Overturning Variations in the Subpolar North Atlantic in an Ocean Reanalyses Ensemble

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Baker ◽  
Richard Renshaw ◽  
Laura Jackson ◽  
Clotilde Dubois ◽  
Dorotea Iovino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Relative Importance ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Transport ◽  
Ocean Reanalyses ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

<p>The ocean’s Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) has a significant influence on global climate through its meridional transport of heat and carbon. Deep water formation occurring in the subpolar North Atlantic is an essential component the AMOC. Understanding the nature and causes of its multidecadal variation at these high latitudes is critical to more accurately predict future changes. We analyse the subpolar overturning in an ensemble of eddy permitting ¼ degree global ocean reanalyses, restrained by observations and historical forcings, over the period 1993-2018. This overturning transport is validated against the continuous measurements obtained along the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) mooring array since 2014. The ability of each reanalysis to capture the observed changes in the overturning will be determined, providing confidence in their ability to simulate changes prior to the availability of OSNAP, and exposing their limitations. We analyse the eastern and western sections of the OSNAP array to determine the relative importance of the overturning along these sections and the temporal variability on various timescales. This research complements a previous study investigating changes in the subtropical Atlantic overturning using the same reanalyses ensemble which was shown to provide a good approximation to observations.</p>

scholarly journals Arctic–North Atlantic Interactions and Multidecadal Variability of the Meridional Overturning Circulation

2005 ◽  
Vol 18 (19) ◽  
pp. 4013-4031 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johann H. Jungclaus ◽  
Helmuth Haak ◽  
Mojib Latif ◽  
Uwe Mikolajewicz
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract Analyses of a 500-yr control integration with the non-flux-adjusted coupled atmosphere–sea ice–ocean model ECHAM5/Max-Planck-Institute Ocean Model (MPI-OM) show pronounced multidecadal fluctuations of the Atlantic overturning circulation and the associated meridional heat transport. The period of the oscillations is about 70–80 yr. The low-frequency variability of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) contributes substantially to sea surface temperature and sea ice fluctuations in the North Atlantic. The strength of the overturning circulation is related to the convective activity in the deep-water formation regions, most notably the Labrador Sea, and the time-varying control on the freshwater export from the Arctic to the convection sites modulates the overturning circulation. The variability is sustained by an interplay between the storage and release of freshwater from the central Arctic and circulation changes in the Nordic Seas that are caused by variations in the Atlantic heat and salt transport. The relatively high resolution in the deep-water formation region and the Arctic Ocean suggests that a better representation of convective and frontal processes not only leads to an improvement in the mean state but also introduces new mechanisms determining multidecadal variability in large-scale ocean circulation.

scholarly journals Simulated stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation during the Last Glacial Maximum

2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 615-632
Author(s):  
Frerk Pöppelmeier ◽  
Jeemijn Scheen ◽  
Aurich Jeltsch-Thömmes ◽  
Thomas F. Stocker
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Bering Strait ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
The North ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. The response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) to freshwater perturbations critically depends on its mean state. Large swaths of icebergs melting in the North Atlantic during the last deglaciation constituted such perturbations and can, thus, provide important constraints on the stability of the AMOC. However, the mean AMOC state during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), preceding the rapid disintegration of the ice sheets during the deglaciation, as well as its response to these perturbations remain debated. Here, we investigate the evolution of the AMOC as it responds to freshwater perturbations under improved LGM boundary conditions in the Bern3D intermediate complexity model. Particularly, we consider the effect of an open versus a closed Bering Strait and the effect of increased tidal dissipation as a result of the altered bathymetry due to the lower glacial sea level stand. The vigorous and deep AMOC under these glacial boundary conditions, consistent with previous simulations with different models, reacts more strongly to North Atlantic freshwater forcings than under preindustrial conditions. This increased sensitivity is mostly related to the closed Bering Strait that cuts off the freshwater escape route through the Arctic into the Pacific, thereby facilitating faster accumulation of freshwater in the North Atlantic and halting deep-water formation. Proxy reconstructions of the LGM AMOC instead indicate a weaker and possibly shallower AMOC than today, which is in conflict with the particularly strong and deep circulation states coherently simulated with ocean circulation models for the LGM. Simulations with reduced North Atlantic deep-water formation, as a consequence of potentially increased continental runoff from ice sheet melt and imposed changes in the hydrological cycle, more closely resemble the overturning circulation inferred from proxies. These circulation states also show bistable behavior, where the AMOC does not recover after North Atlantic freshwater hosing. However, no AMOC states are found here that either comprise an extreme shoaling or vigorous and concurrent shallow overturning as previously proposed based on paleoceanographic data.

scholarly journals Spectral Characteristics of the Response of the Meridional Overturning Circulation to Deep-Water Formation

