scholarly journals The Likely Impact of COVID-19 on US Employment in the Medium Term

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lily Fu ◽  
Martin Schonger
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Economic Trend ◽  
Effective Vaccine ◽  
Economic Decline ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
Shape Pattern ◽  
Spanish Flu ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

COVID-19 caused an abrupt increase in unemployment rates for people across various fields of work. This paper compares the COVID-19 crisis with the Great Recession and the Spanish Influenza. After careful data collection and analysis, it is clear that COVID-19 caused a steep, immediate decline in the economy although it did not last long. By comparison, the Global Financial Crisis was a persistent recession though less severe. Comparison of the health effects for COVID-19 and the Spanish flu reveals that the influenza was much more contagious as it infected 29.3% of the US population in three years. In contrast, this percent is 2.4% for COVID-19 as of August, 2021. The flu outbreak also coincided with WWI which caused further spread of the virus, and an effective vaccine was never developed. Therefore, the current economic decline should not be worse than that of the influenza. Moreover, the government is more actively participating in the economy now than it was during the flu pandemic. The Spanish flu had a V-shaped economic trend despite having minimal government involvement. Because the flu and coronavirus are both pandemic-induced crises, we would expect COVID-19 to be V-shaped as well, which is seen through the graphs below. U.S. data from the Federal Reserve is analyzed graphically in this paper, and it shows that the COVID-19 crisis exhibits a distinct V-shape pattern. This suggests that economic recovery will be faster than the less severe Global Financial Crisis, and that countercyclical government policies may not be as necessary.

scholarly journals Determinants of failure in Greek manufacturing SMEs

2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 45-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Efthalia Tabouratzi ◽  
Christos Lemonakis ◽  
Alexandros Garefalakis
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Reporting ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Manufacturing Sector ◽  
Bank Lending ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Z Score ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

The globalization and the global financial crisis provide a new extremely competitive environment for small and medium sized enterprises (SMEs). During the latest years, the increased number of firms’ default has generated the need of understanding the factors of firms’ default, as SMEs in periods of financial crisis suffer from lack of financial resources and expensive bank lending. We use a sample of 3600 Greek manufacturing firms (9 Sectors), covering the time period of 2003-2011 (9 years). We run a panel regression model with correction for fixed effects in both the cross-section and period dimensions using as dependent variable the calculated Z-Score of each firm, and as independent variables several financial ratios, as well as the exporting activity and the use of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS Accounting Standards).We find that firms presenting higher performance in terms of ROA and sales and higher leverage levels that enhance their liquidity as well are healthier in terms of Z-score than their less profitable counterparts and acquire lower rates of probability of default: in other words, less risk. The results of the study can lead to policy implications for both Managers and the Government in order to enhance the growth of Greek manufacturing sector.

Restructuring Measurements Impact on Bank Risk After the Global Financial Crisis — Empirical Evidence from Vietnam

2021 ◽  
pp. 2150019
Author(s):  
Tu T. T. Tran ◽  
Yen Thi Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Banking System ◽  
The State ◽  
Bank Risk ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Bank System ◽  
The Impact

Project 254 signed in November 2011 which is relating to “Restructuring the system of credit institutions in the period of 2011–2015” has been considered as a milestone in marking the Vietnamese government to prevent the influence of the financial crisis of 2008. This paper identifies hypotheses evaluating the impact of restructuring measurements on the risk of the Vietnamese’s commercial banks in 10 years, starting from 2008. Using the OLS regression method for analysis by running Eviews and ANOVA test in SPSS with a unique database of 216 observations of 31 commercial banks in Vietnam, it was found that: (i) The bail-out activities of the State Bank of Vietnam in 2015 does not influence on bank risk, (ii) The mergers and acquisitions (M&A) do not support the bank to reduce risk, it increases the risk for acquiring banks, (iii) The global crisis 2008 exerts dire consequence on the bank system in Vietnam, (iv) There is the difference of risk among the groups of the bank experiencing a different number of years of operation. Basing on this result, the paper also makes recommendations to the Government, The State Bank of Vietnam and the commercial banks for effective risk management toward the development of the Vietnamese banking system.

