Investigation of The Observed Time-lag Between the Simulated Peak Pore Pressures and Slope Failures in Rainfall Induced Landslides: A Numerical Approach

Author(s):  
Krishnendu Paul ◽  
Pathikrit Bhattacharya ◽  
Santanu Misra

<p>Rainfall-induced landslides pose a substantial risk to people and infrastructure worldwide, but their mechanical behavior is not well understood. As a result, hazard predictions for these landslides, especially for rainfall and slope-failure correlations, remain an active area of research. Many operational rainfall-induced landslide hazard maps still assume a classical Coulomb type failure criterion where slope-failure must occur either before or at peak subsurface pore pressure reached during a precipitation event. Using satellite-derived surface precipitation data and soil infiltration simulations over a 15 day period preceding 121 rainfall-induced landslides across India, we find that these events occurred systematically 2-12 days after the simulated peak pore pressures on the inferred failure slope nucleating between 0.5 and 5 m depth. These observations cannot be explained with the Coulomb failure criterion, since failure on these slopes is significantly delayed behind the occurrence of the inferred strength minimum. Instead, in this study, we investigate whether a slope failure model with time- and slip-variable shear strength, governed by the rate-state friction (RSF) equations widely used in earthquake mechanics, can explain the observed ranges of time-delays between slope failure and inferred peak pore pressure.</p><p>To concentrate on the role of the constitutive behavior of the failure surface, we examine spring-slider dynamics under a classical RSF framework driven by variable on-slope and far-field pore pressure and flux time histories. We derive analytical expressions for the time-to-failure of such a spring-slider under simple pore pressure perturbation histories and find that the delay-times can vary significantly depending on the laboratory derivable RSF parameters, soil bulk properties, and particulars of the pressure history. We further examine the roles of dilatancy strengthening and pore compaction in determining the time-lag between peak pore pressure and slope failure. We find that dilatancy can have either a stabilizing or a destabilizing effect on slope failure depending on the hydrological and mechanical properties of the failure plane and the soil column. Finally, we show with numerical simulations that periodic pore pressure or flux oscillations can also drive asynchronous repeated slope failures in both the presence and absence of the coupling of pore pressure and shear deformation. Our results show that the observed rainfall-landslide correlations for these 121 landslides can be explained with inherently time- and slip-dependent shear strength prescriptions like the RSF equations. This, in turn, implies that realistic landslide hazard monitoring might require the examination of soil shear strength under the experimental protocols widely used in rock friction experiments to determine whether the constant friction assumption inherent in the Coulomb criterion needs to be revised in favor of RSF or similar constitutive equations for shallow landslides.</p>

2020 ◽  
Vol 500 (1) ◽  
pp. 301-309 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. M. W. Silver ◽  
B. Dugan

AbstractSubmarine slope failures pose risks to coastlines because they can damage infrastructure and generate tsunamis. Passive margin slope failures represent the largest mass failures on Earth, yet we know little about their dynamics. While numerous studies characterize the lithology, structure, seismic attributes and geometry of failure deposits, we lack direct observations of failure evolution. Thus, we lack insight into the relationships between initial conditions, slope failure initiation and evolution, and final deposits. To investigate submarine slope failure dynamics in relation to initial conditions and to observe failure processes we performed physical experiments in a benchtop flume and produced numerical models. Submarine slope failures were induced under controlled pore pressure within sand–clay mixtures (0–5 wt% clay). Increased clay content corresponded to increased cohesion and pore pressure required for failure. Subsurface fractures and tensile cracks were only generated in experiments containing clay. Falling head tests showed a log-linear relation between hydraulic conductivity and clay content, which we used in our numerical models. Models of our experiments effectively simulate overpressure (pressure in excess of hydrostatic) and failure potential for (non)cohesive sediment mixtures. Overall our work shows the importance of clay in reducing permeability and increasing cohesion to create different failure modes due to overpressure.