2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (10) ◽  
pp. 1813-1825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie Deshayes ◽  
Claude Frankignoul
Keyword(s):  
High Frequency ◽  
Spectral Characteristics ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Thermocline Depth ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Transport ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract The response of the upper limb of the meridional overturning circulation to the variability of deep-water formation is investigated analytically with a linear, reduced-gravity model in basins of simple geometry. The spectral characteristics of the model response are first derived by prescribing white-noise fluctuations in the meridional transport at the northern boundary. Although low-frequency basin modes are solutions to the eigenproblem, they are too dissipative to be significantly excited by the boundary forcing, and the thermocline depth response has a red spectrum with no prevailing time scale other than that of a high-frequency equatorial mode, only flattening at the millennial time scale because of vertical diffusivity. The meridional transport is asymmetric about the equator because the northern part of the basin is directly influenced by the boundary forcing while the southern part is mostly set in motion by long Rossby waves. This results in the equator acting as a low-pass filter for the Southern Hemisphere, which clarifies the so-called buffering effect of the equator. In a basin connected by a southern circumpolar channel, the thermocline depth and the transport spectra are redder than in the forced basin and, when a somewhat more realistic stochastic forcing derived from general circulation model simulations is considered, the variability is strongly reduced at high frequency. The linear model qualitatively explains several features of the low-frequency variability of the meridional overturning circulation in climate models, such as its red spectrum and its larger intensity in the North Atlantic Ocean.

scholarly journals Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program: A New International Ocean Observing System

2017 ◽  
Vol 98 (4) ◽  
pp. 737-752 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Susan Lozier ◽  
Sheldon Bacon ◽  
Amy S. Bower ◽  
Stuart A. Cunningham ◽  
M. Femke de Jong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Intergovernmental Panel ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract For decades oceanographers have understood the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) to be primarily driven by changes in the production of deep-water formation in the subpolar and subarctic North Atlantic. Indeed, current Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections of an AMOC slowdown in the twenty-first century based on climate models are attributed to the inhibition of deep convection in the North Atlantic. However, observational evidence for this linkage has been elusive: there has been no clear demonstration of AMOC variability in response to changes in deep-water formation. The motivation for understanding this linkage is compelling, since the overturning circulation has been shown to sequester heat and anthropogenic carbon in the deep ocean. Furthermore, AMOC variability is expected to impact this sequestration as well as have consequences for regional and global climates through its effect on the poleward transport of warm water. Motivated by the need for a mechanistic understanding of the AMOC, an international community has assembled an observing system, Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP), to provide a continuous record of the transbasin fluxes of heat, mass, and freshwater, and to link that record to convective activity and water mass transformation at high latitudes. OSNAP, in conjunction with the Rapid Climate Change–Meridional Overturning Circulation and Heatflux Array (RAPID–MOCHA) at 26°N and other observational elements, will provide a comprehensive measure of the three-dimensional AMOC and an understanding of what drives its variability. The OSNAP observing system was fully deployed in the summer of 2014, and the first OSNAP data products are expected in the fall of 2017.

Effects of Mountains and Ice Sheets on Global Ocean Circulation*

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (11) ◽  
pp. 2814-2829 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Schmittner ◽  
Tiago A. M. Silva ◽  
Klaus Fraedrich ◽  
Edilbert Kirk ◽  
Frank Lunkeit
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

Abstract The impact of mountains and ice sheets on the large-scale circulation of the world’s oceans is investigated in a series of simulations with a new coupled ocean–atmosphere model [Oregon State University–University of Victoria model (OSUVic)], in which the height of orography is scaled from 1.5 times the actual height (at T42 resolution) to 0 (no mountains). The results suggest that the effects of mountains and ice sheets on the buoyancy and momentum transfer from the atmosphere to the surface ocean determine the present pattern of deep ocean circulation. Higher mountains reduce water vapor transport from the Pacific and Indian Oceans into the Atlantic Ocean and contribute to increased (decreased) salinities and enhanced (reduced) deep-water formation and meridional overturning circulation in the Atlantic (Pacific). Orographic effects also lead to the observed interhemispheric asymmetry of midlatitude zonal wind stress. The presence of the Antarctic ice sheet cools winter air temperatures by more than 20°C directly above the ice sheet and sets up a polar meridional overturning cell in the atmosphere. The resulting increased meridional temperature gradient strengthens midlatitude westerlies by ~25% and shifts them poleward by ~10°. This leads to enhanced and poleward-shifted upwelling of deep waters in the Southern Ocean, a stronger Antarctic Circumpolar Current, increased poleward atmospheric moisture transport, and more advection of high-salinity Indian Ocean water into the South Atlantic. Thus, it is the current configuration of mountains and ice sheets on earth that determines the difference in deep-water formation between the Atlantic and the Pacific.

scholarly journals Subpolar North Atlantic western boundary density anomalies and the Meridional Overturning Circulation

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Li ◽  
M. S. Lozier ◽  
S. Bacon ◽  
A. S. Bower ◽  
S. A. Cunningham ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Climate Impacts ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Western Boundary ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
Minimal Impact ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Meridional Overturning

AbstractChanges in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, which have the potential to drive societally-important climate impacts, have traditionally been linked to the strength of deep water formation in the subpolar North Atlantic. Yet there is neither clear observational evidence nor agreement among models about how changes in deep water formation influence overturning. Here, we use data from a trans-basin mooring array (OSNAP—Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program) to show that winter convection during 2014–2018 in the interior basin had minimal impact on density changes in the deep western boundary currents in the subpolar basins. Contrary to previous modeling studies, we find no discernable relationship between western boundary changes and subpolar overturning variability over the observational time scales. Our results require a reconsideration of the notion of deep western boundary changes representing overturning characteristics, with implications for constraining the source of overturning variability within and downstream of the subpolar region.

