scholarly journals Implementasi Model Perhitungan Perkiraan Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Berdasarkan Efektifitas Penggunaan Alat Kontrasepsi di Provinsi Jawa Barat

Matematika ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gani Gunawan ◽  
Eti Kurniati ◽  
Icih Sukarsih
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Method ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Data Collection ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Calculation Model ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Census ◽  
West Java

Abstrak. Perhitungan jumlah penduduk dapat dilakukan secara langsung melalui suatu sensus penduduk. Salah satu faktor yang dapat mempengaruhi jumlah penduduk pada suatu wilayah adalah tingkat kelahiran atau angka fertilitas. Namun hasil pendataan yang dilakukan pada umumnya hanya memberikan informasi jumlah penduduk yang hidup pada saat sensus diadakan dan tidak mencatat secara lengkap jumlah bayi lahir hidup yang kemudian meninggal pada waktu sensus. Hal tersebut menyebabkan perhitungan angka fertilitas secara langsung tidak mungkin dilakukan, sehingga diperlukan suatu metode Matematika yang secara tak langsung dapat digunakan untuk menghitung angka fertilitas di suatu wilayah. Dalam makalah ini akan diperlihatkan suatu cara perhitungan kelahiran atau fertilitas secara tidak langsung, dimana cara ini dapat menentukan angka kelahiran tercegah sebagai indikator keberhasilan pengendalian jumlah penduduk melalui program Keluarga Berencana (KB), sehingga melalui perhitungan  ini  dapat ditentukan angka fertilitas total yang didasarkan pada efektifitas penggunaan alat kontrasepsi.Kata Kunci : keluarga berencana (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)Abstract. (Implementation of the Calculation Model for Estimated Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Based on the Effectiveness Use of Contraception in West Java Province) The calculation of the population can be done directly through a population census. One factor that can affect the population in a region is the birth rate or fertility rate. However, the results of data collection carried out, in general only provide information on the number of people living at the time the census is held, and not complete records of the number of live-born babies who later died during the census. This has made it impossible to calculate the fertility rate directly, so a Mathematical method is needed that can indirectly be used to calculate the fertility rate in an area. This paper will show a method of calculating birth or fertility indirectly, where this method can determine the preventable birth rate as an indicator of the success of controlling population through Family Planning (KB) programs, so that through this calculation can be determined the total fertility rate based on effectiveness use of contraceptives.Keywords : family planning (KB), total fertility rate (TFR), crude birth rate (CBR)

Trends and Differentials in Moslem fertility

1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mostafa H. Nagi
Keyword(s):  
Family Planning ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Decline ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Reproductive Behaviour ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Percentage Change ◽  
Current Status ◽  
Fertility Differentials

SummaryThis paper examines data on fertility levels in 33 Moslem countries between 1960 and 1980. Fertility measures include crude birth rate, total fertility rate and age-specific birth rate, and the percentage change in them between 1960 and 1980.The analysis focuses on: (1) the current status of Moslem fertility in comparison to non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) the emerging fertility differentials among Moslem countries; (3) how much of the recent fertility declines in some Moslem countries is associated with modernization variables and with family planning efforts.The results indicate that: (1) Moslem fertility remains universally high and is generally higher than in non-Moslem countries in the same region; (2) very few Moslem countries have succeeded in bringing down their level of fertility to justify a search for the predictors of Moslem fertility levels; (3) in spite of a sufficient range of variations in the economic and social correlates of fertility, the corresponding fertility variables in these countries do not suggest that the reproductive behaviour of Moslem women has reacted to such variations; (4) efforts directed towards stronger family planning programmes are clearly related to fertility decline.

scholarly journals Smart Fert: Aplikasi Praktis, Valid, dan Mudah Untuk Mengukur Indikator Fertilitas di Era Otonomi Daerah

Populasi ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 33
Author(s):  
Lutfi Agus Salim ◽  
Lutfan Lazuardi ◽  
Kuntoro Kuntoro
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Visual Basic ◽  
Reproductive Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
General Fertility Rate

