Risk Assessment and Economic Analysis for Managing Risks to Human Health from Pathogenic Microorganisms in the Food Supply†

1998 ◽  
Vol 61 (11) ◽  
pp. 1567-1570 ◽  
Author(s):  
ROBERTA A. MORALES ◽  
ROBERT M. McDOWELL

Risk managers increasingly face having to justify their decisions in allocating limited resources. These decisions may include prioritizing hazards, determining appropriate levels of safety, and identifying and selecting optimal risk reduction strategies. These decisions require making choices among alterative, choices that may be difficult because they invariably involve trade-offs. Integrating risk assessment and economic analyses can aid decision making by determining the benefits and costs of alterative actions. Risk assessment and economic analysis provide the measurement tools that will facilitate intelligent, informed, risk management and will enable effective and efficient resource allocation decisions.

Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 3515-3515
Author(s):  
Barry Kevane ◽  
Mary Day ◽  
Noirin Bannon ◽  
Leo Lawler ◽  
Tomas Breslin ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Venous thromboembolism (VTE) remains a major contributor to global disease burden and is a leading cause of cardiovascular death worldwide. Hospital-acquired VTE (HA-VTE; VTE diagnosed during hospital admission or within 90 days of discharge) accounts for a significant proportion of all VTE events. Data from countries where the use of specific VTE risk assessment tools and appropriate thromboprophylaxis is mandatory (and incentivized) have demonstrated that the implementation of these strategies significantly reduces mortality as a result of HA-VTE. Despite the evidence that these measures save lives, an ad hoc approach to the use of VTE risk assessment/thromboprophylaxis is frequently adopted. Moreover, in many healthcare systems very few data describing incidence of HA-VTE have been reported and consequently the magnitude of this potentially preventable source of hospital deaths is likely to be underestimated. We aimed to determine the incidence of VTE and of HA-VTE within the population served by the Ireland East Hospital Group (IEHG; the largest hospital group within the Irish healthcare network) as a first step towards promoting the implementation of a mandatory VTE risk assessment policy on a national level. Methods A retrospective observational study was conducted where data pertaining to the diagnosis of VTE during the period January 2016 to October 2017 were collected. The IEHG is comprised of 11 hospitals serving a population of over 1 million individuals from urban and rural areas, affluent areas as well as economically disadvantaged areas and includes large tertiary academic centers as well as smaller community hospitals and the national maternity hospital. Data were obtained from NQAIS Clinical (National Quality Assurance Intelligence system - Clinical), an online reporting tool which is populated by anonymised data extracted from the hospital in-patient enquiry system (HIPE; a reporting tool which compiles diagnostic data on all patients by ICD-10 code at the time of discharge from hospital). In NQAIS clinical, VTE events are categorised as primary if they represented the reason for hospital admission or secondary if they were diagnosed during the period of hospitalisation. The term secondary VTE can therefore be understood to represent a surrogate-marker for HA-VTE; however, this methodology would be predicted to underestimate the total number of HA-VTE events as VTE diagnosed following discharge but within 90 days would be incorrectly categorised as primary events. Currently, no measures exist within our current data recording systems which can accurately capture post-discharge HA-VTE. Results During the 22-month study period, 2727 VTE events were reported. Using population data derived from the 2016 census, we then estimated the annual incidence of VTE within the IEHG catchment area (population 1,036,279) at 1.44 per 1000 person years (95% CI 1.36-1.51). VTE incidence by gender was similar for all age groups however a progressive increase in VTE incidence was observed (predictably) with increasing age, with the highest incidence reported among individuals aged over 85 years (16.03 per 1000 person years; 95% CI 12.81-19.26). The majority of VTE events were diagnosed in the two large academic teaching hospitals of the IEHG (1620 VTE events; 59.4%). The vast majority of cases were reported in the context of an emergency hospital admission (89.2%). Of the total number of VTE events diagnosed during the study period, 1273 (47%) were reported as secondary events (i.e. diagnosed during the period of hospital admission) and, as such, this figure represents an approximation but most likely a significant underestimation of the total proportion of hospital-acquired events. Within this category of HA-VTE/secondary VTE diagnoses, the most frequently reported primary diagnoses leading to the initial hospital admission were cancers (16.4%) followed by respiratory disease (14.6%) and cardiovascular disorders (13.5%). Conclusion Within a population of over 1 million individuals, where formal VTE risk reduction strategies have yet to be implemented universally, at least 47% of all VTE are hospital-acquired. Given the compelling evidence which has shown that HA-VTE is a leading source of (preventable) hospital mortality, these findings provide a clear rationale for implementing formal VTE risk reduction strategies at hospital-group and national level. Disclosures Kevane: Leo Pharma: Research Funding. Ni Ainle:Leo Pharma: Research Funding; Actelion: Research Funding; Bayer: Research Funding; Bayer: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; BMS: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Daiichi Sankyo: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Boehringer: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees.