Advancing SME Sustainability

2021 ◽  
pp. 159-178
Author(s):  
Meng Kui Hu ◽  
Daisy Mui Hung Kee
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Policy Changes ◽  
Business Environments ◽  
Business Operations ◽  
New Business ◽  
Spanish Flu ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

The world has been struck by multiple crises that crippled the socio-economy of nations in the past. The impact of these crises was so significant that they initiated numerous policy changes worldwide. The radical crises in this context refer to the Spanish flu, the Asian financial crisis, the global financial crisis, and the current COVID-19 pandemic. Due to their small capital structure with limited resources and fragile nature, SMEs were severely impacted by these crises. Many SMEs were forced to close down their business operations. Somehow, the remaining SMEs managed to persist and survive through the crises. Moving forward, SMEs can better prepare for future crises by understanding and learning from the predicaments of these past crises. Consequently, SMEs must also be adaptive to new business environments and responding promptly to crises by realigning their strategies to achieve business sustainability in the long term.

scholarly journals Over the Cliff: From the Subprime to the Global Financial Crisis

2011 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frederic S Mishkin
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial System ◽  
The United States ◽  
Investment Bank ◽  
Government Interventions ◽  
Troubled Asset Relief Program ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Relief Program

The financial crisis of 2007 to 2009 can be divided into two distinct phases. The first and more limited phase from August 2007 to August 2008 stemmed from losses in one relatively small segment of the U.S. financial system—namely, subprime residential mortgages. Despite this disruption to financial markets, real GDP in the United States continued to rise into the second quarter of 2008, and forecasters were predicting only a mild recession. In mid-September 2008, however, the financial crisis entered a far more virulent phase. In rapid succession, the investment bank Lehman Brothers entered bankruptcy on September 15, 2008; the insurance firm AIG collapsed on September 16, 2008; there was a run on the Reserve Primary Fund money market fund on the same day; and the highly publicized struggle to pass the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) began. How did something that appeared in mid-2008 to be a significant but fairly mild financial disruption transform into a full-fledged global financial crisis? What caused this transformation? Did the government responses to the global financial crisis help avoid a worldwide depression? What challenges do these government interventions raise for the world financial system and the economy going forward?

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS ON THE POLAND

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 202-208
Author(s):  
Aleksandra Korczyc
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Analysis ◽  
Modern World ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Remedial Actions ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

Purpose of the study: This study aims to present the specifics of the global financial crisis, the threats it brings for Poland in the legal sphere, and possible actions to be taken in this area, particularly at the European Union and Poland level. Methodology: The article uses the historical method and the analysis of documents both at the Polish and European Union levels, including laws, regulations, and decisions. Main Findings: The scope of the financial crisis in question and its relatively easy transfer between markets entails the necessity to apply extraordinary remedial actions. Poland, through its participation in the European Union, seems to be relatively well protected against the effects of the financial crisis. However, it needs to undertake further structural reforms, in particular reforms of public finances. Applications of this study: The current study is highly significant for the government of the day in this modern world; the study could be quite effective and meaningful for Higher Education Institutions, government, banks, financial institutions. Novelty/Originality of this study: Description of the essence of the financial crisis, possibilities of its prevention - earlier possibilities of remedial actions at the institutional and legal level, possibilities of obtaining financial support, global analysis of the problem, including its causes.

scholarly journals Which Way Now? Economic Policy after a Decade of Upheaval: A CAGE Policy Report

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charlotte Cavaille ◽  
Federica Liberini ◽  
Michela Redoano ◽  
Anandi Mani ◽  
Vera E. Troeger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Legal Framework ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Social Challenges ◽  
Related Risk ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Uk

Most, if not all advanced economies have suffered gravely from the 2008 global financial crisis. Growth, productivity, real income and consumption have plunged and inequality, and in some cases poverty, spiked. Some countries, like Germany and Australia, were better able to cope with the consequences but austerity has taken its toll even on the strongest economies. The UK is no exception and the more recent period of economic recovery might be halted or even reversed by the political, economic, and policy uncertainty created by the Brexit referendum. This uncertainty related risk to growth could be even greater if the UK leaves the economic and legal framework provided by the EU. This CAGE policy report offers proposals from different perspectives to answer the overarching question: What is the role of a government in a modern economy after the global financial crisis and the Brexit vote? We report on economic and social challenges in the UK and discuss potential policy responses for the government to consider. Foreword by: Lord O’Donnell of Clapham.

