scholarly journals Information support for decision making in problem situation description

Informatics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 7-16
Author(s):  
S. F. Lipnitsky

Objectives. The problem of automating the user information support in decision making system at the stage of describing the problem situation is solved. The relevance of the problem is associated with the need to collect and process significant amounts of information, since in the presence of a large number of factors, a person's capabilities are often insufficient to search and organize the necessary information.When solving the problem of user information support at the stage of describing the problem situation, three main goals are pursued: building a mathematical model of the corresponding processes; formalization of the set of basic concepts of the model; development of the algorithms for implementation of user interaction with the information system.Methods. Methods of set theory, probability theory and graph theory are used.Results. A mathematical model of user information support at the stage of describing a problem situation has been developed. In the process of interacting with the user, the system suggests special templates of sentences and texts for filling. Along with templates, the user receives help texts from the system. They are generated on the basis of the previously developed model of knowledge representation in the form of verbal associations, that is, semantic links between words and phrases corresponding to associative relationships between the entities they designate in the real world.Conclusion. As an implementation of the proposed model, the following algorithms have been developed: an algorithm for creating a dictionary of communicative fragments; algorithms for creating fragment-slot templates for sentences, texts and subject areas; an algorithm of user information support. The vocabulary of communicative fragments is created in four steps in accordance with their formal definition. At each step, four conditions from the given definition are tested sequentially. Fragment-slot templates of sentences are formed by replacing their basic communicative fragments with slots, and text templates - as tuples of templates of their sentences. Fragment-slot templates of subject areas are created in the form of implementation of binary relations reductions on the sets of sentence templates from the corresponding thematic text corpora. Each thematic body of texts defines a certain subject area.

This chapter proposes a cross-business domain holistic mathematical model (HMM) that is the result of a lifetime of research on business transformations, applied mathematics, software modelling, business engineering, financial analysis, and global enterprise architecture. This research is based on an authentic and proprietary mixed research method that is supported by an underlining mainly qualitative holistic reasoning model module. The proposed HMM formalism attempts to mimic some functions of the human brain, which uses empirical processes that are mainly based on the beam-search, like heuristic decision-making process. The HMM can be used to implement a decision-making system or an expert system that can integrate the enterprise's business, information, and communication technology environments.


Author(s):  
Zdzisław Kowalczuk ◽  
Michał Czubenko

Intelligent decision-making system for autonomous robots The paper gives an account of research results concerning a project on creating a fully autonomous robotic decision-making system, able to interact with its environment and based on a mathematical model of human cognitive-behavioural psychology, with some key elements of personality psychology included. The principal idea of the paper is focused on the concept of needs, with a certain instrumental role of emotions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 41-48
Author(s):  
I. Lazaryshyna ◽  
◽  
O. Symonenko ◽  

The article is devoted to the actual and less studied problem of realization of the management decision-making analytical support tasks. It is grounded that full or partial uncertainty of the environment in which the enterprise operates determines the clearly structured regulations formation that maximize the information support volume and quality. It is noted that the analytical support task at tactical and strategic management levels is different. On the basis of application of scientific research common scholarly and special methods, the coordination of analytical support tasks of their realization decision-making and consequences in activity-based management was carried out. The comparison of the effective and efficient enterprise management essence has been carried out. It is determined that effective management is the integration of functional and infrastructural components to achieve the long-term enterprise goals. The comparative analysis of traditional tasks of effective management economic analysis and analytical support was carried out. It has been substantiated that the analytical support tasks must necessarily be coordinated with the format of the management solution support system and the management type. A strong correlation between effective management and accounting and analytical support has been established. The influence of tactical and strategic decisions information support by the level of materiality on the reasons of low-quality management has been identified. The model of managerial decisions acceptance and realization in the activity-based management system is reviewed and supplemented. It is offered to allocate two groups of management performance assessment indices-indicators. The first indices-indicators group includes indices of dynamics of assets, capital, liabilities, incomes, expenses, financial results, cash flows. The second group includes indices characterizing the decision-making system as a whole.


