Design Runoff Estimation Using an Efficient Rainfall Analysis Model for Low Data Available Catchment

2020 ◽  
Vol 50 ◽  
pp. 29-36
Author(s):  
Ben Ngene ◽  
Christiana Nwafor ◽  
Gideon Bamigboye
Keyword(s):  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Central Zone ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Partial Duration Series ◽  
Rainfall Analysis ◽  
Annual Series ◽  
The North ◽  
Catchment Areas

The challenge of various methods of analysis of rainfall intensity for design runoff estimation is in the availability of data for the given area. This work aims to evaluate the use of the Intensity Duration and Frequency (IDF) method in design runoff estimation using a rainfall analysis model for low data catchment areas such as Nigeria. The source of the data for the study is the Nigerian Meteorological Agency, and it is for Lokoja, a city in the North Central Zone of the country. Analysis of the data compared to the annual and partial duration series for rainfall intensities at various return periods. Also analyzed was the daily rainfall data to determine the rainfall intensity for the different duration and return periods for the study area. From the analysis, partial duration series analysis offered better design estimates than the annual series. Also noted is the fact that the intensity of rainfall increases with a return period of a given duration. The work also indicates that frequency curves can be used to extrapolate rainfall intensity of a given duration for a longer period than years of record. The paper, therefore, presents a design intensity equation useful for the estimation runoff necessary for sustainable infrastructures such as in water utilization and controls.

scholarly journals Assessment of Rainfall Thresholds for Rain-Induced Landslide Activity in North Sikkim Road Corridor in Sikkim Himalaya, India

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bappaditya Koley ◽  
Anindita Nath ◽  
Subhajit Saraswati ◽  
Kaushik Bandyopadhyay ◽  
Bidhan Chandra Ray
Keyword(s):  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Threshold ◽  
Rainfall Data ◽  
Antecedent Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Thresholds ◽  
Sikkim Himalaya ◽  
North East ◽  
The North

Land sliding is a perennial problem in the Eastern Himalayas. Out of 0.42 million km2 of Indian landmass prone to landslide, 42% fall in the North East Himalaya, specially Darjeeling and Sikkim Himalaya. Most of these landslides are triggered by excessive monsoon rainfall between June and October in almost every year. Various attempts in the global scenario have been made to establish rainfall thresholds in terms of intensity – duration of antecedent rainfall models on global, regional and local scale for triggering of the landslide. This paper describes local aspect of rainfall threshold for landslides based on daily rainfall data in and around north Sikkim road corridor region. Among 210 Landslides occurring from 2010 to 2016 were studied to analyze rainfall thresholds. Out of the 210 landslides, however, only 155 Landslides associated with rainfall data which were analyzed to yield a threshold relationship between rainfall intensity-duration and landslide initiation. The threshold relationship determined fits to lower boundary of the Landslide triggering rainfall events is I = 4.045 D - 0.25 (I=rainfall intensity (mm/h) and D=duration in (h)), revealed that for rainfall event of short time (24 h) duration with a rainfall intensity of 1.82 mm/h, the risk of landslides on this road corridor of the terrain is expected to be high. It is also observed that an intensity of 58 mm and 139 mm for 10-day and 20-day antecedent rainfall are required for the initiation of landslides in the study area. This threshold would help in improvement on traffic guidance and provide safety to the travelling tourists in this road corridor during the monsoon.

scholarly journals Spatial and temporal variations of rainy days and mean daily rainfall intensity in northern Nigeria.

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 85-92
Author(s):  
E. O. OLADIPO ◽  
S. SALAHU
Keyword(s):  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Temporal Variations ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Variations ◽  
Northern Nigeria ◽  
Rainfall Trend ◽  
North Central ◽  
The North ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Rainy Days

The spatial and temporal variations of rainy Gays arid daily rainfall intensity for northern Nigeria for using 54 years data are analysed, The extent and nature of non-random changes, such as trend and fluctuations are Investigated. In general, both, the rainy day frequency and mean daily rainfall intensity decreases northwards except for localized orographic effect in the north central Part of the region. There is statistical evidence or decreasing trend in the, number of rainy days over the period of study, but the trend analysis showed no significance or the mean daily rainfall intensity. This suggests that the recent decreasing rainfall trend In the region particularly In the Sahellan zone, In the result of decrease In the frequency of rainy days and not due to any significant change In the rainfall intensity.  