Global Financial Crisis: Exploring the Special Role of U.S. Banks and Regulations

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nabila Nisha
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Special Role ◽  
Subprime Lending ◽  
International Banking ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Financial markets have suffered the greatest dislocation following the truly seismic significance of the global financial crisis. Regulators argue that the banking sector played a particularly special role in triggering the causes of the subprime debacle, thereby leading to the occurrence of the global financial crisis. Banks previously functioned as only a financial intermediary, but certain developments in the international banking sector like deregulation, technological progress, consolidation and competition, securitisation and financial innovation, resulted in banks being involved in subprime lending activities and hence, a reason behind the financial turmoil. The aim of this paper is to scrutinise the special role of banks in the global financial crisis and to stress on the need for increased regulation and their implications on the banking sector. The current study will thus contribute to the examination of the salient features of the global financial crisis and provide regulatory suggestions for the banking sector and the government as a whole.

scholarly journals South Africa as a Development Partner: An Empirical Analysis of the African Renaissance and International Cooperation Fund

2020 ◽  
pp. 567-581
Author(s):  
Philani Mthembu
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
International Cooperation ◽  
South African ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Development Partner ◽  
African Renaissance ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Open Question

AbstractAs South Africa looks to consolidate its role as a development partner, it remains an open question whether it can maintain a strong presence in Africa while facing significant challenges at home. With the economy struggling to grow and the government increasingly cutting back on expenditure, one has to wonder whether these cuts are translating into a reduction of its role as a development partner in Africa. With the eagerly awaited South African Development Partnership Agency in mind, this chapter examines data from the African Renaissance and International Cooperation Fund (ARF) between 2003 and 2015. It shows empirically that, despite increasing allocations and disbursements in the years following its inception, the global financial crisis and domestic challenges have taken their toll on the ARF’s activities.

scholarly journals Public debt sustainability in Serbia before and during the global financial crisis

2016 ◽  
Vol 61 (210) ◽  
pp. 47-77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir Andric ◽  
Milojko Arsic ◽  
Aleksandra Nojkovic
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Empirical Support ◽  
Government Budget ◽  
Fiscal Balance ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
European Economies ◽  
Near Unit Root

We have analyzed the behaviour of primary fiscal balance and public debt in Serbia before and in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. The results of our analysis are: i) public debt to GDP ratioexhibits (near) unit root behaviour with an overall upward time trend; ii) the response of primary fiscal balance to public debt has been insufficient to mean revert the upward trend in government debt; iii) the efforts of the Serbian government to repay the debt principal after the fiscal rule breach have not been persistent, providing empirical support to the fiscal fatigue hypothesis; iv) the government budget constraint has deteriorated since the beginning of the global financial crisis; v) the response of primary fiscal balance to public debt from the onset of the global financial crisis has dropped more severely in comparison to other European economies.

scholarly journals China's Economic Policy in the Time of the Global Financial Crisis: Which Way Out?

2009 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 165-181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Margot Schüller ◽  
Yun Schüler-Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Chinese Government ◽  
Current Crisis ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

This contribution analyses the impact of the global financial crisis on the Chinese economy and the policies implemented by the Chinese government to cope with it. We argue, first, that China has not been able to decouple its economic performance from that of the U.S. and other developed countries. Second, although economic growth in the second quarter of 2009 showed that the stimulus package is working, the current development does not seem to be sustainable. In order to avoid another round of overheating, the government needs to adjust its stimulus policy. Third, the current crisis offers opportunities to conduct necessary structural adjustments in favour of more market-based and innovative industries, more investment by private companies and a stronger role of private consumption in economic growth. Fourth, with the external demand from the OECD countries declining, Chinese export companies need to further diversify their international markets and reorient their production and sales strategies to some extent towards the domestic market.

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