2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 1080-1089 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Seghezzo ◽  
M. L. Gatto D'Andrea ◽  
M. A. Iribarnegaray ◽  
V. I. Liberal ◽  
A. Fleitas ◽  
...  

The Water Safety Plan (WSP) for the city of Salta (Argentina) is presented and discussed. To develop this WSP, we used an adapted version of the methodology proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO). The new method included a preliminary weighting procedure to assess the relative importance of different parts of the system, and a more systematic estimation of the magnitude of control measures. These modifications allowed the definition of a variety of risk reduction strategies. The risk assessment step was performed during participatory workshops with members of the local water company. The Initial Risk for the entire system was 30.2%, with variations among processes, subprocesses and components. More than 60% of the hazardous situations identified require control measures to reduce the risk below an acceptable threshold. If all control measures were successfully implemented, the Final Risk could be lowered to 17.7%. Methodological changes introduced allowed a more detailed analysis of the risks and can be an important improvement of the assessment procedure.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 1825-1847 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Sanuy ◽  
Enrico Duo ◽  
Wiebke S. Jäger ◽  
Paolo Ciavola ◽  
José A. Jiménez

Abstract. Integrated risk assessment approaches to support coastal managers' decisions when designing plans are increasingly becoming an urgent need. To enable efficient coastal management, possible present and future scenarios must be included, disaster risk reduction measures integrated, and multiple hazards dealt with. In this work, the Bayesian network-based approach to coastal risk assessment was applied and tested at two Mediterranean sandy coasts (Tordera Delta in Spain and Lido degli Estensi–Spina in Italy). Process-oriented models are used to predict hazards at the receptor scale which are converted into impacts through vulnerability relations. In each site, results from 96 simulations under different scenarios are integrated by using a Bayesian-based decision network to link forcing characteristics with expected impacts through conditional probabilities. Consultations with local stakeholders and experts have shown that the tool is valuable for communicating risks and the effects of risk reduction strategies. The tool can therefore be valuable support for coastal decision-making.


2013 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 2883-2943 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. González-Riancho ◽  
I. Aguirre-Ayerbe ◽  
O. García-Aguilar ◽  
R. Medina ◽  
M. González ◽  
...  

Abstract. Advances in the understanding and prediction of tsunami impacts allow the development of risk reduction strategies for tsunami-prone areas. This paper presents a methodological framework for the integrated tsunami vulnerability and risk assessment. It deals with the complexity and variability of coastal zones by means of (i) an integral approach to cover the entire risk related process, from the hazard, vulnerability and risk assessments to the final risk management; (ii) an integrated approach to combine and aggregate the information stemming from the different dimensions; and (iii) a dynamic and scale dependant approach to integrate the spatiotemporal variability considerations. This framework aims at establishing a clear connection to translate the vulnerability and risk assessment results into adequate target-oriented risk reduction measures, bridging the gap between science and management for the tsunami hazard. The framework is applicable to other types of hazards, having been successfully applied to climate change hazard.


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