Polar vortex regimes in a simple general circulation model

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roland Walz ◽  
Hella Garny ◽  
Thomas Birner
Keyword(s):  
Temperature Increase ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Regime Transition ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Weak Regime ◽  
Mean Differences ◽  
Tropospheric Heating

<p>A dry dynamical-core model is used to investigate the regime behavior of the polar vortex under the influence of tropical upper-tropospheric warming. Up to 5 K temperature increase in this region, the polar vortex strength and variability hardly changes. Only for temperature increases above 8 K the polar night jet speeds up by approximately 20 m s<sup>−1</sup> and the probability of sudden stratospheric warmings is strongly reduced.</p><p>A comparison of climatological-mean differences of the zonal-mean zonal winds between the two regimes and the first empirical orthogonal function of the zonal-mean zonal wind closest to the regime transition at around 7.5 K temperature increase reveals that the system oscillates between both regimes at the regime transition. Every regime is present for a long time accounting for the peaked autocorrelation time scale being distinctive of a regime transition. From a dynamical point of view the strong polar vortex regime is characterized by less negative Eliassen-Palm (EP) flux divergence in the stratosphere and an equatorward refraction of EP flux in the midlatitudes compared to the weak polar vortex regime.</p><p>In order to quantify the influence of the polar vortex on the tropospheric circulation during tropospheric warming, another set of tropical upper-tropospheric heating simulations without a polar vortex is performed. This reveals that the latitudes of the tropospheric jets in both sets of simulations coincide for tropical upper-tropospheric warmings up to 5 K, or equivalently, when the polar vortex is in its weak regime. However, when the polar vortex starts to transition to the strong regime, i.e. for tropospheric warmings above 5 K, the poleward contraction of the tropospheric jet is strongly enhanced compared to the set of simulations without polar vortex.</p>

scholarly journals Impact of abrupt sea ice loss on Greenland water isotopes during the last glacial period

2019 ◽  
Vol 116 (10) ◽  
pp. 4099-4104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louise C. Sime ◽  
Peter O. Hopcroft ◽  
Rachael H. Rhodes
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Temperature Increase ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Ice Core ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ice Cores ◽  
Nitrogen Isotope ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Last Glacial Period ◽  
Precipitation Seasonality

Greenland ice cores provide excellent evidence of past abrupt climate changes. However, there is no universally accepted theory of how and why these Dansgaard–Oeschger (DO) events occur. Several mechanisms have been proposed to explain DO events, including sea ice, ice shelf buildup, ice sheets, atmospheric circulation, and meltwater changes. DO event temperature reconstructions depend on the stable water isotope (δ18O) and nitrogen isotope measurements from Greenland ice cores: interpretation of these measurements holds the key to understanding the nature of DO events. Here, we demonstrate the primary importance of sea ice as a control on Greenland ice coreδ18O: 95% of the variability inδ18O in southern Greenland is explained by DO event sea ice changes. Our suite of DO events, simulated using a general circulation model, accurately captures the amplitude ofδ18O enrichment during the abrupt DO event onsets. Simulated geographical variability is broadly consistent with available ice core evidence. We find an hitherto unknown sensitivity of theδ18O paleothermometer to the magnitude of DO event temperature increase: the change inδ18O per Kelvin temperature increase reduces with DO event amplitude. We show that this effect is controlled by precipitation seasonality.

Influence of gravity wave drag parametrisations on the stratospheric circulation of seasonal ICON-NWP experiments

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raphael Köhler ◽  
Dörthe Handorf ◽  
Ralf Jaiser ◽  
Klaus Dethloff ◽  
Günther Zängl ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Seasonal Prediction ◽  
Wave Drag ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Sensitivity Experiments ◽  
Hemisphere Winter

