Post-storm recuperation as a stepping-stone towards long-term integrated modelling in steep beaches

Author(s):  
Katerina Kombiadou ◽  
Susana Costas ◽  
Dano Roelvink ◽  
Robert McCall

<p>Integrated modelling approaches for the evolution of the entire dune-beach system have become increasingly sought-after, not only for management purposes, but also to allow better understanding of the feedbacks between processes and scales and a closer approximation of where critical system thresholds may lie. The effective reproduction of both destructive and constructive processes over a broad spectrum of temporal scales is crucial to any, such, integrated approach. Recent improvements of the XBeach-Duna model regarding approximation of nearshore processes were tested using in-situ data from the Emma storm impacts on a reflective beach (Praia de Faro, in S. Portugal). The model results compare well with measured post-storm and recovered profiles, showing high model skill under both erosive and constructive regimes. Building from this event-scale analysis, a gradual increase of temporal windows in simulated forcing conditions, through wave schematisation, is presented and discussed in terms of optimisation between gains in simulation time and losses in geomorphic change information. This methodological approach and findings are the basis that will allow passing on to dependable, long-term simulations of the beach-dune system evolution.</p><p> </p><p><em>Acknowledgements: The work was implemented in the framework of the ENLACE project (ref. 28949 FEDER), funded by FCT (Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia)</em></p>

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 919-943 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steefan Contractor ◽  
Markus G. Donat ◽  
Lisa V. Alexander ◽  
Markus Ziese ◽  
Anja Meyer-Christoffer ◽  
...  

Abstract. We present a new global land-based daily precipitation dataset from 1950 using an interpolated network of in situ data called Rainfall Estimates on a Gridded Network – REGEN. We merged multiple archives of in situ data including two of the largest archives, the Global Historical Climatology Network – Daily (GHCN-Daily) hosted by National Centres of Environmental Information (NCEI), USA, and one hosted by the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) operated by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD). This resulted in an unprecedented station density compared to existing datasets. The station time series were quality-controlled using strict criteria and flagged values were removed. Remaining values were interpolated to create area-average estimates of daily precipitation for global land areas on a 1∘ × 1∘ latitude–longitude resolution. Besides the daily precipitation amounts, fields of standard deviation, kriging error and number of stations are also provided. We also provide a quality mask based on these uncertainty measures. For those interested in a dataset with lower station network variability we also provide a related dataset based on a network of long-term stations which interpolates stations with a record length of at least 40 years. The REGEN datasets are expected to contribute to the advancement of hydrological science and practice by facilitating studies aiming to understand changes and variability in several aspects of daily precipitation distributions, extremes and measures of hydrological intensity. Here we document the development of the dataset and guidelines for best practices for users with regards to the two datasets.


2002 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 131-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
L.M. David ◽  
R.S. Matos

This paper discusses the use of water quality deterministic modelling together with an integrated approach to assess the impact of urban stormwater discharges into ephemeral watercourses, based on the study of a Portuguese catchment. The description of the main aspects, difficulties and benefits found during data collection and model calibration and verification is presented, and the associated uncertainties and errors discussed. Experimental results showed a strong short- and long-term impact of sewer discharges on rivers, and confirmed deposition, resuspension and transport of pollutants as important processes for the water quality. However, the resuspension of riverbed sediment pollutants during storms was probably more significant than the direct impact of the urban discharges. The HydroWorks™ model was used since it allows for the calculation of pollutant build-up on catchment surfaces and in gully pots, their wash-off, and the deposition and erosion of sediments in sewers. However, it uses several constants, which could not be independently calibrated, increasing the uncertainty already associated with the data. River flows have quite different magnitude from the sewer system overflows, which, together with the difficulties in evaluating river flow rates, makes the integrated modelling approach rather complex and costly.


