scholarly journals Description and evaluation of the tropospheric aerosol scheme in the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS-AER, cycle 45R1) of ECMWF

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Rémy ◽  
Zak Kipling ◽  
Johannes Flemming ◽  
Olivier Boucher ◽  
Pierre Nabat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Chemical Production ◽  
Sulphur Cycle ◽  
Global Budgets ◽  
Tropospheric Aerosol ◽  
Code Base ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Aerosol Sources ◽  
Aerosol Module

Abstract. This article describes the IFS-AER aerosol module used operationally in the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) cycle 45R1, operated by the European Centre for Medium RangeWeather Forecasts (ECMWF) in the framework of the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Services (CAMS). We describe the different parameterizations for aerosol sources, sinks and its chemical production in IFS-AER, as well as how the aerosols are integrated in the larger atmospheric composition forecasting system. The focus is on the entire 45R1 code-base, including some components that are not used operationally, in which case this will be clearly specified. This paper is an update to the Morcrette et al. (2009) article that described aerosol forecasts at ECMWF, using the cycle 32R2 of the IFS. Between cycles 32R2 and 45R1, a number of source and sink processes have been reviewed and/or added, increasing notably the complexity of IFS-AER. A greater integration with the tropospheric chemistry scheme of the IFS has been achieved, for the sulphur cycle as well as for nitrate production. Two new species, nitrate and ammonium, have also been included in the forecasting system. Global budgets and aerosol optical depth (AOD) fields are shown, as well as an evaluation of the simulated Particulate Matter (PM) and AOD against observations, showing an increase in skill from cycle 40R2, used in the CAMS interim Reanalysis (CAMSiRA), to cycle 45R1.

scholarly journals Description and evaluation of the tropospheric aerosol scheme in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS-AER, cycle 45R1)

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 4627-4659 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel Rémy ◽  
Zak Kipling ◽  
Johannes Flemming ◽  
Olivier Boucher ◽  
Pierre Nabat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sulfur Cycle ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Chemical Production ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
European Centre ◽  
Tropospheric Aerosol ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Aerosol Module

Abstract. This article describes the IFS-AER aerosol module used operationally in the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) cycle 45R1, operated by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) in the framework of the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Services (CAMS). We describe the different parameterizations for aerosol sources, sinks, and its chemical production in IFS-AER, as well as how the aerosols are integrated in the larger atmospheric composition forecasting system. The focus is on the entire 45R1 code base, including some components that are not used operationally, in which case this will be clearly specified. This paper is an update to the Morcrette et al. (2009) article that described aerosol forecasts at the ECMWF using cycle 32R2 of the IFS. Between cycles 32R2 and 45R1, a number of source and sink processes have been reviewed and/or added, notably increasing the complexity of IFS-AER. A greater integration with the tropospheric chemistry scheme of the IFS has been achieved for the sulfur cycle and for nitrate production. Two new species, nitrate and ammonium, have also been included in the forecasting system. Global budgets and aerosol optical depth (AOD) fields are shown, as is an evaluation of the simulated particulate matter (PM) and AOD against observations, showing an increase in skill from cycle 40R2, used in the CAMS interim ReAnalysis (CAMSiRA), to cycle 45R1.

scholarly journals An aerosol climatology for global models based on the tropospheric aerosol scheme in the Integrated Forecasting System of ECMWF

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessio Bozzo ◽  
Angela Benedetti ◽  
Johannes Flemming ◽  
Zak Kipling ◽  
Samuel Rémy
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Regional Distribution ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Tropospheric Aerosol ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Aerosol Radiative