Indikator fertilitas, seperti Crude Birth Rate (CBR), Total Fertility Rate (TFR), General Fertility Rate (GFR), dan Gross Reproductive Rate (GRR), untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk setiap tahun di level kabupaten/kota sejak otonomi daerah sering tidak tersedia. Aplikasi sistem informasi fertilitas Smart Fert sebagai alat untuk mengukur indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diaplikasikan sangat layak untuk dikembangkan. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah mengembangkan aplikasi Smart Fert serta menguji hasil perhitungan indikator fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert dibandingkan dengan perhitungan dari hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Penelitian ini merancang aplikasi Smart Fert berbasis bahasa visual basic. Untuk mengukur ketepatan dan kevalidan hasil perhitungan fertilitas dari aplikasi Smart Fert, maka hasilnya dibandingkan dengan standar yang baik, yaitu hasil Sensus Penduduk 2010. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa hasil perhitungan fertilitas dengan aplikasi Smart Fert tidak menunjukkan perbedaan signifikan dengan hasil metode langsung Sensus Penduduk 2010. Dengan demikian, aplikasi Smart Fert dapat dipakai sebagai alat penghitung indikator fertilitas yang praktis, valid, dan mudah diimplementasikan untuk mengukur kinerja pengendalian penduduk di tingkat kabupaten/kota.

scholarly journals Demographic Issues in Malaysia

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (11) ◽  
pp. 116
Author(s):  
Nik Norliati Fitri Md Nor
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Older Persons ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Migrant Worker ◽  
Living Arrangement ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
Asian Country ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Fertility Trend ◽  
Care Health

This article will discussed about demographic issues in Malaysia and focused about fertility trend, increasing the number of ageing (60 years and above) and non citizen residents. Since 2016 years the crude birth rate in Malaysia are decreased to 16.6 per 1000 population compared to 18.5 per 1000 population in 2009. Starting on years 2019, fertility trend among women are decreased which is below the replacement level 2.1 child per women (15-49 years reproductive women) especially Chinese and Indian ethnic. In 2014, Chinese ethnic and Indian showed that total fertility rate is 1.4 child per women. In 2015, Malay ethnic showed the total fertility rate is 2.6 per child among women 15- 49 years. This situation showed the issued of age population increasingly significantly. The percentage of older person in Malaysia in 2010 among Chinese, Indian, Malay and Bumiputera ethnic are representively 12.2 percent, 7.9 percent, 7.3 percent and 6.2 percent. It showed that the issues of social support for example the living arrangement of older persons, health care, health status and income are the most important issues and must be addressed. Besides that, Malaysia will be challenging problem migrant worker from Asian country and will cause the problem for example for Malaysian citizen to get the work. Based on Department of Statistics Malaysia in 2016, there are about 3.3 million non-Malaysian citizens in Malaysia which is 80.3 percent in 15-64 years. Hopefully this paper will provide some suggestions to enable the authorities to address these issues more effectively.

A New Look at the Asian Fertility Transition (Distinguishedl Lecture)

1996 ◽  
Vol 35 (4I) ◽  
pp. 385-398 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Caldwell
Keyword(s):  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Fertility Transition ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Asian Women ◽  
Population Replacement ◽  
Planning Meeting ◽  
Annual Birth Rate

The significance of the Asian fertility transition can hardly be overestimated. The relatively sanguine view of population growth expressed at the 1994 International Conference for Population and Development (ICPD) in Cairo was possible only because of the demographic events in Asia over the last 30 years. In 1965 Asian women were still bearing about six children. Even at current rates, today’s young women will give birth to half as many. This measure, namely the average number of live births over a reproductive lifetime, is called the total fertility rate. It has to be above 2— considerably above if mortality is still high—to achieve long-term population replacement. By 1995 East Asia, taken as a whole, exhibited a total fertility rate of 1.9. Elsewhere, Singapore was below long-term replacement, Thailand had just achieved it, and Sri Lanka was only a little above. The role of Asia in the global fertility transition is shown by estimates I made a few years ago for a World Bank Planning Meeting covering the first quarter of a century of the Asian transition [Caldwell (1993), p. 300]. Between 1965 and 1988 the world’s annual birth rate fell by 22 percent. In 1988 there would have been 40 million more births if there had been no decline from 1965 fertility levels. Of that total decline in the world’s births, almost 80 percent had been contributed by Asia, compared with only 10 percent by Latin America, nothing by Africa, and, unexpectedly, 10 percent by the high-income countries of the West. Indeed, 60 percent of the decline was produced by two countries, China and India, even though they constitute only 38 percent of the world’s population. They accounted, between them, for over threequarters of Asia’s fall in births.

scholarly journals DETERMINAN STATUS UNMET NEED FOR LIMITING BIRTH PADA WANITA USIA SUBUR BERSTATUS KAWIN DI JAWA BARAT TAHUN 2017

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 85
Author(s):  
Valencia Shabrina Putri ◽  
Siskarossa Ika Oktora
Keyword(s):  
High School ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Junior High School ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Junior High ◽  
Unmet Need ◽  
Education Level ◽  
Reproductive Age ◽  
Women Of Reproductive Age ◽  
West Java