RAINFALL ANALYSIS OF THE KELANTAN BIG YELLOW FLOOD 2014

2016 ◽  
Vol 78 (9-4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nor Eliza Alias ◽  
Hazim Mohamad ◽  
Wan Yoke Chin ◽  
Zulkifli Yusop
Keyword(s):  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Phase 1 ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Madden Julian Oscillation ◽  
Return Periods ◽  
Phase 2 ◽  
Rainfall Events ◽  
Rainfall Analysis

In December 2014, Kelantan was hit by the worst flood ever recorded. Did the rainfall exceed historical records, how rare are they and what causes them? This paper answers these questions. Estimation of the return periods uses the GEV distribution model and stations with more than 25 years records. Spatial distribution plots of the cumulated rainfall depths were constructed using IDW interpolation method. Four major outcomes are: 1) Spatial rainfall patterns show high amounts of rainfall accumulated by phases (Phase 1- daily rainfall up to 300 mm; Phase 2- daily rainfall up to 500 mm); 2) record breaking rainfall events occurred at 9 stations significantly at Gunung Gagau (1598.9 mm compared to 976.5 mm 7-day cumulated rainfall). Many stations upstream of the river basin experienced ARIs near and over 100 years and several experienced more than 200 years; and 4) Enhanced rainfall were experienced due to the combined effect of the monsoon season, Madden Julian Oscillation and temperature below anomalies at the Siberian High

scholarly journals Trends in Daily Rainfall Intensity Over Israel 1950/1-2003/4

2009 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 196-203 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yizhak Yosef ◽  
Hadas Saaroni ◽  
Pinhas Alpert
Keyword(s):  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Water Shortage ◽  
East Atlantic ◽  
Teleconnection Patterns ◽  
The North ◽  
Rainfall Trends ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
Long Term Trends

The study focuses on long-term trends of daily rainfall in Israel as a function of their intensity in order to identify potential trends in rainfall extremity. The study period is the rainy season, October-May between 1950/1 and 2003/4. For the total rainfall, an increased trend is shown across Israel, especially for the central and southern regions, though non-significant. Daily rainfall intensity showed non-significant trends of increase in the heavy rainfall at the center and south and decrease at the north. The light to moderate rainfall trends increased in the north while they decreased at the center and south. Trends are significantly correlated with known teleconnection patterns, especially the East Atlantic- Western Russia and the North Sea-Caspian Sea patterns. Positive trends toward heavier rainfall are noted in Israel, which are significant in several specific locations. This finding has to be carefully followed since the region is a climatic border subjected to severe water shortage and is predicted to dry-up in most global warming scenarios.

scholarly journals The Wet and Dry Spells across India during 1951–2007

2010 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nityanand Singh ◽  
Ashwini Ranade
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Rainfall Intensity ◽  
Total Duration ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Change Scenario ◽  
Monsoon Period ◽  
Northwestern India ◽  
Area Of Interest ◽  
Dry Spells

