scholarly journals PEMODELAN MATEMATIKA DENGAN METODE RUNGE KUTTA UNTUK PENYAKIT CAMPAK MENGGUNAKAN MATLAB R2010a

2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ketut Queena Fredlina ◽  
Komang Tri Werthi

ABSTRACT<br />Mathematical models have important roles in various fields of science. By using several assumptions, problems that exist in the living environment can be transformed in mathematical models. From the existing mathematical model, the parameters that affect the model can then be analyzed. An epidemic is an event that can be transformed into a mathematical model. Epidemic events are the occurrence of the spread or outbreak of an illness in a region. Measles is one of the causes of death in developing countries caused by the measles virus, the Paramixovirus group. In 1982 a measles immunization program in Indonesia was conducted. Based on data from the 2015 Ministry of Health, Indonesia has a medium immunization coverage in Southeast Asia, which is 84%. In 2020 Indonesia has a target rate of measles immunization coverage of 95%. Measles is a concern of the Bali Provincial Health Office because the spread of this disease is always high. Specifically in this study we will discuss mathematical models for the incidence of measles epidemics. The problem is how to construct the model and what parameters are the most significant influences in the mathematical model of measles. In making mathematical models for the spread of measles, the population is divided into 3 parts: Susceptible, Infectious, and Recovered. Furthermore, analyze the parameters and determine the basic reproduction ratio (𝑹𝟎), then numerical simulations were carried out using the Order 4 Runge Kutta method.<br />Keywords : Mathematics , Measles, basic reproduction ratio (𝑹𝟎), Runge-Kutta Methods<br />ABSTRAK<br />Model matematika memiliki peran yang cukup penting dalam berbagai bidang ilmu. Dengan menggunakan beberapa asumsi, permasalahan yang ada dalam lingkungan kehidupan dapat ditransformasikan dalam model matematika. Dari model matematika yang ada selanjutnya dapat dianalisis parameter-parameter yang mempengaruhi model tersebut. Kejadian epidemi merupakan salah satu kejadian yang dapat ditransformasikan dalam model matematika. Kejadian epidemi adalah kejadian penyebaran atau mewabahnya suatu penyakit dalam suatu wilayah. Penyakit campak merupakan salah satu penyakit penyebab kematian penduduk di negara-negara berkembang yang disebabkan oleh virus campak golongan Paramixovirus. Pada tahun 1982 program imunisasi campak di Indonesia telah dilakukan. Berdasarkan data dari Departemen Kesehatan 2015, Indonesia memiliki cakupan imunisasi kategori sedang di Asia Tenggara yakni 84%. Pada tahun 2020 Indonesia memiliki target angka cakupan imunisasi campak sebesar 95%. Penyakit campak menjadi perhatian Dinas Kesehatan Profinsi Bali karena penyebaran penyakit ini selalu ada. Secara khusus dalam penelitian ini akan membahas model matematika untuk kejadian epidemi penyakit campak. Yang menjadi permasalahan adalah bagaimana mengontruksi model dan parameter apakah yang berpengaruh paling signifikan dalam model matematika penyakit campak. Dalam pembuatan model matematika untuk penyebaran penyakit campak, populasi manusia dibagi menjadi 3 bagian yaitu : Susceptible, Infectious, dan Recovered. Selanjutnya menganalisis parameter dan menentukan nilai basic reproduction ratio (R0), kemudian dilakukan simulasi numerik dengan metode Runge Kutta Orde 4.<br />Kata kunci : model matematika, campak, basic reproduction ratio (𝑹𝟎),metode Runge-Kutta

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 238-248
Author(s):  
Resmawan ◽  
M Eka ◽  
Nurwan ◽  
N Achmad

ABSTRACT This paper discusses the mathematical model of drug users with education. Optimal control theory was used on this model with education as a control to achieve the goal of minimizing the number of drug users. The optimal control problem was analyzed using Pontryagin’s minimum principle and performed numerical simulation by using a 4th-order Runge-Kutta method. Based on the numerical simulation, there was a change in the number in each population which caused the population with education to increase, and control with education resulted in the reduced number of drug users. Keywords: Optimal control; mathematical model; drug users; education   ABSTRAK Artikel ini membahas tentang model matematika penyebaran pengguna narkoba dengan faktor edukasi. Teori kontrol optimal diterapkan pada model ini dengan pemberian kontrol berupa edukasi dengan tujuan untuk meminimumkan jumlah pengguna narkoba. Kontrol optimal dianalisis menggunakan Prinsip Minimum Pontryagin dan dilakukan simulasi numerik dengan menggunakan metode Runge-Kutta orde 4. Berdasarkan simulasi diperoleh bahwa terjadi perubahan jumlah di tiap populasi dan mengakibatkan jumlah populasi dengan edukasi bertambah, serta pemberian kontrol dengan edukasi mengakibatkan jumlah pengguna narkoba berkurang. Kata kunci       : Kontrol optimal; model matematika; pengguna narkoba; edukasi


