scholarly journals The new Passive microwave Neural network Precipitation Retrieval (PNPR) algorithm for the cross-track scanning ATMS radiometer: description and verification study over Europe and Africa using GPM and TRMM spaceborne radars

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 5441-5460 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Sanò ◽  
Giulia Panegrossi ◽  
Daniele Casella ◽  
Anna C. Marra ◽  
Francesco Di Paola ◽  
...  

Abstract. The objective of this paper is to describe the development and evaluate the performance of a completely new version of the Passive microwave Neural network Precipitation Retrieval (PNPR v2), an algorithm based on a neural network approach, designed to retrieve the instantaneous surface precipitation rate using the cross-track Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) radiometer measurements. This algorithm, developed within the EUMETSAT H-SAF program, represents an evolution of the previous version (PNPR v1), developed for AMSU/MHS radiometers (and used and distributed operationally within H-SAF), with improvements aimed at exploiting the new precipitation-sensing capabilities of ATMS with respect to AMSU/MHS. In the design of the neural network the new ATMS channels compared to AMSU/MHS, and their combinations, including the brightness temperature differences in the water vapor absorption band, around 183 GHz, are considered. The algorithm is based on a single neural network, for all types of surface background, trained using a large database based on 94 cloud-resolving model simulations over the European and the African areas. The performance of PNPR v2 has been evaluated through an intercomparison of the instantaneous precipitation estimates with co-located estimates from the TRMM Precipitation Radar (TRMM-PR) and from the GPM Core Observatory Ku-band Precipitation Radar (GPM-KuPR). In the comparison with TRMM-PR, over the African area the statistical analysis was carried out for a 2-year (2013–2014) dataset of coincident observations over a regular grid at 0.5°  ×  0.5° resolution. The results have shown a good agreement between PNPR v2 and TRMM-PR for the different surface types. The correlation coefficient (CC) was equal to 0.69 over ocean and 0.71 over vegetated land (lower values were obtained over arid land and coast), and the root mean squared error (RMSE) was equal to 1.30 mm h−1 over ocean and 1.11 mm h−1 over vegetated land. The results showed a slight tendency to underestimate moderate to high precipitation, mostly over land, and overestimate moderate to light precipitation over ocean. Similar results were obtained for the comparison with GPM-KuPR over the European area (15 months, from March 2014 to May 2015 of coincident overpasses) with slightly lower CC (0.59 over vegetated land and 0.57 over ocean) and RMSE (0.82 mm h−1 over vegetated land and 0.71 mm h−1 over ocean), confirming a good agreement also between PNPR v2 and GPM-KuPR. The performance of PNPR v2 over the African area was also compared to that of PNPR v1. PNPR v2 has higher R over the different surfaces, with generally better estimation of low precipitation, mostly over ocean, thanks to improvements in the design of the neural network and also to the improved capabilities of ATMS compared to AMSU/MHS. Both versions of PNPR algorithm have shown a general consistency with the TRMM-PR.

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Sanò ◽  
Giulia Panegrossi ◽  
Daniele Casella ◽  
Anna Cinzia Marra ◽  
Francesco Di Paola ◽  
...  

Abstract. The objective of this paper is to describe the development and evaluate the performance of a totally new version of the Passive microwave Neural network Precipitation Retrieval (PNPR v2), an algorithm based on a neural network approach, designed to retrieve the instantaneous surface precipitation rate using the cross-track ATMS radiometer measurements. This algorithm, developed within the EUMETSAT H-SAF program, represents an evolution of the previous version (PNPR v1), developed for AMSU/MHS radiometers (and used and distributed operationally within H-SAF), with improvements aimed at exploiting the new precipitation sensing capabilities of ATMS with respect to AMSU/MHS. In the design of the neural network the new ATMS channels compared to AMSU/MHS, and their combinations, including the brightness temperature differences in the water vapor absorption band, around 183 GHz, are considered . The algorithm is based on a single neural network, for all types of surface background, trained using a large database based on 94 cloud-resolving model simulations over the European and the African areas. The performance of PNPR v2 has been evaluated through an intercomparison of the instantaneous precipitation estimates with co-located estimates from the TRMM Precipitation Radar (TRMM-PR) and from the GPM Core Observatory Ku-band Precipitation Radar (GPM-KuPR). In the comparison with TRMM-PR, over the African area, the statistical analysis was carried out for a two-year (2013-2014) dataset of coincident observations, over a regular grid at 0.5° × 0.5° resolution. The results have shown a good agreement between PNPR v2 and TRMM-PR for the different surface types. The correlation coefficient (CC) was equal to 0.69 over ocean and 0.71 over vegetated land (lower values were obtained over arid land and coast), and the root mean squared error (RMSE) was equal to 1.30 mm h−1 over ocean and 1.11 mm h−1 over vegetated land. The results showed a slight tendency to underestimate moderate to high precipitation, mostly over land, and overestimate moderate to light precipitation over ocean. Similar results were obtained for the comparison with GPM-KuPR over the European area (15 months, from March 2014 to May 2015 of coincident overpasses) with slightly lower CC (0.59 over vegetated land and 0.57 over ocean) and RMSE (0.82 mm h−1 over vegetated land and 0.71 mm h−1 over ocean), confirming a good agreement also between PNPR v2 and GPM-KuPR. The performance of PNPR v2 over the African area was also compared to that of PNPR v1. PNPR v2 has higher R over the different surfaces, with general better estimate of low precipitation, mostly over ocean, thanks to improvements in the design of the neural network and also to the improved capabilities of ATMS compared to AMSU/MHS. Both versions of PNPR algorithm have shown a general consistency with the TRMM-PR.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 837-857 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Sanò ◽  
G. Panegrossi ◽  
D. Casella ◽  
F. Di Paola ◽  
L. Milani ◽  
...  