Rapid annual population growth in West Java, the province with the highest population in Indonesia, is concerning due to its effect that could lead to population explosion in the future. One of the reasons for this rapid growth is caused by a high birth rate. However, the implementation of the family planning program to control the birth rate faced a challenge in terms of unmet need for family planning in women of reproductive age. Unmet need for limiting birth has a more critical role in total unmet birth control need. This study aims to determine factors that affect the unmet need for limiting birth at married women of reproductive age in West Java Province in 2017 using binary logistic regression. Results indicated that women's age, women's education level, husband's education level, and residence significantly affected unmet need status for limiting birth. Also, the tendency of unmet need for limiting birth is greater for women aged 35-49 years, has education junior high school and above, the husband has under junior high school education and living in the rural area.

scholarly journals KELEMBAGAAN DAN CAPAIAN PROGRAM KELUARGA BERENCANA (KB): DARI ERA SENTRALISASI KE DESENTRALISASI

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Puri Kusuma Dwi Putri ◽  
Aida Vitayala Hubeis ◽  
Sarwititi Sarwoprasodjo
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Family Planning ◽  
Population Growth ◽  
Organizational Structure ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Population Growth Rate ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Success Story ◽  
Family Planning Programs ◽  
The Family

Indonesia experienced a change in the organization of the Family Planning (FP) Program from centralized to a decentralized one. This article aims to compare various Indonesia’s FP policies, implemented by the National Population and Family Planning Board (NPFPB), in each era of governance, and their respective Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and Population Growth Rate (PGR) achievements. We reviewed FP programs from Soekarno’s presidency until Joko Widodo’s presidency (1983-2018). The centralization approached was implemented during the Soekarno’s and Soeharto’s presidency, while the decentralization has been implemented since Habibie’s and Joko Widodo’s presidency. The centralization approach in Soeharto’s presidency had succeeded in lowering the TFR and become success story of the FP program. In contrast, the decentralization approach has not reached its target since it has impacted the organizational structure and family planning programs and their achievements through every new presidency. The decentralization also changed the communication role in the declining TFR and PGR era in each presidency in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Factors Impacting Family Planning Use in Mali and Senegal

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 4399
Author(s):  
Aissata Mahamadou Sidibe ◽  
Paul I Kadetz ◽  
Therese Hesketh
Keyword(s):  
Family Planning ◽  
Total Fertility Rate ◽  
Contraceptive Use ◽  
Cross Sectional Study ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Convenience Sample ◽  
Modern Family ◽  
Rural Sites ◽  
Structured Questionnaire

The total fertility rate in Mali (6.2) is the third highest in the world. Despite sociocultural similarities, the total fertility rate in neighboring Senegal is 4.2. The aim of this study is to identify factors which may help to explain the differences between the two countries and which may thereby inform family planning policy in Mali. A cross-sectional study was conducted with a convenience sample of 602 married women aged 16–50 from urban and rural sites in southern Mali and Senegal. A total of 298 respondents from Mali and 304 from Senegal completed a structured questionnaire between July and October 2018. In total, 11.1% of the Malian respondents and 30.9% of the Senegalese respondents were currently using family planning, and 34.6% and 40.5%, respectively, had ever used a modern family planning method. Pressure from husbands was cited as a primary influence for having more children (in 50.3% of Malians and 45.4% of Senegalese, p = 0.000). Women’s age, education level, and knowledge of different contraceptive methods were associated with ever use of contraceptives. After adjustment for confounders, discussing family planning with one’s husband was the strongest predictor of contraceptive use among both Senegalese (OR = 3.4, 95% CI (1.9–6.3), p = 0.000) and Malian respondents (OR = 7.3, (4.1–13.3), p = 0.000).

ANNUAL SUMMARY OF VITAL STATISTICS—1965

PEDIATRICS ◽  
1966 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 1063-1067
Author(s):  
Myron E. Wegman
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Birth Rate ◽  
Crude Birth Rate ◽  
The United States ◽  
Vital Statistics ◽  
Fertility Rate ◽  
Downward Trend ◽  
United States Population ◽  
First Time ◽  
Number Of Births

A CONTINUED downward trend for births, slightly upward for marriages, and about the same rate as last year for deaths characterize the provisional vital statistics of the United States for 1965 (Table 1). Despite the falling birth rate almost 2,000,000 persons were added to the United States population through the excess of births over deaths. Births in 1965 were down about 7% from 1964, bringing the total number, estimated at 3,767,000, below 4,000,000 for the first time in 12 years. The number of births was the lowest since 1951, giving a crude birth rate of 19.4 births per 1,000 population and a fertility rate of 96.7.

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