scholarly journals A Requiem for the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (219) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger Farmer ◽  
Pawel Zabczyk
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Theoretical Models ◽  
Realistic Model ◽  
Good Combination ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Two Generations ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL) is the claim that, in a popular class of theoretical models, the price level is sometimes determined by fiscal policy rather than monetary policy. The models where this claim has been established assume that all decisions are made by an infinitely-lived representative agent. We present an alternative, arguably more realistic model, populated by sixty-two generations of people. We calibrate our model to an income profile from U.S. data and we show that the FTPL breaks down. In our model, the price level and the real interest rate are indeterminate, even when monetary and fiscal policy are both active. Our findings challenge established views about what constitutes a good combination of fiscal and monetary policies.

Interakcje polityki pieniężnej i fiskalnej a niezależność banku centralnego – przegląd możliwych podejść modelowych w badaniach empirycznych

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryszard Kokoszczyński ◽  
Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Overwhelming Majority ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Sustainable Policy ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy ◽  
Simple Models

There are numerous theoretical and empirical studies on interactions between monetary and fiscal policy. Even if the independence of central banks affects those interactions, it has rarely been directly included in those studies. In this chapter, we present two general approaches to empirical studies on interactions between those two policies and the possibilities for inclusion of independence of central banks in their modelling. Generally, the first approach has poor theoretic background and relies on simple models describing rules for fiscal and monetary policies. Those models also include proxies for some aspects of fiscal policy. Similarly, some simple measures usually address the independence of central banks. The second approach most often roots in the fiscal theory of the price level. The overwhelming majority of presented studies report a significant impact of the central banks’ independence in the form of a more sustainable policy using the first approach.

scholarly journals Testing the Fiscal Theory of Price Level in Case of Pakistan

2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (4II) ◽  
pp. 763-778
Author(s):  
Attiya Y. Javid ◽  
Umaima Arif ◽  
Abdul Sattar
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Equilibrium Path ◽  
Budget Deficits ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
The Real ◽  
Real Value ◽  
Fiscal Solvency

There are two competing views of the interaction between monetary and fiscal policy and their effects on price stability for policy-maker’s point of view. In the classical view, in Ricardian regimes it is the demand for liquidity and its evolution over time that determines prices. In such a regime fiscal policy is passive, which implies that government bonds are not net wealth [Barro (1974)], and monetary policy works through the interest rate or another instrument to determine prices. In the opposite view which is more recent, a non-Ricardian regime will prevail whenever fiscal policy becomes active1 and does not accommodate or adjust primary surpluses to guarantee fiscal solvency. As a result, the Ricardian equivalence do not hold, and the increase in nominal public debt to finance persistent budget deficits is perceived by private agents as an increase in nominal wealth. In fiscal dominant regime the government’s fiscal policy becomes sustainable through debt deflation that is an increase in prices that wash away the real value of public debt and in turn the real value of financial wealth until demand equals supply and a new equilibrium is reached. In this regime prices are determined by fiscal policy, and inflation becomes a fiscal phenomenon. If, on the other hand, primary surpluses follow an arbitrary process, then the equilibrium path of prices is determined by the requirement known as fiscal solvency; that is, the price level has to jump to satisfy a present value budget constraint called non-Ricardian regime. The basic distinction between the two regimes is that in non-Ricardian regime fiscal policy plays the role where as in Ricardian regime monetary policy provides stability in prices. In FTPL, the results of fiscal and monetary policies depend on which policy has dominant characteristics. The consequences of policies differ depending on the active and passive characteristics of the policy and depending on the characteristics of the following policy. If the policy mix is such that monetary policy is active and fiscal policy is passive, fiscal policy accommodates monetary policies; these policies are called dominant monetary policy by Sargent and Wallace (1981) and Ricardian regime by Woodford (1994, 1995).