2011 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Margie Parikh

Subject area Decision making, behavioural decision making, heuristics, optimistic bias, confirmatory bias, anchoring bias, ready mix cement (RMC) business in India. Study level/applicability Post graduate management course, executive training program in the subject areas. Case overview Arco is a Projects and Infrastructure-sector company. Some of its key officials, believing that entering the RMC can be beneficial for Arco, plan entry into the manufacturing of RMC but order a feasibility report. The report confirms the hunch and Arco starts the business under the aegis of its associate, EG Ltd (EGL) which is into equipment rental business. At this time a new dimension of reality opens up but the senior officers refuse to accept a revised proposal which is adjusted to the new realities. After a few months and some losses, EGL closes down the RMC plant and rents it out. Expected learning outcomes This case study is developed with a purpose to provide a basis to discuss how decisions are taken in real life and how various behavioural elements affect the quality of decisions that affect not only the decision makers but many others and their organizations. Focus is especially on prejudice, heuristics and bias that creep into important organizational decisions such as venturing into new business. Supplementary materials Teaching note.


Author(s):  
Antoine Trad

In this chapter, the authors present an applied holistic mathematical model for business transformation (AHMM)-specific implementation for supporting an intelligent strategic decision making system (iSDMS) that is based on the management and evaluation of critical success factors (CSF). The AHMM-based iSDMS is based on a unique mixed research method that is supported by a mainly the author's qualitative research module, where the main goal is to insure long-term strategic business competitive advantage. An adapted AHMM for iSDMSs uses a natural programming language (NLP) environment and CSFs to model iSDMS. The iSDMS is based on a central reasoning engine and a distributed enterprise architecture project's (EAP) paradigm. This chapter's experiment is based on a proof of concept (PoC), which presents a concrete transformation decision making case, where the central point is the transformation of an information system. Such an iSDMS is managed by an iSDMS transformation manager(s) (iSDMSTM); it uses a methodology and a framework that can support and estimate the risks of implementation of an iSDMS and then uses it to solve problems. The iSDMSTM is responsible for the implementation of the complex iSDMSs, where during its implementation phase, the chosen transformation framework supports the iSDMSTM in a just-in-time manner. The “I” or “i” prefix does not stand just for the vulgare urban and siloed business and technical environments but for a distributed and holistic approach to transform complex business and technical systems.


The HMM for intelligent cities transformation projects (iCTP) (or simply projects) uses a natural language development (and simulation) environment that can be adopted by any project and for that goal the authors propose to use the holistic intelligent cities design concept (HICDC). The HICDC is supported by a central decision-making system (DMS) and enterprise architecture (sub)projects (EAP). The proof of concept (PoC) is based on the resources collected on the city of Beirut, capital of Lebanon, where the central point is the transformation process of a war-torn city into a modern, agile (relatively, in respect to the region), civilized, and automated intelligent city. Such projects are managed by intelligent city transformation managers (iCTM).


The authors propose to use the holistic business system's risk assertion (HBSRA). The HBSRA supports a central decision-making system (DMS), projects, and enterprise architecture projects (EAP). The proof of concept (PoC) is based on applied business case from the insurance domain, where the central point is the transformation process of a traditional insurance enterprise into an agile and automated business enterprise. Such projects are managed by business transformation managers (manager or simply managers) who are supported with a methodology and a framework that can support and estimate the risks of implementation of projects. The manager is responsible for the implementation of the complex background of projects and during its implementation phase.


2015 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-34
Author(s):  
Sergei Shvorov ◽  
◽  
Dmitry Komarchuk ◽  
Peter Ohrimenko ◽  
Dmitry Chyrchenko ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
I. I. Kravchenko

The paper considers the mathematical model development technique to build a vector field of the shape deviations when machining flat surfaces of shell parts on multi-operational machines under conditions of anisotropic rigidity in technological system (TS). The technological system has an anisotropic rigidity, as its elastic strains do not obey the accepted concepts, i.e. the rigidity towards the coordinate axes of the machine is the same, and they occur only towards the external force. The record shows that the diagrams of elastic strains of machine units are substantially different from the circumference. The issues to ensure the specified accuracy require that there should be mathematical models describing kinematic models and physical processes of mechanical machining under conditions of the specific TS. There are such models for external and internal surfaces of rotation [2,3], which are successfully implemented in practice. Flat surfaces (FS) of shell parts (SP) are both assembly and processing datum surfaces. Therefore, on them special stipulations are made regarding deviations of shape and mutual arrangement. The axes of the main bearing holes are coordinated with respect to them. The joints that ensure leak tightness and distributed load on the product part are closed on these surfaces. The paper deals with the analytical construction of the vector field F, which describes with appropriate approximation the real surface obtained as a result of modeling the process of machining flat surfaces (MFS) through face milling under conditions of anisotropic properties.


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