Abstract. An aerosol climatology to represent aerosols in the radiation schemes of Global Atmospheric Models was recently developed. We derived the climatology from a reanalysis of atmospheric composition produced by the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS). As an example of application into a global atmospheric model, we discuss the technical aspects of the implementation in the Integrated Forecasting System of European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF-IFS) and the impact of the new climatology on the medium-range weather forecasts and one-year simulations. The new aerosol climatology was derived by combining a set of model simulation with constrained meteorological conditions and an atmospheric composition reanalysis for the period 2003–2014 produced by the IFS. The aerosol fields of the re-analysis are constrained by assimilating Aerosol optical thickness (AOT) retrievals product by the MODIS instruments. In a further step, we used modelled aerosol fields to correct the aerosol speciation and the vertical profiles of the aerosol reanalysis fields. The new climatology provides the monthly-mean mass mixing ratio of five aerosol species constrained by assimilated MODIS AOT. Using the new climatology in the ECMWF-IFS leads to changes in direct aerosol radiative effect compared to the climatology previously implemented, which have a small, but non-negligible impact on the forecast skill of large-scale weather patterns in the medium-range. However, details of the regional distribution of aerosol radiative forcing can have a large local impact. This is the case for the area of the Arabian Peninsula and the northern Indian Ocean. Here changes in the radiative forcing of the mineral dust significantly improve the Summer Monsoon circulation.

scholarly journals Tropospheric chemistry in the integrated forecasting system of ECMWF

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (6) ◽  
pp. 7733-7803 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Flemming ◽  
V. Huijnen ◽  
J. Arteta ◽  
P. Bechtold ◽  
A. Beljaars ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Nitrogen Monoxide ◽  
Coupled System ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Chemical Mechanism ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Chemical Transport Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Forecasting System

Abstract. A representation of atmospheric chemistry has been included in the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The new chemistry modules complement the aerosol modules of the IFS for atmospheric composition, which is named C-IFS. C-IFS for chemistry supersedes a coupled system, in which the Chemical Transport Model (CTM) Model for OZone and Related chemical Tracers 3 was two-way coupled to the IFS (IFS-MOZART). This paper contains a description of the new on-line implementation, an evaluation with observations and a comparison of the performance of C-IFS with MOZART and with a re-analysis of atmospheric composition produced by IFS-MOZART within the Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate (MACC) project. The chemical mechanism of C-IFS is an extended version of the Carbon Bond 2005 (CB05) chemical mechanism as implemented in the CTM Transport Model 5 (TM5). CB05 describes tropospheric chemistry with 54 species and 126 reactions. Wet deposition and lightning nitrogen monoxide (NO) emissions are modelled in C-IFS using the detailed input of the IFS physics package. A one-year simulation by C-IFS, MOZART and the MACC re-analysis is evaluated against ozonesondes, carbon monoxide (CO) aircraft profiles, European surface observations of ozone (O3), CO, sulphur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) as well as satellite retrievals of CO, tropospheric NO2 and formaldehyde. Anthropogenic emissions from the MACC/CityZen (MACCity) inventory and biomass burning emissions from the Global Fire Assimilation System (GFAS) data set were used in the simulations by both C-IFS and MOZART. C-IFS (CB05) showed an improved performance with respect to MOZART for CO, upper tropospheric O3, winter time SO2 and was of a similar accuracy for other evaluated species. C-IFS (CB05) is about ten times more computationally efficient than IFS-MOZART.

scholarly journals An aerosol climatology for global models based on the tropospheric aerosol scheme in the Integrated Forecasting System of ECMWF

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 1007-1034 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessio Bozzo ◽  
Angela Benedetti ◽  
Johannes Flemming ◽  
Zak Kipling ◽  
Samuel Rémy
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
Regional Distribution ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Tropospheric Aerosol ◽  
Medium Range ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Aerosol Radiative

