scholarly journals A fast, single-iteration ensemble Kalman smoother for sequential data assimilation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin Grudzien ◽  
Marc Bocquet
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
High Performance ◽  
Short Range ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Sequential Data ◽  
Loop Optimization ◽  
Weakly Nonlinear ◽  
Kalman Smoother ◽  
Error Dynamics

Abstract. Ensemble-variational methods form the basis of the state-of-the-art for nonlinear, scalable data assimilation, yet current designs may not be cost-effective for reducing prediction error in online, short-range forecast systems. We propose a novel, outer-loop optimization of the ensemble-variational formalism for applications in which forecast error dynamics are weakly nonlinear, such as synoptic meteorology. In order to rigorously derive our method and demonstrate its novelty, we review ensemble smoothers that appear throughout the literature in a unified Bayesian maximum-a-posteriori narrative, updating and simplifying some results. After mathematically deriving our technique, we systematically develop and inter-compare all studied schemes in the open-source Julia package DataAssimilationBenchmarks.jl, with pseudo-code provided for these methods. This high-performance numerical framework, supporting our mathematical results, produces extensive benchmarks that demonstrate the significant performance advantages of our proposed technique. In particular, our single-iteration ensemble Kalman smoother is shown both to improve prediction / posterior accuracy and to simultaneously reduce the leading order cost of iterative, sequential smoothers in a variety of relevant test cases for operational short-range forecasts. This long work is thus intended to present our novel single-iteration ensemble Kalman smoother, and to provide a theoretical and computational framework for the study of sequential, ensemble-variational Kalman filters and smoothers generally.

scholarly journals Variational Bias Correction of TAMDAR Temperature Observations in the WRF Data Assimilation System

2019 ◽  
Vol 147 (6) ◽  
pp. 1927-1945
Author(s):  
Feng Gao ◽  
Zhiquan Liu ◽  
Juhui Ma ◽  
Neil A. Jacobs ◽  
Peter P. Childs ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mach Number ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Bias Correction ◽  
Short Range ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Precipitation Event ◽  
Average Error ◽  
Bias Model ◽  
Range Forecasts

Abstract A variational bias correction (VarBC) scheme is developed and tested using regional Weather Research and Forecasting Model Data Assimilation (WRFDA) to correct systematic errors in aircraft-based measurements of temperature produced by the Tropospheric Airborne Meteorological Data Reporting (TAMDAR) system. Various bias models were investigated, using one or all of aircraft height tendency, Mach number, temperature tendency, and the observed temperature as predictors. These variables were expected to account for the representation of some well-known error sources contributing to uncertainties in TAMDAR temperature measurements. The parameters corresponding to these predictors were evolved in the model for a two-week period to generate initial estimates according to each unique aircraft tail number. Sensitivity experiments were then conducted for another one-month period. Finally, a case study using VarBC of a cold front precipitation event is examined. The implementation of VarBC reduces biases in TAMDAR temperature innovations. Even when using a bias model containing a single predictor, such as height tendency or Mach number, the VarBC produces positive impacts on analyses and short-range forecasts of temperature with smaller standard deviations and biases than the control run. Additionally, by employing a multiple-predictor bias model, which describes the statistical relations between innovations and predictors, and uses coefficients to control the evolution of components in the bias model with respect to their reference values, VarBC further reduces the average error of analyses and short-range forecasts with respect to observations. The potential impacts of VarBC on precipitation forecasts were evaluated, and the VarBC is able to indirectly improve the prediction of precipitation location by reducing the forecast error for wind-related synoptic circulation leading to precipitation.