<p>The stratospheric polar vortex is highly variable in winter and thus, models often struggle to capture its variability and strength. Yet, the influence of the stratosphere on the tropospheric circulation becomes highly important in Northern Hemisphere winter and is one of the main potential sources for subseasonal to seasonal prediction skill in mid latitudes. Mid-latitude extreme weather patterns in winter are often preceded by sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs), which are the strongest manifestation of the coupling between stratosphere and troposphere. Misrepresentation of the SSW-frequency and stratospheric biases in models can therefore also cause biases in the troposphere.</p><p>In this context this work comprises the analysis of four seasonal ensemble experiments with a high-resolution, nonhydrostatic global atmospheric general circulation model in numerical weather prediction mode (ICON-NWP). The main focus thereby lies on the variability and strength of the stratospheric polar vortex. We identified the gravity wave drag parametrisations as one important factor influencing stratospheric dynamics. As the control experiment with default gravity wave drag settings exhibits an overestimated amount of SSWs and a weak stratospheric polar vortex, three sensitivity experiments with adjusted drag parametrisations were generated. Hence, the parametrisations for the non-orographic gravity wave drag and the subgrid‐scale orographic (SSO) drag were chosen with the goal of strengthening the stratospheric polar vortex. Biases to ERA-Interim are reduced with both adjustments, especially in high latitudes. Whereas the positive effect of the reduced non-orographic gravity wave drag is strongest in the mid-stratosphere in winter, the adjusted SSO-scheme primarily affects the troposphere by reducing mean sea level pressure biases in all months. A fourth experiment using both adjustments exhibits improvements in the troposphere and stratosphere. Although the stratospheric polar vortex in winter is strengthened in all sensitivity experiments, it is still simulated too weak compared to ERA-Interim. Further mechanisms causing this weakness are also investigated in this study.</p>

scholarly journals Stratosphere–Troposphere Coupling in a Relatively Simple AGCM: The Importance of Stratospheric Variability

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (8) ◽  
pp. 1920-1933 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edwin P. Gerber ◽  
Lorenzo M. Polvani
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Stratospheric Sudden Warming ◽  
Annular Modes ◽  
Dynamical Coupling ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Stratospheric Variability

Abstract The impact of stratospheric variability on the dynamical coupling between the stratosphere and the troposphere is explored in a relatively simple atmospheric general circulation model. Variability of the model’s stratospheric polar vortex, or polar night jet, is induced by topographically forced stationary waves. A robust relationship is found between the strength of the stratospheric polar vortex and the latitude of the tropospheric jet, confirming and extending earlier results in the absence of stationary waves. In both the climatological mean and on intraseasonal time scales, a weaker vortex is associated with an equatorward shift in the tropospheric jet and vice versa. It is found that the mean structure and variability of the vortex in the model is very sensitive to the amplitude of the topography and that Northern Hemisphere–like variability, with a realistic frequency of stratospheric sudden warming events, occurs only for a relatively narrow range of topographic heights. When the model captures sudden warming events with fidelity, however, the exchange of information both upward and downward between the troposphere and stratosphere closely resembles that in observations. The influence of stratospheric variability on variability in the troposphere is demonstrated by comparing integrations with and without an active stratosphere. A realistic, time-dependent stratospheric circulation increases the persistence of the tropospheric annular modes, and the dynamical coupling is most apparent prior to and following stratospheric sudden warming events.

scholarly journals A New Method to Estimate Three-Dimensional Residual-Mean Circulation in the Middle Atmosphere and Its Application to Gravity Wave–Resolving General Circulation Model Data

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (12) ◽  
pp. 3756-3779 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kaoru Sato ◽  
Takenari Kinoshita ◽  
Kota Okamoto
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Wave ◽  
Gravity Waves ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Mean Circulation ◽  
Residual Mean Circulation ◽  
Wave Induced

Abstract A new method is proposed to estimate three-dimensional (3D) material circulation driven by waves based on recently derived formulas by Kinoshita and Sato that are applicable to both Rossby waves and gravity waves. The residual-mean flow is divided into three, that is, balanced flow, unbalanced flow, and Stokes drift. The latter two are wave-induced components estimated from momentum flux divergence and heat flux divergence, respectively. The unbalanced mean flow is equivalent to the zonal-mean flow in the two-dimensional (2D) transformed Eulerian mean (TEM) system. Although these formulas were derived using the “time mean,” the underlying assumption is the separation of spatial or temporal scales between the mean and wave fields. Thus, the formulas can be used for both transient and stationary waves. Considering that the average is inherently needed to remove an oscillatory component of unaveraged quadratic functions, the 3D wave activity flux and wave-induced residual-mean flow are estimated by an extended Hilbert transform. In this case, the scale of mean flow corresponds to the whole scale of the wave packet. Using simulation data from a gravity wave–resolving general circulation model, the 3D structure of the residual-mean circulation in the stratosphere and mesosphere is examined for January and July. The zonal-mean field of the estimated 3D circulation is consistent with the 2D circulation in the TEM system. An important result is that the residual-mean circulation is not zonally uniform in both the stratosphere and mesosphere. This is likely caused by longitudinally dependent wave sources and propagation characteristics. The contribution of planetary waves and gravity waves to these residual-mean flows is discussed.

scholarly journals The CCCma third generation AGCM and its extension into the middle atmosphere