Author(s):  
Hamdy Hassan

Abstract In this paper, a theoretical study is presented on enhancement of the solar still performance by using the exhaust gases passing inside a chimney under the still basin. The impact of the exhaust gases temperature on the solar still temperature, productivity, and efficiency are considered. The performance of solar still with chimney is compared with that of conventional solar still. The study is carried out under the hot and climate conditions of Upper Egypt. A complete transient mathematical model of the physical model including the solar still regions temperatures, productivity, and heat transfer between the solar still and the exhaust gases are constructed. The mathematical model is solved numerically by using fourth-order Runge-Kutta method and is programmed by using MATLAB. The mathematical model is validated using an experimental work. The results show that the solar still saline water temperature increases and productivity with using and rising the exhaust gases. Furthermore, the impact of using exhaust gases on the still performance in winter is greater than in summer. using chimney exhaust gases at 75 °C and 125 °C enhances the daily freshwater yield of the conventional still by more than three times and about six times in winter, respectively, and about two and half times and more than three times in summer, respectively.


2020 ◽  
pp. 442-451
Author(s):  
А.V. Batig ◽  
A. Ya. Kuzyshyn

One of the most important problems that pose a serious threat to the functioning of railways is the problem of freight cars derailment. However, according to statistics, the number of cases of the derailments of freight cars in trains annually grows. Тo prevent such cases, the necessary preventive measures are developed, and to study the causes of their occurrence, a significant number of mathematical models, programs and software systems created by leading domestic and foreign scientists. Studies of such mathematical models by the authors of this work have led to the conclusion that they are not sufficiently detailed to the extent that it is necessary for analyze the reasons of its derailment. At the same time, an analysis of the causes of the rolling stock derailments on the railways of Ukraine over the past five years showed that in about 20 % of cases they are obvious, and in 7 % of cases they are not obvious and implicitly expressed. The study of such cases of rolling stock derailment during an official investigation by the railway and during forensic railway transport expertises requires the use of an improved mathematical model of a freight car, which would allow a quantitative assessment of the impact of its parameters and rail track on the conditions of railway accidents. Therefore, taking into account the main reasons that caused the occurrence of such railroad accidents over the last five years on the railways of Ukraine, the article selected the main directions for improving the mathematical model of a freight car, allowing to cover all the many factors (explicit and hidden) and identify the most significant ones regarding the circumstances of the derailment rolling stock off the track, established on the basis of a computer experiment. It is proposed in the mathematical model of a freight car to take into account the guiding force, the value of which is one of the main indicators of the stability of the rolling stock. The authors of the article noted that not taking into account the influence of the guiding forces on the dynamics of the freight car can lead to an erroneous determination of the reasons for the rolling stock derailment or even to the impossibility of establishing them.


India is a worldwide agriculture business powerhouse. Future of agriculture-based products depends on the crop production. A mathematical model might be characterized as a lot of equations that speak to the conduct of a framework. By using mathematical model in agriculture field, we can predict the production of crop in particular area. There are various factors affecting crops such as Rainfall, GHG Emissions, Temperature, Urbanization, climate, humidity etc. A mathematical model is a simplified representation of a real-world system. It forms the system using mathematical principles in the form of a condition or a set of conditions. Suppose we need to increase the crop production, at that time the mathematical model plays a major role and our work can be easier, more significant by using the mathematical model. Through the mathematical model we predict the crop production in upcoming years. .AI, ML, IOT play a major role to predict the future of agriculture, but without mathematical models it is not possible to predict crop production accurately. To solve the real-world agriculture problem, mathematical models play a major role for accurate results. Correlation Analysis, Multiple Regression analysis and fuzzy logic simulation standards have been utilized for building a grain production benefit depending model from crop production. Prediction of crop is beneficiary to the farmer to analyze the crop management. By using the present agriculture data set which is available on the government website, we can build a mathematical model.