Theorizing About Post-Keynesian Economics in Australasa

2013 ◽  
pp. 411-435
Author(s):  
Paul Dalziel ◽  
J. W. Nevile
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
World War Ii ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
World War ◽  
Keynesian Economics ◽  
Low Levels ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy

There was much in common in the development of post-Keynesian economics in Australia and New Zealand, but there were also many differences. Both countries shared a common heritage in higher education. In the first twenty-five years after World War II, both countries adopted broadly Keynesian policies and experienced very low levels of unemployment. Increasingly over these years more theorizing about macroeconomic policy had what now would be called a post-Keynesian content, but this label was not used till after the event. In both countries, apart from one important factor, the experience of actual monetary policy and theorizing about it were similar. Keynesian ideas were more rapidly adopted in Australia than in many other countries. Not surprisingly for a couple of decades after 1936, analysis of policy and its application was Keynesian rather than post-Keynesian, with fiscal policy playing the major role. The conduct of both monetary and fiscal policy depends on the theory of inflation. This chapter examines post-Keynesian economics in Australasia, focusing on aggregate demand, economic growth, and income distribution policy.

scholarly journals Measuring the Effect of the Zero Lower Bound on Medium- and Longer-Term Interest Rates

2014 ◽  
Vol 104 (10) ◽  
pp. 3154-3185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric T. Swanson ◽  
John C. Williams
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Lower Bound ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Zero Lower Bound ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Macroeconomic Models ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy ◽  
Effectiveness Of Monetary Policy

According to standard macroeconomic models, the zero lower bound greatly reduces the effectiveness of monetary policy and increases the efficacy of fiscal policy. However, private-sector decisions depend on the entire path of expected future short-term interest rates, not just the current short-term rate. Put differently, longer-term yields matter. We show how to measure the zero bound's effects on yields of any maturity. Indeed, 1- and 2-year Treasury yields were surprisingly unconstrained throughout 2008 to 2010, suggesting that monetary and fiscal policy were about as effective as usual during this period. Only beginning in late 2011 did these yields become more constrained. (JEL E43, E52, E62)

scholarly journals An econometric analysis of the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in India

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anand Nadar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Indian Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

This study investigatesthe effectiveness of fiscal policy and monetary policy in India. We collected thetime series data for India ranging from 1960 to 2019 from World Development Indicator (WDI). Weapplied the bound test co-integration approach to check the long-run relationship between fiscalpolicy, monetary policy, and economic growth in the context of Indian economy. The short-run andlong-run effects of fiscal policy and monetary policy have been estimated using ARDL models. Theresults showed that there is a long-run relationship between fiscal and monetary policies witheconomic growth. The estimated short-run coefficients indicated that a few immediate short runimpacts of fiscal and monetary policies are insignificant. However, the short-run impacts becomesignificant as time passes. The long-run results suggested that the long-run impact of both fiscal andmonetary policies on economic growth are positive and significant. More specifically, the GDP levelincreases if the money supply and government expenditure increase (Expansionary fiscal andmonetary policies). On the other hand, the GDP level decreasesif the money supply and governmentexpenditure decrease (contractionary fiscal and monetary policies). Therefore, this studyrecommends to use expansionary policies to spur the Indian economy.

scholarly journals Fiscal and monetary policy in new Keynesian DSGE models

2014 ◽  
Author(s):  
Πέτρος Βαρθαλίτης
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
New Keynesian ◽  
Dsge Models ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
Keynesian Model ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy ◽  
Fiscal And Monetary Policy

This thesis is about monetary and fiscal policy in New Keynesian DSGE models. Chapter 2 presents the baseline New Keynesian DSGE model. Monetary policy is in the form of a simple interest rate Taylor-type policy rule, while fiscal policy is exogenous. Chapter 3 extends the model of Chapter 2 to include fiscal policy. Now, both monetary and fiscal policy are allowed to follow feedback rules. Chapter 4 sets up a New Keynesian model of a semi-small open economy with sovereign risk premia. Finally, Chapter 5 builds a New Keynesian DSGE model consisting of two heterogeneous countries participating in a monetary union.Throughout most of the thesis, policy is conducted via "simple", "implementable" and "optimized" feedback policy rules. Using such rules, the aim of policy is twofold: firslty, it aims to stabilize the economy when the latter is hit by shocks; secondly, it aims to improve the economy's resource allocation.

scholarly journals Correction of monetary policy under the influence of corona crisis and long-term factors

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (2) ◽  
pp. 65-92
Author(s):  
Tetiana Krychevska ◽  
◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Macroeconomic Policy ◽  
Inflation Target ◽  
Structural Problems ◽  
Potential Gdp ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy

The article shows the modification of monetary policy and modification of its interaction with fiscal policy in response to the challenges of the global financial crisis and the corona crisis, as well as reveals potential macroeconomic policy adjustments in response to long-term structural changes in the global economy. The specificity of the global financial and economic crisis, which was caused by financial intermediaries, and the belief in markets efficiency led to the dominance of monetary instruments in combating this crisis. However, purely monetary stimulus does not solve structural problems, and, acting with a very low degree of targeting, but on a huge scale, leads to the debt accumulation and financial crises. The corona crisis forced to resort to budget incentives to ensure targeted support for people and businesses and provided an impetus to discuss the ways to make better use of fiscal policy capacity to increase potential GDP and reduce inequality. The following potential long-term adjustments of macroeconomic policy are revealed: 1) increasing the emphasis on the interests of employees; 2) increasing the inclusiveness of monetary and fiscal policy; 3) the growing role of fiscal policy as an instrument of macroeconomic stabilization; 4) revision of the theory of monetary and fiscal policy interaction; 5) revision of the pre-emptive approach to anti-inflation policy, which means the reaction of monetary policy to deviations of the inflation forecast from the target, and the emergence of alternatives: response to the actual achievement and maintenance the inflation target for some time and compensation for the previous deviations from the inflation target; 6) modification of the optimal anti-inflationary policy in response to demand-pull inflation and cost-push inflation; 7) adjustment of the monetary policy in response to rising inflation due to the exhaustion of long-standing global disinflationary forces that have been in effect since the 1980s; 8) more active monetary and fiscal stimulus in emerging market economies.

scholarly journals Uang Dan Moneter Dalam Sistem Keuangan Islam

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 80-100
Author(s):  
Joko Hadi Purnomo
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
State Income ◽  
The Stability ◽  
And Control

Money is a tool that can be used in conducting exchanges or transactions both goods and services in a certain area. Money is the standard of use found in goods and labor. Therefore, money is defined as a tool to measure the value of each item and service. There are two main policies in the economy called fiscal and monetary policies. Monetary policy is a policy that is carried out to control the supply and demand of money (money circulating in the community), the available money supply, the stability of the currency's value and the direction in which money will be allocated using appropriate monetary tools or instruments in order to achieve the objectives from monetary policy itself. The fiscal policy is a policy that is used to move the steps to obtain state income including tax revenue and control the direction of fiscal policy and control the amount of government spending and expenditure using fiscal tools, so that the objectives of the policy can be achieved fiscal itself in the economy. In this study, the author only focuses on discussing monetary policy and its implications for economic development in an Islamic perspective. Keywords: money, monetary, Islamic finance system

scholarly journals Are proposed African monetary unions optimal currency areas? Real, monetary and fiscal policy convergence analysis

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simplice Asongu
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Institutional Characteristics ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Policy Convergence ◽  
Country Differences ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy ◽  
Policy Targets

Purpose – A spectre is hunting embryonic African monetary zones: the European Monetary Union crisis. The purpose of this paper is to assess real, monetary and fiscal policy convergence within the proposed WAM and EAM zones. The introduction of common currencies in West and East Africa is facing stiff challenges in the timing of monetary convergence, the imperative of central bankers to apply common modeling and forecasting methods of monetary policy transmission, as well as the requirements of common structural and institutional characteristics among candidate states. Design/methodology/approach – In the analysis: monetary policy targets inflation and financial dynamics of depth, efficiency, activity and size; real sector policy targets economic performance in terms of GDP growth at macro and micro levels; while, fiscal policy targets debt-to-GDP and deficit-to-GDP ratios. A dynamic panel GMM estimation with data from different non-overlapping intervals is employed. The implied rate of convergence and the time required to achieve full (100 percent) convergence are then computed from the estimations. Findings – Findings suggest overwhelming lack of convergence: initial conditions for financial development are different across countries; fundamental characteristics as common monetary policy initiatives and IMF-backed financial reform programs are implemented differently across countries; there is remarkable evidence of cross-country variations in structural characteristics of macroeconomic performance; institutional cross-country differences could also be responsible for the deficiency in convergence within the potential monetary zones; absence of fiscal policy convergence and no potential for eliminating idiosyncratic fiscal shocks due to business cycle incoherence. Practical implications – As a policy implication, heterogeneous structural and institutional characteristics across countries are giving rise to different levels and patterns of financial intermediary development. Thus, member states should work towards harmonizing cross-country differences in structural and institutional characteristics that hamper the effectiveness of convergence in monetary, real and fiscal policies. This could be done by stringently monitoring the implementation of existing common initiatives and/or the adoption of new reforms programs. Originality/value – It is one of the few attempts to investigate the issue of convergence within the proposed WAM and EAM unions.

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