2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 7883-7930 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. F. Scinocca ◽  
N. A. McFarlane ◽  
M. Lazare ◽  
J. Li ◽  
D. Plummer
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
First Generation ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Wave Drag ◽  
Climate Modelling ◽  
Third Generation ◽  
Chemical Climate ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis third generation atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM3) is described. The discussion summarizes the details of the complete physics package emphasizing the changes made relative to the second generation version of the model. AGCM3 is the underlying model for applications which include the IPCC fourth assessment, coupled atmosphere-ocean seasonal forecasting, the first generation of the CCCma earth system model (CanESM1), and middle-atmosphere chemical-climate modelling (CCM). Here we shall focus on issues related to an upwardly extended version of AGCM3, the Canadian Middle-Atmosphere Model (CMAM). The CCM version of CMAM participated in the 2006 WMO/UNEP Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion and issues concerning its climate such as the impact of gravity-wave drag, the modelling of a spontaneous QBO, and the seasonality of the breakdown of the Southern Hemisphere polar vortex are discussed here.

scholarly journals Abrupt Circulation Responses to Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Warming in a Relatively Simple Stratosphere-Resolving AGCM

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (12) ◽  
pp. 4097-4115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuguang Wang ◽  
Edwin P. Gerber ◽  
Lorenzo M. Polvani
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Hadley Cell ◽  
Critical Threshold ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Upper Troposphere

Abstract The circulation response of the atmosphere to climate change–like thermal forcing is explored with a relatively simple, stratosphere-resolving general circulation model. The model is forced with highly idealized physics, but integrates the primitive equations at resolution comparable to comprehensive climate models. An imposed forcing mimics the warming induced by greenhouse gasses in the low-latitude upper troposphere. The forcing amplitude is progressively increased over a range comparable in magnitude to the warming projected by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change coupled climate model scenarios. For weak to moderate warming, the circulation response is remarkably similar to that found in comprehensive models: the Hadley cell widens and weakens, the tropospheric midlatitude jets shift poleward, and the Brewer–Dobson circulation (BDC) increases. However, when the warming of the tropical upper troposphere exceeds a critical threshold, ~5 K, an abrupt change of the atmospheric circulation is observed. In the troposphere the extratropical eddy-driven jet jumps poleward nearly 10°. In the stratosphere the polar vortex intensifies and the BDC weakens as the intraseasonal coupling between the troposphere and the stratosphere shuts down. The key result of this study is that an abrupt climate transition can be effected by changes in atmospheric dynamics alone, without need for the strong nonlinearities typically associated with physical parameterizations. It is verified that the abrupt climate shift reported here is not an artifact of the model’s resolution or numerics.

Isentropic Slopes, Downgradient Eddy Fluxes, and the Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation Response to Tropical Tropospheric Heating

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (10) ◽  
pp. 2292-2305 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amy H. Butler ◽  
David W. J. Thompson ◽  
Thomas Birner
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Poleward Shift ◽  
Eddy Fluxes ◽  
Tropospheric Heating

Abstract Climate change experiments run on Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)–class numerical models consistently suggest that increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases will lead to a poleward shift of the midlatitude jets and their associated eddy fluxes of heat and potential vorticity (PV). Experiments run on idealized models suggest that the poleward contraction of the jets can be traced to the effects of increased latent heating and thus locally enhanced warming in the tropical troposphere. Here the authors provide new insights into the dynamics of the circulation response to tropical tropospheric heating using transient experiments in an idealized general circulation model. It is argued that the response of the midlatitude jets to tropical heating is driven fundamentally by 1) the projection of the heating onto the meridional slope of the lower tropospheric isentropic surfaces, and 2) a diffusive model of the eddy fluxes of heat and PV. In the lower and middle troposphere, regions where the meridional slope of the isentropes (i.e., the baroclinicity) is increased are marked by anomalously poleward eddy fluxes of heat, and vice versa. Near the tropopause, regions where the meridional gradients in PV are increased are characterized by anomalously equatorward eddy fluxes of PV, and vice versa. The barotropic component of the response is shown to be closely approximated by the changes in the lower-level heat fluxes. As such, the changes in the eddy fluxes of momentum near the tropopause appear to be driven primarily by the changes in wave generation in the lower troposphere.

scholarly journals Hadley Circulation Response to Orbital Precession. Part I: Aquaplanets

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 740-753 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy M. Merlis ◽  
Tapio Schneider ◽  
Simona Bordoni ◽  
Ian Eisenman
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Lower Boundary ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Hadley Circulation ◽  
Momentum Balance ◽  
Summer Solstice ◽  
Net Radiation ◽  
Flux Divergence ◽  
Orbital Precession ◽  
Gross Moist Stability