Abstract. An aerosol climatology to represent aerosols in the radiation schemes of global atmospheric models was recently developed. We derived the climatology from a reanalysis of atmospheric composition produced by the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS). As an example of an application in a global atmospheric model, we discuss the technical aspects of the implementation in the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecasting System (ECMWF-IFS) and the impact of the new climatology on the medium-range weather forecasts and 1-year simulations. The new aerosol climatology was derived by combining a set of model simulations with constrained meteorological conditions and an atmospheric composition reanalysis for the period 2003–2013 produced by the IFS. The aerosol fields of the reanalysis are constrained by assimilating the aerosol optical thickness (AOT) retrievals product by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instruments. In a further step, we used modelled aerosol fields to correct the aerosol speciation and the vertical profiles of the aerosol reanalysis fields. The new climatology provides the monthly-mean mass mixing ratio of five aerosol species constrained by assimilated MODIS AOT. Using the new climatology in the ECMWF-IFS leads to changes in the direct aerosol radiative effect compared to the climatology previously implemented, which have a small but non-impact on the forecast skill of large-scale weather patterns in the medium-range. However, details of the regional distribution of aerosol radiative forcing can have a large local impact. This is the case for the area of the Arabian Peninsula and the northern Indian Ocean. Here changes in the radiative forcing of the mineral dust significantly improve the summer monsoon circulation.

scholarly journals Tropospheric chemistry in the Integrated Forecasting System of ECMWF

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 975-1003 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Flemming ◽  
V. Huijnen ◽  
J. Arteta ◽  
P. Bechtold ◽  
A. Beljaars ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
Nitrogen Monoxide ◽  
Coupled System ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Chemical Mechanism ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Chemical Transport Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Forecasting System

Abstract. A representation of atmospheric chemistry has been included in the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). The new chemistry modules complement the aerosol modules of the IFS for atmospheric composition, which is named C-IFS. C-IFS for chemistry supersedes a coupled system in which chemical transport model (CTM) Model for OZone and Related chemical Tracers 3 was two-way coupled to the IFS (IFS-MOZART). This paper contains a description of the new on-line implementation, an evaluation with observations and a comparison of the performance of C-IFS with MOZART and with a re-analysis of atmospheric composition produced by IFS-MOZART within the Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate (MACC) project. The chemical mechanism of C-IFS is an extended version of the Carbon Bond 2005 (CB05) chemical mechanism as implemented in CTM Transport Model 5 (TM5). CB05 describes tropospheric chemistry with 54 species and 126 reactions. Wet deposition and lightning nitrogen monoxide (NO) emissions are modelled in C-IFS using the detailed input of the IFS physics package. A 1 year simulation by C-IFS, MOZART and the MACC re-analysis is evaluated against ozonesondes, carbon monoxide (CO) aircraft profiles, European surface observations of ozone (O3), CO, sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) as well as satellite retrievals of CO, tropospheric NO2 and formaldehyde. Anthropogenic emissions from the MACC/CityZen (MACCity) inventory and biomass burning emissions from the Global Fire Assimilation System (GFAS) data set were used in the simulations by both C-IFS and MOZART. C-IFS (CB05) showed an improved performance with respect to MOZART for CO, upper tropospheric O3, and wintertime SO2, and was of a similar accuracy for other evaluated species. C-IFS (CB05) is about 10 times more computationally efficient than IFS-MOZART.

Recent updates to the atmospheric chemistry modeling of the ECMWF IFS in support to CAMS

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vincent Huijnen ◽  
Jason Williams ◽  
Idir Bouarar ◽  
Sophie Belamari ◽  
Simon Chabrillat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Aerosol Formation ◽  
Chemistry Modeling ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Isoprene Oxidation ◽  
Reactive Gases ◽  
Monitoring Service

