Interakcje polityki pieniężnej i fiskalnej a niezależność banku centralnego – przegląd możliwych podejść modelowych w badaniach empirycznych

Author(s):  
Ryszard Kokoszczyński ◽  
Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak

There are numerous theoretical and empirical studies on interactions between monetary and fiscal policy. Even if the independence of central banks affects those interactions, it has rarely been directly included in those studies. In this chapter, we present two general approaches to empirical studies on interactions between those two policies and the possibilities for inclusion of independence of central banks in their modelling. Generally, the first approach has poor theoretic background and relies on simple models describing rules for fiscal and monetary policies. Those models also include proxies for some aspects of fiscal policy. Similarly, some simple measures usually address the independence of central banks. The second approach most often roots in the fiscal theory of the price level. The overwhelming majority of presented studies report a significant impact of the central banks’ independence in the form of a more sustainable policy using the first approach.

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (219) ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger Farmer ◽  
Pawel Zabczyk

The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level (FTPL) is the claim that, in a popular class of theoretical models, the price level is sometimes determined by fiscal policy rather than monetary policy. The models where this claim has been established assume that all decisions are made by an infinitely-lived representative agent. We present an alternative, arguably more realistic model, populated by sixty-two generations of people. We calibrate our model to an income profile from U.S. data and we show that the FTPL breaks down. In our model, the price level and the real interest rate are indeterminate, even when monetary and fiscal policy are both active. Our findings challenge established views about what constitutes a good combination of fiscal and monetary policies.


2000 ◽  
Vol 174 ◽  
pp. 63-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ray Barrell ◽  
Nigel Pain

There are new monetary and fiscal frameworks in place for the countries in the Euro Area. The European Central Bank has a remit to maintain price level stability in the medium term, and it has developed a two pillar strategy, with interest rates being set in relation to a reference value of M3 and general (inflationary) conditions. We discuss an ideal type representation of this framework and examine the potential effects of a fall in the euro. Fiscal policy in Europe is now based on guidelines from the Stability and Growth Pact and we discuss the role of commitment in this framework as well


2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 625-638 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naser Yenus Nuru

PurposeThe main purpose of this study is to see the macroeconomic effects of monetary and fiscal policy shocks in South Africa.Design/methodology/approachThe joint effects of monetary and fiscal policy are analyzed by applying short-run contemporaneous restrictions for the identification of shocks in an SVAR in order to derive impulse response functions. Hence, a general AB model of (Amisano and Giannini, 1997) identification scheme, which is not recursive, is employed in this study.FindingsThe author shows that monetary tightening leads to a fall in real economic activity and depreciates the exchange rate. And in regard to the fiscal policy, the author calculates an initial government spending multiplier of 0.20, which later peaks at 0.40. The tax multiplier is almost 0 on impact and statistically insignificant. However, the author finds evidence supporting the existence of accommodative stance between monetary policy and fiscal policy, which is important for economic and political decision-making.Originality/valueEmpirical studies that deal with the joint effects of monetary and fiscal policy for South Africa through the SVAR framework are quite limited. This paper, therefore, contributes to the empirical literature on the effects of monetary and fiscal policy in a small open economy like South Africa.


Author(s):  
Brigitte Granville

In considering the components of effective monetary policies to control inflation, the previous chapters have highlighted the decisive role played by credibility and shown how credibility can be established and enhanced through rules-based policy frameworks and independent agencies to implement such regimes. This chapter examines how the same test of credibility, hence supportive public expectations, must also be passed by fiscal policy. For if this fiscal test is failed, even the best designed monetary policy efforts will be unavailing. It also shows how transparent rule-based inflation targets can facilitate resolution of the most intractable fiscal problems. At the time of writing, such problems were most apparent in several of the countries that use the euro. Attempts to address concerns about their solvency by fiscal tightening were having the counterproductive effect of damaging growth, hence further increasing their debt-to-GDP ratios, and all the while raising the likelihood of a social and political backlash against higher taxes and spending cuts.


Author(s):  
Asuman Oktayer ◽  
Nagihan Oktayer

While the role of fiscal policy in price level determination was neglected by the conventional theory, a new point of view was adapted by the Fiscal Theory of the Price Level. In the context of the new theory, monetary and fiscal policy interactions were taken into account and the role of fiscal policy was underlined. This paper investigates the monetary and fiscal policy coordination in Turkey during the period 1989.1-2012.2 and sub-periods 1989.1-2001.1 and 2001.2-2012.2. In order to reveal if financial policies are monetary dominant or fiscal dominant in aforementioned periods, bounds testing procedure is applied by using quarterly data. While the empirical test results related to the entire period of 1989.1-2012.2 and sub-period of 1989.1-2001.1 indicate fiscal policy dominant regime, the findings regarding 2001.2-2012.2 imply monetary policy dominant regime in Turkey.


2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 315-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Diessner ◽  
Giulio Lisi

Abstract The rise of central bankers to the status of new ‘masters of the universe’ has been matched by mounting allegations of political overreach. In the Eurozone, for instance, the European Central Bank has increasingly been accused of straying into the fiscal realm. Why do politically independent central banks engage intensely and publicly with government policies, thereby threatening the neat separation between monetary and fiscal policy that was meant to protect central banks themselves from interference? While existing political economy accounts have focused squarely on the issues of government debt and central bankers’ fears of fiscal dominance, we argue for the emerging role of ‘financial dominance’ throughout the crisis, thereby shedding light on the structural forces that master the new masters of the universe. To this end, we pursue a mixed-methods approach, combining quantitative text analysis techniques with a qualitative understanding of the context in which central banks communicate on fiscal policy.


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