Author(s):  
Alla A. Mussina

The article defines the basic concepts of filtration theory and provides an overview of the existing mathematical models of inhomogeneous liquids in porous media. The paper considers the Stefan problem. The number of scientific papers devoted to the study of porous structures has recently increased. This is primarily due to the fact that the prob-lems of oil and uranium production have been identified, and the solution of environmental problems is overdue. Therefore, a new device is needed to develop models of liquid filtration. With the advent and development of computer technology, it has become easier to solve problems that require numerical methods for their solution. Understanding the movement of fluids and the mechanism of dissolution of rocks under the action of acids in heterogeneous porous media is of great importance for the extraction and production of oil and the effective management of these processes. The article examines the mathematical model of the theory of isothermal filtration. Possible variants of the solva-bility of the model are shown. The research scheme consists of the output of a mathematical model, the formulation of the problem, one variant of the solution of the problem, the algorithm of the numerical method of solving the problem.


2018 ◽  
Vol 182 ◽  
pp. 01009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valeriy Martynyuk ◽  
Oleksander Eromenko ◽  
Juliy Boiko ◽  
Tomasz Kałaczyński

The paper represents the mathematical model for diagnostics of supercapacitors. The research objectives are the problem of determining a supercapacitor technical condition during its operation. The general reliability of diagnostics is described as the methodological and instrumental reliabilities of diagnostics. The instrumental diagnostic reliability of supercapacitor includes the probabilities of errors of the first and second kind, α and β respectively. The methodological approach to increasing the reliability of supercapacitor diagnostic has been proposed, in terms of multi-parameter supercapacitor diagnostic by applying nonlinear, frequency dependent mathematical models of supercapacitors that take into account nonlinearity, frequency dispersion of parameters and the effect of transient processes in supercapacitors. The more frequencies, operating voltages and currents are applied in the supercapacitor diagnostics, the more methodological reliability of diagnostics will increase in relation to the methodological reliability of supercapacitor diagnostics when only one frequency, voltage and current are applied.


2012 ◽  
Vol 433-440 ◽  
pp. 4120-4123
Author(s):  
Shu Li Lou ◽  
Yan Li Han ◽  
Jian Cun Ren ◽  
Xiao Hu Yuan ◽  
Xiao Dong Zhou

Noises of infrared detector have an important influence on sensitivity of infrared imaging system, and it affect the imaging quality and performance of infrared system. Research on noises of infrared detector is a challenging topic in designing, simulating and evaluating of infrared imaging system. All kinds of noises are studied in detail, and mathematical models are built. The method of simulating noises of detector is proposed, and noises are simulated based on the mathematical model.


Author(s):  
S-C Yang

This paper presents a method for determining the mathematical model of an elbow mechanism with a convex tooth and a concave tooth. Based on this method, the mathematical model presents the meshing principles of a conical cutter meshed with a tooth that is either convex or concave. Using the developed mathematical models and the tooth contact analysis, kinematic errors are investigated according to the obtained geometric modelling of the designed gear meshing when assembly errors are present. The influence of misalignment on kinematic errors has been investigated. The goal of the current study is to investigate von-Mises stress for three teeth contact pairs. A structural load is assumed to act on a gear of the proposed mechanism. The von-Mises of the proposed gear is determined. The conical cutter used in the design and manufacture of the convex and concave gear is shown. For example, the proposed mechanism with a transmission ratio of 3:2 was determined with the aid of the proposed mathematical model. Using rapid prototyping and manufacturing technology, an elbow mechanism with a convex gear, a concave gear and a frame was designed. The RP primitives provide an actual full-size physical model that can be analysed and used for further development. Results from these mathematical models are applicable to the design of an elbow mechanism.


2010 ◽  
Vol 171-172 ◽  
pp. 644-647
Author(s):  
Shao Qiang Yuan ◽  
Xin Xin Li

Bent-arm PenduBot is more similar to human arm, which attaches more and more robot experts’ attention around the world. As the foundation of the multi-link PenduBot control, the mathematical model should be established first. Based on the method of kinematics and dynamics, the N-link bent-arm PenduBot mathematical models are established in this paper, including the nonlinear model and the linear model. The natural characteristics of different pendulum are analyzed. By using the condition number of the controllability matrix, the control difficulty for higher order systems is compared.


Author(s):  
James V. Bradley

Subjects were given one, two, or three cues with which to make an either-or decision. Certain hypotheses were formulated to describe the subject's thought process in utilizing the multiple cues, and mathematical models were constructed to simulate them. The models were then used on data for the single-cue case to predict performance in the multiple-cue case. Predicted performance “data” were then compared with actually observed data for the same multiple-cue case, thus testing the predictive validity of the mathematical model and the tenability of the corresponding hypothesis.


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