scholarly journals Potential inundation of Lisbon downtown by a 1755-like tsunami

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 3319-3326 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Baptista ◽  
J. M. Miranda ◽  
R. Omira ◽  
C. Antunes
Keyword(s):  
Tagus Estuary ◽  
Water Model ◽  
Large Area ◽  
Tsunami Inundation ◽  
Inundation Area ◽  
Nested Grids ◽  
Four Levels ◽  
Run Up ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The City

Abstract. In this study, we present 10 m resolution tsunami flooding maps for Lisbon downtown and the Tagus estuary. To compute these maps we use the present bathymetry and topographic maps and a reasonable estimate for the maximum credible tsunami scenario. Tsunami modeling was made with a non-linear shallow water model using four levels of nested grids. The tsunami flood is discussed in terms of flow depth, run-up height and maximum inundation area. The results show that, even today, in spite of the significant morphologic changes in the city river front after the 1755 earthquake, a similar event would cause tsunami flow depths larger than one meter in a large area along the Tagus estuary and Lisbon downtown. Other areas along the estuary with a high population density would also be strongly affected. The impact of the tide on the extent of tsunami inundation is discussed, due to the large amplitude range of the tide in Lisbon, and compared with the historical descriptions of the 1755 event. The results presented here can be used to identify the potential tsunami inundation areas in Lisbon; this identification comprises a key element of the Portuguese tsunami emergency management system.

scholarly journals Impact of a 1755-like tsunami in Huelva, Spain

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 139-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. V. Lima ◽  
J. M. Miranda ◽  
M. A. Baptista ◽  
J. Catalão ◽  
M. Gonzalez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Source Parameters ◽  
Critical Factor ◽  
Maximum Flow ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Tsunami Source ◽  
Flow Depth ◽  
Large Area ◽  
Inundation Extent ◽  
Run Up ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Coastal areas are highly exposed to natural hazards associated with the sea. In all cases where there is historical evidence for devastating tsunamis, as is the case of the southern coasts of the Iberian Peninsula, there is a need for quantitative hazard tsunami assessment to support spatial planning. Also, local authorities must be able to act towards the population protection in a preemptive way, to inform "what to do" and "where to go" and in an alarm, to make people aware of the incoming danger. With this in mind, we investigated the inundation extent, run-up and water depths, of a 1755-like event on the region of Huelva, located on the Spanish southwestern coast, one of the regions that was affected in the past by several high energy events, as proved by historical documents and sedimentological data. Modelling was made with a slightly modified version of the COMCOT (Cornell Multi-grid Coupled Tsunami Model) code. Sensitivity tests were performed for a single source in order to understand the relevance and influence of the source parameters in the inundation extent and the fundamental impact parameters. We show that a 1755-like event will have a dramatic impact in a large area close to Huelva inundating an area between 82 and 92 km2 and reaching maximum run-up around 5 m. In this sense our results show that small variations on the characteristics of the tsunami source are not too significant for the impact assessment. We show that the maximum flow depth and the maximum run-up increase with the average slip on the source, while the strike of the fault is not a critical factor as Huelva is significantly far away from the potential sources identified up to now. We also show that the maximum flow depth within the inundated area is very dependent on the tidal level, while maximum run-up is less affected, as a consequence of the complex morphology of the area.

scholarly journals Uji Kerawanan Terhadap Tsunami Dengan Sistem Informasi Geografis (SIG) Di Pesisir Kecamatan Kretek, Kabupaten Bantul, Yogyakarta

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Petrus Subardjo ◽  
Raden Ario
Keyword(s):  
Tsunami Inundation ◽  
Inundation Area ◽  
Overlay Method ◽  
Run Up