1977 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 340-356 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. La Rochelle ◽  
G. Lefebvre ◽  
P. M. Bilodeau

One year after the construction of a hospital in Saint-Jérôme, Lac Saint-Jean, a slide occurred in the slope behind the hospital building; that first slide was followed by three other small slides which took place during the following wet seasons. Some remedial works were carried out in order to drain the debris and decrease the pore pressures at the toe and behind the clay face by means of perforated drain pipes and drainage trenches, and to channel the runoff water from the plateau down into the river. The present paper gives a discussion on the causes and the mechanism of the slides, a description of the corrective works carried out, and an evaluation of their effectiveness based on different visual observations, on pore pressure and shear strength measurements, and on stability analysis.


2004 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 147-152 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. N. Petley

Abstract. Forecasting the occurrence of large, catastrophic slope failures remains very problematic. It is clear that in order advance this field a greater understanding is needed of the processes through which failure occurs. In particular, there is a need to comprehend the processes through which a rupture develops and propagates through the slope, and the nature of the inter-relationship between the stress and strain states of the landslide mass. To this end, a detailed analysis has been undertaken of the movement records for the Selborme Cutting slope failure, in which failure was deliberately triggered through pore pressure elevation. The data demonstrate that it is possible to determine the processes occurring in the basal region of the landslide, and thus controlling the movement of the mass, from the surface movement patterns. In particular, it is clear that the process of rupture development and propagation has a unique signature, allowing the development of the rupture to be traced from detailed surface monitoring. For landslides undergoing first time failure through rupture propagation, this allows the prediction of the time of failure as per the "Saito" approach. It is shown that for such predictions to be reliable, data from a number of points across the landslide mass are needed. Interestingly, due to the complex stress regime in that region, data from the crown may not be appropriate for failure prediction. Based upon these results, the application of new techniques for the detailed assessment of spatial patterns of the development of strain may potentially allow a new insight into the development of rupture surfaces and may ultimately permit forecasting of the temporal occurrence of failure.


2015 ◽  
Vol 744-746 ◽  
pp. 690-694
Author(s):  
Muhammad Rehan Hakro ◽  
Indra Sati Hamonangan Harahap

Rainfall-induced landslides occur in many parts of the world and causing a lot of the damages. For effective prediction of rainfall-induced landslides the comprehensive understanding of the failure process is necessary. Under different soil and hydrological conditions experiments were conducted to investigate and clarify the mechanism of slope failure. The failure in model slope was induced by sprinkling the rainfall on slope composed of sandy soil in small flume. Series of tests were conducted in small scale flume to better understand the failure process in sandy slopes. The moisture content was measured with advanced Imko TDR (Time Domain Reflectrometry) moisture sensors in addition to measurements of pore pressure with piezometers. The moisture content increase rapidly to reach the maximum possible water content in case of higher intensity of rainfall, and higher intensity of the rainfall causes higher erosion as compared to smaller intensity of the rainfall. The controlling factor for rainfall-induced flowslides was density of the slope, rather than intensity of the rainfall and during the flowslide the sudden increase in pore pressure was observed. Higher pore pressure was observed at the toe of the slope as compared to upper part of the slope.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Janusz Wasowski ◽  
Maurice McSaveney ◽  
Luca Pisanu ◽  
Vincenzo Del Gaudio ◽  
Yan Li ◽  
...  

