scholarly journals Recent marriage and childbearing trends in Croatia and Slovenia: A comparative review

2021 ◽  
Vol 61 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vera Graovac Matassi ◽  
Ana Talan
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Statistical Data ◽  
Marriage Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
Birth Rates ◽  
First Marriage ◽  
Human Fertility ◽  
Comparative Review

The paper discusses the marriage and childbearing trends in Croatia and Slovenia from 1985 to 2017. We made a comparative review of several indicators related to marriage and childbearing trends: mean ages of women at first marriage and first childbirth, birth rates, births within and outside marriage, total fertility rate, tempo-adjusted fertility rate, age-specific fertility rates, and marriage rate. The analysis is based on the official statistical data provided by the statistical offices of both countries and Human Fertility Database. Many of the indicators, including the birth rate, total fertility rate and age-specific fertility rate, are somewhat more favourable in Slovenia than in Croatia. One of the major differences between the two countries is that in Slovenia the connection between marriage and childbearing is not as nearly significant as in Croatia.

Changes in maximum parental leave payment in Iceland and total fertility rates

2021 ◽  
pp. 140349482110290
Author(s):  
Kristjana Einarsdóttir
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Parental Leave ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
Birth Rates ◽  
2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The 2008 Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

Background: Following the 2008 financial crisis, the Icelandic Government reduced the maximum parental payment until 2016, when it was increased again. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of the changes in the maximum parental leave payment in Iceland during 2009 and 2016 on total fertility rates and birth rates during 2002–2019. Methods: Publicly available aggregated data on yearly total fertility rates, birth rates, unemployment rates, gross domestic product (GDP) and maximum parental leave payments were obtained for 2002–2019. Segmented regression analyses were used to measure the impact of changes in parental leave payment on term births for the two periods in which changes were implemented (2008–2010 and 2016–2017). Results: The decrease in maximum parental leave payment during 2008–2010 was associated with a 15% decrease in the estimated total fertility rate compared with the expected rate (−15.7%; 95% CI −22.7 to −8.7), whereas the increased payments during 2016–2017 indicated a possible 3% increase in the estimated total fertility rate (3.2%; 95% CI −29.1 to 35.5). Neither adjustment for the unemployment rate nor the GDP appeared to affect these results. The overall birth rate followed a similar trend and was most pronounced for women aged 25–34 years. Conclusions: These results suggest that total fertility rates in Iceland may have been affected by changes in the maximum parental leave payment that occurred in 2009 and 2016, although the effect of the 2008 financial crisis cannot be excluded despite adjustment for the unemployment rate and GDP.

A New Look at the Asian Fertility Transition (Distinguishedl Lecture)

1996 ◽  
Vol 35 (4I) ◽  
pp. 385-398 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Caldwell
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Fertility Transition ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Asian Women ◽  
Population Replacement ◽  
Planning Meeting ◽  
Annual Birth Rate

The significance of the Asian fertility transition can hardly be overestimated. The relatively sanguine view of population growth expressed at the 1994 International Conference for Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo was possible only because of the demographic events in Asia over the last 30 years. In 1965 Asian women were still bearing about six children. Even at current rates, today’s young women will give birth to half as many. This measure, namely the average number of live births over a reproductive lifetime, is called the total fertility rate. It has to be above 2— considerably above if mortality is still high—to achieve long-term population replacement. By 1995 East Asia, taken as a whole, exhibited a total fertility rate of 1.9. Elsewhere, Singapore was below long-term replacement, Thailand had just achieved it, and Sri Lanka was only a little above. The role of Asia in the global fertility transition is shown by estimates I made a few years ago for a World Bank Planning Meeting covering the first quarter of a century of the Asian transition [Caldwell (1993), p. 300]. Between 1965 and 1988 the world’s annual birth rate fell by 22 percent. In 1988 there would have been 40 million more births if there had been no decline from 1965 fertility levels. Of that total decline in the world’s births, almost 80 percent had been contributed by Asia, compared with only 10 percent by Latin America, nothing by Africa, and, unexpectedly, 10 percent by the high-income countries of the West. Indeed, 60 percent of the decline was produced by two countries, China and India, even though they constitute only 38 percent of the world’s population. They accounted, between them, for over threequarters of Asia’s fall in births.