Tsunami merupakan jenis bahaya alam yang belum dapat diprediksi waktu terjadinya. Tsunami adalah salah satu bencana alam yang senantiasa mengancam penduduk yang tinggal di daerah pesisir. Walaupun jarang terjadi, namun daya hancurnya yang besar membuat bencana tsunami ini harus diperhitungkan. Kabupaten Bantul, Yogyakarta termasuk salah satu wilayah rawan bencana tsunami yang meliputi 21 wilayah di Indonesia.Untuk mendukung langkah-langkah mitigasi bencana terhadap tsunami, salah satunya dengan memetakan tingkat kerentanan bencana tsunami di pesisir Pantai Depok Kecamatan Kretek, Kabupaten Bantul, Yogyakarta. Penelitian dilaksanakan pada bulan Oktober sampai dengan Desember 2012. Adapun lokasi secara administratif masuk wilayah Desa Parangtritis, Kecamatan Kretek, Kabupaten Bantul, Yogyakarta. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menyusun peta kerentanan wilayah terhadap tsunami di pesisir Pantai Depok Kecamatan Kretek,Bantul, Yogyakarta. Metode analisis yang dilakukan pada beberapa macam peta dikenal dengan metode tumpang susun (overlay method). Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa lokasi Ketinggian daratan di Kecamatan Kretek terdiri dari daerah-daerah yang rendah di wilayah pesisir hingga daerah tinggi di sekitar pegunungan. Dataran rendah yang berada di dekat pantai mempunyai tingkat kerawanan paling tinggi terhadap bencana tsunami dibandingkan dengan dataran yang tinggi. Ketinggian ini akan berpengaruh pada daerah penggenangan tsunami (Tsunami Inundation Area). Wilayah yang sangat rendah di Kecamatan Kretek terdapat hampir di seluruh kecamatan yang berada di pesisir. Secara umum beberapa bagian wilayah pesisir yang rendah ini akan sangat mungkin terendam apabila di kemudian hari terjadi lagi bencana tsunami dengan tinggi run up yang samaKata Kunci: Kerawanan, Tsunami, Pesisir, Bantul 

scholarly journals NEAR-FIELD TSUNAMI HAZARD MAP PADANG, WEST SUMATRA: UTILIZING HIGH RESOLUTION GEOSPATIAL DATA AND RESEASONABLE SOURCE SCENARIOS

2011 ◽  
Vol 1 (32) ◽  
pp. 26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torsten Schlurmann ◽  
Widjo Kongko ◽  
Nils Goseberg ◽  
Danny Hilman Natawidjaja ◽  
Kerry Sieh
Keyword(s):  
Near Field ◽  
Tsunami Hazard ◽  
Tsunami Propagation ◽  
Inundation Area ◽  
Western Shore ◽  
Run Up ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Evacuation Routes ◽  
Tsunami Run Up ◽  
The City

Near-field tsunami propagation both in shallow water environments and bore-like wave propagation on land are conducted in this study to obtain fundamental knowledge on the tsunami hazard potential in the city of Padang, Western Sumatra, Republic of Indonesia. As the region proves a huge seismic moment deficit which has progressively accumulated since the last recorded major earthquakes in 1797 and 1833, this investigation focuses on most reasonable seismic sources and possibly triggered nearshore tsunamis in order to develop upgraded disaster mitigations programs in this densely-populated urban agglomeration located on the western shore of Sumatra Island. Observations from continuous Global Positioning Satellite (cGPS) systems and supplementary coral growth studies confirm a much greater probability of occurrence that a major earthquake and subsequent tsunami are likely to strike the region in the near future. Newly surveyed and processed sets of geodata have been collected and used to progress most plausible rupture scenarios to approximate the extent and magnitudes of a further earthquake. Based upon this novel understanding, the present analysis applies two hydronumerical codes to simulate most probable tsunami run-up and subsequent inundations in the city of Padang in very fine resolution. Run-up heights and flow-depths are determined stemming from these most plausible rupture scenarios. Evaluation of outcome and performance of both numerical tools regarding impacts of surge flow and bore-like wave fronts encountering the coast and inundating the city are thoroughly carried out. Results are discussed not only for further scientific purposes, i.e. benchmark tests, but also to disseminate main findings to responsible authorities in Padang with the objective to distribute the most probable dataset of plausible tsunami inundations as well as to address valuable insights and knowledge for effective counter measures, i.e. evacuation routes and shelter building. Following evacuation simulations based on rational assumptions and simplifications reveal a most alerting result as about 260.000 people are living in the highly exposed potential tsunami inundation area in the city of Padang of which more than 90.000 people will need more than 30 min. to evacuate to safe areas.