<p>The Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) of ECMWF is the core of the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) which provides global analyses and forecasts of atmospheric composition, namely reactive gases, aerosol and greenhouse gases. With respect to the atmospheric chemistry component, the operational system currently relies on a modified version of the CB05 chemistry scheme for the troposphere, combined with the Cariolle scheme to describe stratospheric ozone. In an alternative, more recent configuration also stratospheric ozone chemistry is included based on the BASCOE chemistry module. Alternative atmospheric chemistry modules which can be employed are based on MOZART and MOCAGE chemistry. <br>Recently, further revisions to the modified CB05 tropospheric chemistry scheme have been developed, focusing both on inorganic and organic chemistry, with the aim of improving the quality of existing air-quality products, and the development of new products. On major update is a revision of the isoprene oxidation scheme based on those employed in existing chemistry transport models, as well as inclusion of the basic chemistry describing C8 and C9 aromatics degradation. <br>An example of a new product derived from these updates include a description of global distribution of glyoxal, while this also resulted in an improved modeling of OH recycling particularly over tropical forests. Also we support improved secondary organic aerosol formation due to gaseous anthropogenic, biogenic and biomass burning sources.<br>In this contribution we provide an overview of these revisions, and provide a first quantification of their uncertainties, by comparing products to observations and to those from alternative chemistry modules.</p>

scholarly journals C-IFS-CB05-BASCOE: stratospheric chemistry in the Integrated Forecasting System of ECMWF

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 3071-3091 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vincent Huijnen ◽  
Johannes Flemming ◽  
Simon Chabrillat ◽  
Quentin Errera ◽  
Yves Christophe ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Stratospheric Ozone ◽  
Transport Processes ◽  
Tropospheric Chemistry ◽  
Model Description ◽  
Stratospheric Chemistry ◽  
General Improvement ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
The One ◽  
Stratospheric Composition ◽  
Chemistry Module

Abstract. We present a model description and benchmark evaluation of an extension of the tropospheric chemistry module in the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) with stratospheric chemistry, referred to as C-IFS-CB05-BASCOE (for brevity here referred to as C-IFS-TS). The stratospheric chemistry originates from the one used in the Belgian Assimilation System for Chemical ObsErvations (BASCOE), and is here combined with the modified CB05 chemistry module for the troposphere as currently used operationally in the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS). In our approach either the tropospheric or stratospheric chemistry module is applied, depending on the altitude of each individual grid box with respect to the tropopause. An evaluation of a 2.5-year long C-IFS-TS simulation with respect to various satellite retrieval products and in situ observations indicates good performance of the system in terms of stratospheric ozone, and a general improvement in terms of stratospheric composition compared to the C-IFS predecessor model version. Possible issues with transport processes in the stratosphere are identified. This marks a key step towards a chemistry module within IFS that encompasses both tropospheric and stratospheric composition, and could expand the CAMS analysis and forecast capabilities in the near future.

scholarly journals Extending methane profiles from aircraft into the stratosphere for satellite total column validation using the ECMWF C-IFS and TOMCAT/SLIMCAT 3-D model

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (11) ◽  
pp. 6663-6678 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shreeya Verma ◽  
Julia Marshall ◽  
Mark Parrington ◽  
Anna Agustí-Panareda ◽  
Sebastien Massart ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Greenhouse Gases ◽  
Transport Model ◽  
A Priori ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Random Errors ◽  
Chemical Transport Model ◽  
Spatial Coverage ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Total Column

Abstract. Airborne observations of greenhouse gases are a very useful reference for validation of satellite-based column-averaged dry air mole fraction data. However, since the aircraft data are available only up to about 9–13 km altitude, these profiles do not fully represent the depth of the atmosphere observed by satellites and therefore need to be extended synthetically into the stratosphere. In the near future, observations of CO2 and CH4 made from passenger aircraft are expected to be available through the In-Service Aircraft for a Global Observing System (IAGOS) project. In this study, we analyse three different data sources that are available for the stratospheric extension of aircraft profiles by comparing the error introduced by each of them into the total column and provide recommendations regarding the best approach. First, we analyse CH4 fields from two different models of atmospheric composition – the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System for Composition (C-IFS) and the TOMCAT/SLIMCAT 3-D chemical transport model. Secondly, we consider scenarios that simulate the effect of using CH4 climatologies such as those based on balloons or satellite limb soundings. Thirdly, we assess the impact of using a priori profiles used in the satellite retrievals for the stratospheric part of the total column. We find that the models considered in this study have a better estimation of the stratospheric CH4 as compared to the climatology-based data and the satellite a priori profiles. Both the C-IFS and TOMCAT models have a bias of about −9 ppb at the locations where tropospheric vertical profiles will be measured by IAGOS. The C-IFS model, however, has a lower random error (6.5 ppb) than TOMCAT (12.8 ppb). These values are well within the minimum desired accuracy and precision of satellite total column XCH4 retrievals (10 and 34 ppb, respectively). In comparison, the a priori profile from the University of Leicester Greenhouse Gases Observing Satellite (GOSAT) Proxy XCH4 retrieval and climatology-based data introduce larger random errors in the total column, being limited in spatial coverage and temporal variability. Furthermore, we find that the bias in the models varies with latitude and season. Therefore, applying appropriate bias correction to the model fields before using them for profile extension is expected to further decrease the error contributed by the stratospheric part of the profile to the total column.