2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (252) ◽  
pp. 605-616 ◽  
Author(s):  
SOJIRO SUNAKO ◽  
KOJI FUJITA ◽  
AKIKO SAKAI ◽  
RIJAN B. KAYASTHA

ABSTRACTWe conducted a mass-balance study of debris-free Trambau Glacier in the Rolwaling region, Nepal Himalaya, which is accessible to 6000 m a.s.l., to better understand mass-balance processes and the effect of precipitation on these processes on high-elevation Himalayan glaciers. Continuous in situ meteorological and mass-balance observations that spanned the three melt seasons from May 2016 are reported. An energy- and mass-balance model is also applied to evaluate its performance and sensitivity to various climatic conditions. Glacier-wide mass balances ranging from −0.34 ± 0.38 m w.e. in 2016 to −0.82 ± 0.53 m w.e. in 2017/18 are obtained by combining the observations with model results for the areas above the highest stake. The estimated long-term glacier mass balance, which is reconstructed using the ERA-Interim data calibrated with in situ data, is −0.65 ± 0.39 m w.e. a−1for the 1980–2018 period. A significant correlation with annual precipitation (r= 0.77,p< 0.001) is observed, whereas there is no discernible correlation with summer mean air temperature. The results indicate the continuous mass loss of Trambau Glacier over the last four decades, which contrasts with the neighbouring Mera Glacier in balance.


Climate ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 111
Author(s):  
Kwesi Akumenyi Quagraine ◽  
Francis Nkrumah ◽  
Cornelia Klein ◽  
Nana Ama Browne Klutse ◽  
Kwesi Twentwewa Quagraine

Focusing on West Africa, a region riddled with in situ data scarcity, we evaluate the summer monsoon monthly rainfall characteristics of five global reanalysis datasets: ERA5, ERA-Interim, JRA-55, MERRA2, and NCEP-R2. Their performance in reproducing the West African monsoon (WAM) climatology, interannual variability, and long-term trends for the main monsoon months are compared to gauge-only and satellite products. We further examine their ability to reproduce teleconnections between sea surface temperatures and monsoon rainfall. All reanalyses are able to represent the average rainfall patterns and seasonal cycle; however, regional biases can be marked. ERA5, ERA-Interim, and NCEP-R2 underestimate rainfall over areas of peak rainfall, with ERA5 showing the strongest underestimation, particularly over the Guinea Highlands. The meridional northward extent of the monsoon rainband is well captured by JRA-55 and MERRA2 but is too narrow in ERA-Interim, for which rainfall stays close to the Guinea Coast. Differences in rainband displacement become particularly evident when comparing strong El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) years, where all reanalyses except ERA-Interim reproduce wetter Sahelian conditions for La Niña, while overestimating dry conditions at the coast except for NCEP-R2. Precipitation trends are not coherent across reanalyses and magnitudes are generally overestimated compared to observations, with only JRA-55 and NCEP-R2 displaying the expected positive trend in the Sahel. ERA5 generally outperforms ERA-Interim, highlighting clear improvements over its predecessor. Ultimately, we find the strengths of reanalyses to strongly vary across the region.


2014 ◽  
Vol 60 (224) ◽  
pp. 1140-1154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jeannette Gabbi ◽  
Marco Carenzo ◽  
Francesca Pellicciotti ◽  
Andreas Bauder ◽  
Martin Funk

AbstractWe investigate the performance of five glacier melt models over a multi-decadal period in order to assess their ability to model future glacier response. The models range from a simple degree-day model, based solely on air temperature, to more-sophisticated models, including the full shortwave radiation balance. In addition to the empirical models, the performance of a physically based energy-balance (EB) model is examined. The melt models are coupled to an accumulation and a surface evolution model and applied in a distributed manner to Rhonegletscher, Switzerland, over the period 1929–2012 at hourly resolution. For calibration, seasonal mass-balance measurements (2006–12) are used. Decadal ice volume changes for six periods in the years 1929–2012 serve for model validation. Over the period 2006–12, there are almost no differences in performance between the models, except for EB, which is less consistent with observations, likely due to lack of meteorological in situ data. However, simulations over the long term (1929–2012) reveal that models which include a separate term for shortwave radiation agree best with the observed ice volume changes, indicating that their melt relationships are robust in time and thus suitable for long-term modelling, in contrast to more empirical approaches that are oversensitive to temperature fluctuations.