Abstract. The purpose of this study is to describe a new algorithm based on a neural network approach (Passive microwave Neural network Precipitation Retrieval – PNPR) for precipitation rate estimation from AMSU/MHS observations, and to provide examples of its performance for specific case studies over the European/Mediterranean area. The algorithm optimally exploits the different characteristics of Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) and the Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS) channels, and their combinations, including the brightness temperature (TB) differences of the 183.31 channels, with the goal of having a single neural network for different types of background surfaces (vegetated land, snow-covered surface, coast and ocean). The training of the neural network is based on the use of a cloud-radiation database, built from cloud-resolving model simulations coupled to a radiative transfer model, representative of the European and Mediterranean Basin precipitation climatology. The algorithm provides also the phase of the precipitation and a pixel-based confidence index for the evaluation of the reliability of the retrieval. Applied to different weather conditions in Europe, the algorithm shows good performance both in the identification of precipitation areas and in the retrieval of precipitation, which is particularly valuable over the extremely variable environmental and meteorological conditions of the region. The PNPR is particularly efficient in (1) screening and retrieval of precipitation over different background surfaces; (2) identification and retrieval of heavy rain for convective events; and (3) identification of precipitation over a cold/iced background, with increased uncertainties affecting light precipitation. In this paper, examples of good agreement of precipitation pattern and intensity with ground-based data (radar and rain gauges) are provided for four different case studies. The algorithm has been developed in order to be easily tailored to new radiometers as they become available (such as the cross-track scanning Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS)), and it is suitable for operational use as it is computationally very efficient. PNPR has been recently extended for applications to the regions of Africa and the South Atlantic, and an extended validation over these regions (using 2 yr of data acquired by the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission precipitation radar for comparison) is the subject of a paper in preparation. The PNPR is currently used operationally within the EUMETSAT Hydrology Satellite Application Facility (H-SAF) to provide instantaneous precipitation from passive microwave cross-track scanning radiometers. It undergoes routinely thorough extensive validation over Europe carried out by the H-SAF Precipitation Products Validation Team.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Oluwafemi Ajayi ◽  
Reolyn Heymann