scholarly journals ECLand: The ECMWF Land Surface Modelling System

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Souhail Boussetta ◽  
Gianpaolo Balsamo ◽  
Gabriele Arduini ◽  
Emanuel Dutra ◽  
Joe McNorton ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Open Water ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Atmospheric Composition ◽  
Flexible System ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
The One

The land-surface developments of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are based on the Carbon-Hydrology Tiled Scheme for Surface Exchanges over Land (CHTESSEL) and form an integral part of the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS), supporting a wide range of global weather, climate and environmental applications. In order to structure, coordinate and focus future developments and benefit from international collaboration in new areas, a flexible system named ECLand which would facilitates modular extensions to support numerical weather prediction (NWP) and society-relevant operational services, e.g. Copernicus, is presented . This paper introduces recent examples of novel ECLand developments on (i) vegetation, (ii) snow, (iii) soil, (iv) open water/lake (v) river/inundation, and (vi) urban areas. The developments are evaluated separately with long-range, atmosphere-forced surface offline simulations, and coupled land-atmosphere-ocean experiments. This illustrates the benchmark criteria for assessing both, process fidelity with regards to land surface fluxes and reservoirs of the water-energy-carbon exchange on the one hand, and on the other hand the requirements of ECMWF’s NWP, climate and atmospheric composition monitoring services using an Earth system assimilation prediction framework.

scholarly journals CUACE/Dust – an integrated system of observation and modeling systems for operational dust forecasting in Asia

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 10323-10342 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. L. Gong ◽  
X. Y. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
East Asia ◽  
Atmospheric Chemistry ◽  
Monitoring Network ◽  
Integrated System ◽  
Dust Aerosol ◽  
China Meteorological Administration ◽  
Source Regions ◽  
Operational Forecasts ◽  
Forecasting System ◽  
Aerosol Module

Abstract. An integrated sand and dust storm (SDS) forecasting system – CUACE/Dust (the Chinese Unified Atmospheric Chemistry Environment for Dust) has been developed, which consists of a comprehensive dust aerosol module with emission, dry/wet depositions and other atmospheric dynamic processes, and a data assimilation system (DAS) using observational data from the CMA (China Meteorological Administration) ground dust monitoring network and retrieved dust information from a Chinese geostationary satellite – FY-2C. This is the first time that a combination of surface network observations and satellite retrievals of the dust aerosol has been successfully used in the real time operational forecasts in East Asia through a DAS. During its application for the operational SDS forecasts in East Asia for spring 2006, this system captured the major 31 SDS episodes observed by both surface and satellite observations. Analysis shows that the seasonal mean threat score (TS) for 0–24 h forecast over the East Asia in spring 2006 increased from 0.22 to 0.31 by using the DAS, a 41% enhancement. The time series of the forecasted dust concentrations for a number of representative stations for the whole spring 2006 were also evaluated against the surface PM10 monitoring data, showing a very good agreement in terms of the SDS timing and magnitudes near source regions where dust aerosols dominate. This is a summary paper for a special issue of ACP featuring the development and results of the forecasting system.

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