scholarly journals Power law distributions of wildfires across Europe: benchmarking a land surface model with observed data

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (6) ◽  
pp. 1553-1586
Author(s):  
B. Di Mauro ◽  
F. Fava ◽  
P. Frattini ◽  
A. Camia ◽  
R. Colombo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Power Law ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Burned Area ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Scaling Exponent ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Size Frequency Distribution ◽  
Burned Areas ◽  
Community Land Model

Abstract. Monthly wildfire burned area frequency is here modeled with a power law distribution and scaling exponent across different European biomes are estimated. Data sets, spanning from 2000 to 2009, comprehend the inventory of monthly burned areas from the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS) and simulated monthly burned areas from a recent parameterization of a Land Surface Model (LSM), that is the Community Land Model (CLM). Power law exponents are estimated with a Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for different European biomes. The characteristic fire size (CFS), i.e. the area that most contributes to the total burned area, was also calculated both from EFFIS and CLM data set. We used the power law fitting and the CFS analysis to benchmark CLM model against the EFFIS observational wildfires data set available for Europe. Results for the EFFIS data showed that power law fittings holds for 2–3 orders of magnitude in the Boreal and Continental ecoregions, whereas the distribution of the Alpine, Atlantic are fitted only in the upper tail. Power law instead is not a suitable model for fitting CLM simulations. CLM benchmarking analysis showed that the model strongly overestimates burned areas and fails in reproducing size-frequency distribution of observed EFFIS wildfires. This benchmarking analysis showed that some refinements in CLM structure (in particular regarding the anthropogenic influence) are needed for predicting future wildfires scenarios, since the low spatial resolution of the model and differences in relative frequency of small and large fires can affect the reliability of the predictions.

Assessment of the uncertainty related to irrigation modeling by a land surface model across India

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dazhi Li ◽  
Xujun Han ◽  
Dhanya C.t. ◽  
Stefan Siebert ◽  
Harry Vereecken ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Monsoon Season ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Fluxes ◽  
Spatiotemporal Pattern ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Irrigation Requirement ◽  
Community Land Model ◽  
Surface Models

<p>Irrigation is very important for maintaining the agricultural production and sustaining the increasing population of India. The irrigation requirement can be estimated with land surface models by modeling water storage changes but the estimates are affected by various uncertainties such as regarding the spatiotemporal distribution of areas where and when irrigation is potentially applied. In the present work, this uncertainty is analyzed for the whole Indian domain. The irrigation requirements and hydrological fluxes over India were reconstructed by multiple simulation experiments with the Community Land Model (CLM) version 4.5 for the year of 2010.</p><p>These multiple simulation scenarios showed that the modeled irrigation requirement and the land surface fluxes differed between the scenarios, representing the spatiotemporal uncertainty of the irrigation maps. Using a season-specific irrigation map resulted in a higher transpiration-evapotranspiration ratio (T/ET) in the pre-monsoon season compared to the application of a static irrigation map, which implies a higher irrigation efficiency. The remote sensing based evapotranspiration products GLEAM and MODIS ET were used for comparison, showing a similar increasing ET-trend in the pre-monsoon season as the irrigation induced land surface modeling. The correspondence is better if the seasonal irrigation map is used as basis for simulations with CLM. We conclude that more accurate temporal information on irrigation results in modeled evapotranspiration closer to the spatiotemporal pattern of evapotranspiration deduced from remote sensing. Another conclusion is that irrigation modeling should consider the sub-grid heterogeneity to improve the estimation of soil water deficit and irrigation requirement.</p>

scholarly journals Sensitivity of the NCEP/Noah land surface model to the MODIS green vegetation fraction data set

2006 ◽  
Vol 33 (13) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jesse Miller ◽  
Michael Barlage ◽  
Xubin Zeng ◽  
Helin Wei ◽  
Kenneth Mitchell ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Vegetation Fraction ◽  
Green Vegetation ◽  
Noah Land Surface Model

Hydrologic Sensitivities of Colorado River Runoff to Changes in Precipitation and Temperature*

2012 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 932-949 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie A. Vano ◽  
Tapash Das ◽  
Dennis P. Lettenmaier
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Colorado River ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Annual Runoff ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Fractional Change ◽  
Infiltration Capacity ◽  
Community Land Model ◽  
Runoff Change