The impact of NAWDEX dropsonde and extra radiosonde observations on forecast quality and tropopause structure

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthias Schindler ◽  
Martin Weissmann ◽  
Andreas Schäfler ◽  
Gabor Radnoti
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Short Range ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Tropical Storm ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Observation Space ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Forecast Quality

<p>Utilizing a multitude of in situ and remote sensing instruments, a comprehensive dataset was collected during the transatlantic field campaign NAWDEX in autumn 2016. Cycled data denial experiments with the global model of the ECMWF showed that additionally collected dropsonde and radiosonde observations contributed to a reduction in the short-range forecast error, with the most prominent error reductions being linked to Tropical Storm Karl, cyclones Matthew and Nicole and their subsequent interaction with the midlatitude waveguide. While the short-range forecast quality was improved, Schäfler et al. (2019, in review) demonstrated that ECMWF IFS analyses exhibit deficiencies in capturing observed wind speeds at and above the dynamical tropopause during NAWDEX. Therefore, data assimilation output from the ECMWF IFS is used to evaluate the observational influence on the tropopause. Statistics of data assimilation diagnostics such as the analysis increment and first guess departure will be assessed in observation space in a tropopause relative framework to quantify the impact of assimilated radiosonde observations on tropopause location and sharpness.</p>

Mineral/microfibrillated cellulose composite materials: High performance products, applications, and product forms

TAPPI Journal ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (09) ◽  
pp. 507-515 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Skuse ◽  
Mark Windebank ◽  
Tafadzwa Motsi ◽  
Guillaume Tellier
Keyword(s):  
Composite Materials ◽  
High Performance ◽  
Aqueous Suspension ◽  
Production Capacity ◽  
Cost Savings ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
New Materials ◽  
Wet Strength ◽  
Product Forms ◽  
Cellulose Composite

When pulp and minerals are co-processed in aqueous suspension, the mineral acts as a grinding aid, facilitating the cost-effective production of fibrils. Furthermore, this processing allows the utilization of robust industrial milling equipment. There are 40000 dry metric tons of mineral/microfbrillated (MFC) cellulose composite production capacity in operation across three continents. These mineral/MFC products have been cleared by the FDA for use as a dry and wet strength agent in coated and uncoated food contact paper and paperboard applications. We have previously reported that use of these mineral/MFC composite materials in fiber-based applications allows generally improved wet and dry mechanical properties with concomitant opportunities for cost savings, property improvements, or grade developments and that the materials can be prepared using a range of fibers and minerals. Here, we: (1) report the development of new products that offer improved performance, (2) compare the performance of these new materials with that of a range of other nanocellulosic material types, (3) illustrate the performance of these new materials in reinforcement (paper and board) and viscosification applications, and (4) discuss product form requirements for different applications.

Parallel Computing for Tire Simulations

2011 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 193-209 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Surendranath ◽  
M. Dunbar
Keyword(s):  
High Performance ◽  
Effective Means ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Turnaround Time ◽  
Careful Consideration ◽  
Rolling Contact ◽  
Element Analysis ◽  
Parallel Solvers ◽  
Design Changes ◽  
Highly Nonlinear

Abstract Over the last few decades, finite element analysis has become an integral part of the overall tire design process. Engineers need to perform a number of different simulations to evaluate new designs and study the effect of proposed design changes. However, tires pose formidable simulation challenges due to the presence of highly nonlinear rubber compounds, embedded reinforcements, complex tread geometries, rolling contact, and large deformations. Accurate simulation requires careful consideration of these factors, resulting in the extensive turnaround time, often times prolonging the design cycle. Therefore, it is extremely critical to explore means to reduce the turnaround time while producing reliable results. Compute clusters have recently become a cost effective means to perform high performance computing (HPC). Distributed memory parallel solvers designed to take advantage of compute clusters have become increasingly popular. In this paper, we examine the use of HPC for various tire simulations and demonstrate how it can significantly reduce simulation turnaround time. Abaqus/Standard is used for routine tire simulations like footprint and steady state rolling. Abaqus/Explicit is used for transient rolling and hydroplaning simulations. The run times and scaling data corresponding to models of various sizes and complexity are presented.

