GA-SVR Based Bearing Condition Degradation Prediction

2009 ◽  
Vol 413-414 ◽  
pp. 431-437 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fu Zhou Feng ◽  
Dong Dong Zhu ◽  
Peng Cheng Jiang ◽  
Hao Jiang

A genetic algorithm-support vector regression model (GA-SVR) is proposed for machine performance degradation prediction. The main idea of the method is firstly to select the condition-sensitive features extracted from rolling bearing vibration signals using Genetic Algorithm to form a condition vector. Then prediction model is established for each feature time series. And the third step is to establish support vector regression models to obtain prediction result in each series. Finally, the condition prognosis can be obtained through combing all components to form a condition vector. Vibration data from a rolling bearing bench test process are used to verify accuracy of the proposed method. The results show that the model is an effective prediction method with a higher speed and a better accuracy.

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (19) ◽  
pp. 6648
Author(s):  
Gabriel Astudillo ◽  
Raúl Carrasco ◽  
Christian Fernández-Campusano ◽  
Máx Chacón

Predicting copper price is essential for making decisions that can affect companies and governments dependent on the copper mining industry. Copper prices follow a time series that is nonlinear and non-stationary, and that has periods that change as a result of potential growth, cyclical fluctuation and errors. Sometimes, the trend and cyclical components together are referred to as a trend-cycle. In order to make predictions, it is necessary to consider the different characteristics of a trend-cycle. In this paper, we study a copper price prediction method using support vector regression (SVR). This work explores the potential of the SVR with external recurrences to make predictions at 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 days into the future in the copper closing price at the London Metal Exchange. The best model for each forecast interval is performed using a grid search and balanced cross-validation. In experiments on real data sets, our results obtained indicate that the parameters (C, ε, γ) of the model support vector regression do not differ between the different prediction intervals. Additionally, the amount of preceding values used to make the estimates does not vary according to the predicted interval. Results show that the support vector regression model has a lower prediction error and is more robust. Our results show that the presented model is able to predict copper price volatilities near reality, as the root-mean-square error (RMSE) was equal to or less than the 2.2% for prediction periods of 5 and 10 days.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 30
Author(s):  
Boyi Li ◽  
Adu Gong ◽  
Tingting Zeng ◽  
Wenxuan Bao ◽  
Can Xu ◽  
...  

The evaluation of mortality in earthquake-stricken areas is vital for the emergency response during rescue operations. Hence, an effective and universal approach for accurately predicting the number of casualties due to an earthquake is needed. To obtain a precise casualty prediction method that can be applied to regions with different geographical environments, a spatial division method based on regional differences and a zoning casualty prediction method based on support vector regression (SVR) are proposed in this study. This study comprises three parts: (1) evaluating the importance of influential features on seismic fatality based on random forest to select indicators for the prediction model; (2) dividing the study area into different grades of risk zones with a strata fault line dataset and WorldPop population dataset; and (3) developing a zoning support vector regression model (Z-SVR) with optimal parameters that is suitable for different risk areas. We selected 30 historical earthquakes that occurred in China’s mainland from 1950 to 2017 to examine the prediction performance of Z-SVR and compared its performance with those of other widely used machine learning methods. The results show that Z-SVR outperformed the other machine learning methods and can further enhance the accuracy of casualty prediction.


2017 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 138-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaowang Xia ◽  
Kaijie Mao ◽  
Shoubei Wei ◽  
Xuetao Wang ◽  
Yuanyuan Fang ◽  
...  

The performance of particle damper is strongly nonlinear, and the energy dissipation is derived from a combination of mechanisms including plastic collisions and friction between the particles and the walls and between the particles themselves. An optimized support vector regression model is built to predict the damping ratio of cantilever beam with particle damper. Then, the optimal parameters are adopted to construct the support vector regression models. In addition, genetic algorithm is used to select the optimal variables so as to improve the predictive ability of the models. Cross validation combined with support vector regression is used in this research and is compared with the genetic algorithm-support vector regression method. Genetic algorithm-support vector regression as research object to compare with the combination of cross validation and support vector regression. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed genetic algorithm-support vector regression model provides better prediction capability. Therefore, the genetic algorithm-support vector regression model is proven to be an effective approach to predict the damping ratio of cantilever beam with particle damper.