Abstract The Colorado River is the primary water source for much of the rapidly growing southwestern United States. Recent studies have projected reductions in Colorado River flows from less than 10% to almost 50% by midcentury because of climate change—a range that has clouded potential management responses. These differences in projections are attributable to variations in climate model projections but also to differing land surface model (LSM) sensitivities. This second contribution to uncertainty—specifically, variations in LSM runoff change with respect to precipitation (elasticities) and temperature (sensitivities)—are evaluated here through comparisons of multidecadal simulations from five commonly used LSMs (Catchment, Community Land Model, Noah, Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting model, and Variable Infiltration Capacity model) all applied over the Colorado River basin at ⅛° latitude by longitude spatial resolution. The annual elasticity of modeled runoff (fractional change in annual runoff divided by fractional change in annual precipitation) at Lees Ferry ranges from two to six for the different LSMs. Elasticities generally are higher in lower precipitation and/or runoff regimes; hence, the highest values are for models biased low in runoff production, and the range of elasticities is reduced to two to three when adjusted to current runoff climatology. Annual temperature sensitivities (percent change in annual runoff per degree change in annual temperature) range from declines of 2% to as much as 9% per degree Celsius increase at Lees Ferry. For some LSMs, small areas, primarily at midelevation, have increasing runoff with increasing temperature; however, on a spatial basis, most sensitivities are negative.

scholarly journals A leaf area index data set acquired in Sahelian rangelands of Gourma in Mali over the 2005–2017 period

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 675-686
Author(s):  
Eric Mougin ◽  
Mamadou Oumar Diawara ◽  
Nogmana Soumaguel ◽  
Ali Amadou Maïga ◽  
Valérie Demarez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Leaf Area Index ◽  
Leaf Area ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Product Evaluation ◽  
Tree Canopy ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Area Index

Abstract. The leaf area index of Sahelian rangelands and related variables such as the vegetation cover fraction, the fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation and the clumping index were measured between 2005 and 2017 in the Gourma region of northern Mali. These variables, known as climate essential variables, were derived from the acquisition and the processing of hemispherical photographs taken along 1 km linear sampling transects for five contrasted canopies and one millet field. The same sampling protocol was applied in a seasonally inundated Acacia open forest, along a 0.5 km transect, by taking photographs of the understorey and the tree canopy. These observations collected over more than a decade, in a remote and not very accessible region, provide a relevant and unique data set that can be used for a better understanding of the Sahelian vegetation response to the current rainfall changes. The collected data can also be used for satellite product evaluation and land surface model development and validation. This paper aims to present the field work that was carried out during 13 successive rainy seasons, the measured vegetation variables, and the associated open database. Finally, a few examples of data use are shown. DOI of the referenced data set: https://doi.org/10.17178/AMMA-CATCH.CE.Veg_Gh.

scholarly journals Identification of key parameters controlling demographicallystructured vegetation dynamics in a Land Surface Model [CLM4.5(ED)]

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elias C. Massoud ◽  
Chonggang Xu ◽  
Rosie Fisher ◽  
Ryan Knox ◽  
Anthony Walker ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Canopy Structure ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Carbon Stocks ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Growth Strategies ◽  
Community Land Model ◽  
Vegetation Models ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Vegetation plays a key role in regulating global carbon cycles and is a key component of the Earth System Models (ESMs) aimed to project Earth's future climates. In the last decade, the vegetation component within ESMs has witnessed great progresses from simple 'big-leaf' approaches to demographically-structured approaches, which has a better representation of plant size, canopy structure, and disturbances. The demographically-structured vegetation models are typically controlled by a large number of parameters, and sensitivity analysis is generally needed to quantify the impact of each parameter on the model outputs for a better understanding of model behaviors. In this study, we use the Fourier Amplitude Sensitivity Test (FAST) to diagnose the Community Land Model coupled to the Ecosystem Demography Model, or CLM4.5(ED). We investigate the first and second order sensitivities of the model parameters to outputs that represent simulated growth and mortality as well as carbon fluxes and stocks. While the photosynthetic capacity parameter Vc,max25 is found to be important for simulated carbon stocks and fluxes, we also show the importance of carbon storage and allometry parameters, which are shown here to determine vegetation demography and carbon stocks through their impacts on survival and growth strategies. The results of this study highlights the importance of understanding the dynamics of the next generation of demographically-enabled vegetation models within ESMs toward improved model parameterization and model structure for better model fidelity.

scholarly journals Developing an improved soil moisture dataset by blending passive and active microwave satellite-based retrievals

2011 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 425-436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Y. Liu ◽  
R. M. Parinussa ◽  
W. A. Dorigo ◽  
R. A. M. De Jeu ◽  
W. Wagner ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Degree Of Saturation ◽  
Combination Method ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Volumetric Soil Water Content ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Spatial Coverage