Purpose Energy management is critical to data centres (DCs) majorly because they are high energy-consuming facilities and demand for their services continue to rise due to rapidly increasing global demand for cloud services and other technological services. This projected sectoral growth is expected to translate into increased energy demand from the sector, which is already considered a major energy consumer unless innovative steps are used to drive effective energy management systems. The purpose of this study is to provide insights into the expected energy demand of the DC and the impact each measured parameter has on the building's energy demand profile. This serves as a basis for the design of an effective energy management system. Design/methodology/approach This study proposes novel tunicate swarm algorithm (TSA) for training an artificial neural network model used for predicting the energy demand of a DC. The objective is to find the optimal weights and biases of the model while avoiding commonly faced challenges when using the backpropagation algorithm. The model implementation is based on historical energy consumption data of an anonymous DC operator in Cape Town, South Africa. The data set provided consists of variables such as ambient temperature, ambient relative humidity, chiller output temperature and computer room air conditioning air supply temperature, which serve as inputs to the neural network that is designed to predict the DC’s hourly energy consumption for July 2020. Upon preprocessing of the data set, total sample number for each represented variable was 464. The 80:20 splitting ratio was used to divide the data set into training and testing set respectively, making 452 samples for the training set and 112 samples for the testing set. A weights-based approach has also been used to analyze the relative impact of the model’s input parameters on the DC’s energy demand pattern. Findings The performance of the proposed model has been compared with those of neural network models trained using state of the art algorithms such as moth flame optimization, whale optimization algorithm and ant lion optimizer. From analysis, it was found that the proposed TSA outperformed the other methods in training the model based on their mean squared error, root mean squared error, mean absolute error, mean absolute percentage error and prediction accuracy. Analyzing the relative percentage contribution of the model's input parameters based on the weights of the neural network also shows that the ambient temperature of the DC has the highest impact on the building’s energy demand pattern. Research limitations/implications The proposed novel model can be applied to solving other complex engineering problems such as regression and classification. The methodology for optimizing the multi-layered perceptron neural network can also be further applied to other forms of neural networks for improved performance. Practical implications Based on the forecasted energy demand of the DC and an understanding of how the input parameters impact the building's energy demand pattern, neural networks can be deployed to optimize the cooling systems of the DC for reduced energy cost. Originality/value The use of TSA for optimizing the weights and biases of a neural network is a novel study. The application context of this study which is DCs is quite untapped in the literature, leaving many gaps for further research. The proposed prediction model can be further applied to other regression tasks and classification tasks. Another contribution of this study is the analysis of the neural network's input parameters, which provides insight into the level to which each parameter influences the DC’s energy demand profile.


2008 ◽  
Vol 47 (12) ◽  
pp. 3170-3187 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Lin ◽  
Arthur Y. Hou

Abstract This study compares instantaneous rainfall estimates provided by the current generation of retrieval algorithms for passive microwave sensors using retrievals from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation radar (PR) and merged surface radar and gauge measurements over the continental United States as references. The goal is to quantitatively assess surface rain retrievals from cross-track scanning microwave humidity sounders relative to those from conically scanning microwave imagers. The passive microwave sensors included in the study are three operational sounders—the Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-B (AMSU-B) instruments on the NOAA-15, -16, and -17 satellites—and five imagers: the TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI), the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) instrument on the Aqua satellite, and the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) instruments on the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) F-13, -14, and -15 satellites. The comparisons with PR data are based on “coincident” observations, defined as instantaneous retrievals (spatially averaged to 0.25° latitude and 0.25° longitude) within a 10-min interval collected over a 20-month period from January 2005 to August 2006. Statistics of departures of these coincident retrievals from reference measurements as given by the TRMM PR or ground radar and gauges are computed as a function of rain intensity over land and oceans. Results show that over land AMSU-B sounder rain retrievals are comparable in quality to those from conically scanning radiometers for instantaneous rain rates between 1.0 and 10.0 mm h−1. This result holds true for comparisons using either TRMM PR estimates over tropical land areas or merged ground radar/gauge measurements over the continental United States as the reference. Over tropical oceans, the standard deviation errors are comparable between imager and sounder retrievals for rain intensities above 5 mm h−1, below which the imagers are noticeably better than the sounders; systematic biases are small for both imagers and sounders. The results of this study suggest that in planning future satellite missions for global precipitation measurement, cross-track scanning microwave humidity sounders on operational satellites may be used to augment conically scanning microwave radiometers to provide improved temporal sampling over land without degradation in the quality of precipitation estimates.


2013 ◽  
Vol 641-642 ◽  
pp. 460-463
Author(s):  
Yong Gang Liu ◽  
Xin Tian ◽  
Yue Qiang Jiang ◽  
Gong Bing Li ◽  
Yi Zhou Li

In this study, a three-layer artificial neural network(ANN) model was constructed to predict the detonation pressure of aluminized explosive. Elemental composition and loading density were employed as input descriptors and detonation pressure was used as output. The dataset of 41 aluminized explosives was randomly divided into a training set (30) and a prediction set (11). After optimized by adjusting various parameters, the optimal condition of the neural network was obtained. Simulated with the final optimum neural network [6–9–1], calculated detonation pressures show good agreement with experimental results. It is shown here that ANN is able to produce accurate predictions of the detonation pressure of aluminized explosive.


Author(s):  
Jonathan M. Waddell ◽  
Stephen M. Remias ◽  
Jenna N. Kirsch ◽  
Mohsen Kamyab

Probe vehicle trajectory data has the potential to transform the current practice of traffic signal optimization. Current scalable trajectory data is limited in both the penetration rate and the ping frequency, or the length of time between vehicle waypoints. This paper introduces a methodology to create binary vehicle trajectories which can be used in a neural network to predict when vehicles will arrive at a virtual detector. The methodology allows for vehicles with ping frequencies of up to 60 s to be utilized for the optimization of offsets at signalized intersections. A nine-signal corridor in west Michigan was used to test the proposed methodology. The neural network was compared to traditional linear interpolation strategies and found to improve the root mean squared error of the arrival times by up to 6.18 s. Using the virtual detector data stacked over time to optimize the offsets of the corridor resulted in 77% of the benefit of an offset optimization performed with continuously collected high resolution signal controller data. In the era of big data, this alternative approach can assist with the large-scale implementation of traffic signal performance measures for improved operations.