<p>Large earthquake-triggered landslides, in particular rock avalanches, can have catastrophic consequences. However, the recognition of slopes prone to such failures remains difficult, because slope-specific seismic response depends on many factors including local topography, landforms, structure and internal geology. We address these issues by exploring the case of a rock avalanche of >3 million m<sup>3</sup> triggered by the 2008 Mw7.9 Wenchuan earthquake in the Longmen Shan range, China. The failure, denominated Yangjia gully rock avalanche, occurred in Beichuan County (Sichuan Province), one of the areas that suffered the highest shaking intensity and death toll caused by co-seismic landsliding. Even though the Wenchuan earthquake produced tens of large (volume >1 million m<sup>3</sup>) rock avalanches, few studies so far have examined the pre-2008 history of the failed slope or reported on the stratigraphic record of mass-movement deposits exposed along local river courses. The presented case of the Yangjia gully rock avalanche shows the importance of such attempts as they provide information on the recurrence of large slope failures and their associated hazards. Our effort stems from recognition, on 2005 satellite imagery, of topography and morphology indicative of a large, apparently pre-historic slope failure and the associated breached landslide dam, both features closely resembling the forms generated in the catastrophic 2008 earthquake. The follow-up reconstruction recognizes an earlier landslide deposit exhumed from beneath the 2008 Yangjia gully rock avalanche by fluvial erosion since May 2008. We infer a seismic trigger also for the pre-2008 rock avalanche based on the following circumstantial evidence: i) the same source area (valley-facing, terminal portion of a flat-topped, elongated mountain ridge) located within one and a half kilometer of the seismically active Beichuan fault; ii) significant directional amplification of ground vibration, sub-parallel to the failed slope direction, detected via ambient noise measurements on the ridge adjacent to the source area of the 2008 rock avalanche and iii) common depositional and textural features of the two landslide deposits. Then, we show how, through consideration of the broader geomorphic and seismo-tectonic contexts, one can gain insight into the spatial and temporal recurrence of catastrophic slope failures  in Beichuan County and elsewhere in the Longmen Shan. This insight, combined with local-scale geologic and geomorphologic knowledge, may guide selection of suspect slopes for reconnaissance, wide-area ambient noise investigation aimed at discriminating their relative susceptibility to co-seismic catastrophic failures. We indicate the feasibility of such investigations through the example of this study, which uses 3-component velocimeters designed to register low amplitude ground vibration.</p>


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 3333-3353 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philipp Mamot ◽  
Samuel Weber ◽  
Tanja Schröder ◽  
Michael Krautblatter

Abstract. Instability and failure of high mountain rock slopes have significantly increased since the 1990s coincident with climatic warming and are expected to rise further. Most of the observed failures in permafrost-affected rock walls are likely triggered by the mechanical destabilisation of warming bedrock permafrost including ice-filled joints. The failure of ice-filled rock joints has only been observed in a small number of experiments, often using concrete as a rock analogue. Here, we present a systematic study of the brittle shear failure of ice and rock–ice interfaces, simulating the accelerating phase of rock slope failure. For this, we performed 141 shearing experiments with rock–ice–rock “sandwich”' samples at constant strain rates (10−3 s−1) provoking ice fracturing, under normal stress conditions ranging from 100 to 800 kPa, representing 4–30 m of rock overburden, and at temperatures from −10 to −0.5 ∘C, typical for recent observed rock slope failures in alpine permafrost. To create close to natural but reproducible conditions, limestone sample surfaces were ground to international rock mechanical standard roughness. Acoustic emission (AE) was successfully applied to describe the fracturing behaviour, anticipating rock–ice failure as all failures are predated by an AE hit increase with peaks immediately prior to failure. We demonstrate that both the warming and unloading (i.e. reduced overburden) of ice-filled rock joints lead to a significant drop in shear resistance. With a temperature increase from −10 to −0.5 ∘C, the shear stress at failure reduces by 64 %–78 % for normal stresses of 100–400 kPa. At a given temperature, the shear resistance of rock–ice interfaces decreases with decreasing normal stress. This can lead to a self-enforced rock slope failure propagation: as soon as a first slab has detached, further slabs become unstable through progressive thermal propagation and possibly even faster by unloading. Here, we introduce a new Mohr–Coulomb failure criterion for ice-filled rock joints that is valid for joint surfaces, which we assume similar for all rock types, and which applies to temperatures from −8 to −0.5 ∘C and normal stresses from 100 to 400 kPa. It contains temperature-dependent friction and cohesion, which decrease by 12 % ∘C−1 and 10 % ∘C−1 respectively due to warming and it applies to temperature and stress conditions of more than 90 % of the recently documented accelerating failure phases in permafrost rock walls.


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