scholarly journals The Run up Tsunami Modeling in Bengkulu using the Spatial Interpolation of Kriging Technique

2014 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yulian Fauzi ◽  
Suwarsono Suwarsono ◽  
Zulfia Memi Mayasari
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Spatial Modelling ◽  
Kriging Interpolation ◽  
Tsunami Inundation ◽  
Kriging Interpolation Method ◽  
Run Up ◽  
Tsunami Run Up ◽  
The City ◽  
Flooded Areas

This research aims to design a tsunami hazard zone with the scenario of tsunami run-up height variation based on land use, slope and distance from the shoreline. The method used in this research is spatial modelling with GIS via Ordinary Kriging interpolation technique. Kriging interpolation method that is the best in this study is shown by Circular Kriging method with good semivariogram and RMSE values which are small compared to other RMSE kriging methods. The results shows that the area affected by the tsunami inundation run-up height, slope and land use. In the run-up to 30 meters, flooded areas are about 3,148.99 hectares or 20.7% of the total area of the city of Bengkulu.

scholarly journals Impact of Urban Growth and Changes in Land Use on River Flood Hazard in Villahermosa, Tabasco (Mexico)

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 304 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Areu-Rangel ◽  
Luis Cea ◽  
Rosanna Bonasia ◽  
Victor Espinosa-Echavarria
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Urban Growth ◽  
City Planning ◽  
Flood Hazard ◽  
Urban Expansion ◽  
Water Model ◽  
River Channels ◽  
Main River ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The City

The city of Villahermosa, a logistical center in the State of Tabasco’s economy, is affected by recurrent river floods. In this study, we analyzed the impact of two factors that are the most probable causes of this increase in flood hazard: changes in land use in the hydrological catchments upstream of the city, and the uncontrolled urbanization of the floodplains adjacent to the main river channels. Flood discharges for different return periods were evaluated, considering land uses of the catchments, both as they were in 1992 and as they are today. These flood discharges were then used in a 2D shallow water model to estimate the increase of water depths in the city from 1992 to the present day. To evaluate the influence of urban expansion on inundation levels, three future urbanization scenarios were proposed on the basis of the urban growth rate forecast for 2050. Results confirm that the change in land use in the hydrological catchments is the main factor that explains the increase in inundation events observed over recent years. This study also provides useful insights for future city planning that might help to minimize the flood impact on Villahermosa.

scholarly journals Activity density of carabid beetles along an urbanization gradient in the city of Rome (Italy)

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simone Fattorini ◽  
Cristina Mantoni ◽  
Davide Bergamaschi ◽  
Lorenzo Fortini ◽  
Francisco Sánchez Camacho ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Extreme Environments ◽  
Carabid Beetles ◽  
Green Spaces ◽  
City Centre ◽  
Large Area ◽  
Activity Density ◽  
Urban Rural ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The City

As concrete jungles, urban areas may be considered extreme environments for most animal groups. Yet, cities host unexpected high values of biodiversity, sometimes also in the most urbanized sectors. Several works have investigated the impact of urbanization on carabids using urban-rural gradients. However, most research has been done in north-western and central Europe, whereas urban communities in the Mediterranean region remain largely unexplored. Also, due to the high fragmentation of green spaces in urban areas, studies on the urban-rural gradient typically used data collected from several green spaces along the gradient, not from a single large area, which complicates interpretation because of the many confounding factors associated with inter-site variability. Aim of this research was to investigate the response of carabid populations to urbanization by analysing how their activity density varied along an urban-rural gradient within a single, large green space. The study was conducted in Rome (Italy), in the Appia Antica Regional Park, an urban park of 3,500 ha, which extends for some 16 km from the city centre to the rural environments out of the city. Carabids were sampled by pitfall traps from nine sites along the entire urban-rural gradient. We calculated the total carabid activity density, number of carabids/total Coleoptera (CAR/COL), and number of carabids/total insects (CAR/INS). As already observed for various organisms in urban environments, we found that carabid acitivity density peacked in the middle of the gradient, where it was more than six times higher than in the city centre and about three time higher than in the rural sites. This supports the intermediate disturbance hypothesis, according to which moderate urbanization may favour diversity by increasing habitat heterogeneity. CAR/COL and CAR/INS also peacked in the middle of the gradient, which indicates that carabids are the insect taxon most favoured by intermediate urbanization.