MATEMATIKA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 53-64
Author(s):  
Siti Nabilah Syuhada Abdullah ◽  
Ani Shabri ◽  
Ruhaidah Samsudin

Since rice is a staple food in Malaysia, its price fluctuations pose risks to the producers, suppliers and consumers. Hence, an accurate prediction of paddy price is essential to aid the planning and decision-making in related organizations. The artificial neural network (ANN) has been widely used as a promising method for time series forecasting. In this paper, the effectiveness of integrating empirical mode decomposition (EMD) into an ANN model to forecast paddy price is investigated. The hybrid method is applied on a series of monthly paddy prices fromFebruary 1999 up toMay 2018 as recorded in the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) per metric tons. The performance of the simple ANN model and the EMD-ANN model was measured and compared based on their root mean squared Error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean percentage error (MPE). This study finds that the integration of EMD into the neural network model improves the forecasting capabilities. The use of EMD in the ANN model made the forecast errors reduced significantly, and the RMSE was reduced by 0.012, MAE by 0.0002 and MPE by 0.0448.


Author(s):  
Kun Xie ◽  
Chong Qiao ◽  
Hong Shen ◽  
Riyi Yang ◽  
Ming Xu ◽  
...  

Abstract Zr-Rh metallic glass has enabled its many applications in vehicle parts, sports equipment and so on due to its outstanding performance in mechanical property, but the knowledge of the microstructure determining the superb mechanical property remains yet insufficient. Here, we develop a deep neural network potential of Zr-Rh system by using machine learning, which breaks the dilemma between the accuracy and efficiency in molecular dynamics simulations, and greatly improves the simulation scale in both space and time. The results show that the structural features obtained from the neural network method are in good agreement with the cases in ab initio molecular dynamics simulations. Furthermore, we build a large model of 5400 atoms to explore the influences of simulated size and cooling rate on the melt-quenching process of Zr77Rh23. Our study lays a foundation for exploring the complex structures in amorphous Zr77Rh23, which is of great significance for the design and practical application.


Author(s):  
Yalei You ◽  
Christa Peters-Lidard ◽  
S. Joseph Munchak ◽  
Jackson Tan ◽  
Scott Braun ◽  
...  

AbstractPrevious studies showed that conical scanning radiometers greatly outperform cross-track scanning radiometers for precipitation retrieval over ocean. This study demonstrates a novel approach to improve precipitation rates at the cross-track scanning radiometers’ observation time by propagating the conical scanning radiometers’ retrievals to the cross-track scanning radiometers’ observation time. The improved precipitation rate is a weighted average of original cross-track radiometers’ retrievals and retrievals propagated from a conical scanning radiometer. The cross-track scanning radiometers include the Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) onboard the NPP satellite and four Microwave Humidity Sounders (MHSs). The conical scanning radiometers include the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) and three Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounders (SSMISs), while the precipitation retrievals from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Microwave Imager (GMI) are taken as the reference. Results show that the morphed precipitation rates agree much better with the reference. The degree of improvement depends on several factors, including the propagated precipitation source, the time interval between the cross-track scanning radiometer and the conical scanning radiometer, the precipitation type (convective vs. stratiform), the precipitation events’ size, and the geolocation. The study has potential to greatly improve high-impact weather systems monitoring (e.g., hurricanes) and multi-satellite precipitation products. It may also enhance the usefulness of future satellite missions with cross-track scanning radiometers onboard.


2013 ◽  
Vol 790 ◽  
pp. 673-676
Author(s):  
Yue Qiang Jiang ◽  
Yong Gang Liu ◽  
Xin Tian ◽  
Gong Bing Li

In this study, a three-layer artificial neural network (ANN) model was constructed to predict the detonation velocity of aluminized explosive. Elemental composition and loading density were employed as input descriptors and detonation velocity was used as output. The dataset of 61 aluminized explosives was randomly divided into a training set (49) and a prediction set (12). After optimized by adjusting various parameters, the optimal condition of the neural network was obtained. Simulated with the final optimum neural network [812, calculated detonation velocity show good agreement with experimental results. It is shown that ANN is able to produce accurate predictions of the detonation velocity of aluminized explosive.


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