
Aerosol Emissions

scholarly journals Sensitivity, Structure, and Dynamics of Singular Vectors Associated with Hurricane Helene (2006)

2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (2) ◽  
pp. 675-694 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon T. K. Lang ◽  
Sarah C. Jones ◽  
Martin Leutbecher ◽  
Melinda S. Peng ◽  
Carolyn A. Reynolds
Keyword(s):  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Growth Dynamics ◽  
Ensemble Forecasts ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Singular Vectors ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Flow Features ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Diabatic Processes ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The sensitivity of singular vectors (SVs) associated with Hurricane Helene (2006) to resolution and diabatic processes is investigated. Furthermore, the dynamics of their growth are analyzed. The SVs are calculated using the tangent linear and adjoint model of the integrated forecasting system (IFS) of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts with a spatial resolution up to TL255 (~80 km) and 48-h optimization time. The TL255 moist (diabatic) SVs possess a three-dimensional spiral structure with significant horizontal and vertical upshear tilt within the tropical cyclone (TC). Also, their amplitude is larger than that of dry and lower-resolution SVs closer to the center of Helene. Both higher resolution and diabatic processes result in stronger growth being associated with the TC compared to other flow features. The growth of the SVs in the vicinity of Helene is associated with baroclinic and barotropic mechanisms. The combined effect of higher resolution and diabatic processes leads to significant differences of the SV structure and growth dynamics within the core and in the vicinity of the TC. If used to initialize ensemble forecasts with the IFS, the higher-resolution moist SVs cause larger spread of the wind speed, track, and intensity of Helene than their lower-resolution or dry counterparts. They affect the outflow of the TC more strongly, resulting in a larger downstream impact during recurvature. Increasing the resolution or including diabatic effects degrades the linearity of the SVs. While the impact of diabatic effects on the linearity is small at low resolution, it becomes large at high resolution.

scholarly journals The effect of sea ice loss on sea salt aerosol concentrations and the radiative balance in the Arctic

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 3459-3477 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Struthers ◽  
A. M. L. Ekman ◽  
P. Glantz ◽  
T. Iversen ◽  
A. Kirkevåg ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Sea Salt ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Polar Cap ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Arctic Clouds ◽  
Radiative Balance ◽  
Sea Salt Aerosol ◽  
Aerosol Emissions ◽  
Natural Aerosol

Abstract. Understanding Arctic climate change requires knowledge of both the external and the local drivers of Arctic climate as well as local feedbacks within the system. An Arctic feedback mechanism relating changes in sea ice extent to an alteration of the emission of sea salt aerosol and the consequent change in radiative balance is examined. A set of idealized climate model simulations were performed to quantify the radiative effects of changes in sea salt aerosol emissions induced by prescribed changes in sea ice extent. The model was forced using sea ice concentrations consistent with present day conditions and projections of sea ice extent for 2100. Sea salt aerosol emissions increase in response to a decrease in sea ice, the model results showing an annual average increase in number emission over the polar cap (70–90° N) of 86 × 106 m−2 s−1 (mass emission increase of 23 μg m−2 s−1). This in turn leads to an increase in the natural aerosol optical depth of approximately 23%. In response to changes in aerosol optical depth, the natural component of the aerosol direct forcing over the Arctic polar cap is estimated to be between −0.2 and −0.4 W m−2 for the summer months, which results in a negative feedback on the system. The model predicts that the change in first indirect aerosol effect (cloud albedo effect) is approximately a factor of ten greater than the change in direct aerosol forcing although this result is highly uncertain due to the crude representation of Arctic clouds and aerosol-cloud interactions in the model. This study shows that both the natural aerosol direct and first indirect effects are strongly dependent on the surface albedo, highlighting the strong coupling between sea ice, aerosols, Arctic clouds and their radiative effects.

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