2015 ◽  
Vol 243 ◽  
pp. 11-16
Author(s):  
Alexander A. Baryakh ◽  
Sergey Yu. Lobanov ◽  
Ivan S. Lomakin

New approach to construction curve of salt rock’s long-term strength based on the diagram’s analysis of the earth surface subsidence growth under the influence of underground mining has been proposed. Performed verification of received estimation showed acceptable fit of mathematical modeling results of interchamber pillars’ deformation and fracture processes with in-situ data.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Lanconelli ◽  
Fabrizio Cappucci ◽  
Bernardo Mota ◽  
Nadine Gobron ◽  
Amelie Driemel ◽  
...  

&lt;div&gt; &lt;p&gt;Nowadays, an increasingly amount of remote sensing and in-situ data are extending over decades. They contribute to increase the relevance of long-term studies aimed to deduce the mechanisms underlying the climate change dynamics. The aim of this study is to investigate the coherence between trends of different long-term climate related variables including the surface albedo (A) and land surface temperature (LST) as obtained by remote sensing platforms, models and in-situ observations.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt; &lt;p&gt;Directional-hemispherical and bi-hemispherical broadband surface reflectances as derived from MODIS-MCD43 (v006) and MISR, and the analogous products of the Copernicus Global Land (CGLS) and C3S services derived from SPOT-VEGETATION, PROBA-V and AVHRR (v0 and v1), have been harmonized and, together with the ECMWF ERA-5 model, assessed with respect ground data taken over polar areas, over a temporal window spanning the last 20 years.&amp;#160;&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt; &lt;p&gt;The benchmark was established using in-situ measurements provided from the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) over four Arctic and four Antarctic sites. The 1-minute resolution datasets of broadband upwelling and down-welling radiation, have been reduced to directional- and bi-hemispherical reflectances, with the same time scale of satellite products (1-day, 10-days, monthly).&amp;#160;&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt; &lt;p&gt;A similar approach was used to investigate the fitness for purpose of Land Surface Temperature as derived by MODIS (MOD11), ECMWF ERA-5, with respect to the brightness temperature derived using BSRN measurements over the longwave band.&amp;#160;&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt; &lt;p&gt;The entire temporal series are decomposed into seasonal and residual components, and then the presence of monotonic significant trends are assessed using the non-parametric Kendall test. Preliminary results shown a strong correlation between negative albedo trends and positive LST trends, especially in arctic regions.&amp;#160;&lt;/p&gt; &lt;/div&gt;


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
R Venkatesan ◽  
KP Krishnan ◽  
M Arul Muthiah ◽  
B Kesavakumar ◽  
David T Divya ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steefan Contractor ◽  
Markus G. Donat ◽  
Lisa V. Alexander ◽  
Markus Ziese ◽  
Anja Meyer-Christoffer ◽  
...  

Abstract. We present a new global land-based daily precipitation dataset from 1950 using an interpolated network of in situ data called Rainfall Estimates on a GriddEd Network – REGEN. We merged multiple archives of in situ data including two of the largest archives, the Global Historical Climatology Network – Daily (GHCN-Daily) hosted by National Centres of Environmental Information (NCEI), USA and one hosted by the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) operated by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD). This resulted in an unprecedented station density compared to existing datasets. The station timeseries were quality controlled using strict criteria and flagged values were removed. Remaining values were interpolated to create area average estimates of daily precipitation for global land areas on a 1° × 1° latitude–longitude resolution. Besides the daily precipitation amounts, fields of standard deviation, Kriging error and number of stations are also provided. We also provide a quality mask based on these uncertainty measures. For those interested in a dataset with lower station network variability we also provide a related dataset based on a network of long-term stations which interpolates stations with a record length of at least 40 years. The REGEN datasets are expected to contribute to the advancement of hydrological science and practice by facilitating studies aiming to understand changes and variability in several aspects of daily precipitation distributions, extremes, and measures of hydrological intensity. Here we document the development of the dataset and guidelines for best practices for users with regards to the two datasets.


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