Azo (Hydrazone) pigments: general principles

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Christie
Keyword(s):  
High Performance ◽  
Metal Salt ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Precipitation Process ◽  
Ambient Temperatures ◽  
Technical Performance ◽  
Chemical Structures ◽  
General Chemical ◽  
Physical Form

Abstract This paper presents an overview of the general chemical principles underlying the structures, synthesis and technical performance of azo pigments, the dominant chemical class of industrial organic pigments in the yellow, orange, and red shade areas, both numerically and in terms of tonnage manufactured. A description of the most significant historical features in this group of pigments is provided, starting from the discovery of the chemistry on which azo colorants are based by Griess in the mid-nineteenth century, through the commercial introduction of the most important classical azo pigments in the early twentieth century, including products known as the Hansa Yellows, β-naphthol reds, including metal salt pigments, and the diarylide yellows and oranges, to the development in the 1950s and 1960s of two classes of azo pigments that exhibit high performance, disazo condensation pigments and benzimidazolone-based azo pigments. A feature that complicates the description of the chemical structures of azo pigments is that they exist in the solid state as the ketohydrazone rather than the hydroxyazo form, in which they have been traditionally been illustrated. Numerous structural studies conducted over the years on an extensive range of azo pigments have demonstrated this feature. In this text, they are referred to throughout as azo (hydrazone) pigments. Since a common synthetic procedure is used in the manufacture of virtually all azo (hydrazone) pigments, this is discussed in some detail, including practical aspects. The procedure brings together two organic components as the fundamental starting materials, a diazo component and a coupling component. An important reason for the dominance of azo (hydrazone) pigments is that they are highly cost-effective. The syntheses generally involve low cost, commodity organic starting materials and are carried out in water as the reaction solvent, which offers obvious economic and environmental advantages. The versatility of the approach means that an immense number of products may be prepared, so that they have been adapted structurally to meet the requirements of many applications. On an industrial scale, the processes are straightforward, making use of simple, multi-purpose chemical plant. Azo pigments may be produced in virtually quantitative yields and the processes are carried out at or below ambient temperatures, thus presenting low energy requirements. Finally, provided that careful control of the reaction conditions is maintained, azo pigments may be prepared directly by an aqueous precipitation process that can optimise physical form, with control of particle size distribution, crystalline structure, and surface character. The applications of azo pigments are outlined, with more detail reserved for subsequent papers on individual products.

scholarly journals Cost-effective Mapping of Mobile Robot Based on the Fusion of UWB and Short-range 2D LiDAR

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Ran Liu ◽  
Yongping He ◽  
Chau Yuen ◽  
Billy Pik Lik Lau ◽  
Rashid Ali ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mobile Robot ◽  
Short Range ◽  
Cost Effective

Robustness versus Performance Assessment for Different Gamma-TiAl Processing Routes

2011 ◽  
Vol 1295 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Thomas
Keyword(s):  
High Performance ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Processing Route ◽  
Transportation Industry ◽  
Tial Alloys ◽  
Alternative Processing ◽  
Aerospace Applications ◽  
Robust Processing ◽  
Processing Techniques ◽  
Robust Process

ABSTRACTOne of the main driving force for the development of advanced structural materials is weight saving especially in the transportation industry in order to reduce CO2 emission. The utilization of gamma aluminides, as good candidates for aerospace applications, is strongly related to the development of a cost-effective and robust processing route, as far as possible. It is well established that the processing route, i.e. cast, wrought or PM, has a dramatic effect on the microstructure and texture of gamma-TiAl alloys. Therefore, significant microstructural variations through post-heat treatments coupled with compositional modifications can only guarantee a proper balance of desired properties. However, a number of metallurgical factors during the processing steps can contribute to some scattering in properties. This review will highlight several critical process variables in terms of the resulting g-TiAl microstructures. Of primary importance is the as-cast texture which is difficult to control and may contribute to prefer some alternative processing routes to ensure a better repeatability in mechanical results. Some innovative processing techniques for controlling the structure will then be presented. The main point which will be discussed in this paper is whether an approach leading to a robust process would not be at the expense of the high performance of the structural material.

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