Abstract. Combining information derived from satellite-based passive and active microwave sensors has the potential to offer improved estimates of surface soil moisture at global scale. We develop and evaluate a methodology that takes advantage of the retrieval characteristics of passive (AMSR-E) and active (ASCAT) microwave satellite estimates to produce an improved soil moisture product. First, volumetric soil water content (m3 m−3) from AMSR-E and degree of saturation (%) from ASCAT are rescaled against a reference land surface model data set using a cumulative distribution function matching approach. While this imposes any bias of the reference on the rescaled satellite products, it adjusts them to the same range and preserves the dynamics of original satellite-based products. Comparison with in situ measurements demonstrates that where the correlation coefficient between rescaled AMSR-E and ASCAT is greater than 0.65 ("transitional regions"), merging the different satellite products increases the number of observations while minimally changing the accuracy of soil moisture retrievals. These transitional regions also delineate the boundary between sparsely and moderately vegetated regions where rescaled AMSR-E and ASCAT, respectively, are used for the merged product. Therefore the merged product carries the advantages of better spatial coverage overall and increased number of observations, particularly for the transitional regions. The combination method developed has the potential to be applied to existing microwave satellites as well as to new missions. Accordingly, a long-term global soil moisture dataset can be developed and extended, enhancing basic understanding of the role of soil moisture in the water, energy and carbon cycles.

Coupling an individual-based boreal forest model with a permafrost land-surface model to forecast biomass development in boreal larch forests at the Siberian treeline

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simone Stünzi ◽  
Stefan Kruse ◽  
Julia Boike ◽  
Ulrike Herzschuh ◽  
Moritz Langer
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Boreal Forests ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Carbon Sink ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Forest Model ◽  
Larch Forests

<p>The fate of boreal forests under global warming and forced rapid environmental changes is still highly uncertain, in terms of remaining a carbon sink or becoming a future carbon source. Forest dynamics and resulting ecosystem services are strongly interlinked in the vast permafrost-covered regions of the Siberian treeline ecotone. Consequently, understanding the role of current and future active layer dynamics is crucial for the prediction of aboveground biomass and thus carbon stock developments.</p><p>We present a coupled model version combining CryoGrid, a sophisticated one-dimensional permafrost land surface model adapted for the use in forest ecosystems, with LAVESI, a detailed, individual-based and spatially explicit larch forest model. Subsequently, parameterizing against an extensive field data set of >100 forest inventories conducted along the treeline of larch-dominated boreal forests in Siberia (97-169° E), we run simulations covering the upcoming decades under contrasting climatic change scenarios.</p><p>The model setup can reproduce the energy transfer and thermal regime in permafrost ground as well as the radiation budget, nitrogen and photosynthetic profiles, canopy turbulence and leaf fluxes and predict the expected establishment, die-off and treeline movements of larch forests. Our results will show vegetation and permafrost dynamics, quantify the magnitudes of different feedback processes between permafrost, vegetation, and climate and reveal their impact on carbon stocks in Northern Siberia.</p>

The detection of irrigation through remote sensing soil moisture and a land surface model: a case study in Spain

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacopo Dari ◽  
Pere Quintana-Seguí ◽  
María José Escorihuela ◽  
Luca Brocca ◽  
Renato Morbidelli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Agricultural Areas ◽  
Irrigation Practices

<p>Irrigation practices introduce imbalances in the natural hydrological cycle at different spatial scales and put pressure on water resources, especially under climate changing and population increasing scenarios. Despite the implications of irrigation on food production and on the rational management of the available freshwater, detailed information about the areas where irrigation actually occurs is still lacking. For this reason, the comprehensive knowledge of the dynamics of the hydrological cycle over agricultural areas is often tricky.</p><p>The first aim of this study is to evaluate the capability of five remote sensing soil moisture data sets to detect the irrigation signal over an intensely irrigated area located within the Ebro river basin, in the North of Spain, during the biennium 2016-2017. As a second objective, a methodology to map the irrigated areas through the K-means clustering algorithm is proposed. The remotely sensed soil moisture products used in this study are: SMOS (Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity) at 1 km, SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive) at 1 km and 9 km, Sentinel-1 at 1 km and ASCAT (Advanced SCATterometer) at 12.5 km. The 1 km versions of SMOS and SMAP are DISPATCH (DISaggregation based on Physical And Theoretical scale CHange) downscaled versions of the corresponding coarser resolution products. An additional data set of soil moisture simulated by the SURFEX-ISBA (<em>Surface Externalisée - Interaction Sol Biosphère Atmosphère</em>) land surface model is used as a support for the performed analyses.</p><p>The capability of soil moisture products to detect irrigation has been investigated by exploiting indices representing the spatial and temporal dynamics of soil moisture. The L-band passive microwave downscaled products, especially SMAP at 1 km, result the best performing ones in detecting the irrigation signal over the pilot area; on the basis of these data sets, the K-means algorithm has been employed to classify three kinds of surfaces within the study area: the dryland, the forest or natural areas, and the actually irrigated areas. The resulting maps have been validated by exploiting maps of crops in Catalonia as ground truth data set. The percentage of irrigated areas well classified by the proposed method reaches the value of 78%; this result is obtained for the period May - September 2017. In addition, the method performs well in distinguishing the irrigated areas from rainfed agricultural areas, which are dry during summer, thus representing a useful tool to obtain explicit spatial information about where irrigation practices actually occur over agricultural areas equipped for this purpose.</p>

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