Author(s):  
Gabriel Astudillo ◽  
Raúl Carrasco ◽  
Christian Fernández-Campusano ◽  
Máx Chacón

Predicting copper price is essential for making decisions that can affect companies and governments dependent on the copper mining industry. Copper prices follow a time series that is non-linear, non-stationary, and which have periods that change as a result of potential growth, cyclical fluctuation and errors. Sometimes the trend and cyclical components together are referred to as a trend-cycle. In order to make predictions, it is necessary to consider the different characteristics of trend-cycle. In this paper, we study a copper price prediction method using Support Vector Regression. This work explores the potential of the Support Vector Regression with external recurrences to make predictions at 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 days into the future in the copper closing price at the London Metal Exchanges. The best model for each forecast interval is performed using a grid search and balanced cross-validation. In experiments on real data-sets, our results obtained indicate that the parameters (C, ε, γ) of the model Support Vector Regression do not differ between the different prediction intervals. Additionally, the amount of preceding values used to make the estimates does not vary according to the predicted interval. Results show that the support vector regression model has a lower prediction error and is more robust. Our results show that the presented model is able to predict copper price volatilities near reality, being the RMSE equal or less than the 2.2% for prediction periods of 5 and 10 days.


2018 ◽  
Vol 163 ◽  
pp. 135-142 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ibrahim Olanrewaju Alade ◽  
Aliyu Bagudu ◽  
Tajudeen A. Oyehan ◽  
Mohd Amiruddin Abd Rahman ◽  
Tawfik A. Saleh ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 68 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Li ◽  
Kaitang Hu ◽  
Jin Wang

AbstractFlocculation is an important method to treat paper manufacturing wastewater. Coagulants and flocculants added to wastewater facilitate the aggregation and sedimentation of various particles in the wastewater and lead to the formation of floc networks which can be easily removed using physical methods. The goal of this paper is to determine the optimal hydraulic conditions using machine learning in order to enable efficient flocculation and improve performance during the treatment of deinking wastewater. Experiments using polymerized aluminum chloride as flocculant to treat deinking wastewater were carried out. Based on the orthogonal array test, 16 different combinations of hydraulic conditions were chosen to investigate the performance of flocculation, which was indicated by the turbidity of the solution after treatment. To develop a model representing the relationship between the hydraulic conditions and the performance of wastewater treatment, the machine learning methods, support vector regression and Gaussian process regression, were compared, whereby the support vector regression method was chosen. According to the fitness function derived from the support vector regression model, a genetic algorithm was applied to evaluate the optimal hydraulic conditions. Based on the optimal conditions determined by the genetic algorithm and real-life experience, a set of hydraulic conditions were implemented experimentally. After treatment under higher stirring speed at 120 rpm for 1 min and lower stirring speed at 20 rpm for 5 min at a temperature of 20 °C, the turbidity of deinking wastewater was measured as 1 NTU. The turbidity reduction was as high as 99.6%, which indicated good performance of the deinking wastewater treatment.


2021 ◽  
pp. 147592172110053
Author(s):  
Qian Ji ◽  
Li Jian-Bin ◽  
Liu Fan-Rui ◽  
Zhou Jian-Ting ◽  
Wang Xu

The seven-wire strands are the crucial components of prestressed structures, though their performance inevitably degrades with the passage of time. The ultrasonic guided wave methods have been intensely studied, owing to its tremendous potential for full-scale applications, among the existing nondestructive testing methods, for evaluating the stress status of strands. We have employed the theoretical and finite element methods to solve the dispersion curve of single wire and steel strands under various boundary conditions. Thereafter, the singular value decomposition was adopted to work with the simulated and experimental signals for extracting a feature vector that carries valuable stress status information. The effectiveness of the vector was verified by analyzing the relationship between the vector and the stress level. The vector was also used as an input to establish a support vector regression model. The accuracy of the model has been discussed for different sample sizes. The results show that the fundamental mode dispersion curve offset on the high-frequency part and cut-off frequency increases as the boundary constraints enhance. Simulated and experimental results have demonstrated the effectiveness and potential of the proposed support vector regression method for evaluating the stress level in the strands. This method performs well even at low stress levels and the reliability can be enhanced by adding more samples.


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