Computer simulation study about the dependence of amorphous silicon photonic waveguides efficiency on the material quality

2020 ◽  
Vol 90 (3) ◽  
pp. 30502
Author(s):  
Alessandro Fantoni ◽  
João Costa ◽  
Paulo Lourenço ◽  
Manuela Vieira
Keyword(s):  
Amorphous Silicon ◽  
High Throughput Screening ◽  
Simulation Analysis ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Deposition Process ◽  
Large Area ◽  
Sidewall Roughness ◽  
Sensing Applications ◽  
Fabrication Defects ◽  
The Impact

Amorphous silicon PECVD photonic integrated devices are promising candidates for low cost sensing applications. This manuscript reports a simulation analysis about the impact on the overall efficiency caused by the lithography imperfections in the deposition process. The tolerance to the fabrication defects of a photonic sensor based on surface plasmonic resonance is analysed. The simulations are performed with FDTD and BPM algorithms. The device is a plasmonic interferometer composed by an a-Si:H waveguide covered by a thin gold layer. The sensing analysis is performed by equally splitting the input light into two arms, allowing the sensor to be calibrated by its reference arm. Two different 1 × 2 power splitter configurations are presented: a directional coupler and a multimode interference splitter. The waveguide sidewall roughness is considered as the major negative effect caused by deposition imperfections. The simulation results show that plasmonic effects can be excited in the interferometric waveguide structure, allowing a sensing device with enough sensitivity to support the functioning of a bio sensor for high throughput screening. In addition, the good tolerance to the waveguide wall roughness, points out the PECVD deposition technique as reliable method for the overall sensor system to be produced in a low-cost system. The large area deposition of photonics structures, allowed by the PECVD method, can be explored to design a multiplexed system for analysis of multiple biomarkers to further increase the tolerance to fabrication defects.

The impact of a mega-event on city branding: The European Capital of Culture 2010 and the image of Istanbul

2013 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evinç Doğan ◽  
Ibrahim Sirkeci
Keyword(s):  
Visual Analysis ◽  
Place Branding ◽  
World City ◽  
City Branding ◽  
City Image ◽  
European Capital Of Culture ◽  
National Boundaries ◽  
Symbolic Production ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The City

This study examines the ways in which the city image of Istanbul is re-created through the mega-events within the context of the European Capital of Culture (ECoC) 2010. Istanbul “took the stage” as one of the three ECoC cities (Essen for the Ruhr in Germany and Pécs in Hungary), where the urban spaces were projected as the theatre décor while residents and visitors became the spectators of the events. Organisers and agents of the ECoC 2010 seemed to rebrand Istanbul as a “world city” rather than a “European capital”. With a series of transnational connotations, this can be considered as part of an attempt to turn Istanbul to a global city. In this study we examine posters used during the ECoC 2010 to see whether this was evident in the promoted images of Istanbul. The research employs a hermeneutic approach in which representations, signs and language are the means of symbolic meaning, which is analysed through qualitative methods for the visual data (Visual Analysis Methods), namely Semiotics and Discourse Analysis. The analysed research material comes from a sample of posters released during the ECoC 2010 to promote 549 events throughout the year. Using stratified random sampling we have drawn 28 posters (5% of the total) reflecting the thematic groups of events in the ECoC 2010. Particular attention is also paid to the reflexivity of the researchers and researchers’ embeddedness to the object of research. The symbolic production and visual representation are therefore investigated firstly through the authoritative and historically constituted discourses in the making of Istanbul image and secondly through the orders of cultural consumption and mediatisation of culture through spectacular events. Hence enforcing a transnationalisation of the image of the city where the image appears to be almost stateless transcending the national boundaries. Findings and methodology used in this study can be useful in understanding similar cases and further research into the processes of city and place branding and image relationships. 

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