Marriage and Fertility Patterns among Jordanians and Syrian Refugees in Jordan

2019 ◽  
pp. 259-288 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maia Sieverding ◽  
Nasma Berri ◽  
Sawsan Abdulrahim
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Syrian Refugees ◽  
Marriage Education ◽  
Marriage Age ◽  
First Marriage ◽  
Age At First Marriage ◽  
High Selection ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Transition To Marriage

This chapter examines changes in marriage and fertility among Jordanians and Syrian refugees in Jordan. It finds considerable continuity in marriage practices among Jordanians from 2010 to 2016. Jordanians witnessed very modest increases in median age at first marriage. Education is the main factor associated with later ages at marriage and first birth among women. The cost of marriage among Jordanians has declined since 2010 and is unlikely to have contributed to trends in marriage age. Despite the small increase in age at first marriage, fertility declined among Jordanians from a total fertility rate of 3.9 in 2010 to 3.3 in 2016. Compared to the Jordanians, Syrian refugees experienced an earlier transition to marriage and a higher total fertility rate of 4.4 in 2016. The marriage and fertility patterns of Syrian refugees point to high selection on factors associated with earlier marriage and higher fertility.

scholarly journals Fertility rates and the postponement of first births: a descriptive study with Finnish population data

BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. e026336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahra Roustaei ◽  
Sari Räisänen ◽  
Mika Gissler ◽  
Seppo Heinonen
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Data ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Age At First Birth ◽  
Fertility Rates ◽  
First Birth ◽  
Educational Levels ◽  
The Mean ◽  
The Impact

ObjectivesWe described the trend of fertility rates, age-specific fertility rates and associated factors in Finland over a 30-year period.DesignA descriptive population-based register study.SettingFertility data, including age at first birth, childlessness and educational levels were gathered from the Finnish Medical Birth Register and Statistics Finland.ParticipantsAll 1 792 792 live births from 1987 to 2016 in Finland.Main outcome measuresCompleted fertility rate, total fertility rate and age-specific fertility rate.ResultsThe total fertility rate of Finnish women fluctuated substantially from 1987 to 2016. Since 2010, the total fertility rate has gradually declined and reached the lowest during the study period in 2016: 1.57 children per woman. The mean maternal age at first birth rose by 2.5 years from 26.5 years in 1987 to 29 years in 2016. The proportion of childless women at the age of 50 years increased from 13.6% in 1989 to 19.6% in 2016. By considering the impact of postponement and childlessness, the effect on total fertility rates was between −0.01 and −0.12 points. Since 1987, the distribution of birth has declined for women under the age of 29 and increased for women aged 30 or more. However, start of childbearing after the age of 30 years was related to the completed fertility rate of less than two children per woman. The difference in completed fertility rate across educational groups was small.ConclusionsPostponement of first births was followed by decline in completed fertility rate. Increasing rate of childlessness, besides the mean age at first birth, was an important determinant for declined fertility rates, but the relation between women’s educational levels and the completed fertility rate was relatively weak.

scholarly journals Smart Fert: Aplikasi Praktis, Valid, dan Mudah Untuk Mengukur Indikator Fertilitas di Era Otonomi Daerah

Populasi ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Lutfi Agus Salim ◽  
Lutfan Lazuardi ◽  
Kuntoro Kuntoro
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Visual Basic ◽  
Reproductive Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
General Fertility Rate

Indikator fertilitas, seperti Crude Birth Rate (CBR), Total Fertility Rate (TFR), General Fertility Rate (GFR), dan Gross Reproductive Rate (GRR), untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk setiap tahun di level kabupaten/kota sejak otonomi daerah sering tidak tersedia. Aplikasi sistem informasi fertilitas Smart Fert sebagai alat untuk mengukur indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diaplikasikan sangat layak untuk dikembangkan. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah mengembangkan aplikasi Smart Fert serta menguji hasil perhitungan indikator fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert dibandingkan dengan perhitungan dari hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Penelitian ini merancang aplikasi Smart Fert berbasis bahasa visual basic. Untuk mengukur ketepatan dan kevalidan hasil perhitungan fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert, maka hasilnya dibandingkan dengan standar yang baik, yaitu hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hasil perhitungan fertilitas dengan aplikasi Smart Fert tidak menunjukkan perbedaan signifikan dengan hasil metode langsung Sensus Penduduk 2010. Dengan demikian, aplikasi Smart Fert dapat dipakai sebagai alat penghitung indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diimplementasikan untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk di tingkat kabupaten/kota.

