Sales Forecast for Garment Companies with Cluster Analysis and Modified Neural Networks

2011 ◽  
Vol 127 ◽  
pp. 490-495
Author(s):  
Li Yu ◽  
Yun Chen

For the companies of the garment industry, managers often dedicate their efforts to forecast the sales accurately while making decisions for marketing resource allocation and scheduling. Based on the historical database, this paper constructs a method to investigate the relationship of the relating factors and sales values. The proposed method combines the cluster analysis and modified neural networks to fulfill the sales forecast task. Firstly, the average linkage cluster algorithm is applied to cluster similar sales values. Secondly, a modified neural network is used to investigate the mapping relationship between those influencing factors and the sales clusters. The method employs a self-adjust mechanism to determine the structure of the neural network. The effectiveness of the proposed method is illustrated with a case study of a garment company in Shanghai.

2001 ◽  
Vol 11 (05) ◽  
pp. 489-496
Author(s):  
AN-PIN CHEN ◽  
CHIEH-YOW CHIANGLIN ◽  
HISU-PEI CHUNG

This paper applies the neural network method to establish an index arbitrage model and compares the arbitrage performances to that from traditional cost of carry arbitrage model. From the empirical results of the Nikkei 225 stock index market, following conclusions can be stated: (1) The basis will get enlarged for a time period, more profitability may be obtained from the trend. (2) If the neural network is applied within the index arbitrage model, twofold of return would be obtained than traditional arbitrage model can do. (3) If the T_basis has volatile trend, the neural network arbitrage model will ignore the peak. Although arbitrageur would lose the chance to get profit, they may reduce the market impact risk.


Actuators ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 85
Author(s):  
Jiang Hua ◽  
Liangcai Zeng

A robot can identify the position of a target and complete a grasping based on the hand–eye calibration algorithm, through which the relationship between the robot coordinate system and the camera coordinate system can be established. The accuracy of the hand–eye calibration algorithm affects the real-time performance of the visual servo system and the robot manipulation. The traditional calibration technique is based on a perfect mathematical model AX = XB, in which the X represents the relationship of (A) the camera coordinate system and (B) the robot coordinate system. The traditional solution to the transformation matrix has a certain extent of limitation and instability. To solve this problem, an optimized neural-network-based hand–eye calibration method was developed to establish a non-linear relationship between robotic coordinates and pixel coordinates that can compensate for the nonlinear distortion of the camera lens. The learning process of the hand–eye calibration model can be interpreted as B=fA, which is the coordinate transformation relationship trained by the neural network. An accurate hand–eye calibration model can finally be obtained by continuously optimizing the network structure and parameters via training. Finally, the accuracy and stability of the method were verified by experiments on a robot grasping system.


Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Xing Yang ◽  
Tingjun Yong ◽  
Meihua Li ◽  
Wenying Wang ◽  
Huichun Xie ◽  
...  

This article first analyzes the research background of the design elements of cognitive psychology and neural networks at home and abroad, roughly understands the research status and research background of these two courses at home and abroad, and discusses the application of cognitive psychology to neural networks. The design method has not yet formed a systematic theoretical system. Then, a systematic theoretical analysis of the research in this article is carried out to analyze the relationship between the various characteristics of cognitive psychology and the design elements of the neural network, and it uses these relationships to guide the design practice. Second, it analyzes the relationship between the influence and interaction of cognitive psychology on neural network design and connects cognitive psychology with neural network design. Finally, according to the theoretical analysis and research of the system, the application of cognitive psychology in neural network design, design practice, and the relationship between the two are systematically reviewed. Through the exploratory research on cognitive psychology in neural network design, we can see that the combination of neural network design and psychology, art aesthetics, and other cross-disciplinary and multidisciplinary research is necessary, which can promote the scientific and technological progress of neural network design in the context of the information age and the improvement of public mental health. Under the background of the era in which the neural network design becomes the link between people's emotions and culture, we must fully understand the essential role of each element in neural network design and build a design concept based on cognitive psychology and emotional experience. It is hoped that the content of this topic can provide a certain reference value for the future development of neural network design and cognitive psychology and clarify the new development direction.


2004 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 219-233
Author(s):  
Tarun K. Sen ◽  
Parviz Ghandforoush ◽  
Charles T. Stivason

Neural networks are excellent mapping tools for complex financial data. Their mapping capabilities however do not always result in good generalizability for financial prediction models. Increasing the number of nodes and hidden layers in a neural network model produces better mapping of the data since the number of parameters available to the model increases. This is determinal to generalizabilitiy of the model since the model memorizes idiosyncratic patterns in the data. A neural network model can be expected to be more generalizable if the model architecture is made less complex by using fewer input nodes. In this study we simplify the neural network by eliminating input nodes that have the least contribution to the prediction of a desired outcome. We also provide a theoretical relationship of the sensitivity of output variables to the input variables under certain conditions. This research initiates an effort in identifying methods that would improve the generalizability of neural networks in financial prediction tasks by using mergers and bankruptcy models. The result indicates that incorporating more variables that appear relevant in a model does not necessarily improve prediction performance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (10) ◽  
pp. 54-62
Author(s):  
Oleksii VASYLIEV ◽  

The problem of applying neural networks to calculate ratings used in banking in the decision-making process on granting or not granting loans to borrowers is considered. The task is to determine the rating function of the borrower based on a set of statistical data on the effectiveness of loans provided by the bank. When constructing a regression model to calculate the rating function, it is necessary to know its general form. If so, the task is to calculate the parameters that are included in the expression for the rating function. In contrast to this approach, in the case of using neural networks, there is no need to specify the general form for the rating function. Instead, certain neural network architecture is chosen and parameters are calculated for it on the basis of statistical data. Importantly, the same neural network architecture can be used to process different sets of statistical data. The disadvantages of using neural networks include the need to calculate a large number of parameters. There is also no universal algorithm that would determine the optimal neural network architecture. As an example of the use of neural networks to determine the borrower's rating, a model system is considered, in which the borrower's rating is determined by a known non-analytical rating function. A neural network with two inner layers, which contain, respectively, three and two neurons and have a sigmoid activation function, is used for modeling. It is shown that the use of the neural network allows restoring the borrower's rating function with quite acceptable accuracy.