Abstract Characteristics of wet spells (WSs) and intervening dry spells (DSs) are extremely useful for water-related sectors. The information takes on greater significance in the wake of global climate change and climate-change scenario projections. The features of 40 parameters of the rainfall time distribution as well as their extremes have been studied for two wet and dry spells for 19 subregions across India using gridded daily rainfall available on 1° latitude × 1° longitude spatial resolution for the period 1951–2007. In a low-frequency-mode, intra-annual rainfall variation, WS (DS) is identified as a “continuous period with daily rainfall equal to or greater than (less than) daily mean rainfall (DMR) of climatological monsoon period over the area of interest.” The DMR shows significant spatial variation from 2.6 mm day−1 over the extreme southeast peninsula (ESEP) to 20.2 mm day−1 over the southern-central west coast (SCWC). Climatologically, the number of WSs (DSs) decreases from 11 (10) over the extreme south peninsula to 4 (3) over northwestern India as a result of a decrease in tropical and oceanic influences. The total duration of WSs (DSs) decreases from 101 (173) to 45 (29) days, and the duration of individual WS (DS) from 12 (18) to 7 (11) days following similar spatial patterns. Broadly, the total rainfall of wet and dry spells, and rainfall amount and rainfall intensity of actual and extreme wet and dry spells, are high over orographic regions and low over the peninsula, Indo-Gangetic plains, and northwest dry province. The rainfall due to WSs (DSs) contributes ∼68% (∼17%) to the respective annual total. The start of the first wet spell is earlier (19 March) over ESEP and later (22 June) over northwestern India, and the end of the last wet spell occurs in reverse, that is, earlier (12 September) from northwestern India and later (16 December) from ESEP. In recent years/decades, actual and extreme WSs are slightly shorter and their rainfall intensity higher over a majority of the subregions, whereas actual and extreme DSs are slightly (not significantly) longer and their rainfall intensity weaker. There is a tendency for the first WS to start approximately six days earlier across the country and the last WS to end approximately two days earlier, giving rise to longer duration of rainfall activities by approximately four days. However, a spatially coherent, robust, long-term trend (1951–2007) is not seen in any of the 40 WS/DS parameters examined in the present study.

scholarly journals Integrated Transport Efficiency and Its Spatial Convergence in China’s Provinces: A Super-SBM DEA Model Considering Undesirable Outputs

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 1698 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fei Ma ◽  
Wenlin Wang ◽  
Qipeng Sun ◽  
Fei Liu ◽  
Xiaodan Li
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Autocorrelation ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Central Zone ◽  
Data Envelopment Analysis Model ◽  
Undesirable Outputs ◽  
Spatial Effects ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Growth Trend ◽  
Transport Efficiency ◽  
Transport Industry

Undesirable outputs, such as carbon emissions and loss of property due to traffic accidents, hold great significance for the sustainable development of the transport industry. In this study, we applied a super-efficiency data envelopment analysis model with a slack-based measure (Super-SBM DEA) considering undesirable outputs to measure the integrated transport efficiency (ITE) of 31 provinces in China during the period of 2009–2016. Following this, we used a spatial autocorrelation model to test and verify the spatial autocorrelation of the ITEs at the level of the 31 provinces, and further to explore the aggregating features. Finally, considering the spatial effects that emerged, we constructed a β-convergence model to analyze the convergence characteristics of China’s ITEs and investigate its conditional factors. The research results show that the average ITE demonstrated a linear growth trend; the effective decision-making units (the ITE value was greater than 1) are only 11 provinces, accounting for about 35% by 2016. The mean of ITEs was also found to present a law of decreasing order of Eastern, Central and Western Zones. However, the Central Zone and Western Zone have a better efficiency improvement trend compared to the Eastern Zone. The Moran’s I index was bigger than zero, indicating that the ITEs formed a spatial autocorrelation phenomenon. The Moran scatter plots further showed that the provincial ITEs mainly followed the patterns of high–high, high–low and low–low aggregation. The ITE of the 31 provinces was found to have a clear absolute β-convergence and conditional β-convergence characteristics. Moreover, the level of economic development, household per capita traffic consumption, transport industry scale, technology advancement and transport intensity were all seen to have an important impact on the convergence of integrated transport efficiency. It is hoped that the findings of this study may contribute further insights and practical knowledge to effectively measuring the development level of China’s integrated transport efficiency, and to understanding future changes in the ITE gap among Chinese provinces.