scholarly journals Hindcasting the continuum of Dansgaard–Oeschger variability: mechanisms, patterns and timing

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 4771-4806 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Menviel ◽  
A. Timmermann ◽  
T. Friedrich ◽  
M. H. England
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
External Boundary ◽  
3 Dimensional ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Freshwater Fluxes ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The Continuum

Abstract. Millennial-scale variability associated with Dansgaard–Oeschger (DO) and Heinrich events (HE) is arguably one of the most puzzling climate phenomena ever discovered in paleoclimate archives. Here, we set out to elucidate the underlying dynamics by conducting a transient global hindcast simulation with a 3-dimensional intermediate complexity Earth system model covering the period 50 ka BP to 30 ka BP. The model is forced by time-varying external boundary conditions (greenhouse gases, orbital forcing, and ice sheet orography and albedo) and anomalous North Atlantic freshwater fluxes, which mimic the effects of changing Northern Hemisphere ice-volume on millennial timescales. Together these forcings generate a realistic global climate trajectory, as demonstrated by an extensive model/paleo data comparison. Our analysis is consistent with the idea that variations in ice sheet calving and related changes of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation were the main drivers for the continuum of DO and HE variability seen in paleorecords across the globe.

Decadal changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in high-resolution simulations of the subpolar North Atlantic

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claus W. Böning ◽  
Arne Biastoch ◽  
Klaus Getzlaff ◽  
Patrick Wagner ◽  
Siren Rühs ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Alternative Interpretation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
Overturning Circulation ◽  
First Results ◽  
Meridional Overturning

<p>A series of global ocean - sea ice model simulations is used to investigate the spatial structure and temporal variability of the sinking branch of the meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) in the subpolar North Atlantic. The experiments include hindcast simulations of the last six decades based on the high-resolution (1/20°) VIKING20X-model forced by the CORE and JRA55-do reanalysis products, supplemented by sensitivity studies with a 1/4°-configuration (ORCA025) aimed at elucidating the roles of variations in the wind stress and buoyancy fluxes. The experiments exhibit different multi-decadal trends in the AMOC, reflecting the well-known sensitivity of ocean-only models to subtle details in the configuration of the subarctic freshwater forcing. All experiments, however, concur in that the dense, southward branch of the overturning is mainly fed by “sinking” (in density space) in the Irminger and Iceland Basins, in accordance with the first results of the OSNAP observational program. Remarkably, the contribution of the Labrador Sea has remained small throughout the whole simulation period, even during the phase of extremely strong convection in the early 1990s: i.e., the rate of deep water exported from the subpolar North Atlantic by the DWBC off Newfoundland never differed by more than O(1 Sv) from the DWBC entering the Labrador Sea at Cape Farewell. The model solutions indicate a particular concentration of the sinking along the deep boundary currents south of the Denmark Straits and south of Iceland, pointing to a prime importance for the AMOC of the outflows from the Nordic Seas and their subsequent enhancement by the entrainment of intermediate waters. Since these include the water masses formed by deep convection in the Labrador and southern Irminger Seas, our study offers an alternative interpretation of the dynamical role of decadal changes in Labrador Sea convection intensity in terms of a remote effect on the deep transports established in the outflow regimes.</p>

Assessing the stability of the AMOC during past warm climates

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Megan Murphy O' Connor ◽  
Christophe Colin ◽  
Audrey Morley
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
Deep Water Formation ◽  
Nordic Seas ◽  
Water Formation ◽  
Rockall Trough ◽  
Eastern North Atlantic ◽  
Warm Climates

<p>There is emergent evidence that abrupt shifts of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) have occurred during interglacial periods, with recent observations and model simulations showing that we may have over-estimated its stability during warm climates. In this study, we present a multi-proxy reconstruction of deep-water characteristics from the Rockall Trough in the Eastern North Atlantic to assess the variability of Nordic seas and Labrador Sea deep-water formation during past interglacial periods MIS 1, 5, 11, and 19. To test the warm climate stability hypothesis and to constrain the variability of deep-water formation for past warm climates, we performed geochemical analysis on planktic (Nd isotopes) and benthic foraminifera (δ<sup>18</sup>O and δ<sup>13</sup>C) along with sedimentological analysis. This approach allows us to reconstruct paleocurrent flow strength, as well as the origin and contribution of different water masses to one of the deep-water components of the AMOC in the Rockall Trough. We found that deep-water properties varied considerably during each of our chosen periods. For example during the Holocene εNd variability is smaller (1.8 per mil) when compared to variability during MIS 19 (3.3 per mil), an interglacial that experienced very similar orbital boundary conditions. Our results confirm that deep-water variability in the eastern North Atlantic basin was more variable in previous interglacial periods when compared to our current Holocene and provide new insight into the relative contribution of Nordic Seas Deep Water and Labrador Sea Water in the Rockall trough.</p>

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