Author(s):  
Nguyen Thu Ha ◽  
Nguyen Thi Thanh Huyen

The retail market in Vietnam continues to grow with the entry of foreign retail brands and the strong rise of domestic businesses in expanding distribution networks and conquering consumer confidence. The appearance of more retail brands has created a fiercely competitive market. Based on the outcomes of previous research results on brand choice intention combined with a customer survey, the paper proposes an analytical framework and scales to examine the relationship of five elements including store image, price perception, risk perception, brand attitudes, brand awareness and retail brand choice intention with a case study of the Hanoi-based Circle K convenience store chain. These five elements are the precondition for retail businesses to develop their brands so as to attract customers.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 115
Author(s):  
Taufik Abrain

Several studies have shown that the success of interregional cooperation may be influenced by coordination, commitment, participation, variance of cooperation, structure, format of cooperation, and political will. Nevertheless, these factors do not stand alone since actor relations as a determining aspect is capable of driving those factors effectively. This article aims to examine the aspect of actor relations as a contributing factor that determines successful cooperation among regions. This is a qualitative research with the policy of inter-regional cooperation of the Banjarbakula Program, South Kalimantan Province from February 2017 to February 2018, set as its object of study. The result of this study states that the success of inter-regional cooperation is influenced by the relationship of actors in development factors as suggested by previous experts. The actors involved in the inter-regional cooperation examined in this case had become triggers of coordination, commitment, and participation toward success and failure, as well as the effectiveness of regional cooperation policy. Structural obstacles, ego-centric character, minimum budget availability, and non-visionary planning could be overcome as long as actor relations were properly managed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Idris Kharroubi ◽  
Thomas Lim ◽  
Xavier Warin

AbstractWe study the approximation of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs for short) with a constraint on the gains process. We first discretize the constraint by applying a so-called facelift operator at times of a grid. We show that this discretely constrained BSDE converges to the continuously constrained one as the mesh grid converges to zero. We then focus on the approximation of the discretely constrained BSDE. For that we adopt a machine learning approach. We show that the facelift can be approximated by an optimization problem over a class of neural networks under constraints on the neural network and its derivative. We then derive an algorithm converging to the discretely constrained BSDE as the number of neurons goes to infinity. We end by numerical experiments.


Author(s):  
Saša Vasiljević ◽  
Jasna Glišović ◽  
Nadica Stojanović ◽  
Ivan Grujić

According to the World Health Organization, air pollution with PM10 and PM2.5 (PM-particulate matter) is a significant problem that can have serious consequences for human health. Vehicles, as one of the main sources of PM10 and PM2.5 emissions, pollute the air and the environment both by creating particles by burning fuel in the engine, and by wearing of various elements in some vehicle systems. In this paper, the authors conducted the prediction of the formation of PM10 and PM2.5 particles generated by the wear of the braking system using a neural network (Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)). In this case, the neural network model was created based on the generated particles that were measured experimentally, while the validity of the created neural network was checked by means of a comparative analysis of the experimentally measured amount of particles and the prediction results. The experimental results were obtained by testing on an inertial braking dynamometer, where braking was performed in several modes, that is under different braking parameters (simulated vehicle speed, brake system pressure, temperature, braking time, braking torque). During braking, the concentration of PM10 and PM2.5 particles was measured simultaneously. The total of 196 measurements were performed and these data were used for training, validation, and verification of the neural network. When it comes to simulation, a comparison of two types of neural networks was performed with one output and with two outputs. For each type, network training was conducted using three different algorithms of backpropagation methods. For each neural network, a comparison of the obtained experimental and simulation results was performed. More accurate prediction results were obtained by the single-output neural network for both particulate sizes, while the smallest error was found in the case of a trained neural network using the Levenberg-Marquardt backward propagation algorithm. The aim of creating such a prediction model is to prove that by using neural networks it is possible to predict the emission of particles generated by brake wear, which can be further used for modern traffic systems such as traffic control. In addition, this wear algorithm could be applied on other vehicle systems, such as a clutch or tires.


Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1526 ◽  
Author(s):  
Choongmin Kim ◽  
Jacob A. Abraham ◽  
Woochul Kang ◽  
Jaeyong Chung

Crossbar-based neuromorphic computing to accelerate neural networks is a popular alternative to conventional von Neumann computing systems. It is also referred as processing-in-memory and in-situ analog computing. The crossbars have a fixed number of synapses per neuron and it is necessary to decompose neurons to map networks onto the crossbars. This paper proposes the k-spare decomposition algorithm that can trade off the predictive performance against the neuron usage during the mapping. The proposed algorithm performs a two-level hierarchical decomposition. In the first global decomposition, it decomposes the neural network such that each crossbar has k spare neurons. These neurons are used to improve the accuracy of the partially mapped network in the subsequent local decomposition. Our experimental results using modern convolutional neural networks show that the proposed method can improve the accuracy substantially within about 10% extra neurons.


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