A ‘Lengthy Digression’: Why Mining Lagged Elsewhere

2019 ◽  
pp. 163-206
Author(s):  
Jeannette Graulau
Keyword(s):  
The North ◽  
Ore Bodies ◽  
Catchment Areas ◽  
Hindu Kush ◽  
The World ◽  
Mining History ◽  
Silver Mining ◽  
History Of ◽  
Mountain Development ◽  
Mining Regions

This chapter provides the mining history of the mountains of the rest of the world. It begins with England in which major silver discoveries took place in Bere Ferrers or Bere Ferris, a valley of the Tamar River in North Devon, southwest of Dartmoor, and at Combe Martin in the north after the mid-thirteenth century. However, English mines were challenging as they were physically distant from the central arteries of international trade of continental Europe and the commercial cities with continental catchment areas. This chapter also talks about silver mining that flourished in the Persian Province of Khorasan, the Samanid region of Transoxiana, and the Hindu Kush. These are the lands of the most spectacular mountain heights, where mountains piled up one behind another and mountain development assumes its grandest forms. It ends with mining history in India in which its mining exploits did not compete with the achievements of European mining regions. Mining in Zawar endured technical difficulties. Geologist Bagghi states that miners worked on hard siliceous quarzitic ore bodies, where drilling today calls for the use of tungsten carbide bits.

scholarly journals Types of river sources of the thin-grained aluminosilicaclastics for the Jurassic and lower cretaceous deposits of the West Siberian megabasin

2021 ◽  
Vol 63 (4) ◽  
pp. 52-61
Author(s):  
A. V. Maslov
Keyword(s):  
Lower Cretaceous ◽  
The Urals ◽  
River Systems ◽  
The West ◽  
Rock Composition ◽  
Fine Grained ◽  
The North ◽  
Catchment Areas ◽  
Cretaceous Deposits ◽  
West Siberian Basin

Background. The lithogeochemical features of fine-grained detrital rocks (mudstones, shales, and fine-grained siltstones) allow, with a certain degree of success, the main parameters of the formation of sedimentary sequences to be reconstructed. These parameters include (primarily in terms of their REE and Th systematics) the types of river systems supplying thin terrigenous suspension in the sedimentation area: the rivers of the 1st category – large rivers with a catchment area of more than 100,000 km2; 2nd category – rivers feeding on the products of erosion of sedimentary deposits; 3rd category – rivers draining mainly igneous and metamorphic rocks; and 4th category – rivers carrying erosion products of volcanic associations.Aim. To reveal, based on the analysis of interrelationships between such parameters as (La/Yb)N, Eu/Eu* and the Th content, the types of river systems that fed the Jurassic and Lower Cretaceous deposits of the Shaim oil and gas region (OGR) (Sherkalinsky, Tyumen, Abalak and Mulymya formations) and the region of the North Pokachevsky field of the Shirotnoe Priobye region (Sherkalinsky, Tyumen and Bazhenov formations, Lower Cretaceous deposits).Materials and methods. The ICP MS data for almost 100 samples of mudstones and fine-grained clayey siltstones were used to analyse the features of distribution of lanthanides and Th in the Jurassic and Lower Cretaceous clayey rocks of the Shaim OGR and the area of the North Pokachevsky deposits. Individual and average composition points for formations, members and layers were plotted on the (La/Yb)N-Eu/Eu*, (La/Yb)N–Th diagrams developed by us with classification areas of the composition of fine suspended material of modern rivers of different categories.Results and conclusion. The results presented in the article showed that during the formation of the deposits of the Shaim OGR in the Early and Middle Jurassic, erosion affected either mainly sedimentary formations or paleo-catchment areas that were very variegated in their rock composition. In the Late Jurassic, the source area was, most likely, a volcanic province, composed mainly of igneous rocks of the basic composition, and located within the Urals. This conclusion suggested that the transfer of clastic material from the Urals to the Urals part of the West Siberian basin “revived” much earlier than the Hauterivian. The Jurassic-Lower Cretaceous section of the vicinity of the North Pokachevsky field was almost entirely composed of thin aluminosilicaclastics formed due to the erosion of volcanic formations. These volcanic formations were located, as followed from the materials of earlier performed paleogeographic reconstructions, probably within the Altai-Sayan region or Northern Kazakhstan. Thus, the supply of detrital material in the considered territories of the West Siberian basin had a number of significant differences in the Jurassic and early Cretaceous.