Falling Birth Rates and Rural Depopulation

2020 ◽  
pp. 97-111
Author(s):  
Barbara Bennett Woodhouse
Keyword(s):  
Birth Rate ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Replacement Rate ◽  
Birth Rates ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
Rural Depopulation ◽  
The Village

Chapter five moves from ethnography at the village level to examine the demographics of declining fertility and rural depopulation plaguing many affluent nations. A failure of generational renewal threatens the well-being of individuals, communities and societies. With the story of a child who is the last child in his remote Italian village, the author illustrates the critical importance of children to each other and to their communities. After introducing demographic concepts such as birth rate and replacement rate, total fertility rate and replacement rate fertility, the book discusses the low birth rate crisis in Italy where the population is declining at an unsustainable rate. It examines factors affecting birth rates, including adolescent fertility rate, mother’s marital status, percentage of women in the workforce, and gendered division of domestic labour. In comparison with Italy, US birth rates have been relatively robust; however, after the Great Recession US birth rates declined steadily and are now well below replacement rate. The chapter closes with discussion of the interplay between politics and demographics, including rules on birth right citizenship, the role of immigration in rejuvenating populations, and the misuse of demographic data to fuel anti-immigrant, sectarian, and racial conflict.

Trends and Differentials in Moslem fertility

1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostafa H. Nagi
Keyword(s):  
Family Planning ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Decline ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Reproductive Behaviour ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Percentage Change ◽  
Current Status ◽  
Fertility Differentials

SummaryThis paper examines data on fertility levels in 33 Moslem countries between 1960 and 1980. Fertility measures include crude birth rate, total fertility rate and age-specific birth rate, and the percentage change in them between 1960 and 1980.The analysis focuses on: (1) the current status of Moslem fertility in comparison to non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) the emerging fertility differentials among Moslem countries; (3) how much of the recent fertility declines in some Moslem countries is associated with modernization variables and with family planning efforts.The results indicate that: (1) Moslem fertility remains universally high and is generally higher than in non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) very few Moslem countries have succeeded in bringing down their level of fertility to justify a search for the predictors of Moslem fertility levels; (3) in spite of a sufficient range of variations in the economic and social correlates of fertility, the corresponding fertility variables in these countries do not suggest that the reproductive behaviour of Moslem women has reacted to such variations; (4) efforts directed towards stronger family planning programmes are clearly related to fertility decline.

scholarly journals Implementasi Model Perhitungan Perkiraan Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Berdasarkan Efektifitas Penggunaan Alat Kontrasepsi di Provinsi Jawa Barat

Matematika ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gani Gunawan ◽  
Eti Kurniati ◽  
Icih Sukarsih
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Method ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Calculation Model ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Census ◽  
West Java

Abstrak. Perhitungan jumlah penduduk dapat dilakukan secara langsung melalui suatu sensus penduduk. Salah satu faktor yang dapat mempengaruhi jumlah penduduk pada suatu wilayah adalah tingkat kelahiran atau angka fertilitas. Namun hasil pendataan yang dilakukan pada umumnya hanya memberikan informasi jumlah penduduk yang hidup pada saat sensus diadakan dan tidak mencatat secara lengkap jumlah bayi lahir hidup yang kemudian meninggal pada waktu sensus. Hal tersebut menyebabkan perhitungan angka fertilitas secara langsung tidak mungkin dilakukan, sehingga diperlukan suatu metode Matematika yang secara tak langsung dapat digunakan untuk menghitung angka fertilitas di suatu wilayah. Dalam makalah ini akan diperlihatkan suatu cara perhitungan kelahiran atau fertilitas secara tidak langsung, dimana cara ini dapat menentukan angka kelahiran tercegah sebagai indikator keberhasilan pengendalian jumlah penduduk melalui program Keluarga Berencana (KB), sehingga melalui perhitungan  ini  dapat ditentukan angka fertilitas total yang didasarkan pada efektifitas penggunaan alat kontrasepsi.Kata Kunci : keluarga berencana (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)Abstract. (Implementation of the Calculation Model for Estimated Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Based on the Effectiveness Use of Contraception in West Java Province) The calculation of the population can be done directly through a population census. One factor that can affect the population in a region is the birth rate or fertility rate. However, the results of data collection carried out, in general only provide information on the number of people living at the time the census is held, and not complete records of the number of live-born babies who later died during the census. This has made it impossible to calculate the fertility rate directly, so a Mathematical method is needed that can indirectly be used to calculate the fertility rate in an area. This paper will show a method of calculating birth or fertility indirectly, where this method can determine the preventable birth rate as an indicator of the success of controlling population through Family Planning (KB) programs, so that through this calculation can be determined the total fertility rate based on effectiveness use of contraceptives.Keywords : family planning (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)

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