scholarly journals Heat Rate Prediction of Combined Cycle Power Plant Using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Method

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 1022
Author(s):  
Yondha Dwika Arferiandi ◽  
Wahyu Caesarendra ◽  
Herry Nugraha

Heat rate of a combined cycle power plant (CCPP) is a parameter that is typically used to assess how efficient a power plant is. In this paper, the CCPP heat rate was predicted using an artificial neural network (ANN) method to support maintenance people in monitoring the efficiency of the CCPP. The ANN method used fuel gas heat input (P1), CO2 percentage (P2), and power output (P3) as input parameters. Approximately 4322 actual operation data are generated from the digital control system (DCS) in a year. These data were used for ANN training and prediction. Seven parameter variations were developed to find the best parameter variation to predict heat rate. The model with one input parameter predicted heat rate with regression R2 values of 0.925, 0.005, and 0.995 for P1, P2, and P3. Combining two parameters as inputs increased accuracy with regression R2 values of 0.970, 0.994, and 0.984 for P1 + P2, P1 + P3, and P2 + P3, respectively. The ANN model that utilized three parameters as input data had the best prediction heat rate data with a regression R2 value of 0.995.

2008 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 183-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Q. Hung ◽  
M. S. Babel ◽  
S. Weesakul ◽  
N. K. Tripathi

Abstract. The present study developed an artificial neural network (ANN) model to overcome the difficulties in training the ANN models with continuous data consisting of rainy and non-rainy days. Among the six models analyzed the ANN model which used generalized feedforward type network and a hyperbolic tangent function and a combination of meteorological parameters (relative humidity, air pressure, wet bulb temperature and cloudiness), and the rainfall at the point of forecasting and rainfall at the surrounding stations, as an input for training of the model was found most satisfactory in forecasting rainfall in Bangkok, Thailand. The developed ANN model was applied to derive rainfall forecast from 1 to 6 h ahead at 75 rain gauge stations in the study area as forecast point from the data of 3 consecutive years (1997–1999). Results were highly satisfactory for rainfall forecast 1 to 3 h ahead. Sensitivity analysis indicated that the most important input parameter beside rainfall itself is the wet bulb temperature in forecasting rainfall. Based on these results, it is recommended that the developed ANN model can be used for real-time rainfall forecasting and flood management in Bangkok, Thailand.


2021 ◽  
Vol 411 ◽  
pp. 157-168
Author(s):  
Jacqueline A. Richard ◽  
Norazzlina M. Sa’don ◽  
Abdul Razak Abdul Karim

Geotechnical structures, design of embankment, earth and rock fill dam, tunnels, and slope stability require further attention in determining the shear strength of soil and other parameters that govern the result. The shear strength of soil commonly obtained by conducting laboratory testing such as Unconfined Compression Strength (UCS) Test and Unconsolidated Undrained (UU) Test. However, random errors and systematic errors can occur during experimental works and caused the findings imprecise. Besides, the laboratory test also consuming a lot of time and some of them are quite costly. Therefore, soft computational tools are developed to improve the accuracy of the results and time effectively when compared to conventional method. In this study, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was employed to develop a predictive model to correlate the moisture content (MC), liquid limit (LL), plastic limit (PL), and liquidity index (LI) of cohesive soil with the undrained shear strength of soil. A total of 10 databases was developed by using MATLAB 7.0 - matrix laboratory with 318 of UCS tests and 451 of UU tests which are collected from the verified site investigation (SI) report, respectively. All the SI reports collected were conducted in Sarawak, Malaysia. The datasets were split into ratio of 3:1:1 which is 60:20:20 (training: validation: testing) with one hidden layer and eight hidden neurons. The input parameter of Liquidity index (LI) has shown the highest R-value (regression coefficient) which are 0.926 and 0.904 for UCS and UU model, respectively. In addition, the predictive models were tested and compare with the predicted and observed cohesion obtained from the collected experimental results. In summary, the ANN has the feasibility to be used as a predictive tool in estimating the shear strength of the soil.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Daeichian ◽  
Rana Shahramfar ◽  
Elham Heidari

Abstract Lime is a significant material in many industrial processes, including steelmaking by blast furnace. Lime production through rotary kilns is a standard method in industries, yet it has depreciation, high energy consumption, and environmental pollution. A model of the lime production process can help to not only increase our knowledge and awareness but also can help reduce its disadvantages. This paper presents a black-box model by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the lime production process considering pre-heater, rotary kiln, and cooler parameters. To this end, actual data are collected from Zobahan Isfahan Steel Company, Iran, which consists of 746 data obtained in a duration of one year. The proposed model considers 23 input variables, predicting the amount of produced lime as an output variable. The ANN parameters such as number of hidden layers, number of neurons in each layer, activation functions, and training algorithm are optimized. Then, the sensitivity of the optimum model to the input variables is investigated. Top-three input variables are selected on the basis of one-group sensitivity analysis and their interactions are studied. Finally, an ANN model is developed considering the top-three most effective input variables. The mean square error of the proposed models with 23 and 3 inputs are equal to 0.000693 and 0.004061, respectively, which shows a high prediction capability of the two proposed models.


Author(s):  
Hadjira Maouz ◽  
◽  
Asma Adda ◽  
Salah Hanini ◽  
◽  
...  

The concentration of carbonyl is one of the most important properties contributing to the detection of the thermal aging of polymer ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM). In this publication, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict concentration of carbenyl during the thermal aging of EPDM using a database consisting of seven input variables. The best fitting training data was obtained with the architecture of (7 inputs neurons, 10 hidden neurons and 1 output neuron). A Levenberg Marquardt learning (LM) algorithm, hyperbolic tangent transfer function were used at the hidden and output layer respectively. The optimal ANN was obtained with a high correlation coefficient R= 0.995 and a very low root mean square error RMSE = 0.0148 mol/l during the generalization phase. The comparison between the experimental and calculated results show that the ANN model is able of predicted the concentration of carbonyl during the thermal aging of ethylene propylene diene monomer


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 109-118
Author(s):  
Euis Saraswati ◽  
Yuyun Umaidah ◽  
Apriade Voutama

Coronavirus disease (Covid-19) or commonly called coronavirus. This virus spreads very quickly and even almost infects the whole world, including Indonesia. A large number of cases and the rapid spread of this virus make people worry and even fear the increasing spread of the Covid-19 virus. Information about this virus has also been spread on various social media, one of which is Twitter. Various public opinions regarding the Covid-19 virus are also widely expressed on Twitter. Opinions on a tweet contain positive or negative sentiments. Sentiments of sentiment contained in a tweet can be used as material for consideration and evaluation for the government in dealing with the Covid-19 virus. Based on these problems, a sentiment analysis classification is needed to find out public opinion on the Covid-19 virus. This research uses Artificial Neural Network (ANN) algorithm with the Backpropagation method. The results of this test get 88.62% accuracy, 91.5% precision, and 95.73% recall. The results obtained show that the ANN model is quite good for classifying text mining.


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