scholarly journals Analysis of Daily Rainfall and Spatiotemporal Trends of Extreme Rainfall at Paraná Slope of the Itararé Watershed, Brazil

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 357-374
Author(s):  
Paulo Miguel de Bodas Terassi ◽  
José Francisco de Oliveira Júnior ◽  
Givanildo de Gois ◽  
Bruno Serafini Sobral ◽  
Emerson Galvani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
High Volume ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Annual Number ◽  
Subtropical Climate ◽  
Homogeneous Groups ◽  
The North ◽  
Spatiotemporal Trends ◽  
Mk Test

Abstract The knowledge of intensity and frequency of rainfall allows establishing predictive measures to minimize impacts caused by high volume of rainfall totals in a region. Therefore, the objective is to evaluate daily rainfall for Paraná slope of the Itararé watershed (PSIW) and to verify the spatiotemporal trend of intense and extreme daily rainfall. Rainfall data from 14 stations collected from 1976 to 2012 were used with less than 4% of data faults. Multivariate analysis based on cluster analysis technique (CA) was used applying the Euclidean distance for the identification of homogeneous groups, and the quantiles technique to classify daily rainfall. The Mann-Kendall (MK) test was used to identify trends for annual rainfall totals, annual number of rainy days (ANRD) and for the occurrence of intense (R95p) and extreme (R99p) rainfall. The CA technique identified three rainfall groups (HG I, II and III). Given the latitudinal position of the area, rainfall at the southern sector is characterized by its greater similarities with the subtropical climate, whereas in the North sector there is a consistent reduction of rainfall totals in autumn and, especially, during winter months, which are characteristic of the tropical climate. The MK test identified the downward trend of ANRD, with greater significance for the south-centered sectors of the basin. The observed trends for the intense (R95p) and extreme (R99p) daily rainfall show the predominance of reduction for the Southwest and central sector, followed by a significant increase in the Southeast and North sectors of the PSIW.

scholarly journals Analyses of flood peak discharge in Cimadur river basin, Banten Province, Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 331 ◽  
pp. 08006
Author(s):  
Arniza Fitri ◽  
Muhammad Shubhi Nurul Hadie ◽  
Adelia Agustina ◽  
Dian Pratiwi ◽  
Susarman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
Return Period ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Rainfall Distribution ◽  
Flood Peak ◽  
Type Iii ◽  
Pearson Type ◽  
Catchment Areas ◽  
Peak Discharges

Cimadur river basin is one of the most important catchment areas in Lebak District, Banten Province. For the past few years, the catchment has experienced floods during the rainy season. The big issue of flooding has been recorded recently in December 2019 which has caused damage and negative impacts to the local people and surrounding community. This study aims to analyze the possibility of flood peak discharges in the catchment area of the Cimadur river. The flood discharges are calculated for 2, 5, 10, 25, 50, and 100 years return period based on the daily rainfall data from the year 2011 to 2020. The rainfall and land use data are obtained from PT Saeba Consultant. In this study, the hydrological analyses are including 1) analyses of average annual rainfall using the Thiessen method; 2) analyses of rainfall distribution and estimation of design rainfall by considering three methods involving: Log-Normal, Log Pearson Type III, and Gumbel Type 1; and 3) analyses of flood discharges by adopting Nakayasu Synthetic Hydrograph Unit (SHU). The rainfall distribution analyses show that the Log Pearson Type III provided the best fit. Based on the flood peak discharges analyses, the results show that the flood discharges for the 5, 10, 25, and 50 years return period in the Cimadur river basin are 470.71 m3/s, 560.16 m3/s, 698 m3/s, and 820.4 m3/s, respectively.

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