Abstract The response of the monsoonal and annual-mean Hadley circulation to orbital precession is examined in an idealized atmospheric general circulation model with an aquaplanet slab-ocean lower boundary. Contrary to expectations, the simulated monsoonal Hadley circulation is weaker when perihelion occurs at the summer solstice than when aphelion occurs at the summer solstice. The angular momentum balance and energy balance are examined to understand the mechanisms that produce this result. That the summer with stronger insolation has a weaker circulation is the result of an increase in the atmosphere’s energetic stratification, the gross moist stability, which increases more than the amount required to balance the change in atmospheric energy flux divergence necessitated by the change in top-of-atmosphere net radiation. The solstice-season changes result in annual-mean Hadley circulation changes (e.g., changes in circulation strength).

scholarly journals Simulation of the climate impact of Mt. Pinatubo eruption using ECHAM5 – Part 2: Sensitivity to the phase of the QBO and ENSO

2009 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 3001-3009 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Thomas ◽  
M. A. Giorgetta ◽  
C. Timmreck ◽  
H.-F. Graf ◽  
G. Stenchikov
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Middle Atmosphere ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Climate Impact ◽  
High Latitudes ◽  
Stratospheric Temperature ◽  
Pinatubo Eruption ◽  
The Tropics

Abstract. The sensitivity of the climate impact of Mt. Pinatubo eruption in the tropics and extratropics to different QBO phases is investigated. Mt. Pinatubo erupted in June 1991 during the easterly phase of the QBO at 30 hPa and the phase change to westerly took place in August 1992. Here, the consequences are analyzed if the QBO phase had been in the opposite phase during the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo. Hence, in this study, simulations are carried out using the middle atmosphere configuration of ECHAM5 general circulation model for two cases – one with the observed QBO phase and the other with the opposite QBO phase. The response of temperature and geopotential height in the lower stratosphere is evaluated for the following cases – (1) when only the effects of the QBO are included and (2) when the effects of aerosols, QBO and SSTs (combined response) are included. The tropical QBO signature in the lower stratospheric temperature is well captured in the pure QBO responses and in the combined (aerosol + ocean + QBO) responses. The response of the extratropical atmosphere to the QBO during the second winter after the eruption is captured realistically in the case of the combined forcing showing a strengthening of the polar vortex when the QBO is in its westerly phase and a warm, weak polar vortex in the easterly QBO phase. The vortex is disturbed during the first winter irrespective of the QBO phases in the combined responses and this may be due to the strong influences of El Niño during the first winters after eruption. However, the pure QBO experiments do not realistically reproduce a strengthening of the polar vortex in the westerly QBO phase, even though below normal temperatures in the high latitudes are seen in October-November-December months when the opposite QBO phase is prescribed instead of the December-January-February winter months used here for averaging.

scholarly journals A tropospheric pathway of the stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) impact on the boreal winter polar vortex

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Koji Yamazaki ◽  
Tetsu Nakamura ◽  
Jinro Ukita ◽  
Kazuhira Hoshi
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Polar Vortex ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Periodic Oscillation ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Quasi Biennial Oscillation ◽  
Stratospheric Polar Vortex ◽  
Biennial Oscillation

Abstract. The quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) is quasi-periodic oscillation of the tropical zonal wind in the stratosphere. When the tropical lower stratospheric wind is easterly (westerly), the winter Northern Hemisphere (NH) stratospheric polar vortex tends to be weak (strong). This relation is known as Holton–Tan relationship. Several mechanisms for this relationship have been proposed, especially linking the tropics with high-latitudes through stratospheric pathway. Although QBO impacts on the troposphere have been extensively discussed, a tropospheric pathway of the Holton–Tan relationship has not been explored previously. We here propose a tropospheric pathway of the QBO impact, which may partly account for the Holton–Tan relationship in early winter, especially in the November–December period. The study is based on analyses on observational data and results from a simple linear model and atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) simulations. The mechanism is summarized as follows: the easterly phase of the QBO is accompanied with colder temperature in the tropical tropopause layer, which enhances convective activity over the tropical western Pacific and suppresses over the Indian Ocean, thus enhancing the Walker circulation. This convection anomaly generates Rossby wave train, propagating into the mid-latitude troposphere, which constructively interferences with the climatological stationary waves, especially in wavenumber 1, resulting in enhanced upward propagation of the planetary wave and a weakened polar vortex.

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